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Cliffs(CLF) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-08 13:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported an adjusted EBITDA loss of $174 million for Q1 2025, reflecting a challenging pricing environment and underperformance of non-core assets [30] - Total shipments in Q1 were 4.14 million tons, consistent with guidance to exceed 4 million tons, aided by a full quarter contribution from Stelco [30] - Price realization for Q1 was $980 per net ton, a slight improvement from Q4's $970, but still weighed down by lower realizations in cold rolled products [30] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The automotive sector remains a high-margin business for the company, with expectations of an annual EBITDA benefit of $250 million to $500 million starting in the second half of 2025 [10] - The company is idling several non-core assets, which is expected to generate annual savings of over $300 million [18] - The idling of loss-making operations is aimed at optimizing the operating footprint and improving profitability [11][12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In 2024, only 50% of cars sold in the U.S. were domestically produced, highlighting the need for reshoring automotive production [6] - The company is seeing a shift of automotive production back to the U.S., with key customers increasing domestic manufacturing [9] - The domestic flat rolled prices have increased, while the company's realized prices under a Brazilian price-linked slab contract have declined, leading to negative margins [21] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on returning to consistent profitability and free cash flow generation through operational changes and strategic initiatives [5] - The strategic repositioning of Stelco as a Canadian supplier is expected to provide more business opportunities for U.S. mills [24] - The company is actively engaging with automotive clients to secure longer-term steel supply contracts as they increase domestic production [9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about improved pricing and operational efficiencies in the second half of 2025, with expectations for a reset in financial results in 2026 [31] - The company is committed to reducing costs and optimizing operations to remain competitive in the U.S. steel market [11][36] - Management highlighted the importance of enforcing trade laws to protect against unfair competition from dumped steel imports [36] Other Important Information - The company has reduced its 2025 capital expenditure guidance from $700 million to $625 million, primarily due to idled assets and canceled projects [34] - The company maintains a healthy liquidity position with approximately $3 billion in available liquidity and $3.3 billion in secured capacity [35] - Management indicated that cash charges related to idling operations would be minimal, with expected non-cash accounting charges of around $300 million in Q2 [87] Q&A Session Summary Question: Timing for achieving $300 million savings - Management indicated that the full impact of the $300 million savings would start to materialize in the second half of 2025, primarily from the Cleveland Dearborn switch and other operational changes [42][43] Question: Impact of steel tariffs on Stelco - Management clarified that the acquisition of Stelco was planned to redirect sales to the Canadian market, and the Section 232 tariffs would not change their strategy [50][51] Question: Assumptions around domestic auto production increase - Management expressed confidence that the overall number of cars produced in the U.S. would increase, benefiting steel suppliers like the company [60] Question: Updates on asset sales and debt covenants - Management confirmed that unsolicited inquiries for non-core assets have been received, with potential sales bringing several billion dollars in value, which would be used for debt reduction [69][70] Question: CapEx and blast furnace reline updates - Management stated that CapEx guidance has been lowered and that blast furnace relines are planned for 2027, with ongoing reliance on blast furnaces for production [105][95]
ArcelorMittal's Earnings and Revenues Surpass Estimates in Q1
ZACKS· 2025-05-08 12:30
Core Viewpoint - ArcelorMittal reported a first-quarter 2025 profit of $805 million, a decrease from $938 million in the same quarter last year, but earnings exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 71 cents per share [1] Financial Performance - Total sales for the quarter fell approximately 9.1% year over year to $14,798 million, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $14,639.7 million [1] - Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the first quarter were $5,319 million, down around 2.1% year over year [4] - Long-term debt increased by 2.9% year over year to about $8,591 million [4] Segment Review - **NAFTA**: Sales decreased around 14% year over year to $2,877 million; crude steel production rose 3.4% to 2.3 million metric tons, while shipments fell 5.5% to 2.6 million metric tons [2] - **Brazil**: Sales fell approximately 13.2% year over year to $2,648 million; crude steel production increased roughly 0.4% to 3.6 million metric tons, and shipments decreased 0.7% to 3.2 million metric tons [2] - **Europe**: Sales decreased around 8% year over year to $7,218 million; crude steel production increased roughly 5% to 8 million metric tons, and shipments rose around 4% to 7.5 million metric tons [3] - **Mining**: Sales increased around 0.8% year over year to $735 million; iron ore production totaled 8.4 million metric tons, up about 29.2%, and iron ore shipments increased around 26.9% to 8 million metric tons [3] Outlook - The company plans capital expenditures for 2025 to range between $4.5 billion and $5 billion, with approximately $1.4 to $1.5 billion allocated to strategic growth initiatives and $0.3 to $0.4 billion for decarbonization projects [5] - The outlook for free cash flow remains favorable for 2025 and beyond, with expectations of enhanced long-term EBITDA and higher investable cash flow due to strategic growth projects [6] - A new long-term share buyback program has been launched, starting with an initial tranche of 10 million shares beginning on April 7, 2025 [6] Price Performance - Shares of ArcelorMittal have increased by 17.8% over the past year, contrasting with a 35.7% decline in the industry [7]
Cliffs(CLF) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-05-07 21:59
CLEVELAND-CLIFFS INC. First-Quarter 2025 Earnings Presentation May 7, 2025 © 2025 Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. All Rights Reserved. FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS This presentation contains statements that constitute "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the federal securities laws. All statements other than historical facts, including, without limitation, statements regarding our current expectations, estimates and projections about our industry or our businesses, are forward-looking statements. We cauti ...
