Core Viewpoint - The report from Shenwan Hongyuan maintains a "buy" rating for Kangnait Optical (02276), projecting net profit growth of 28.5%, 24.0%, and 23.1% for 2025-2027, with figures of 5.50, 6.82, and 8.40 billion yuan respectively. The company is a leading lens manufacturer with a solid product SKU matrix and strong upstream and downstream partnerships, showcasing significant supply chain advantages [1][2]. Group 1: Company Overview - Kangnait Optical is positioned as a leading enterprise in lens manufacturing, with a comprehensive product SKU matrix and stable upstream and downstream collaborations [1]. - The company has been actively expanding its domestic market presence and developing its own brand, creating new growth momentum [1]. - The increasing proportion of differentiated products is enhancing the company's profitability [1]. Group 2: Market Trends - The smart glasses market is experiencing robust growth, with Kangnait Optical strategically positioning itself to leverage first-mover advantages [1]. - The demand for smart glasses is expected to drive both volume and price increases in the lens industry, as consumers are willing to pay higher prices for premium lenses [2]. - The global demand for lenses is steadily increasing, particularly in China, where there is significant growth potential [2]. Group 3: Product Demand and Supply Dynamics - On the demand side, there is a shift towards high refractive index and functional upgrades in product structure, indicating a healthy global demand growth [2]. - International brands hold a first-mover advantage, but domestic companies like Kangnait Optical are gradually achieving import substitution [2]. - The combination of AR displays and optical lenses creates high barriers for pre-installed prescription lenses, leading to higher price points and a more optimized competitive landscape for quality suppliers [2].

Core Viewpoint - The report from Shenwan Hongyuan maintains a "buy" rating for Kangnait Optical (02276), forecasting net profit growth for 2025-2027 at 5.50, 6.82, and 8.40 billion yuan, representing year-on-year increases of 28.5%, 24.0%, and 23.1% respectively [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Kangnait Optical is a leading manufacturer in the lens industry with a comprehensive product SKU matrix and strong upstream and downstream partnerships, showcasing significant supply chain advantages [1] - The company has been actively expanding its domestic market presence and developing its own brand, creating new growth momentum [1] - The increasing proportion of differentiated products has led to continuous improvement in profitability [1] Group 2: Industry Trends - The smart glasses market is experiencing robust growth, with Kangnait Optical positioning itself advantageously, as evidenced by the continuous investment and acquisition of company shares by Goer [1] - Smart glasses combine attributes of new smart wearable devices and traditional eyewear, indicating a broad long-term market potential [1] - In 2024, global shipments of finished reading glasses and sunglasses are projected to be 277 million and 413 million pairs respectively, while shipments of myopia lenses and frames are expected to reach 816 million and 699 million pairs [1] Group 3: Market Demand and Supply - On the demand side, the product structure is upgrading towards high refraction and functionalization, with steady global demand growth and significant potential in China [2] - On the supply side, international brands hold a first-mover advantage, while domestic companies like Kangnait Optical are gradually achieving import substitution [2] - The smart glasses segment is expected to drive both volume and price increases in the industry, as consumers are willing to pay higher prices for lenses, thus facilitating product structure upgrades [2]

Summary of Conference Call on Smart Glasses and Connect Optical's Mid-Year Performance Industry Overview - The smart glasses industry is viewed as part of the broader consumer electronics sector, akin to the evolution seen with products like 5G smartphones and TWS earbuds [1][2] - The industry is currently in an early stage, with many domestic and international manufacturers launching new products [15][24] Key Points on Smart Glasses - Smart glasses face several core challenges, including weight, functionality, and price [5][19] - A significant pain point is the weight of smart glasses, which increases with added functionalities like waveguide components [3][19] - The industry is seeing a variety of manufacturers, particularly startups, entering the market [4][15] Technological Developments - Advances in lens manufacturing, particularly high refractive index lenses (e.g., 1.74), are crucial for addressing the needs of high myopia users [6][7] - The integration of ultra-thin lenses with waveguide technology is seen as a potential breakthrough for smart glasses [10][11] - Companies like Connect Optical are noted for their strong manufacturing capabilities and market share in high refractive index lenses [8][12] Market Potential - The potential market for smart glasses is substantial, with projections suggesting sales could reach hundreds of millions of units in the coming years [13][14] - The global market for traditional eyewear is estimated to be around 1.5 to 1.6 billion units, indicating significant room for growth in the smart glasses segment [14][30] Connect Optical's Performance - Connect Optical reported a 30.7% increase in profits for the first half of the year, aligning with previous forecasts [25] - Revenue growth was noted at 11%, although there was a decline in sales in the Americas, impacting overall performance [25][26] - The company is focusing on cost control and improving profit margins, with expectations for order volume to increase in the following year [27][28] Future Outlook - The ASP (Average Selling Price) and profit margins for smart glasses are expected to be significantly higher than traditional eyewear [18][19] - The industry is anticipated to see a surge in demand as more products are launched and consumer acceptance grows [14][30] - Retailers will play a crucial role in the distribution and fitting of smart glasses, similar to traditional eyewear [21][23] Conclusion - The smart glasses market is poised for growth, driven by technological advancements and increasing consumer interest, with companies like Connect Optical positioned to benefit from these trends [31]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance relative to the market benchmark [8]. Core Insights - The company reported a solid performance in H1 2025, with revenue reaching 1.084 billion RMB, a year-on-year growth of 11.0%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 273 million RMB, reflecting a 30.7% increase year-on-year [7]. - The company is focusing on optimizing its product structure and enhancing its domestic market presence, with significant growth in standard lens products and a strong emphasis on high-value products [7][8]. - The XR (Extended Reality) business is expanding successfully, with strategic partnerships enhancing growth opportunities, particularly in the smart glasses segment [8]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2023: 1.76 billion RMB, 2024: 2.061 billion RMB, 2025E: 2.403 billion RMB, 2026E: 2.786 billion RMB, and 2027E: 3.233 billion RMB, with growth rates of 13%, 17%, 17%, 16%, and 16% respectively [6]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 327 million RMB in 2023, increasing to 840 million RMB by 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 32%, 31%, 29%, 24%, and 23% [6]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to grow from 0.77 RMB in 2023 to 1.75 RMB in 2027, reflecting the company's improving profitability [6]. Market Position and Competitive Advantage - The company is recognized as a leading manufacturer in the lens industry, with a comprehensive product SKU matrix and strong upstream and downstream partnerships [8]. - The company is actively enhancing its domestic market and proprietary brand initiatives, which are expected to drive new growth momentum [8]. - The smart glasses market is experiencing rapid growth, with the company positioned to leverage its first-mover advantage and strategic collaborations to expand its market share [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a strong performance relative to the market [5][6][16]. Core Insights - The company has released a positive profit forecast for the first half of 2025, expecting a year-on-year increase of no less than 30% in net profit attributable to shareholders, driven by strong sales growth of high-refractive index and functional products, which also enhances the average selling price [5][6]. - The company is focusing on product structure upgrades and has established strong manufacturing capabilities, which are expected to drive steady revenue growth and improved profitability [5][6]. - The XR business has a significant competitive advantage, with strategic partnerships, particularly with Goer, expected to unlock further business development opportunities [5][6]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 1,760 million RMB - 2024: 2,061 million RMB (13% YoY growth) - 2025E: 2,403 million RMB (17% YoY growth) - 2026E: 2,790 million RMB (16% YoY growth) - 2027E: 3,248 million RMB (16% YoY growth) [2][7] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted as: - 2023: 327 million RMB - 2024: 428 million RMB (32% YoY growth) - 2025E: 550 million RMB (31% YoY growth) - 2026E: 682 million RMB (29% YoY growth) - 2027E: 840 million RMB (24% YoY growth) [2][7]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to increase from 0.77 RMB in 2023 to 1.75 RMB in 2027 [2][7]. Market Position and Competitive Landscape - The company is positioned as a leading manufacturer of optical lenses, with a comprehensive product SKU matrix and solid upstream and downstream partnerships [5][6]. - The smart glasses market is experiencing rapid growth, with significant sales increases expected for products like the second-generation Ray-Ban Meta, indicating a robust demand for innovative eyewear solutions [5][6]. - The company is actively expanding its domestic market presence and building its own brand, which is expected to contribute to new growth momentum [5][6].