两轮&摩托
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华西证券:内需赋能叠加出口扩容 轻工&美护行业有望企稳向好
智通财经网· 2026-01-11 22:53
智通财经APP获悉,华西证券发布研报称,"十五五"开局之年扩内需政策有望加码,叠加消费者对高品 质生活的追求愈发强烈,为轻工&美护行业打开广阔增长空间。跨境电商渗透率仍有充足提升潜力,国 际局势改善以及新兴市场需求提振进一步推动市场扩容,为行业出海注入动能。展望轻工及美护行业 2026年,大环境仍面临一定压力,但在内需政策赋能与出口稳步扩容的双重驱动下,行业有望企稳向 好。 华西证券主要观点如下: * 日化:关注在细分赛道具备明显优势,行业地位领先的品牌,以及经营改善明显的公司登康口腔 (001328.SZ)、润本股份(603193.SH)、上海家化(600315.SH)。 2)家居:关注具备更强渠道能力及多品类布局的核心竞争力的龙头公司欧派家居(603833.SH)、顾家家 居(603816.SH)等;以及受益美联储降息带动美国地产好转预期,深耕北美功能沙发的敏华控股 (01999)。 3)两轮&摩托:两轮车总体偏刚需消费品种,有自然换新节奏,行业需求总体偏稳定。当前市场对两 轮车预期偏悲观,预计后续新国标明朗之后,板块配置机会更加明确。关注雅迪控股(01585)、爱玛科 技(603529.SH)、九号公司 ...
轻工、美护2026年年度策略:内需筑底深挖潜力,出海突围打开新局
HUAXI Securities· 2026-01-07 02:30
Group 1: Industry Overview - The light industry and beauty sector is expected to stabilize and improve due to the dual drivers of domestic demand policies and steady export growth [3] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" marks a year of enhanced domestic demand policies, coupled with consumers' increasing pursuit of high-quality living, creating significant growth opportunities for the industry [3] - The penetration rate of cross-border e-commerce has ample room for improvement, and the recovery of international relations and demand from emerging markets will further drive market expansion [3] Group 2: Beauty Sector - The cosmetics market is projected to grow steadily, with the skincare segment being the largest, reaching a market size of 4,619 billion yuan in 2024, and expected to grow at a CAGR of 8.6% from 2024 to 2029 [19] - The high-end cosmetics market is rapidly expanding, with the market size for high-end skincare products increasing from 749 billion yuan in 2019 to 1,144 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 8.84% [19] - Key companies in the beauty sector include: - **Mao Geping**: Revenue reached 25.88 billion yuan in H1 2025, with a growth rate of 31.28% [23] - **Lin Qingxuan**: Revenue grew to 10.52 billion yuan in H1 2025, marking a 98.28% increase [27] - **Marubi**: Revenue is expected to reach 29.70 billion yuan in 2024, recovering from previous declines [32] Group 3: Medical Aesthetics - The medical aesthetics sector is facing short-term pressure due to cautious consumer spending, but the long-term growth potential remains strong, with a projected CAGR of 10%-15% from 2024 to 2027 [36] - The market penetration rate for medical aesthetics in China is currently at 4-5%, indicating a growth potential of 2-5 times compared to countries like the US and South Korea [36] - Key companies in the medical aesthetics sector include: - **Jinbo Biological**: Achieved revenue of 12.96 billion yuan in Q1-Q3 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 31.10% [45] Group 4: Daily Chemicals - The daily chemical industry is benefiting from domestic demand policies, with local brands poised to capture market share [49] - Companies such as **Dengkang Oral Care** and **Runben** are highlighted for their strong market positions and growth potential [51][55] - **Shanghai Jahwa** has shown significant growth, with revenue reaching 49.61 billion yuan in Q1-Q3 2025, reflecting a 10.83% increase [59] Group 5: Home Furnishing - The home furnishing sector is under pressure due to weak real estate sales, with a 15% decline in residential investment in 2025 [65] - National subsidies for home appliances and furnishings have provided some support, but the long-term effects are limited [65] - Leading companies such as **Oppein Home** and **Kuka Home** are noted for their strong channel capabilities and multi-category layouts [65]