Here's Why ArcelorMittal (MT) is a Strong Value Stock
ZACKS· 2025-05-07 14:46
Company Overview - ArcelorMittal is the world's leading steel and mining company, operating in over 60 countries with a balanced portfolio of cost-competitive steel plants across both developed and developing markets [12] - The company is a leader in key sectors including automotive, household appliances, packaging, and construction [12] Investment Ratings - ArcelorMittal currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) and has a VGM Score of A, indicating a solid overall performance [12] - The company has a Value Style Score of A, supported by attractive valuation metrics such as a forward P/E ratio of 7.48, making it appealing to value investors [13] Earnings Estimates - In the last 60 days, four analysts have revised their earnings estimates higher for fiscal 2025, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate increasing by $0.27 to $4.02 per share [13] - ArcelorMittal has demonstrated an average earnings surprise of 9.6%, indicating a positive trend in earnings performance [13] Conclusion - With a strong Zacks Rank and top-tier Value and VGM Style Scores, ArcelorMittal is positioned as a noteworthy option for investors [13]
Unlocking Q1 Potential of Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF): Exploring Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-05-05 14:21
Core Viewpoint - Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF) is expected to report a quarterly loss of $0.67 per share, reflecting a significant year-over-year decline of 472.2%, with anticipated revenues of $4.6 billion, down 11.6% from the previous year [1]. Earnings Projections - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 59.1%, indicating a significant reassessment by analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price movements [3]. Revenue Estimates - Analysts estimate 'Revenues- Other Businesses' will reach $164.80 million, representing a year-over-year decline of 4.2% [5]. - 'Revenues- Steelmaking' is projected to be $4.43 billion, indicating an 11.9% decrease from the same quarter last year [5]. - The average prediction for 'Revenues- Steelmaking- Coated steel' is $1.34 billion, reflecting a 17.4% year-over-year decline [5]. - 'Revenues- Steelmaking- Slab and other steel products' is estimated at $312.45 million, down 6.7% from the prior year [6]. Sales Volumes - Analysts predict 'External Sales Volumes- Steel Products' will reach 4,064.01 tons, compared to 3,940 tons in the same quarter last year [6]. - The 'Average net selling price per net ton of steel products' is expected to be $985.85, down from $1,175 in the same quarter last year [7]. - 'Volumes - Steelmaking - Coated steel' is projected at 1,084.44 tons, compared to 1,216 tons in the previous year [7]. - 'Volumes - Steelmaking - Slab and other steel products' is expected to be 422.79 tons, down from 449 tons year-over-year [8]. - 'Volumes - Steelmaking - Plate' is projected at 201.33 tons, slightly up from 201 tons in the previous year [8]. - 'Volumes - Steelmaking - Cold-rolled steel' is expected to be 541.11 tons, down from 663 tons in the same quarter last year [9]. - 'Volumes - Steelmaking - Hot-rolled steel' is forecasted to reach 1,651.52 tons, compared to 1,266 tons in the same quarter last year [9]. - 'Volumes - Steelmaking - Stainless and electrical steel' is estimated at 151.36 tons, slightly up from 145 tons in the previous year [10]. Stock Performance - Over the past month, shares of Cleveland-Cliffs have returned +27.6%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.4% change [10]. - Currently, CLF holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting its performance may align with the overall market in the near future [11].
粗钢限产预期再起,钢厂利润有望回升
Minsheng Securities· 2025-05-04 03:23
钢铁周报 20250504 粗钢限产预期再起,钢厂利润有望回升 2025 年 05 月 04 日 ➢ 价格:本周钢材价格涨跌互现。截至 4 月 30 日,上海 20mm HRB400 材 质螺纹价格为 3200 元/吨,较上周持平。高线 8.0mm 价格为 3420 元/吨,较上 周升 10 元/吨。热轧 3.0mm 价格为 3260 元/吨,较上周持平。冷轧 1.0mm 价 格为 3670 元/吨,较上周降 40 元/吨。普中板 20mm 价格为 3510 元/吨,较上 周升 20 元/吨。本周原材料中,国产矿市场价格震荡,进口矿市场价格稳中有跌, 废钢价格上涨。 ➢ 利润:本周钢材利润上升。长流程方面,我们测算本周行业螺纹钢、热轧和 冷轧毛利分别环比前一周变化+53 元/吨,+20 元/吨和-54 元/吨。短流程方面, 本周电炉钢毛利环比前一周变化+35 元/吨。 ➢ 风险提示:下游需求不及预期;钢价大幅下跌;原材料价格大幅波动。 重点公司盈利预测、估值与评级 | 代码 | 简称 | 股价 | | EPS(元) | | | PE(倍) | | 评级 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | ...
