现货黄金走势 金价跌了，之前买的金条金饰可以退吗 记者发现，有黄金品牌柜姐在社群中发布声明称：不能因为金价降了就要退货，不接受任何理由，退单 一律扣500元。柜姐提醒称："下单要为自己的行为负责，老板不会因为特殊情况特殊处理。"这一规定 背后是否有法律支撑或行规约定俗成呢？ 黄金品牌柜姐在社群中发布声明 记者了解到，实体金店一般购买离柜后就不接受退款退货。线上方面退货规则相对复杂，不同平台和品 牌有所区别。大多数平台和品牌都不接受投资金类产品如金币、金条的退货；针对黄金首饰，部分品牌 提出了签收后24-48小时内退货的限制（需不影响二次销售）。 面对市场波动剧烈可能产生的摇摆心理，部分品牌/平台设置了相关退货规定：生成物流单号/发货后再 退款，需扣除订单金额1-5%的手续费及快递运保费。部分品牌如融通金表示，金条付款成功后15分钟 内可申请退款，逾期将直接拒绝退款。 1月30日，现货黄金（伦敦金现）价格快速下行，盘中一度跌破5000美元/盎司关口，跌幅超过8%。现 货白银（伦敦银现）一度重挫超过18%，跌破100美元/盎司关口。 截至30日下午，现货黄金和现货白银的跌幅略有收窄，不过仍有6%和15%。年初至今 ...

Group 1 - The recent significant drop in gold and silver prices marks the largest decline in over 40 years, with gold prices falling from a historical high of $5626.8 to a low of $4423.2, a decrease of over 20%, and silver prices dropping from $121.785 to $71.2, a decline exceeding 40% [2] - As of February 3, international gold prices rebounded, with New York gold prices surpassing $4900 per ounce, reaching a peak of $4975.5 per ounce, reflecting a 6.11% increase [2] - Domestic gold retailers have adjusted their prices accordingly, with retail prices for gold jewelry exceeding 1450 yuan per gram, and specific brands like Chow Tai Fook and Chow Sang Sang quoting prices as high as 1495 yuan per gram [2] Group 2 - Due to the volatility in gold prices, many customers are opting to wait before making purchases, as illustrated by a customer who noted that the price of a similar gold bracelet has increased from over 5000 yuan to 12000 yuan [3] - To balance consumer interest and risk, several brands are innovating by introducing lightweight luxury gold items and offering trade-in options, which are attracting cautious buyers [3] - Analysts suggest that despite the recent price corrections, gold still holds long-term investment value, with expectations that prices could rise to $8000 per ounce in the next two years, advising investors to consider gold as part of a diversified asset allocation [3]

Core Viewpoint - Pandora's stock has experienced significant volatility, with a recent decline of 6.7% after two days of gains, and a year-to-date drop of 26% [1][2] Group 1: Stock Performance and Analyst Ratings - Analysts from Jefferies downgraded Pandora from Buy to Hold, citing struggles due to volatile silver prices and a pressured consumer environment [2] - The company's shares fell nearly 7% following the downgrade, reflecting ongoing concerns about its performance amid rising silver prices [2] - Citi analysts also downgraded Pandora to Neutral in January, highlighting slowing sales momentum and extreme inflation in silver prices [7] Group 2: Earnings Guidance and Consumer Sentiment - In January, Pandora cut its earnings guidance, attributing the decline to weakening consumer sentiment in the U.S. and the fluctuating price of silver [3] - Jefferies noted that even with a stabilization in silver prices, Pandora's valuation would remain significantly lower than a year ago, projecting 60% lower profits in 2027 [3] Group 3: Input Costs and Pricing Strategy - Rising input costs are squeezing Pandora's margins, compounded by a deteriorating macroeconomic backdrop affecting lower-income consumers [6] - To address rising costs, Pandora raised prices by approximately 14%, which has negatively impacted consumer engagement according to Jefferies [6] Group 4: Market Conditions and Silver Prices - Recent market conditions have seen silver prices experiencing significant volatility, with a notable sell-off following political announcements that eased fears about the Federal Reserve's independence [5] - Despite a recent decline, silver prices remain nearly three times higher than they were a year ago, contributing to the challenges faced by Pandora [3] Group 5: Manufacturing Challenges - Analysts expressed skepticism that a shift to silver-plating or stainless steel would resolve Pandora's issues, citing the added complexity of manufacturing and potential negative impacts on customer offerings [4]

