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稳、新、畅:三个关键字看7月经济运行成绩单
Group 1 - The rapid development of new productive forces such as artificial intelligence large models and humanoid robots is driving growth in emerging service industries like scientific research and technology services, with significant revenue increases in information services and R&D sectors [1] - Consumer spending is showing sustained growth, with retail service revenue increasing by 5.2% year-on-year from January to July, maintaining stability compared to the first half of the year, and notable growth in tourism and leisure-related consumption [1] - New policies for personal consumption loan interest subsidies and service industry loan interest subsidies are expected to boost consumption growth, particularly in the context of summer and National Day travel [1] Group 2 - The focus on strengthening domestic circulation has led to improved flows of people, goods, and capital, with railway passenger volume increasing by 6.6% year-on-year in July and freight volume reaching 452 million tons, a 4.5% increase [2] - The narrowing "scissors gap" between M2 and M1 year-on-year growth rates indicates improved capital circulation efficiency, aligning with trends of increased economic activity [2] - The economic outlook remains stable, supported by strong fundamentals, resilience, and potential for growth, with macro policies expected to maintain continuity and stability, focusing on service consumption and risk prevention [2] Group 3 - Upcoming projects supported by national and local government bonds are likely to accelerate, with a series of related policies aimed at expanding domestic demand [3] - Various levels of policies (macro, meso, and micro) are expected to intensify efforts across different sectors [3]
向新、向好、向未来!一组数据见证中国经济“含新量”
Core Insights - China's new quality productivity is steadily growing, contributing to high-quality development and injecting new momentum into the economy [1][5] Group 1: Technological Advancements - In 2024, China's R&D expenditure is expected to exceed 3.6 trillion yuan, with an intensity of 2.68%, surpassing the EU and approaching OECD averages [1] - High-tech industries are experiencing rapid growth, with the value added in the integrated circuit manufacturing and electronic materials sectors increasing by 26.9% and 21.7% year-on-year in July [2] - The digital economy is expanding quickly, with the value added in the digital product manufacturing sector growing by 8.4% year-on-year in July [3] Group 2: Green Development - In July, the production of new energy vehicles and lithium-ion batteries increased by 17.1% and 29.4% year-on-year, respectively [4] - The production of green materials such as carbon fiber and bio-based chemical fibers grew by 43.8% and 19.8% year-on-year [4] - The comprehensive utilization of waste resources saw a year-on-year increase of 11.7% in July [5] Group 3: Investment Trends - Investment in aerospace and equipment manufacturing increased by 33.9% year-on-year from January to July, while investment in computer and office equipment manufacturing grew by 16% [6] - The service sector, particularly in information services and R&D, is also experiencing significant growth, with double-digit revenue increases reported [8] Group 4: Economic Resilience - From January to July, the total retail sales of consumer goods grew by 4.8% year-on-year, indicating stable consumer demand [8] - Despite challenges, China's foreign trade remains resilient, with a 7.3% increase in goods exports during the same period [8][12] - The contribution rate of final consumption expenditure to economic growth reached 52% in the first half of the year, an increase of 7.5 percentage points compared to the previous year [11] Group 5: Policy Impact - The implementation of proactive macroeconomic policies has effectively stimulated production demand and supported stable economic growth [13][14] - The construction of a unified national market and the promotion of integrated domestic and international trade are expected to enhance economic vitality [12]
上半年我国服务业经济保持较快增长 向新向好态势继续巩固
Group 1 - The service industry in China showed a strong growth in the first half of the year, with a value added of 39,031.4 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.5% and accounting for 59.1% of the GDP, an increase of 0.7 percentage points compared to the previous year [1][2] - The contribution rate of the service industry to national economic growth was 60.2%, up by 5.8 percentage points year-on-year, with the service sector driving GDP growth by 3.2 percentage points, an increase of 0.5 percentage points [2] - In the second quarter, the service industry added value reached 19,517.2 billion yuan, growing by 5.7% year-on-year, with a contribution rate to economic growth rising to 61.2% [2] Group 2 - The service retail sales increased by 5.3% year-on-year, outpacing the growth of goods retail sales by 0.2 percentage points, while per capita service consumption expenditure rose by 4.9%, accounting for 45.5% of total per capita consumption expenditure [2] - Cultural and tourism consumption saw significant growth, with tourism services and cultural sports services increasing by 31.9% and 7.4% respectively, and the national box office exceeding 29.2 billion yuan, growing over 20% year-on-year [3] Group 3 - The high-tech service sector experienced robust demand, with fixed asset investment in high-tech services growing by 8.6% year-on-year, and investment in information services increasing by 37.4% [5] - The business activity index for the service industry remained above the critical point, averaging 50.2, indicating continued expansion and positive market expectations [6][7] Group 4 - The integration of technological and industrial innovation is deepening, with high-tech service enterprises showing revenue growth of 9.9% and strategic emerging service enterprises growing by 9.5% from January to May [4] - The digital technology application sector also saw a revenue increase of 11.2% year-on-year, reflecting ongoing innovation and optimization in digital service supply [4]