Olympic Steel(ZEUS) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-02 15:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported first quarter sales of $493 million with a net income of $2.5 million, a decrease from $8.7 million in the same period last year [7][17] - EBITDA for the first quarter was $16.1 million compared to $23.3 million in the prior year [17] - Operating expenses increased to $110.6 million from $103.2 million year-over-year, influenced by the acquisition of Metalworks [18][19] - The effective tax rate for the first quarter was 30.1%, up from 27% in the same period last year [20] Business Segment Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Carbon segment reported EBITDA of $10.9 million, driven by increased shipping volumes and growth in coated carbon steel products [13] - The Pipe and Tube segment delivered EBITDA of $6.4 million, experiencing slower OEM orders but maintaining positive results [14] - The Specialty Metals segment reported EBITDA of $3.6 million, with ongoing investments in growth and expansion [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Flat roll shipping volumes increased by 24% sequentially and 6% year-over-year, reaching the highest levels since Q3 2021 [7][12] - Hot roll pricing escalated by more than 30% during the quarter due to the announced tariffs [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on building a stronger, more resilient Olympic Steel, diversifying into metal-intensive end markets, and expanding fabrication capabilities [7][8] - The recent acquisition of Metalworks is expected to bolster growth and has already proven accretive to results [8] - The company remains committed to M&A as a source of growth, having completed eight acquisitions over the past seven years [9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to drive profitable growth regardless of market conditions [11] - The company is well-positioned to support increased manufacturing in the U.S., with over 90% of metal supply and nearly all sales domestically based [10] - Management noted that tariffs have dominated the macroeconomic conversation but believe they can navigate these challenges effectively [10] Other Important Information - The company announced a five-year extension of its $625 million asset-based revolving credit facility, providing flexible capital for growth [10][19] - Capital expenditures for the first quarter totaled $8.8 million, with an estimated $35 million for the full year [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: How much of the first quarter volume boost is due to pull forward demand? - Management indicated that a significant portion of the increase was due to stronger spot sales, with traditional sales being 65% contract and 35% spot [26][27] Question: What is the outlook for the Pipe and Tube segment? - Management expects a more traditional year for Pipe and Tube, with opportunities in onshoring and data centers driving growth [40] Question: What is the current appetite for M&A? - Management confirmed that M&A remains a key part of the growth strategy, with a return of potential sellers noted in April [30][31] Question: How are operating expenses being managed? - The increase in operating expenses was attributed to the acquisition of Metalworks and higher shipping volumes, but inflation-adjusted expenses are being managed well [52][53] Question: Will tariffs increase competition for acquisitions? - Management believes that tariffs may lead to increased competition for acquisitions as companies look to grow through M&A rather than capital expenditures [57]
Olympic Steel(ZEUS) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-02 15:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported first quarter sales of $493 million with net income of $2.5 million, a decrease from $8.7 million in the same period last year [6][16] - EBITDA for the first quarter was $16.1 million compared to $23.3 million in the prior year [16] - Consolidated operating expenses totaled $110.6 million, up from $103.2 million year-over-year [17] - The effective tax rate for the first quarter was 30.1%, compared to 27% in the same period last year [19] Business Segment Data and Key Metrics Changes - Flat roll shipping volumes increased by 24% sequentially and 6% year-over-year, reaching the highest levels since Q3 2021 [6][11] - The Carbon segment reported EBITDA of $10.9 million, driven by increased shipping levels and growth in coated carbon steel products [12] - The Pipe and Tube segment delivered EBITDA of $6.4 million, although it experienced slower OEM orders [13] - The Specialty Metals segment reported EBITDA of $3.6 million, with continued investments in growth and expansion [14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Hot roll pricing increased by more than 30% during the quarter following the announcement of 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports [11] - Over 90% of the company's metal supply and nearly all sales are domestically based, positioning the company well in the current tariff environment [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on building a stronger, more resilient Olympic Steel, diversifying into metal-intensive end markets, and expanding fabrication capabilities [6][7] - The recent acquisition of Metalworks is expected to bolster growth and has already proven accretive to results [7] - The company remains committed to M&A as a source of growth, having completed eight acquisitions over the past seven years [8] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to drive profitable growth regardless of market conditions [10] - The company is well-positioned to support increased manufacturing in the U.S. and is prepared for potential onshoring opportunities [9][40] - Management noted that while tariffs have impacted the macroeconomic environment, they do not foresee a direct impact on their M&A strategy [53] Other Important Information - The