Group 1 - The A-share market's three major indices closed mixed, with the Shanghai Stock Exchange Sci-Tech Innovation Board Chip Design Theme Index down by 0.49% to 1260.19 points, with a trading volume of 12.655 billion yuan [1] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange Sci-Tech Innovation Board Chip Design Theme Index has increased by 0.48% over the past month, decreased by 2.11% over the past three months, and has risen by 8.91% year-to-date [1] - The index reflects the overall performance of listed companies in the chip design sector on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, with a base date of December 31, 2019, set at 1000.0 points [1] Group 2 - The top ten weighted companies in the index include Haiguang Information (10.26%), Lanke Technology (9.83%), and Cambricon (9.07%), among others [1] - The index's holdings are entirely composed of companies listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, with a 100% allocation [1] - The index's holdings are exclusively in the information technology sector, also with a 100% allocation [1] Group 3 - The index sample is adjusted every six months, with adjustments implemented on the next trading day following the second Friday of June and December [2] - Weight factors are adjusted in accordance with the regular sample adjustments, which occur at the same time [2] - Special circumstances may lead to temporary adjustments to the index, such as delisting or corporate actions like mergers and acquisitions [2]

Group 1 - China has not imported any U.S. crude oil for three consecutive months, marking the longest streak since 2018, which significantly impacts U.S. shale oil producers already struggling with falling oil prices [1][3] - The U.S. oil exports have dropped to a two-year low, exacerbating the challenges faced by shale oil companies that rely on overseas orders to manage excess capacity [3] - The recent U.S. government actions, including lifting export restrictions on ethane and key aviation components, indicate a shift in strategy as the U.S. seeks to ease tensions with China amid ongoing trade disputes [5][7] Group 2 - The U.S. has allowed General Electric to resume exports of LEAP-1C engines to China, which are essential for the C919 aircraft, reflecting a significant concession in the ongoing trade conflict [5][9] - The lifting of restrictions on ethane exports to China is crucial as the Chinese market previously accounted for nearly half of U.S. ethane exports, highlighting the importance of this trade relationship [7] - The progress of China's CJ-1000A engine development for the C919 aircraft demonstrates China's commitment to achieving self-sufficiency in critical technologies, potentially undermining U.S. dominance in the aviation sector [9][12]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the establishment of a new automotive industry standard for satellite positioning chips, aimed at enhancing the accuracy and reliability of vehicle positioning systems, which are essential for smart connected vehicle functionalities [5][6]. Group 1: Automotive Satellite Positioning Chip Standard - The draft standard for "Automotive Satellite Positioning Chip Technical Requirements and Testing Methods" has been released for public consultation, with a deadline for feedback set for August 12, 2025 [3][5]. - The standard includes five main chapters and seven appendices, covering technical requirements and testing methods for automotive satellite positioning chips [5][6]. - The standard aims to address the lack of existing standards for satellite positioning chips in both domestic and international automotive sectors, with the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology planning to officially issue the standard by December 2024 [5][6]. Group 2: Fuel Consumption and New Energy Vehicle Points - The announcement from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology reveals that 117 domestic passenger car manufacturers produced/imported a total of 23.189 million vehicles in 2024, with an average fuel consumption of 3.31 liters per 100 kilometers [9][10]. - Among the domestic manufacturers, the average fuel consumption was reported at 3.21 liters per 100 kilometers, while imported vehicles had a significantly higher average of 7.58 liters per 100 kilometers [10]. - The total positive points for fuel consumption were 52.852 million, while negative points amounted to 5.847 million, indicating a net positive performance in fuel efficiency across the industry [9][10].

Key Insights - The article highlights the recent trends in investment across various sectors, particularly focusing on new consumption, hard technology, and internet services [2][3]. New Consumption - A coffee brand secured 30 million RMB in funding [4]. - Reading Literature Group made a strategic investment in a plush toy brand, acquiring a 10% stake [6]. - Star Luan Cultural Media completed a 10 million RMB angel round financing [5]. Hard Technology - Lingchuan Technology, an AI chip company, completed a financing round of several hundred million RMB, led by the Beijing AI Industry Investment Fund and Kuaishou Group [14]. - Juxin Technology raised 300 million RMB in a B round financing, led by Shenzhen Capital Group and China National New [17]. - Xiwei Technology, a high-performance Wi-Fi chip designer, also completed a financing round of several hundred million RMB [8]. - Iron Near Technology secured nearly 200 million RMB in strategic financing [9]. - Kaven New Energy raised over 1.2 billion RMB in a Pre-A round financing [10][11]. Internet Services - The AI programming project "Xinyan Yima" received a new round of financing, with a valuation of several hundred million USD, backed by Sequoia China [30]. - Zhizhu announced a strategic investment of 1 billion RMB from Pudong Venture Capital Group and Zhangjiang Group [33]. - BetterYeah AI completed a financing round exceeding 100 million RMB, led by Alibaba Cloud [31]. - The blue-collar recruitment platform "Zhi Xiao Er" raised several million RMB in a Pre-A round financing [32].

