智谱最新致歉。 "全球大模型第一股"智谱AI（02513.HK）股价周五（2月20日）暴涨42.72%、市值突破3200亿港元。次 日，这家炙手可热的AI公司却发出致歉信，向开发者们表示了其旗舰模型GLM-5发布后遭遇的运营困 境。 公开道歉 2月12日，智谱AI发布新一代旗舰大模型GLM-5，其参数规模达到前代GLM-4.7的两倍以上，定位对标 Claude Opus 4.5，主打复杂编程与长程智能体任务。凭借"Pony Alpha"的技术光环和对核心付费套餐 GLM Coding Plan提价30%的商业化信号，智谱AI股价连续上涨，节后首个交易日（2月20日）更是迎来 爆发式上涨，单日涨幅超42%，市值一举达到3232亿港元。 但技术的高光时刻很快被运营问题所笼罩。在2月21日发布的《GLM Coding Plan致歉信》中，智谱AI承 认在GLM-5发布后犯下了三个关键错误：首先，规则透明度不足：为应对GLM-5更高的算力消耗，公 司设计了分层使用策略，将高峰期消耗提升至3倍、非高峰期2倍，但未向用户清晰说明，导致"消耗变 快"的普遍抱怨；其次，灰度节奏太慢：GLM-5发布后流量远超预期，叠加灰产号池 ...

央视网消息：春节期间，记者发现，越来越多的AI大模型不断更新升级，拉近异乡无法团聚的亲人之间的距离。传统年味与科技暖意的 碰撞，不仅给这个春节注入了不一样的温暖与新意，还让"云端团圆"有了更鲜活的模样。 记者来到了位于深圳的这家科技型公司，AI团队正在持续优化软件算法、调整算力，保障春节假期期间大家可以更好地使用软件的相关 功能，通过AI大模型让春节期间的线上社交变得更具趣味性和沉浸感，为用户创造一个充满科技感、趣味性和连接感的新年。 记者了解到，今年春节期间，多家AI大模型公司都在持续升级软件，不断满足用户各项需求，推出AI帮订电影票、订餐厅等复杂功能， 丰富老百姓在春节期间的各项活动的同时，还有公司推出了丰富的新春对话模式，社交属性不断增强，AI打视频、AI打电话等也逐渐成为用 户社交习惯的一部分。 据多家平台数据，今年春节期间，AI大模型的应用率正在持续上升。从除夕至今年大年初三，各大AI大模型的使用次数累计超100亿次。 其中，有1.3亿人第一次使用AI帮助下单，近400万人为60岁以上用户，超40%的用户为"00后"。 AI持续赋能 科技点亮新春 除了AI大模型的应用，今年春节，越来越多的消费者选择 ...

2月20日，港股市场迎来一场由"清华系"点燃的AI狂欢。智谱（2513.HK）股价收涨42.72%，报725港 元，再创历史新高，市值一举突破3232亿港元。 就在一周前（2月12日），智谱正式推出新一代旗舰模型GLM-5。这款被定位为"系统架构师"的模型， 在编程开发场景中平均性能较上一代提升超过20%，真实编程体验逼近Claude Opus 4.5水平。更令人瞩 目的是，它在BrowseComp、MCP-Atlas和τ²-Bench三项Agent评测中均取得开源领域最优表现。 值得一提的是，清华大学本身也是这场资本盛宴的重要受益者。根据公开资料，清华大学持有智谱 6.91%股份，按今日市值计算，相当于持有约220亿港币的资产。 清华系多点开花：从AI到新能源、具身智能、AI芯片 智谱的狂飙并非孤例。清华团队的创业版图，正在多个新兴领域同步扩张： 故事远未结束 从清华实验室到港股"大模型第一股"，智谱用不到7年时间，完成了从学术探索到资本市场的跨越。 GLM-5的发布与股价的狂飙，只是这场长跑中的一个节点。 根据公开资料，GLM-5参数规模从355B扩展至744B，预训练数据量提升至28.5T。更大的基座意 ...

Core Insights - OpenAI plans to spend approximately $600 billion on total computing power by 2030, down from an earlier projection of $1.4 trillion for infrastructure development [1] - The company is finalizing a funding round that could exceed $100 billion, with about 90% of the funds coming from strategic investors [1] - Nvidia is in discussions to invest up to $30 billion in OpenAI, which is expected to have a pre-money valuation of $730 billion [1] Financial Projections - OpenAI anticipates revenue of $13.1 billion in 2025, surpassing its original target of $10 billion [1] - The company's total expenditures for the year are projected to be $8 billion, lower than the previously expected $9 billion [1] - By 2030, OpenAI expects total revenue to exceed $280 billion, with consumer and enterprise business contributions being roughly equal [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley initiates coverage of MiniMax with an "Overweight" rating and a target price of 930 HKD, positioning it as a "global leader in AI foundational models" [1] Group 1: Model Capabilities - MiniMax is considered to have entered the global SOTA model tier, with comprehensive multimodal capabilities and a highly scalable commercialization path [1] - In independent benchmark tests, MiniMax-M2 ranked fifth globally among LLMs, while the latest flagship model MiniMax-M2.5 ranked sixth and fourth among open-source models [2] - The company employs MoE architecture and Linear Attention mechanisms, achieving a Model Flop Utilization exceeding 75%, significantly higher than the industry average of 40%-50% [8] Group 2: Revenue Growth and Structure - Revenue is projected to grow from 75 million USD in 2025 to 700 million USD in 2027, representing a 9-10x increase over two years [1] - MiniMax's business model is driven by three parallel lines, with MAU expected to grow from 3.1 million in 2023 to 27.6 million by the first nine months of 2025 [10] - The Open Platform revenue share is anticipated to rise from 29% in 2024 to 40% in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) exceeding 200% [10] Group 3: Globalization and Valuation - MiniMax's overseas revenue share increased from 19% in 2023 to 73% in the first nine months of 2025, with a regional distribution of 61% in Asia-Pacific, 24% in the Americas, and 15% in EMEA [11] - The global foundational model market is expected to grow from 10.7 billion USD in 2024 to 206.5 billion USD by 2029, with a CAGR of 80.7% [12] - The valuation logic is closely tied to international comparables, with a projected 54x P/S ratio for 2027 based on revenue primarily from overseas markets [12] Group 4: Future Scenarios and Risks - The valuation differences hinge on whether the next-generation model, set to launch in mid-2026, achieves or surpasses global SOTA levels [14] - The report emphasizes that the competition in the foundational model industry is driven by technological breakthroughs rather than marketing [15] - Current cash burn is projected at approximately 279 million USD monthly in 2025, indicating limited visibility on profitability [15]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market faced pressure on the first trading day of the Year of the Horse, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 26,413.35 points, down 1.1%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index down 2.91% at 5,211.5 points [1] - The decline was attributed to two main factors: the weakness in the U.S. markets during the Hong Kong market's closure and a temporary lack of liquidity due to the suspension of southbound trading until February 23 [1] Robotics Sector Performance - Despite the overall market downturn, robotics stocks surged, driven by the performance of robots during the Spring Festival Gala. Notable gains included: - Yujian up 21.4% to HKD 48.44 per share - Sutonju up 9.24% to HKD 37.58 per share - Hesai-W up 7.93% to HKD 217.8 per share - Ubtech up 4.71% to HKD 144.5 per share [1] Industry Insights - Four robotics companies showcased their technology during the Spring Festival Gala, enhancing market attention towards the robotics sector [2] - Dongwu Securities highlighted that advancements in core robotic capabilities are crucial for the industry's transition from experimental phases to mass production, with a significant development phase expected from 2021 to 2025 [2] - The report anticipates that in 2026, major companies like Tesla and leading domestic firms will begin large-scale production, marking a new phase in the industry [2] AI Sector Performance - The domestic AI large model sector also performed strongly, with companies like Zhiyu and MiniMax both surpassing a market capitalization of HKD 300 billion, reaching new highs. - Zhiyu surged 42.72% to HKD 725 per share - MiniMax increased by 14.52% to HKD 970 per share [2]

