天风证券指出，2025Q1主动型基金前十大军工股持有流入总市值绝对值的前十中，军工电子板块标的 占80%。 过去三年军工电子板块较其他军工子板块超跌较多，在长尾效应下周期反弹锐度或将凸显，板块景气度 修复时或成为先选，军工电子持仓占比有望持续提升。2025Q1航空发动机产业相关标的在主动型基金 前十大军工股持有流出总市值占公司总市值前十中占比30%，我们认为，航发产业或受制于2025年周期 相对底部的影响，伴随国产商发持续加速，新型号装备型号持续成熟，航发子板块有望企稳修复。 军工板块相关企业港股： 中航科工（02357）、中船防务（00317） 智通财经APP获悉，据知情政府官员透露，美国总统特朗普将为10月1日开始的下一财年申请创纪录的 1.01万亿美元国家安全支出，比当前财年的数字高出13%以上。 美国国防预算将为金穹导弹防御项目、造船和核现代化、边境安全提供资金。其中包括3.8%的军人加 薪。其中一位要求不具名的官员说，13%的增幅与里根总统领导下的国防建设相呼应。作为埃隆·马斯 克削减成本努力的一部分，特朗普政府试图削减五角大楼的一些开支，但表示希望提高总体国防预算。 中国银河证券研报表示，新质筑基 ...

智通财经APP获悉，招商证券发布研究报告称，截至4月30日上午，A股上市公司2024年年报和2025年 一季报业绩基本披露完毕(披露率99.8%)。受政策效果持续显现以及科技创新趋势驱动，整体A股盈利增 速转正。大类行业中信息技术、消费服务增速相对领先，TMT、资源品和中游制造业边际改善。推荐 关注业绩增速相对较高、自由现金流边际改善的领域。 招商证券主要观点如下： 利润端：一季度上市公司业绩边际改善。根据一致可比口径和整体法测算，A股2024Q3/2024Q4/2025Q1 单季度净利润增速依次为3.7%/-15.7%/3.2%，非金融石油石化2024Q3/2024Q4/2025Q1单季度净利润增速 为-10.5%/-50.2%/4.5%。 收入端：全部A股单季度收入增速较24Q4放缓，但仍高于24Q3，延续改善。全部A股 2024Q3/2024Q4/2025Q1单季度收入增速依次为-2.0%/1.4%/-0.3%，非金融石油石化板块 2024Q3/2024Q4/2025Q1单季度收入增速依次为-2.9%/1.2%/0.5%。海外营收增幅扩大，海外营收占收入 的比例持续提升。 25年一季度A股盈利回暖主要受 ...

Core Viewpoint - 中航光电's Q1 2025 financial report shows strong revenue growth but a decline in net profit and cash flow, indicating mixed performance in the competitive landscape [1][3]. Financial Performance - The company's total revenue for Q1 2025 reached 4.839 billion yuan, ranking first among disclosed peers, with an increase of 0.825 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 20.56% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 640 million yuan, ranking first among peers, but decreased by 111 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 14.78% [1]. - Operating cash flow showed a net outflow of 1.126 billion yuan, ranking 64th among peers, a decrease of 0.981 billion yuan compared to the same period last year [1]. Financial Ratios - The latest debt-to-asset ratio is 36.68%, ranking 47th among peers, with a decrease of 2.09 percentage points from the previous quarter but an increase of 1.53 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - The gross profit margin is 28.44%, ranking 42nd among peers, down by 8.17 percentage points from the previous quarter and 7.12 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - Return on equity (ROE) stands at 2.63%, ranking first among peers, but has decreased by 0.85 percentage points compared to the same period last year [3]. Earnings Per Share and Turnover Ratios - The diluted earnings per share (EPS) is 0.31 yuan, ranking second among peers, down by 0.06 yuan, which is a year-on-year decline of 15.75% [3]. - The total asset turnover ratio is 0.12 times, ranking 6th among peers, remaining flat compared to last year but showing a year-on-year increase of 4.08% [3]. - The inventory turnover ratio is 0.71 times, ranking 6th among peers, with an increase of 0.11 times year-on-year, reflecting an 18.54% growth [3]. Shareholder Structure - The number of shareholders is 62,300, with the top ten shareholders holding 1.113 billion shares, accounting for 52.53% of the total share capital [3]. - The largest shareholder is China Aviation Technology Industry Company, holding 36.76% of the shares [3].