Top Indian jewelry maker Emerald Jewel is weighing an IPO that could raise as much as $300 million, in what could be India’s biggest listing in the sector https://t.co/TolK5YtVom ...

1月28日上午，极目新闻记者在某电商平台搜索"手机黄金贴"发现，以0.1克贴纸为例，其价格为198元 左右一张，相较于2025年每张上涨数十元。 某电商平台APP截图 2025年年初，"黄金手机贴纸"在网络走红，吸引许多年轻人购买。这些金贴纸大多在0.01克到0.2克之 间，价格也从数十元到100元出头不等。一年过去，随着黄金饰品价格不断猛增，这些黄金贴纸的价格 也随之上涨。 此外，电商平台上也有售价数十元的黄金手机贴，但重量则降至0.003克，销量同样突破2000件。 最新消息显示，1月28日，现货黄金再创新高，首次突破5200美元/盎司。国内黄金饰品价格对比显示， 多家黄金珠宝品牌当日公布的境内足金首饰价格大幅上调，周生生报价1614元/克，周大福报价1618元/ 克，老凤祥报价1620元/克，老庙黄金报价1612元/克。 来源：极目新闻（记者：陈洋洋） 来源：北京号 商品介绍页面显示：黄金手机贴是足金材质，重量约为0.1克，尺寸大多在30mm*30mm之间，款式大多 寓意吉祥如意，设计为招财猫、财神、暴富等形状或字样。部分商品注明"不支持7天无理由退换货"。 随后，记者以消费者的身份咨询多个商家，对方均 ...

Core Insights - The jewelry industry in London's Hatton Garden quarter has experienced a surge in second-hand jewelry sales due to record high gold and silver prices, prompting families to consider melting down heirlooms [2][3][5] - Recently, gold prices have dropped approximately 13% and silver prices have fallen about 33% following the announcement of a new Federal Reserve chairman, leading to a chaotic environment for jewelers and precious metal traders [4][9] - The fluctuations in metal prices have created financial instability for jewelers, pawnbrokers, scrap merchants, and refiners in the UK's precious metal recycling sector [10] Industry Trends - Families have been actively searching through inherited collections and jewelry, motivated by high metal prices, to sell items they no longer use [8] - The period leading up to the price drop was marked by unprecedented business activity for refiners, with January being described as the busiest month ever for some companies [9] - The recent price volatility has caused disappointment among those who were waiting for further price increases before selling their precious items [5][6]

Core Viewpoint - The gold market experienced a significant drop in prices, with gold falling from 1252 CNY/g to 1142 CNY/g in a matter of minutes, marking a decline of over 9% on January 30, the largest single-day drop since 1983 [1][16]. Market Reaction - Following the price drop, many investors rushed to sell their gold holdings, with some reporting substantial profits from timely sales [1][5]. - The Shenzhen Shui Bei market saw a surge in activity, with some vendors selling gold bars worth millions in a single day, while others faced stock shortages due to high demand [3][8]. Price Trends - On February 1, gold prices were reported at 1262 CNY/g, with a recovery price of 1080 CNY/g, while silver prices were at 30.6 CNY/g, down from previous highs [5][10]. - The price of gold jewelry also saw a significant decline, with major brands reporting drops of up to 160 CNY/g within two days [14]. Investor Behavior - Some consumers opted to buy gold at lower prices, believing in its long-term value, while others were quick to sell due to market volatility [6][12]. - The market showed a mix of panic selling and opportunistic buying, with many investors expressing uncertainty about future price movements [8][10]. Institutional Response - Several banks have increased risk assessments for clients engaging in gold transactions, reflecting heightened market volatility and uncertainty [15]. - Analysts noted that the recent price drop was driven by an overheated market and external factors such as declines in the stock market, particularly following disappointing earnings reports from major companies [16].

