| 指数 | 收盘 | | 涨跌（％） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 名称 | （点） | 1 日 | 5 日 | 1 月 | | 上证指数 | 3922 | 0.22 | 2.63 | 0.16 | | 深证综指 | 2458 | 0.22 | -0.37 | -0.25 | 2025 年 10 月 24 日 黄金大跌后的后市演绎——全球资产配置方法论黄金框架性报 | 风格指数 (％) | 昨日 | 近 1 个月 | 近 6 个月 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 大盘指数 | 0.33 | 1.82 | 22.2 | | 中盘指数 | 0.05 | -0.33 | 28.12 | | 小盘指数 | 0.01 | -1.57 | 22.32 | | 涨幅居前 行业(％) | 昨日 | 近 1 个月 | 近 6 个月 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 焦炭Ⅱ | 5.27 | 18.55 | 37.28 | | 能源金属 | 3.11 | 15.77 | 74.79 | | 炼化及贸易 | 2.41 | 6.33 ...

Group 1: Guangdong Hongda (002683.SZ) - The company is a leader in the civil explosives industry, with growth rates exceeding the industry average, and military business is poised for expansion [7][8] - Expected net profits for 2025-2027 are projected at 1.196 billion, 1.415 billion, and 1.772 billion yuan, respectively, with a target price of 47.2 yuan based on a 30x PE for 2025, rated as "Accumulate" [7][8] - Revenue from the domestic regions of Northwest, Southwest, and North China for 2024 is expected to be 2.69 billion, 1.14 billion, and 2.34 billion yuan, respectively, with significant year-on-year growth [8] Group 2: Yangnong Chemical (600486.SH) - The company is positioned as a leader in the pesticide industry, benefiting from an upward trend in industry conditions and a recovery in the market [11][12] - Projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 11.484 billion, 12.325 billion, and 13.536 billion yuan, with net profits of 1.443 billion, 1.654 billion, and 1.884 billion yuan, respectively, rated as "Accumulate" [11][12] - The company is expected to transition from a generic pesticide manufacturer to a CDMO for innovative drugs, enhancing its growth potential [12] Group 3: China Communications Construction Company (601800.SH) - The company holds a leading position in transportation infrastructure and is expected to benefit from increased domestic infrastructure projects and international expansion [14][15] - The company is the largest international engineering contractor in China, with a strong historical presence in overseas markets, contributing to growth [14][15] - A dividend plan has been announced, ensuring stable returns for investors, with a target price of 11.78 yuan based on an 8x PE for 2025, rated as "Buy" [14][15] Group 4: Xinzhou Bang (300037.SZ) - The company is focused on a comprehensive layout in the lithium battery and fluorochemical sectors, with clear growth in demand for fluorochemicals [18][19] - Expected net profits for 2025-2027 are projected at 1.130 billion, 1.501 billion, and 1.859 billion yuan, with significant year-on-year growth rates [18][19] - The company is enhancing its vertical integration and global layout, with ongoing projects in Malaysia and the US expected to boost profitability [18][19] Group 5: Haian Home (600398.SH) - The main brand has shown improvement, with revenue for the first half of 2025 reaching 11.566 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.73% [21][22] - The company is expanding its direct sales while reducing franchise operations, with a focus on new retail formats [21][22] - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 2.421 billion, 2.700 billion, and 2.947 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 12.2%, 11.5%, and 9.1% respectively, rated as "Buy" [24] Group 6: Xtep International (01368.HK) - The main brand has shown steady growth, with revenue for the first half of 2025 reaching 6.838 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.1% [26][27] - The company is focusing on the running segment, with strong performance in its professional sports line [26][27] - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 1.379 billion, 1.516 billion, and 1.664 billion yuan, with growth rates of 11.3%, 9.9%, and 9.8% respectively, rated as "Buy" [28] Group 7: Mindray Medical (300760.SZ) - The company reported total revenue of 16.743 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 18.45% [30][31] - International business showed resilience with revenue of 8.332 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.39%, while domestic revenue declined significantly [30][31] - The company plans to distribute a total of 3.298 billion yuan in cash dividends for 2025, representing 65.06% of its net profit for the first half of the year [31]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [11]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 9.15 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 63.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 500 million yuan, up 22.0% year-on-year [2][8]. - The acquisition of 60% of Dalian Changzhilin Technology Co., Ltd. for 1.02 billion yuan is expected to enhance the company's defense equipment segment and overall competitiveness in the military industry [14]. Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 5.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 64.9% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 50.4% [2][8]. - The company's mining service revenue for the first half of 2025 was 6.44 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 48.7% [14]. - The gross margin for the mining service segment was 16.5%, a decrease of 1.9 percentage points year-on-year [14]. Business Segments - The company’s revenue from civil explosives products reached 1.38 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 40.31%, primarily due to the consolidation of Changzhilin's revenue [14]. - The overseas business revenue totaled 720 million yuan, accounting for 7.9% of total revenue, with an 18.9% year-on-year growth [14]. Future Outlook - The company expects net profits attributable to shareholders to be 1.13 billion yuan, 1.34 billion yuan, and 1.69 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [14].