Core Insights - Generative AI is viewed as a transformative technology by Amazon's CEO Andy Jassy, indicating its potential to significantly enhance customer experiences across the company [1] - Elon Musk predicts that humanoid robots could create a market worth $250 trillion by 2040, representing a major shift in the global economy driven by AI innovation [2][3] - Major firms like PwC and McKinsey acknowledge the multi-trillion-dollar potential of AI, suggesting a broad consensus on its economic impact [3] Company and Industry Analysis - A breakthrough in AI technology is believed to be redefining work, learning, and creativity, leading to increased interest from hedge funds and top investors [4] - There is speculation about an under-owned company that may play a crucial role in the AI revolution, with its technology posing a threat to competitors [4][6] - Prominent figures in technology and investment, including Bill Gates and Warren Buffett, recognize AI as a significant advancement with the potential for substantial social benefits [8] Market Dynamics - The AI ecosystem is expected to reshape how businesses, governments, and consumers operate, indicating a broad and deep impact across various sectors [2] - The investment landscape is becoming increasingly competitive, with major players like Tesla, Nvidia, Alphabet, and Microsoft being highlighted, while a smaller company is suggested to have a pivotal role in the ongoing AI transformation [6][7]

Core Insights - Generative AI is viewed as a transformative technology by Amazon's CEO Andy Jassy, indicating its potential to significantly enhance customer experiences across the company [1] - Elon Musk predicts that by 2040, humanoid robots could create a market worth $250 trillion, representing a major shift in the global economy driven by AI innovation [2][3] - Major firms like PwC and McKinsey acknowledge the multi-trillion-dollar potential of AI, suggesting a broad consensus on its economic impact [3] Group 1 - The breakthrough in AI technology is seen as redefining human work, learning, and creativity, leading to increased interest from hedge funds and top investors [4] - A specific under-owned company is highlighted as pivotal to the AI revolution, with its technology posing a threat to competitors [4][6] - Notable billionaires, including Bill Gates and Warren Buffett, recognize AI as a significant technological advancement with the potential for substantial social benefits [8] Group 2 - The article emphasizes the importance of investing in AI technology, suggesting that future investors may regret not owning shares in a particular company [9] - A subscription service is offered, providing access to detailed reports and insights on the identified AI stock, along with additional investment resources [10][11] - The subscription includes a 30-day money-back guarantee, encouraging potential investors to act quickly before the opportunity is widely recognized [12][14]

Core Insights - Generative AI is viewed as a transformative technology by Amazon's CEO Andy Jassy, indicating its potential to significantly enhance customer experiences across the company [1] - Elon Musk predicts that humanoid robots could create a market worth $250 trillion by 2040, representing a major shift in the global economy driven by AI innovation [2][3] - Major firms like PwC and McKinsey acknowledge the multi-trillion-dollar potential of AI, suggesting a broad consensus on its economic impact [3] Company and Industry Analysis - A breakthrough in AI technology is believed to be redefining work, learning, and creativity, leading to increased interest from hedge funds and top investors [4] - There is speculation about an under-owned company that may play a crucial role in the AI revolution, with its technology being described as a concern for competitors [4][6] - Prominent figures in technology and investment, including Bill Gates and Warren Buffett, recognize AI as a significant advancement with the potential for substantial social benefits [8]

Core Insights - Generative AI is viewed as a transformative technology by Amazon's CEO Andy Jassy, indicating its potential to significantly enhance customer experiences across the company [1] - Elon Musk predicts that humanoid robots could create a market worth $250 trillion by 2040, representing a substantial shift in the global economy driven by AI innovation [2][3] - Major firms like PwC and McKinsey acknowledge the multi-trillion-dollar potential of AI, suggesting a broad consensus on its economic impact [3] Company and Industry Analysis - A breakthrough in AI technology is believed to be redefining work, learning, and creativity, leading to increased interest from hedge funds and top investors [4] - There is speculation about an under-owned company that may play a crucial role in the AI revolution, with its technology posing a threat to competitors [4][6] - Prominent figures in technology and investment, including Bill Gates and Warren Buffett, recognize AI as a significant advancement with the potential for substantial social benefits [8] Market Opportunities - The AI ecosystem is expected to reshape business, government, and consumer operations globally, indicating a vast market opportunity for investors [2] - The narrative suggests that investors may soon regret not owning shares in a specific AI company that is positioned to capitalize on this technological wave [9]