Group 1 - The core issue is the significant decline in U.S. crude oil exports to China, marking the longest period of zero purchases since 2018, which poses a survival threat to U.S. shale oil producers [1] - The price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil has fallen below $70 per barrel due to dual pressures, with OPEC considering increasing production, further squeezing market space [1] - The crisis is extending from oil fields to the job market, as refineries are forced to cut production and the throughput at Gulf Coast ports is shrinking [1] Group 2 - China is diversifying its energy sources, securing oil from Russia, Canada, and the Middle East, while exploring de-dollarization in oil transactions with Iran, thereby reducing U.S. influence over the global energy market [3] - The U.S. government has responded to the situation by easing restrictions in key sectors, including allowing General Electric to resume supplying engines to Chinese companies, indicating a potential thaw in trade tensions [3][5] - The trade standoff reflects a clash of international order perspectives, with China's actions demonstrating a break from zero-sum thinking in resource management [6] Group 3 - The 90-day tariff suspension period poses a critical challenge for the U.S. shale oil industry, as failure to negotiate energy and technology exchanges could trigger systemic crises due to accumulated debts [8] - The movement of eight ethane ships to China symbolizes a potential breakthrough in trade relations, but a genuine resolution requires moving beyond resource competition to mutual benefit [8]

Group 1 - The A-share market experienced an overall pullback on July 7, with AI hardware sectors like optical modules and optical communications leading the decline, as companies such as Zhongji Xuchuang and Tianfu Communication fell over 4% [1] - The AI computing sector is showing signs of rapid recovery, providing a low-entry opportunity for investors, as Nvidia's GB200 production peaks and the next-generation AI server chip GB300 is expected to launch in the second half of 2025 [1] - According to Galaxy Securities, the current market is at the bottom of AI expectations, indicating a potential revival in the AI computing industry chain, which could lead to new investment opportunities [1] Group 2 - Investors can focus on the 5G Communication ETF (515050), which tracks the CSI 5G Communication Theme Index and covers key players in the Nvidia, Apple, and Huawei supply chains across various sectors including AI computing, 6G, and consumer electronics [2] - The AI-focused ETF, Huaxia (159381), tracks the ChiNext AI Index and includes leading companies in the optical module sector, with over 33% weight in optical modules and major holdings in Zhongji Xuchuang, New Yisheng, and Tianfu Communication [2]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - US economic data improved, but tariff risks are approaching. Optimism about the US economic outlook increased, driving up the US stock market, while European stocks fell due to China's anti - dumping duties on EU brandy. Market expectations for interest rate cuts decreased, and there were various developments in trade negotiations and fiscal policies [1][10]. Summary by Directory 1. Overseas Market One - Week Review - **Equity Markets**: US stocks rose, with the S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq up 1.72%, 2.30%, and 1.62% respectively. European, Japanese, and South Korean stocks fell. The decline of European stocks was due to China's anti - dumping duties on EU brandy [1][10]. - **Foreign Exchange**: The US dollar fluctuated and slightly declined, with the dollar index down 0.28%. The euro, yen, and RMB appreciated against the US dollar [10]. - **Interest Rates**: US Treasury yields rose. The 2Y and 10Y US Treasuries rose 15BP and 6BP respectively, as market expectations for interest rate cuts cooled [11]. - **Commodities**: Oil prices rose, with WTI crude up 3.0%. Gold slightly declined, with COMEX gold down 0.3% [11]. 2. Overseas Policies and Key News 2.1 Overseas Central Bank Dynamics - Fed Chairman Powell remained neutral, while other officials were hawkish. Market expectations for interest rate cuts cooled significantly, with the expected number of cuts this year dropping from 3 to 2 [2][27]. 2.2 Trump Policy Tracking - **Trade Negotiations**: The US and Vietnam reached an agreement. Vietnam will pay a 20% tariff to the US and a 40% tariff on transshipment goods. The US hopes to open the Vietnamese market [3][32]. - **"Big and Beautiful" Act**: Trump signed the "Big and Beautiful" tax and spending bill, raising the US debt ceiling by $5 trillion. It is expected to increase the US deficit by nearly $3.4 trillion in the next decade [3][32]. 3. Overseas Economic Fundamental High - Frequency Tracking 3.1 Overall Prosperity - Bloomberg's median forecast shows that the US recession probability is 37.5% (40% a month ago), and the eurozone recession probability is 30%. The economic activities in the US and Germany cooled [39][41]. 3.2 Employment - The number of initial jobless claims decreased to 233,000, lower than expected and lower than the same period in 2024. The number of continuous unemployment benefit recipients remained flat [46]. 3.3 Demand - US retail sales rebounded, airport security checks decreased, and railway transportation increased. Mortgage rates slightly decreased, and real - estate market activities slightly picked up [51]. 3.4 Production - The US production side remained more prosperous than the same period last year, with high utilization rates of crude steel and refinery capacities [55]. 3.5 Shipping - International freight rates continued to decline. The export demand from Chinese ports in Ningbo and Shanghai also decreased [57][59]. 3.6 Price - US retail gasoline prices fell, but inflation expectations in the swap market rose [61]. 3.7 Financial Conditions - US financial pressure decreased, and credit spreads narrowed [64]. 4. Next Week's Overseas Important Event Reminders - The suspension period of "reciprocal tariffs" expires, and the Fed will release the minutes of the June FOMC meeting [6].

