Core Viewpoint - KKR & Co. Inc. has experienced significant underperformance over the past year, with shares losing over one-third of their value and nearing a 52-week low [1] Company Performance - Despite the decline in share value, KKR continues to report impressive financial results, indicating potential resilience in its business model [1]

Market Overview - The market is experiencing a strong bifurcation, with indices reaching new all-time highs while the private equity and credit sectors are facing significant challenges [1] Investment Strategy - Trapping Value is a team of analysts with over 40 years of combined experience focused on generating options income and capital preservation [2] - The Conservative Income Portfolio, managed in partnership with Preferred Stock Trader, features two income-generating portfolios and a bond ladder [2] - The Covered Calls Portfolio aims to provide lower volatility income investing with an emphasis on capital preservation [2] - The fixed income portfolio targets securities with high income potential and significant undervaluation compared to peers [2]

Core Viewpoint - The private-markets firm maintains its return forecasts despite the turbulence in the software sector [1] Group 1 - The firm discussed its Q4 earnings in the context of current market conditions [1]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - TPG reported GAAP net income attributable to TPG Inc. of $77 billion and after-tax distributable earnings of $304 million, or $0.71 per share of Class A common stock [4] - Full-year fee-related revenue reached $2.1 billion, including $628 million for the fourth quarter, which grew 36% year-over-year [31] - After-tax distributable earnings increased 17% year-over-year to $304 million, marking the highest level since becoming a public company [35] - Total AUM increased 23% year-over-year to $303 billion, driven by $51 billion of capital raised and $24 billion of value creation [35] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Software represents 11% of total AUM, with 18% in private equity and approximately 2% in credit [8] - The credit platform raised a record $21 billion during the year, up 67% from 2024, with a record $9 billion raised in the fourth quarter alone [17] - Private equity fundraising grew over 80% to $28 billion in 2025, while overall industry fundraising for PE declined 11% [20] - The real estate platform appreciated 9% in 2025, with $6 billion of capital deployed [25] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company experienced double-digit value creation across nearly all platforms in 2025, with private equity strategies appreciating 11% over the last twelve months [37] - The credit platform also appreciated 11% over the last twelve months, maintaining strong credit quality with non-accruals just over 1% [38] - The real estate portfolios appreciated more than 9% for the year, driven by robust value creation in data center holdings and other sectors [39] Company Strategy and Development Direction - TPG aims to continue driving outsized growth by scaling existing and newer strategies, deepening integration of capital markets capabilities, and selectively capitalizing on inorganic opportunities [28] - The company is focused on expanding its private wealth strategy and enhancing its insurance solutions business, with a strategic partnership with Jackson Financial expected to close soon [12][42] - TPG plans to begin fundraising for several new funds in 2026, including TPG Real Estate's next fund and various Asia-focused funds [41] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the firm's ability to sustain growth and deliver differentiated value for stakeholders, citing a strong performance in 2025 as a foundation for future success [47] - The company anticipates another robust year of capital formation in 2026, expecting aggregate capital raising to exceed $50 billion [41] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining strong relationships with borrowers and sponsors to ensure credit quality and performance [50][54] Other Important Information - TPG's new and emerging strategies attracted over $7 billion of commitments in 2025, indicating effective identification and scaling of high-potential opportunities [16] - The company ended 2025 with $72 billion of dry powder, representing 43% of fee-earning AUM, positioning it well for future investments [35] Q&A Session Summary Question: Concerns about direct lending performance sustainability - Management acknowledged the market's skepticism regarding direct lending performance but emphasized the unique characteristics of their lower middle market focus, which differs from upper middle market dynamics [50][51] Question: Inquiry about transaction fees and revenue outlook - Management noted that transaction fees in Q4 were driven by increased deployment and diversification across various platforms, indicating a long-term growth opportunity in capital markets [65][66] Question: Outlook for net deployment in credit business - Management highlighted the significant growth in the credit business and the expected upward trend in deployment opportunities due to increased capital formation and synergies from the Angelo Gordon acquisition [76][77]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - TPG reported GAAP net income attributable to TPG Inc. of $77 billion and after-tax distributable earnings of $304 million, or $0.71 per share of Class A common stock [4][35] - Full-year fee-related revenue reached $2.1 billion, including $628 million for the fourth quarter, which grew 36% year-over-year [31] - The company finished 2025 with $303 billion of total AUM, up 23% from 2024, driven by $51 billion of capital raised and $24 billion of value creation [35] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In credit, TPG raised a record $21 billion of credit capital during the year, up 67% from 2024, with a record $9 billion raised in the fourth quarter alone [17] - Private equity fundraising grew over 80% to $28 billion in 2025, while overall industry fundraising for PE declined 11% [20] - The real