company announced a five-year extension of its $625 million asset-based revolving credit facility, providing flexible, low-cost capital for growth [9][18] - Capital expenditures for the first quarter totaled $8.8 million, with an estimated $35 million for the full year [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: How much of the first quarter volume boost is due to pull forward demand? - Management indicated that a significant portion of the increase was due to stronger spot sales, with traditional sales being 65% contract and 35% spot [25][26] Question: What is the outlook for the Pipe and Tube segment? - Management noted that the Pipe and Tube segment did not see the same sales increase as the Carbon segment and is expected to follow a more traditional year [27][40] Question: What is the current appetite for M&A? - Management confirmed that M&A remains a key part of their growth strategy, with a return of potential sellers observed in April [29][30] Question: How are operating expenses being managed? - Management attributed the increase in operating expenses to the acquisition of Metalworks and higher shipping volumes, while maintaining that inflation-adjusted expenses are being managed well [51][52] Question: How are tariffs affecting the M&A strategy? - Management stated that tariffs have a greater impact on the core business rather than directly affecting M&A, and they continue to seek domestic acquisition opportunities [53][54]
Olympic Steel(ZEUS) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-02 14:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported first quarter sales of $493 million with net income of $2.5 million, a decrease from $8.7 million in the same period last year [6][18] - EBITDA for the first quarter was $16.1 million compared to $23.3 million in the prior year [18] - Consolidated operating expenses increased to $110.6 million from $103.2 million year-over-year, influenced by the acquisition of Metalworks [19][21] - The effective tax rate for the first quarter was 30.1%, up from 27% in the same period last year [21] Business Segment Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Carbon segment reported EBITDA of $10.9 million, driven by increased shipping volumes and growth in coated carbon steel products [13] - The Pipe and Tube segment delivered EBITDA of $6.4 million, although it experienced slower OEM orders [14] - The Specialty Metals segment reported EBITDA of $3.6 million, with ongoing investments in growth and expansion [14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Hot roll pricing increased by more than 30% during the quarter due to the announced 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum [12] - The company noted that over 90% of its metal supply and nearly all sales are domestically based, positioning it well in the current tariff environment [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on building a stronger, more resilient Olympic Steel, emphasizing profitable growth through diversification into metal-intensive end markets and expanding fabrication capabilities [6][7] - The commitment to mergers and acquisitions (M&A) remains a key growth strategy, with the recent acquisition of Metalworks proving immediately accretive [7][8] - Ongoing capital investments are planned to enhance throughput and safety, with several new facilities and equipment upgrades expected to come online in the near future [15][20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to drive profitable growth regardless of market conditions, citing strong operational discipline and effective working capital management [10][11] - The management team highlighted the importance of onshoring opportunities and the potential for growth in the pipe and tube market, particularly in data centers [40] Other Important Information - The company announced a five-year extension of its $625 million asset-based revolving credit facility, providing flexible capital for growth initiatives [10][20] - A quarterly dividend of $0.16 per share was declared, continuing a history of regular dividends since February 2006 [21] Q&A Session Summary Question: How much of the first quarter volume boost is due to pull forward demand? - Management indicated that a significant portion of the volume increase was due to stronger spot sales, with traditional sales being 65% contract and 35% spot [26][28] Question: Expectations for the Pipe and Tube segment's performance? - The Pipe and Tube segment did not see the same sales increase as the Carbon segment, primarily due to its more contractual nature [29][30] Question: Current appetite for M&A and marketplace conditions? - Management confirmed that M&A remains a key growth strategy, with a return of potential sellers observed in April [31][32] Question: Outlook for the Pipe and Tube segment beyond Q2? - Management expects a more traditional year for the Pipe and Tube segment, with growth opportunities in onshoring [40] Question: Thoughts on working capital and inventory management? - The company successfully reduced debt by $37 million in Q1 and expects modest decreases in the following quarters [43][45] Question: Impact of tariffs on M&A strategy? - Management stated that tariffs have not directly impacted M&A strategy, as all acquisitions have been domestic [53][56]
U.S. Steel's Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates in Q1
ZACKS· 2025-05-02 11:25
United States Steel Corporation (X) logged a loss of $116 million or 52 cents for first-quarter 2025. This compares unfavorably with a profit of $171 million or 68 cents per share in the year-ago quarter.Barring one-time items, the adjusted loss per share was 39 cents against earnings of 82 cents a year ago. The figure was narrower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of 48 cents.Revenues fell around 10.4% year over year to $3,727 million in the reported quarter but beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate ...