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Software Bear Market: 2 Stocks With Massive Upside, According to Wall Street
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-15 19:35
Core Viewpoint - The financial narrative suggests that artificial intelligence (AI) poses a risk to existing software businesses, leading to concerns among shareholders about potential profit erosion due to increased competition from new AI tools [1] Group 1: Wix.com - Wix.com has seen its stock price decline nearly 70% over the past year, despite its long-standing role in enabling low-code website development [2] - The average price target for Wix's stock is $151, significantly higher than its current trading price of $72 [3] - Wix's revenue growth accelerated to 14% last quarter, indicating that AI tools are not negatively impacting its growth [4] - The acquisition of Base44, a startup focused on mobile app development without coding, is expected to contribute to Wix's growth, with Base44 projected to reach $50 million in annual recurring revenue by the end of 2025 [5] - Wix's free cash flow was reported at $570 million over the last 12 months, with a market cap under $4 billion, presenting a strong investment opportunity [6] Group 2: Adobe - Adobe's stock has decreased nearly 45% over the last year, amid concerns regarding AI disruption in its various software offerings [7] - The average price target for Adobe's stock is $429, compared to its current price of $258 [7]
Veteran trader makes eye-popping call on Palantir amid software slump
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-15 19:33
Core Viewpoint - Palantir Technologies Inc. has experienced a decline in stock price due to a broader sell-off in the software sector, despite strong earnings and significant revenue growth in recent quarters [1][2]. Financial Performance - Palantir reported adjusted earnings of 25 cents per share for the fourth quarter, surpassing the consensus estimate of 23 cents [4]. - Revenue for the quarter increased by 70% year over year to $1.41 billion, exceeding Wall Street's expectations of $1.33 billion [4]. - U.S. revenue constituted 76% of total revenue, with the government segment generating $570 million (up 66% year over year) and the commercial business generating $507 million (up 137% year over year) [5]. Market Dynamics - The stock has seen a significant increase in the past years, with a rise of 135% in 2025 and 340% in 2024, driven by high demand for AI software and retail investor interest [1]. - However, as of February 13, the stock is down approximately 26% year to date and 36% from its all-time high of $207 reached on November 3, 2025 [2][8]. Client Base and Contracts - Palantir's revenue is bolstered by contracts with the U.S. Army, including a deal worth up to $10 billion awarded in July 2025 [6]. - The company also serves commercial clients such as Airbus, Morgan Stanley, and Merck KGaA, indicating a diverse client base [6]. CEO's Perspective - CEO Alex Karp emphasized the importance of software architecture in leveraging AI, stating that large language models alone are insufficient without proper grounding in real-world applications [7][9].
Wall Street Brunch: Walmart Weighs In As Q4 GDP Hits (undefined:WMT)
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-15 18:12
Company Insights - Walmart is expected to report fiscal Q4 EPS of $0.73 on revenue of $188.54 billion, with same-store sales forecasted to rise about 4.2% [3] - Walmart has recently joined the $1 trillion market-cap club, indicating strong market performance [3] - Grassroots Trading rates Walmart as a Strong Sell, citing extreme valuation and limited margin of safety if multiples revert [4] Economic Indicators - Economists anticipate Q4 GDP growth to be around 2.8%, with Wells Fargo suggesting it could be closer to 1.6% when accounting for the impact of a government shutdown [5][6] - The core PCE price index, which is the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, is forecasted to increase to 3% year over year [7] Market Events - The Supreme Court is expected to rule on President Trump's tariffs soon, with prediction markets indicating a 27% chance of ruling in favor of the tariffs [8][9] - Nvidia's CEO will not attend the India AI Impact Summit due to unforeseen circumstances, but the company remains committed to the event [9][10] Dividend Information - Chevron, ConocoPhillips, Hasbro, and Microsoft are set to go ex-dividend this week, with payout dates in March [10][11] Research Developments - Goldman Sachs has launched a software pair-trade basket, going long on companies perceived as insulated from AI disruption and short on those seen as vulnerable [11][12][13]
'The dark side of AI': Wall Street weighs recent stock sell-off over disruption fears
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-15 16:00
Core Viewpoint - Investor concerns over AI are causing significant disruptions across various industries, including software, wealth management, transportation, and logistics [1] Industry Impact - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite both experienced declines of over 1% due to sell-offs in Financial Services, Consumer Discretionary, and tech stocks driven by AI concerns [2] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 1.2%, while the Nasdaq Composite dropped by 2% and the S&P 500 slipped by 1.4% [2] - C.H. Robinson and Universal Logistics saw their shares decline by 11% and 9%, respectively, following the announcement of a new AI tool for scaling freight volumes without increasing headcount [2] - Wealth management stocks like Charles Schwab and Raymond James fell by 10% and 8%, respectively, after the launch of an AI-driven tax tool that could pressure high advisory fees [3] Market Trends - The Tech-Software Sector ETF is down 22% year to date, reflecting broader concerns about AI's impact on traditional revenue models [4] - Many analysts believe the current sell-off may be overdone, with high margins and elevated valuations still present in the sector [4] - Despite the sell-off, there is a forecast for a supportive backdrop for stocks, with expectations for the S&P 500 to reach 7,600 by year-end [4] Regulatory Environment - A supportive regulatory backdrop from the previous administration and corporate tax incentives are contributing to positive performance in sectors like Energy, Consumer Staples, and Materials, which are up double-digit percentages year to date [5] - In contrast, the Technology sector is down 2.5% during the same period, highlighting a divergence in sector performance [5]
A stock market doom loop is hitting everything that touches AI
Fortune· 2026-02-15 15:55
The stock market turmoil unleashed by the artificial-intelligence industry reflects two fears that are increasingly at odds. One is that AI is poised to disrupt entire segments of the economy so dramatically that investors are dumping the stocks of any company seen at the slightest risk of being displaced by the technology. The other is a deep skepticism that the hundreds of billions of dollars that tech giants like Amazon.com Inc., Meta Platforms Inc., Microsoft Corp. and Alphabet Inc. are pouring into AI ...