Financial Performance - The company reported an increase in accounts receivable, reaching over 300 million, primarily due to slower payment speeds from some clients [2][3]. - The company’s revenue growth in Q1 2025 compared to Q1 2024 was stable, but profits declined due to normal operational fluctuations [3][4]. - The company has a total of 5,081 shareholders as of March 31, 2025 [1]. Business Strategy and Development - The company is actively expanding its product line beyond military applications to include fixed-wing aircraft, drones, and naval vessels, aiming to reduce operational risks associated with a concentrated customer base [2][3][4]. - The company has invested a total of 143 million in R&D over the past three years, which constitutes 50.82% of its cumulative revenue during that period [10]. Market Position and Risks - The company faces a high customer concentration risk, with the top five customers accounting for 97.67% of revenue [17]. - The stock price has been consistently below the issue price by over 30%, influenced by macroeconomic factors and market sentiment [7][10]. Future Outlook - The company is focused on enhancing operational performance to support market value and will disclose any significant developments regarding mergers or acquisitions in future announcements [11][12]. - The company anticipates a stable order book for 2025, with ongoing projects expected to be completed by the end of the year [5][6].

天风证券（601162）指出，2025Q1主动型基金前十大军工股持有流入总市值绝对值的前十中，军工电 子板块标的占80%。过去三年军工电子板块较其他军工子板块超跌较多，在长尾效应下周期反弹锐度或 将凸显，板块景气度修复时或成为先选，军工电子持仓占比有望持续提升。2025Q1航空发动机产业相 关标的在主动型基金前十大军工股持有流出总市值占公司总市值前十中占比30%，我们认为，航发产业 或受制于2025年周期相对底部的影响，伴随国产商发持续加速，新型号装备型号持续成熟，航发子板块 有望企稳修复。(第一财经) ...

行业报告 | 行业专题研究 国防军工 证券研究报告 2025 年 04 月 29 日 | 投资评级 | | | --- | --- | | 行业评级 | 强于大市(维持评级) | | 上次评级 | 强于大市 | 总体视角： 2025 年一季度主动+被动型基金对军工板块持股占比超配比例逐步修复，超配比例达-0.66%，相较于 24Q4 超配比例提升 0.04%。目前已有连续 7 个季度板块配比处于标配比例之下，我们认为，25 年 Q1 板块配比有所修复或意味着基本面修复逐步出现，配比有望出现渐进式反弹，25 年 Q2 超配比 例有望进一步提升，且仍存后续较大增长空间。 主动配置总量视角： 2025 年一季度主动型基金军工板块持股占比为 2.35%，超配比例为-0.21%，相较于 24Q4 超配比例提 升 0.04%，主动基金持仓超配比率逆转 2024Q4 的下降趋势，有望进入持续增长区间。我们认为，2025 年为"十四五"收官、"十五五"开端之年，军工板块景气度有望持续修复，同时地缘政治复杂程度 加深，系统性避险属性不断加强，军工行业有望进入新地缘变化下新估值阶段，主动型基金对军工 板块超配比例有望不断修复。 ...

Financial Performance - The company's basic earnings per share for Q1 2025 is 0.3071 yuan, a decrease of 15.75% compared to Q1 2024, which was 0.3645 yuan [1] - The company's net profit for Q1 2025 is 6.4 billion yuan, down 14.78% from 7.51 billion yuan in Q1 2024 [1] - The company's operating revenue for Q1 2025 is 48.39 billion yuan, an increase of 20.58% from 40.13 billion yuan in Q1 2024 [1] - The return on equity for Q1 2025 is 2.67%, a decrease of 25.21% from 3.57% in Q1 2024 [1] Shareholder Structure - The top ten unrestricted shareholders hold a total of 111,266.83 million shares, accounting for 53.46% of the circulating shares, with a change of 1,666,200 shares from the previous period [2] - China Aviation Technology Industry Co., Ltd. holds 77,866.35 million shares, representing 37.42% of the total share capital, with no change [2] - Henan Investment Group Co., Ltd. holds 16,911.87 million shares, representing 8.13% of the total share capital, with no change [2] - New entrants in the top ten shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and the Fortune CSI Military Industry Leader ETF [2] Dividend Distribution - The company will not distribute dividends or transfer shares this time [3]

Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's revenue decreased by 5.96% and net profit declined by 13.58% due to credit impairment losses and customer factors [14][15] - The average net profit growth rate for the military electronics industry in 2024 was approximately -122%, with a median of -46.76%, indicating that the company's performance was better than the industry average [2][3] Group 2: Challenges and Responses - The company faced significant challenges in 2024, including delayed customer demand and extended contract signing cycles, which led to reduced revenue [13][15] - To address these challenges, the company plans to enhance communication with customers, optimize business processes, and accelerate order delivery [7][15] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on digital transformation to improve operational efficiency and reduce production costs [3][6] - It aims to expand its product capabilities in new fields such as low-altitude economy and satellite internet, leveraging its existing technology and resources [9][10] Group 4: Future Outlook - The company is optimistic about future growth opportunities in the defense sector, particularly in low-altitude economy and satellite internet applications [10][12] - Plans to increase international market presence and enhance brand influence through targeted product offerings and strategic partnerships [9][12] Group 5: R&D and Innovation - In 2024, the company invested approximately RMB 47.79 million in R&D, with a capitalized rate of 35%, indicating a focus on innovation [15] - The company is committed to maintaining its competitive edge through continuous technological advancements and product differentiation [11][12]

近期天和防务（300397）发布2025年一季报，证券之星财报模型分析如下： 财务概况 天和防务在2025年一季度的财务报告显示，公司营业总收入为8795.84万元，同比下降34.77%；归母净 利润为-3041.85万元，同比下降534.67%；扣非净利润为-3097.91万元，同比下降676.75%。这些数据表 明公司在该季度的盈利能力出现了显著下降。 主要财务指标 资产负债情况 财务健康度分析 现金流状况 财报体检工具显示，公司现金流状况值得关注。货币资金与流动负债的比例仅为25.19%，近3年经营性 现金流均值与流动负债的比例为-13.12%。这表明公司的现金流压力较大，可能影响其短期偿债能力。 债务状况 有息资产负债率已达24.36%，且近3年经营性现金流均值为负，这提示公司需要关注其债务偿还能力。 应收账款状况 年报归母净利润为负，同时应收账款有所增加，这可能意味着公司在应收账款管理方面存在一定的风 险。 财务费用状况 近3年经营活动产生的现金流净额均值为负，这也导致了财务费用的增加。 综上所述，天和防务在2025年一季度的业绩表现不佳，需特别关注其现金流和债务状况，以确保公司的 持续健康发展。 ...

据证券之星公开数据整理，近期高德红外(002414)发布2024年年报。截至本报告期末，公司营业总收入 26.78亿元，同比上升10.87%，归母净利润-4.47亿元，同比下降760.56%。按单季度数据看，第四季度营业 总收入8.65亿元，同比上升7.85%，第四季度归母净利润-4.97亿元，同比下降128.24%。本报告期高德红外 三费占比上升明显，财务费用、销售费用和管理费用总和占总营收同比增幅达31.96%。 该数据低于大多数分析师的预期，此前分析师普遍预期2024年净利润为盈利2.44亿元左右。 | 报告日期 机构简称 研究员 | | 近三年业绩 预测准确度 | 研报数 覆盖时长 | 净利润（元） | 2024预测 | 净利润（元） | 2025预测 | 2026预测 净利润（元） | 目标价 (元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2024-10-31 | 光大证券 刘宇辰 | | | | 2.03亿 | | 5.03亿 | 8.02亿 | | | 2024-08-05 | 中邮证券 鲍学博 | | ...