石化和炼油

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瑞达期货纯苯产业日报-20250820
Rui Da Qi Huo· 2025-08-20 09:11
Group 1: Report Summary - The short - term supply of pure benzene in China is expected to exceed demand, putting pressure on prices; in the medium - to - long - term, the supply - demand contradiction may improve as new downstream capacity in August is higher than that of pure benzene [2] - The supply of crude oil exceeds demand, and international oil prices are expected to fluctuate weakly due to positive signals from Russia - Ukraine peace talks [2] - Technically, for BZ2603, attention should be paid to the support around 6100 and the pressure around 6300 [2] Group 2: Market Data Futures Market - The closing price of the main pure benzene contract is 6205 yuan/ton, up 23 yuan; the settlement price is 6177 yuan/ton, down 13 yuan [2] - The trading volume of the main pure benzene contract is 11282 lots, up 7924 lots; the open interest is 13106 lots, down 877 lots [2] Spot Market - The mainstream price of pure benzene in the East China market is 6250 yuan/ton, unchanged; in the South China market, it is 6095 yuan/ton, down 5 yuan [2] - The FOB mid - price of pure benzene in South Korea is 732 US dollars/ton, unchanged; the CFR mid - price of pure benzene in China is 746.5 US dollars/ton, unchanged [2] Upstream Situation - The spot price of Brent DTD crude oil is 67.6 US dollars/barrel, unchanged; the CFR mid - price of naphtha in Japan is 574.5 US dollars/ton, up 3.75 US dollars [2] Industry Situation - The capacity utilization rate of pure benzene is 78.14%, up 0.13%; the weekly output is 44.52 tons, down 0.08 tons [2] - The port inventory of pure benzene is 14.6 tons, down 1.7 tons; the production cost is 5327.8 yuan/ton, down 118.2 yuan [2] - The production profit of pure benzene is 737 yuan/ton, up 76 yuan [2] Downstream Situation - The开工率 of styrene is 78.18%, up 0.45%; the capacity utilization rate of caprolactam is 95.72%, up 6.41% [2] - The capacity utilization rate of phenol is 78.54%, down 0.46%; the capacity utilization rate of aniline is 69.24%, down 0.1% [2] - The capacity utilization rate of adipic acid is 64.3%, up 2% [2] Group 3: Industry News - China will comprehensively rectify the petrochemical and refining industries, phasing out small facilities and upgrading backward capacity while directing investment towards advanced materials [2] - From August 8 - 14, the profit of petroleum benzene in China was 689 yuan/ton, up 113 yuan/ton; the BZ2603 fluctuated widely and closed at 6205 yuan/ton [2] - As of August 18, the commercial inventory of pure benzene in Jiangsu ports was 14.4 tons, down 1.37% [2]
规模最大的化工ETF(159870)盘中净申购3亿份,准备对其石化和炼油行业进行重大改革
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-20 06:54
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates a strong upward trend in the chemical industry, driven by significant reforms in China's petrochemical and refining sectors aimed at phasing out outdated facilities and investing in advanced materials [1][2] - The China Chemical Industry Theme Index (000813) has seen a notable increase of 1.26%, with key stocks such as Lianhong Xinke (003022) rising by 10.01% and Hengli Petrochemical (600346) by 9.66% [1] - The chemical ETF (159870) has also experienced a rise of 1.42%, with a latest price of 0.65 yuan and a net subscription of 300 million units during the trading session [1] Group 2 - China Galaxy Securities anticipates that the second half of the year will reveal structural opportunities in chemical products and a potential recovery in industry valuations, focusing on three investment themes: domestic demand, supply-side constraints, and new material localization [2] - As of July 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Chemical Industry Theme Index (000813) account for 43.54% of the index, including companies like Wanhua Chemical (600309) and Yilong Co. (000792) [2]