Group 1 - Morgan Stanley reports that Macau's gaming revenue is expected to increase by 16% year-on-year in October 2025, outperforming market expectations [1] - The report indicates that MGM China (02282) is likely to outperform the market index in the next 60 days, with a probability exceeding 80% [1] - MGM China's market share increase in October is expected to boost its EBITDA estimates for the fourth quarter [1] Group 2 - Morgan Stanley sets a target price of HKD 18 for MGM China and maintains an "Overweight" rating on the stock [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that Macau's gaming revenue is expected to increase by 16% year-on-year in October 2025, outperforming market expectations, which is likely to positively impact MGM China Holdings Limited's stock performance in the next 60 days, with an estimated probability exceeding 80% [1] Company Summary - MGM China's market share has improved in October, contributing to a positive outlook for its EBITDA estimates for the fourth quarter [1] - Morgan Stanley has set a target price of HKD 18 for MGM China and maintains an "Overweight" rating on the stock [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's technical research report indicates that Macau's gaming revenue is expected to increase by 16% year-on-year in October 2025, outperforming market expectations, which is likely to positively impact MGM China’s stock performance in the next 60 days with a probability exceeding 80% [1] Group 1: Company Performance - MGM China's market share increase in October is expected to boost its EBITDA estimates for the fourth quarter [1] - Morgan Stanley sets a target price of HKD 18 for MGM China, with a rating of "Overweight" [1]

Core Insights - Morgan Stanley reports that Macau's total gaming revenue for October reached 24 billion MOP, marking a year-on-year increase of 16% and a month-on-month increase of 32%, representing the strongest gaming performance in six years [1] - The recovery of mass and VIP gaming revenues has returned to approximately 125% and 35% of pre-pandemic levels, respectively [1] - Despite a lackluster performance during the Golden Week, October's gaming revenue exceeded market expectations by 11% to 12% [1] Revenue Breakdown - VIP and high-end mass gaming segments drove VIP business growth of 40% to 45%, while mass gaming grew by 12% to 13% [1] - The outlook for November suggests a more challenging base compared to October, with growth expected to slow to 8% to 10% [1] - Starting in December, the base will become more favorable, with anticipated gaming revenue growth accelerating to 15% to 17%, and at least low double-digit growth expected in the first quarter of next year [1] Stock Recommendations - The company is optimistic about Wynn Macau (01128) in the short term due to attractive valuation and high leverage [1] - In the medium term, Sands China (01928) is favored as there is an opportunity to increase dividends in February next year, with expectations of continued market share expansion in Q4 of this year [1] - Long-term prospects are positive for Galaxy Entertainment (00027), which combines value advantages with long-term growth potential [1] - All mentioned stocks are rated "Buy" with target prices set at HKD 8, HKD 24.5, and HKD 48.5, respectively [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley reports that Macau's total gaming revenue for October reached 24 billion MOP, representing a year-on-year increase of 16% and a month-on-month increase of 32%, marking the strongest gaming performance in six years, exceeding market expectations by 11% to 12% [1] Group 1: Short-term Outlook - The bank anticipates that the growth rate may slow to 8% to 10% in November due to a tougher comparison base compared to October [1] - Wynn Macau is viewed positively in the short term due to attractive valuation and high leverage [1] Group 2: Mid-term Outlook - Sands China is favored in the mid-term as there is an opportunity to increase dividends in February next year, and it is expected to continue expanding market share in Q4 of this year [1] Group 3: Long-term Outlook - Galaxy Entertainment is seen as a long-term investment opportunity due to its value advantage and long-term growth potential [1] - All mentioned stocks are rated as "Overweight" with target prices set at HKD 8, HKD 24.5, and HKD 48.5 respectively [1]