estate platform appreciated 9% in 2025, with $6 billion of capital deployed [25] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Software represents 11% of total AUM, with 18% in private equity and approximately 2% in credit [8] - The company ended 2025 with $72 billion of dry powder, representing 43% of fee-earning AUM [35] Company Strategy and Development Direction - TPG aims to continue driving outsized growth by scaling existing and newer strategies, deepening integration of capital markets capabilities, and selectively capitalizing on inorganic opportunities [28][29] - The company is focused on expanding its private wealth strategy and enhancing its insurance solutions business [12][43] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the ability to sustain growth and deliver differentiated value for stakeholders, expecting 2026 to be another robust year of capital formation with aggregate capital raising expected to exceed $50 billion [40][41] - The company highlighted the importance of avoiding capital loss and managing exposures in the lending markets, particularly in the lower middle market [56] Other Important Information - TPG announced a long-term strategic partnership with Jackson Financial, which is expected to provide predictable fee revenue and enhance credit capabilities [12] - The company launched several new products in 2025, including Tika, a growth equity strategy, and Advantage Direct Lending, a new core middle market direct lending strategy [15] Q&A Session Questions and Answers Question: Concerns about direct lending performance sustainability - Management emphasized the differences between lower middle market lending and upper middle market lending, highlighting their unique position and rigorous monitoring of borrower performance [50][51][54] Question: Inquiry about transaction fees and revenue outlook - Management noted that transaction fees in Q4 were driven by increased deployment and diversification across various platforms, indicating a long-term growth opportunity in capital markets [66][67] Question: Outlook for net deployment in credit business - Management discussed the significant growth in credit capital and the synergies from the TPG and Angelo Gordon collaboration, which are expected to enhance deployment opportunities [78]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - TPG reported GAAP net income attributable to TPG Inc. of $77 billion and after-tax distributable earnings of $304 million, or $0.71 per share of Class A common stock [3] - Full-year fee-related revenue reached $2.1 billion, including $628 million for the fourth quarter, which grew 36% year-over-year [29] - The company finished 2025 with $303 billion of total AUM, up 23% from 2024, driven by $51 billion of capital raised and $24 billion of value creation [34] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Software represents 11% of total AUM, with 18% in private equity and approximately 2% in credit [6] - The credit platform raised a record $21 billion of credit capital during the year, up 67% from 2024 [16] - Private equity fundraising grew over 80% to $28 billion in 2025, while overall industry fundraising for PE declined 11% [19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company ended 2025 with $72 billion of dry powder, representing 43% of fee-earning AUM [34] - The private equity strategies appreciated 3% in the fourth quarter and 11% over the last twelve months [36] - The credit platform also appreciated 3% in the quarter and 11% over the last twelve months [36] Company Strategy and Development Direction - TPG aims to continue driving outsized growth by scaling existing and newer strategies, deepening integration of capital markets capabilities, and selectively capitalizing on inorganic opportunities [27] - The company is focused on expanding its private wealth strategy and enhancing its insurance solutions business [11][41] - TPG plans to begin fundraising for several new funds in real estate and credit, indicating a multiyear period of growth [40] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the sustainability of performance and the ability to maintain strong capital formation, expecting 2026 to exceed $50 billion in capital raising [39] - The company highlighted the importance of differentiating its offerings in the market, particularly in the lower middle market, which is less competitive than the upper middle market [50] - Management noted that the strong performance and disciplined investment approach position TPG well to capitalize on attractive investments [9] Other Important Information - TPG's new and emerging strategies attracted over $7 billion of commitments in 2025, underscoring the firm's ability to identify and scale high-potential opportunities [14] - The company reported a record FRE margin of 52% in the fourth quarter and a full-year FRE margin of 45%, reflecting significant capital markets revenue [32] Q&A Session Summary Question: Concerns about sustaining performance in direct lending - Management emphasized the unique dynamics of the lower middle market, where TPG operates as a primary lender with higher coverage ratios and disciplined lending practices [50][51] - They highlighted their rigorous monitoring processes and strong relationships with borrowers, which enhance their ability to value the portfolio accurately [52][54] Question: Inquiry about transaction fees and revenue outlook - Management noted that transaction fees in Q4 were driven by a broadening capital markets business and a significant increase in deployment activity [66] - They expect capital markets to be a long-term growth opportunity, despite some lumpiness in revenue [66] Question: Outlook for net deployment in credit - Management indicated that the credit business has seen substantial growth in capital formation and deployment, particularly in structured credit and new strategies like Advantage Direct Lending [78][79]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported fee-related earnings per share of $1.08, total operating earnings per share of $1.42, and adjusted net income per share of $1.12, with the adjusted net income excluding carried interest repayment obligation being $1.30 for Q4 [4] - Management fees for the quarter were $1.1 billion, up 24% year-over-year, driven by fundraising initiatives and deployment across the firm [4] - Total transaction and monitoring fees were $269 million in the quarter, while fee-related earnings were $972 million, reflecting a 15% year-over-year increase [5] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Insurance segment reported operating earnings of $268 million in Q4, with potential earnings being approximately $320 million if investment marks were included [6][7] - Strategic Holdings operating earnings were $44 million in Q4, more than doubling compared to 2024 [8] - Realized performance income within the asset management segment was $528 million, with total monetization activity exceeding $550 million [9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company raised $28 billion of new capital in Q4, bringing the full-year total to $129 billion, marking the highest fundraising year in its history [11] - The North America Private Equity Fund has over $19 billion of committed capital, while the Global Infrastructure Fund is nearing $16 billion in commitments [12][13] - The K-Series suite of products raised $4.5 billion in Q4 and over $16 billion for the full year, nearly doubling the amount raised in 2024 [15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to leverage its three growth engines: asset management, Insurance, and Strategic Holdings, to position itself well for long-term growth [18] - The acquisition of Arctos, valued at $1.4 billion, is expected to enhance the company's position in the sports investment sector and create a new investing vertical called KKR Solutions [24][27] - The company is focused on building a $100 billion AUM solutions franchise through strategic acquisitions and partnerships [32] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in exceeding fundraising and fee-related earnings targets for 2026, with a focus on maintaining a strong pipeline of monetization opportunities [29] - The company is well-positioned with $118 billion of dry powder, allowing it to capitalize on investment opportunities despite market volatility [21][46] - Management noted that the current economic environment presents both challenges and opportunities, emphasizing the importance of disciplined portfolio construction [33][36] Other Important Information - The company plans to increase its annual dividend from $0.74 to $0.78 per share, marking the seventh consecutive year of dividend increases since its C-Corp conversion [16] - Total embedded gains reached a record $19 billion, up 19% year-over-year, indicating strong performance across asset classes [10] Q&A Session Summary Question: How has the company reunderwritten its private portfolios in light of tariffs and AI? - Management indicated that they have minimal exposure to tariffs and have been proactive in addressing AI-related risks through careful portfolio construction and asset sales [41][44] Question: Is the strong 2025 result a level to build off of, given the linear deployment model? - Management confirmed that they expect to deploy more this year, citing broad-based deployment across strategies and geographies [51][58] Question: What are the expectations for management fee growth in 2026? - Management expressed confidence in exceeding the $450 million FRE target for 2026, supported by record capital raising and strong momentum in management fees [61][65] Question: What is the potential for realized investment income moving forward? - Management anticipates an increase in realized investment income, although it may decrease relative to recurring earnings as capital is reinvested for growth [69] Question: What are the recent trends at Global Atlantic? - Management expects to maintain a quarterly target of $250 million for Global Atlantic, with potential for growth in accrued income over the next few years [72][76]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported fee-related earnings per share of $1.08, total operating earnings per share of $1.42, and adjusted net income per share of $1.12, with the adjusted net income excluding carried interest repayment obligation being $1.30 for Q4 [4] - Management fees for the quarter were $1.1 billion, up 24% year-over-year, driven by fundraising initiatives and deployment across the firm [4] - Total transaction and monitoring fees were $269 million in the quarter, while capital markets fees reached $225 million [5] - Fee-related earnings were $972 million, reflecting a 15% year-over-year increase, with an ROI margin of 68% for the quarter [5] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Insurance segment operating earnings in Q4 were $268 million, with potential earnings being approximately $320 million if marks on investments were included [6][7] - Strategic Holdings operating earnings were $44 million in Q4, more than doubling compared to 2024 [8] - Realized performance income within the asset management segment was $528 million, excluding carried interest repayment obligation [9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company raised $28 billion of new capital in Q4, bringing the full-year total to $129 billion, the highest in its history [11] - The North America Private Equity Fund has over $19 billion of committed capital, while the Global Infrastructure Fund is nearing $16 billion in commitments [12][13] - The K Series suite of products raised $4.5 billion in Q4 and over $16 billion for the full year, nearly double the amount raised in 2024 [15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to leverage its three growth engines: asset management, insurance, and strategic holdings, to position itself well for the long term [18] - The acquisition of Arctos, valued at $1.4 billion, is expected to enhance the company's position in sports investments and GP solutions, with a goal of building a $100 billion AUM solutions franchise [24][27] - The company is focused on maintaining a collaborative culture to maximize business impact and