Market Overview - The precious metals market experienced extreme volatility, with international gold prices plummeting from historical highs, leading to significant impacts on domestic futures, stocks, funds, and consumer markets [1] - On January 30, international gold prices fell sharply, losing over 11% in a single day, while silver prices dropped by 31.37%, marking the worst single-day performance since March 1980 [1] - Weekly performance showed a cumulative decline of 4.71% for gold and 22.50% for silver [1] Price Movements - Domestic gold prices also saw a significant drop, with the Shanghai Gold Exchange spot gold price falling to 1070.01 RMB per gram, a decrease of around 10% [3] - Major brands adjusted their gold jewelry prices from over 1700 RMB per gram to between 1500-1600 RMB per gram [3][4] - For instance, Chow Sang Sang reported a drop in the price of its gold jewelry from 1708 RMB to 1618 RMB per gram within two days [3] Consumer Behavior - Following the price drop, there was a surge in consumer interest in purchasing gold, particularly in Shenzhen's Shui Bei market, where prices fell below 1200 RMB per gram [6] - Many consumers expressed that buying gold now is significantly cheaper compared to previous days [6] Investor Reactions - Investors are increasingly concerned about further declines in precious metal prices, leading many to sell gold and silver items to cash out [10] - Reports indicated that some businesses experienced a rapid decline in gold buyback prices, with a drop from 1142 RMB to 1081 RMB per gram in just one day [10] - The volatility in gold prices has led to a cautious approach among investors, with many hesitating to sell due to fears of missing potential price recoveries [10] Market Supply Dynamics - Some suppliers in Shenzhen's Shui Bei market reported shortages of gold bars, attributing this to the recent price drop and the reluctance of suppliers to sell at lower prices [12] - Suppliers indicated that they are not willing to sell gold bars during such volatile conditions, leading to a decrease in available inventory [12] Banking Sector Adjustments - Several major banks, including ICBC, ABC, and CCB, have adjusted their gold investment services in response to the market volatility, issuing risk warnings to investors [14][16] - ICBC announced changes to its gold accumulation business, including limits on transactions during non-trading days [15] - CCB raised the minimum amount for personal gold accumulation to 1500 RMB, reflecting the increased market risks [16][19]

Summary of Laopu Gold (6181.HK) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Laopu Gold (6181.HK) - **Market Capitalization**: HK$137,507 million (approximately US$17,617 million) [4] Industry Sentiment - **Market Sentiment Shift**: The sentiment towards Laopu has changed from 70% bearish to 30% bullish in the second half of 2025 to 30% bearish and 70% bullish now [1] - **Sales Performance**: Strong year-to-date sales have alleviated earlier concerns regarding growth sustainability [1] Core Debates and Insights 1. Sales and Margin Dynamics - **Earnings Visibility**: Investors find it challenging to forecast earnings due to fluctuating revenue and gross profit margin (GPM) trends amid gold price volatility [2] - **Stock Replenishment**: Increased sales necessitate significant stock replenishment, which may lead to cash shortages [2] - **Net Positive Impact**: The revenue benefits from rising gold prices are expected to outweigh temporary GPM contractions, leading to a net positive impact on earnings [2] - **Fundraising for Inventory**: Fundraising for inventory expansion is seen as revenue-generating, with potential net profits estimated at Rmb600-700 million, representing 13-15% of the estimated net profit for 2025 [2] 2. Promotion-Driven Sales - **Discounting Concerns**: Some investors believe that Laopu's sales success is primarily due to price discounting, which could harm profitability and brand equity [3] - **Clarification on Discounts**: Laopu's official discounts are 5% in stores, with an additional 5% from mall reward points, totaling 10%. Daigou members can achieve up to 12.5% off due to higher reward multipliers [3] - **Consistency in Discounting**: Laopu's discount strategy has been consistent and is in line with other luxury brands in high-end malls [3] 3. Impact of High Gold Prices - **Consumer Demand**: Elevated gold prices may suppress demand in the mass market but could positively affect the high-end segment targeted by Laopu [7] - **Increased Ticket Size**: High prices may encourage customers to purchase larger pieces, potentially capturing wallet share from other luxury brands [7] Investment Outlook - **Target Price**: The target price for Laopu is set at HK$1,119, based on a 24x 2026E P/E ratio, compared to 26x for global luxury peers [9] - **Expected Returns**: Anticipated share price return is 43.8%, with an expected total return of 48.0% [4] Risks - **Key Risks**: 1. Gold price volatility 2. Intense competition 3. Evolving consumer preferences 4. Consumption trade-down amid a soft economy in China 5. Negative free cash flow during expansion [10] Conclusion - Laopu Gold is positioned as a top pick in the China jewelry sector, with a favorable outlook driven by strong sales performance and strategic discounting practices, despite potential risks associated with gold price fluctuations and market competition [8]