| | 2025年及2024年每月幸運博彩毛收入 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 月份毛收入 | | | 累計毛收入 | | | | 2025年 | 2024年 | 變動率 | 2025年 | 2024年 | 變動率 | | 一月份 | 18,254 | 19,337 | -5.6% | 18,254 | 19,337 | -5.6% | | 二月份 | 19.744 | 18.486 | +6.8% | 37,998 | 37.823 | +0.5% | | 三月份 | 19,659 | 19,503 | +0.8% | 57,657 | 57,326 | +0.6% | | 四月份 | 18.858 | 18,545 | +1.7% | 76,514 | 75.872 | +0.8% | | 五月份 | 21.193 | 20.188 | +5.0% | 97,707 | 96,059 | +1.7% | | 六月份 | 21.064 | 17.694 | +19.0% | 118,771 | 113.753 | ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the gaming industry in Macau, expecting high single-digit growth in gaming gross revenue (GGR) for 2025 [14][15]. Core Insights - In October 2025, Macau's GGR reached MOP 24.086 billion, marking a year-on-year increase of 15.9% and a month-on-month increase of 31.7%, recovering to 91.1% of the 2019 level [14][15]. - The average daily GGR in October was MOP 777 million, up 27.4% from September's MOP 610 million, representing the highest level since the pandemic [14][15]. - The resilience of the industry was attributed to the peak Golden Week, NBA events, and concerts, despite the impact of a typhoon [14][15]. - Cumulative GGR for the first ten months of 2025 reached MOP 205.427 billion, reflecting an 8.0% year-on-year growth and 83.3% of the 2019 level [14][15]. - Upcoming events in November, including the National Games and various concerts, are expected to further boost tourist arrivals and GGR [14][15]. Summary by Sections Monthly GGR and Year-on-Year Growth - October's GGR growth was nearly 16% year-on-year, with a significant recovery trend observed [14][15]. - The daily average GGR for October was the highest post-pandemic, indicating strong market recovery [14][15]. Visitor Statistics - In September 2025, the number of inbound visitors to Macau was 2.78 million, a 9.8% increase year-on-year, fully recovering to 100.4% of the 2019 level [15]. - Cumulative inbound visitors for the first nine months of 2025 reached 29.67 million, up 14.5% year-on-year [15]. Hotel Occupancy Rates - The hotel occupancy rate in Macau for September 2025 was 84.6%, showing a slight decline year-on-year but stable compared to 2019 levels [16]. - The average hotel occupancy rate for the first nine months of 2025 was 89.3%, reflecting a 3.8 percentage point increase year-on-year [16].

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責，對其 準確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示不會就因本公告全部或任何部分內容而 產生或因依賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 MGM CHINA HOLDINGS LIMITED 美 高 梅 中 國 控 股 有 限 公 司 （ 於 開 曼 群 島 註 冊 成 立 的 有 限 公 司 ） （股份代號：2282及債務股份代號：6028, 40634, 5036） 內幕消息 我們的控股股東美高梅國際酒店集團 截至2025年9月30日止第三季度的未經審核業績 本公告乃根據證券及期貨條例（第571章）第XIVA部內幕消息條文及香港聯合交易所 有限公司證券上市規則第13.09及37.47B條刊發。 我們的控股股東美高梅國際酒店集團已於2025年10月29日（紐約時間下午4時15分） 或前後公佈其截至2025年9月30日止第三季度的未經審核業績，其中包括根據美國公 認會計原則編製及呈列的美高梅中國控股有限公司財務資料。 本公告乃美高梅中國控股有限公司（「美高梅中國」或「本公司」）根據證券及期貨條例（第 571章）第XIVA部內幕消息條文及香港 ...

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that Macau's gaming revenue for the first 26 days of October reached 20.4 billion MOP, with an average daily revenue of 785 million MOP, reflecting pent-up demand during the Golden Week due to previous disruptions from a typhoon and the Mid-Autumn Festival [1] Group 1: Industry Insights - The report suggests a significant upward trend in gaming revenue, with total revenue for October potentially reaching 23 billion MOP, marking a 71-month high [1] - Starting from December, due to a low base, the firm anticipates double-digit growth in gaming revenue, maintaining low double-digit increases into the first quarter of next year [1] Group 2: Company Ratings - The company is optimistic about Wynn Macau (01128), assigning an "Overweight" rating, expecting its Q3 performance to exceed expectations [1] - For the medium term, Galaxy Entertainment (00027) is also viewed positively, receiving an "Overweight" rating [1] - The company holds a negative outlook on SJM Holdings (00880) and Melco International (00200), assigning "Neutral" and "Underweight" ratings respectively, citing high valuations relative to fundamentals and limited shareholder returns over the next 12 months [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley reports that Macau's gaming revenue for the first 26 days of October reached 20.4 billion MOP, indicating a potential upward trend in gaming revenue due to pent-up demand from the Golden Week holiday [1] Industry Summary - The average daily gaming revenue for October is 785 million MOP, with last week's revenue accelerating to 793 million MOP, reflecting increased activity post-typhoon and mid-autumn festival [1] - The total gaming revenue for October could reach 23 billion MOP, potentially marking a 71-month high [1] - Starting from December, a low base is expected to drive double-digit growth in gaming revenue, continuing into the first quarter of next year with low double-digit increases [1] Company Summary - Wynn Macau (01128) is viewed positively in the short term, with an "Overweight" rating and expectations for third-quarter performance to exceed forecasts [1] - Galaxy Entertainment (00027) is also favored in the medium term, receiving an "Overweight" rating [1] - The outlook for SJM Holdings (00880) and Melco International (00200) is less favorable, with "Neutral" and "Underweight" ratings respectively, as their valuations are considered high relative to fundamentals, and shareholder returns over the next 12 months are expected to be limited [1]