attract top talent [18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in exceeding fundraising and fee-related earnings targets for 2026, with a focus on long-term performance rather than short-term market conditions [29] - The company is well-positioned with $118 billion of dry powder for future investments, indicating a strong pipeline of opportunities despite market volatility [21][46] - Management noted that the current economic environment presents opportunities for strong returns, emphasizing the importance of disciplined portfolio construction [33][46] Other Important Information - The company plans to increase its annual dividend from $0.74 to $0.78 per share, marking the seventh consecutive year of dividend increases since its C-Corp conversion [16] - Total embedded gains reached a record $19 billion, up 19% year-over-year, indicating strong performance across asset classes [10] Q&A Session Summary Question: How has the company reunderwritten its private portfolios in light of tariffs and AI? - Management indicated that they have minimal exposure to tariffs and have been proactive in addressing AI-related risks, focusing on portfolio construction and linear pacing to mitigate potential disruptions [41][42][44] Question: Is the strong 2025 result a level to build off of, given the linear deployment model? - Management confirmed that 2025 was a record deployment year and expects to deploy more in the coming year, highlighting broad-based activity across strategies and geographies [51][58] Question: What are the expectations for management fee growth in 2026? - Management expressed confidence in exceeding the $450 million FRE target for 2026, citing strong capital raising momentum and operational efficiency [61][65] Question: What is the potential for realized investment income moving forward? - Management anticipates an increase in realized investment income over the next few years, although it will be relatively decreasing compared to recurring earnings as capital is reinvested for growth [69] Question: What are the recent trends at Global Atlantic? - Management expects to maintain a quarterly target of $250 million for Global Atlantic, with potential for growth in accrued income over the next few years [72][75]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported fee-related earnings per share of $1.08, total operating earnings per share of $1.42, and adjusted net income per share of $1.12, with adjusted net income per share excluding carried interest repayment obligation being $1.30 for Q4 [3] - Management fees for the quarter were $1.1 billion, up 24% year-over-year, driven by fundraising initiatives and deployment across the firm [3] - Total transaction and monitoring fees were $269 million in the quarter, while fee-related earnings were $972 million, reflecting a 15% year-over-year increase [4] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Insurance segment operating earnings in Q4 were $268 million, with total insurance economics for 2025 reaching $1.9 billion, up 15% for the year [4][6] - Strategic Holdings operating earnings were $44 million in Q4, more than doubling compared to 2024 [6] - Realized performance income within the asset management segment was $528 million, with total monetization activity exceeding $550 million [7] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company raised $28 billion of new capital in Q4, bringing the full-year capital raise to $129 billion, the highest in its history [9] - The North America Private Equity Fund now has over $19 billion of committed capital, while the Global Infrastructure Fund has nearly $16 billion of commitments [10][11] - The K Series suite of products raised $4.5 billion in Q4 and over $16 billion in full year 2025, nearly double the amount raised in 2024 [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on three growth engines: asset management, insurance, and strategic holdings, positioning itself well for long-term growth [15] - The acquisition of Arctos, valued at $1.4 billion, aims to create a new investing vertical called KKR Solutions, expected to reach $100+ billion of AUM [20][24] - The company emphasizes a collaborative culture to maximize business impact and attract top talent [15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in exceeding fundraising and fee-related earnings targets for 2026, with a focus on maintaining a strong monetization pipeline [26] - The company noted that despite market volatility, it remains well-positioned due to its disciplined portfolio construction and deployment strategy [30] - Management highlighted the importance of long-term performance over chasing favorable conditions, indicating a strong outlook for the next several years [33] Other Important Information - The company plans to increase its annual dividend from $0.74 to $0.78 per share, marking the seventh consecutive year of dividend increases since its C-Corp conversion [13] - The company has $118 billion of dry powder available for future investments, indicating strong capital availability [18] Q&A Session Questions and Answers Question: How has the company reunderwritten its private portfolios for tariffs and AI? - Management indicated that they have minimal exposure to tariffs and have been proactive in addressing AI-related risks through careful portfolio construction and selling assets that posed threats [34][36][38] Question: Is the strong 2025 result a level to build off of, given the linear deployment model? - Management confirmed that 2025 was a record deployment year and expects to deploy more in the current year, highlighting broad-based deployment across strategies and geographies [42][48] Question: What are the expectations for management fee growth in 2026? - Management expressed confidence in exceeding the $450 million FRE target for 2026, supported by record capital raising and a strong trajectory for management fees [49][51]

KKR reported a drop in fourth-quarter profit, missing Wall Street estimates, as asset sales declined and the firm took a charge for one of its private equity funds in Asia https://t.co/3zxa6VMOte ...