Summary of the Conference Call on the Gold and Jewelry Industry Industry Overview - The focus is on the gold and jewelry industry, particularly the investment opportunities amidst fluctuating gold prices [1][2][3]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Impact of Gold Price Decline** - The recent drop in gold prices does not affect the long-term logic of the gold and jewelry sector. The business model relies on brand fees linked to annual sales, which provides a stable cash flow that is not significantly impacted by short-term gold price fluctuations [1]. 2. **Gold Price Trends** - The gold price in Shanghai reached a high of 800 yuan in April 2025 and 1250 yuan in January 2026, before falling to approximately 1050 yuan at the end of January 2026. As long as the price does not drop below 800 yuan, the long-term fundamentals of the gold and jewelry market remain intact, presenting potential buying opportunities during price volatility [1]. 3. **Direct Sales vs. Franchise Models** - Direct sales companies such as Cai Bai Co., Lao Pu Gold, Liufu Group, and Chow Sang Sang are more directly affected by gold price changes, with short-term sales impacting profits. For instance, Cai Bai Co.'s performance forecast for 2025 exceeded expectations due to the gold price being 995 yuan at the end of 2025 [1]. - Franchise models like Chow Tai Fook, Chow Tai Sheng, Lao Feng Xiang, and others typically reflect consumer demand recovery after gold price changes, which may take 3-5 quarters. Currently, these franchise companies are at lower stock price levels, indicating more certain investment opportunities [2]. 4. **Comparison with Gold Mining Companies** - Gold jewelry companies have significantly better cash flow compared to gold mining companies. For example, the dividend payout ratios since listing are 88% for Chow Tai Fook, 58% for Chow Tai Sheng, and 60% for Cai Bai Co., while mining companies like Shandong Gold, Chifeng Gold, and Hunan Gold have much lower ratios of 21%, 5%, and 19% respectively [2]. - There is a time lag in stock price reactions; gold mining stocks respond immediately to gold price increases, while jewelry companies show delayed responses [2]. 5. **Market Reactions and Opportunities** - The recent drop in gold prices may lead to panic selling in the market. However, the long-term business model advantages remain unchanged, and adjustments in stock prices may present buying opportunities. Companies in the direct sales model are expected to benefit if gold prices do not fall significantly below 1000 yuan [2][3]. 6. **Franchise Model Resilience** - Franchise brands will also benefit as long as gold prices do not drop below 800 yuan, with gradual performance improvements expected even in a fluctuating market [3]. Additional Important Insights - The analysis emphasizes the resilience of the gold and jewelry sector against short-term price fluctuations and highlights the importance of understanding different business models within the industry for investment decisions [1][2][3].