Group 1 - The U.S. Department of Commerce has notified companies to resume exports of chip design software, ethane, and aircraft engines to China, indicating a potential easing of trade tensions between the U.S. and China [1][2] - The recent adjustments by the U.S. are seen as a return to mutually beneficial principles rather than concessions to China, as the previous restrictions were deemed unreasonable [2][3] - The Chinese Ministry of Commerce has confirmed that both sides are working to implement the agreements reached during recent economic talks, emphasizing the importance of dialogue and cooperation [3][4] Group 2 - Analysts suggest that while the U.S. has lifted some export bans, the unpredictability of U.S. policies may continue, and China will maintain its focus on strategic and technological independence [6][7] - The lifting of restrictions is expected to delay the domestic production of jet engines in China but will not halt the progress of the C919 aircraft project [6][7] - The U.S. government's recent policy changes reflect its need to attract investment and expand trade with China, especially in light of domestic economic challenges [9][10]

Domestic News - The Ministry of Commerce will strengthen guidance on the export of used cars, promoting healthy and orderly development of the used car export market [2] - In May 2025, the total import and export value of automobiles reached $25.06 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 3.2%. Exports accounted for $20.67 billion, up 12.2% year-on-year [3] - NIO Day 2025 has been rescheduled to autumn due to various logistical considerations, with the specific date to be announced later [4] - Avita Motors announced a full OTA upgrade to its models, enhancing features such as collision pre-unlock and emergency steering assistance [5][6] - Geely Auto signed a dealership agreement with Anlijie Auto to jointly explore the Italian new energy vehicle market, establishing a complete business system in Italy [8][9] - Changan Automobile has initiated site selection for a new factory in Europe to support its local sales strategy [9] - A nationwide solution for determining liability in human-machine co-driving accidents has been implemented, enhancing claims efficiency and consumer protection [10] International News - The U.S. has lifted export restrictions on three major chip design software suppliers to China, facilitating access to critical EDA tools for Chinese chip design companies [11] - In June 2025, new registrations of passenger cars in Germany fell by 13.8% year-on-year, with a total of 256,193 vehicles registered [12] - GlobalLogic has been selected as a strategic partner by Volvo Cars to enhance digital mobility solutions and improve operational efficiency [13] - BMW's automated charging robot has completed concept validation and will be deployed based on future market conditions [14] Commercial Vehicles - The new national standard for urban logistics vehicle selection has been implemented as of July 1, 2025 [15] - Weichai's new generation light truck X7 has been officially launched, featuring advanced battery technology for enhanced performance [16] - Weidu Technology's Windrose electric heavy truck has received dual certifications from the U.S. EPA and CARB, marking a significant milestone for entry into the North American market [17] - JD Logistics has introduced its self-developed VAN unmanned light truck, capable of 400 km range and L4 level autonomous driving [18]

据环球网消息，7月2日，路透社消息称美国政府撤销对华乙烷出口限制，8艘滞留船只驶往中国，中美 贸易现新动向。这事得从6月说起。当时美国商务部限制美企对华出口乙烷，导致6月美对华出口量直接 归零，8艘装满乙烷的船只能在墨西哥湾漂着，美国企业急得不行，到处找别的买家。可数据摆在那， 中国一直是美国乙烷的大市场，之前中国进口的美国乙烷占其出口量的一半，5月份美国还每天向中国 出口25.7万桶呢。 现在限制一解除，船马上就往中国开，这说明啥？说明美国企业根本离不开中国市场。不只是乙烷，美 国还宣布不再限制对华出口芯片设计软件，西门子接到通知后第一时间就恢复了中国客户的权限。之前 中美在稀土出口问题上也达成了一致，美国相应取消了一系列对华限制措施。这些动作可不多见，要知 道以前美国尤其是特朗普时期，对华态度可强硬了，老喜欢挥舞关税大棒，觉得这样就能让中国让步。 特朗普在美国国会大厦（资料图） 但事实是，中国不仅扛住了压力，还让美国自己调整了政策。从这能看出几个变化。首先，中国这波应 对得漂亮。美国以为加关税就能让中国妥协，结果中国没屈服，反而让美国不得不取消限制。这就像给 美国上了一课，让他们明白得好好和中国打交道。其 ...