35岁中年危机是一直以来的热门话题，只不过自ChatGPT发布后情况似乎变得诡异起来，也许35岁危机变成25岁危机了。 并且，这里的"25岁职业危机"不是我的观点，而是来自美国的一篇经济学研究报告： 论文地址：https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5425555 标题：Generative AI as Seniority-Biased Technological Change: Evidence from U.S. Résumé and Job Posting Data.生成式AI作为资历偏向型技术变革： 来自美国简历和招聘数据的证据 LLM是否对大龄（资历深）的员工更加友好：来自美国简历与招聘数据的证据。 从数据层面来看，该报告是非常厚重的： 1. 覆盖时间：2015～2025年； 2. 样本量：28.5万家企业 + 6200万员工 + 2.45亿条招聘信息； 因为报告是以数据结论做推导，所以作者本身并不带一丝情绪，而数据推导出来的结论是： 接下来，我们来聊聊它的几个核心点： 一、初级岗位减少 首先，论文尤为关键的数据发生于2023年Q1：采 ...

Economic Performance - Singapore's GDP grew by 3.8% year-on-year in Q1, down from 5.0% in the previous quarter [1] - The Ministry of Trade and Industry (MTI) revised the GDP growth forecast for the year from 1.0%-3.0% to 0.0%-2.0% due to uncertainties such as the US's "reciprocal tariffs" [1][3] Sector Performance - Manufacturing output grew by 5.0% year-on-year in Q1, a decrease from 7.4% in the previous quarter, with a seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter decline of 4.9% [1] - Construction output increased by 4.6% year-on-year, maintaining the previous quarter's growth rate of 4.4%, but saw a seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter decline of 2.3% [1] - Wholesale and retail trade, transportation, and warehousing sectors grew by 4.2% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in the previous quarter [2] External Factors - MTI highlighted that the US's imposition of a 10% "baseline tariff" and increased tariffs on countries with significant trade surpluses will negatively impact global trade and economic growth [3] - The decline in external demand is expected to adversely affect Singapore's economy and the ASEAN region, leading to reduced consumer confidence and domestic investment [3][4] Financial Sector Impact - The financial and insurance sectors are anticipated to experience reduced trading activity due to risk-averse sentiment, negatively impacting net fees and commissions from banking and financial services [5] - The uncertain economic environment may suppress corporate capital investment and limit credit intermediation activities [5] Overall Economic Outlook - MTI expects external demand to weaken significantly by the end of the year, particularly affecting export-oriented sectors like manufacturing and wholesale trade [4] - The economic growth forecast for Singapore is expected to slow from 4.4% last year to between 0.0% and 2.0% this year [5]