Why Microsoft's Relatively Small Number of Paying Copilot Customers Could Be a Blessing in Disguise
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-15 15:20
Core Insights - Microsoft has reported 15 million paying customers for its AI assistant Copilot, marking the first disclosure of this figure [2] - Despite a year-over-year growth of 160% in paid Copilot users, the total number remains low compared to the 450 million paid commercial seats of Microsoft 365 [5] - Analysts express concerns regarding the lack of revenue growth acceleration from Copilot and insufficient usage ramp [8] Group 1: Product Overview - Copilot functions as a chatbot and an assistant within Microsoft 365, allowing users to automate tasks and manage workflows without coding knowledge [4] - The pricing structure for Copilot varies, with enterprise pricing set at $30 per user per month, while basic chat features are available for free to Microsoft 365 subscribers [5] Group 2: Market Comparison - The conversion rate of Copilot users to paid subscribers is approximately 3.3%, which is lower than ChatGPT's 5% hit rate among its paid subscriptions [6] - ChatGPT's growth is viewed as more impressive due to its lack of an existing user base, while Microsoft has the potential to cross-sell to its current users [7]
Salesforce (CRM) is a Great Company, Says Jim Cramer
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-15 15:12
Core Viewpoint - Salesforce, Inc. (NYSE:CRM) has experienced a significant decline in its stock price, down 41% over the past year and 25% year-to-date, raising concerns about its competitive position in the AI-driven market [2]. Company Performance - Oppenheimer has reiterated a Buy rating with a price target of $300, while Stifel maintains a similar target and rating, highlighting Salesforce's Agentforce platform as a competitive advantage in the AI era [2]. - Piper Sandler has reduced Salesforce's price target from $280 to $315, citing concerns over self-coding using AI and seat-compression as factors influencing this adjustment [2]. Industry Context - The enterprise software sector, including Salesforce, is facing challenges in maintaining a competitive edge due to the rapid advancements in AI technology [2]. - Jim Cramer has expressed a positive outlook on Salesforce, suggesting it remains a strong company despite the competitive pressures from AI developments [3].
微软用 Rust 开发了一个库操作系统 LiteBox
程序员的那些事· 2026-02-15 14:40
Core Viewpoint - Microsoft has officially open-sourced LiteBox, an experimental "library operating system" developed in Rust, which significantly reduces the attack surface by streamlining the interface with the host system [1][3]. Group 1 - LiteBox is not a complete independent system but serves as a security isolation layer that can be embedded into applications or the kernel, retaining only the most essential system interfaces to minimize the attack surface [3]. - The project focuses on achieving easy interoperability between various "northbound" adaptation layers and "southbound" platforms, supporting both kernel and non-kernel usage scenarios [1]. - LiteBox inherently includes Rust's memory safety features, making it more stable and less vulnerable compared to traditional C/C++ sandboxes [4]. Group 2 - It is lighter than virtual machines and more secure than containers, supporting cross-platform execution of Linux programs and integration with hardware security features like AMD SEV-SNP, making it suitable for cloud services and enterprise-level high-security scenarios [4]. - The project is currently in the experimental stage, with interfaces still being iterated upon, and it is open-sourced under the MIT license, with code hosted on GitHub [4].
Global Strategic Shift: Canada Unveils C$500B Defense Pivot as AI “ROI Reckoning” Hits Markets
Stock Market News· 2026-02-15 14:38
Key TakeawaysCanada launches a C$500 billion ($369 billion) defense strategy over the next decade, mandating that 70% of procurement go to domestic firms to create 125,000 jobs.AI investment faces a "Phase Two" bubble burst as software stocks drop 20% YTD and reports indicate 95% of organizations are seeing zero return on generative AI spending.EU High Representative Kaja Kallas warns that Russia’s greatest threat is gaining more through diplomatic negotiations than it achieved on the battlefield despite 1. ...
Dear Salesforce Stock Fans, Mark Your Calendars for February 25
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-15 14:00
Core Viewpoint - The software sector is experiencing significant turmoil, referred to as "SaaSapocalypse," driven by fears of AI automation impacting enterprise applications, leading to a sector-wide selloff [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) has declined by 21.69% year-to-date [1] - Salesforce (CRM) stock has decreased by 28.38% in 2026 [1] - Over the past 52 weeks, CRM stock has fallen by 42.48%, and in the last three months, it has dropped by 21.09% [6] - The IGV ETF is down 22.41% over 52 weeks and 22.53% in the past three months [6] Group 2: Company Developments - Salesforce secured a $5.6 billion contract with the U.S. Army, enhancing its enterprise credibility [3] - The company delivered a quarterly report that exceeded earnings expectations, indicating operational momentum despite sector challenges [3] - Salesforce is set to release its fourth-quarter and full-year fiscal 2026 results on February 25, with expectations to assess its ability to maintain momentum [4] Group 3: Analyst Perspectives - Analysts like Dan Ives from Wedbush Securities suggest that the threat from AI is overstated and that established platforms like Salesforce are adaptable [2]