Group 1 - The delayed employment report from the U.S. Labor Department indicates a complex labor market in early autumn, with non-farm payrolls increasing by 119,000 in September, significantly exceeding the market expectation of 50,000 [1][3] - The unemployment rate rose to 4.4%, the highest level since October 2021, while the August data was revised down to a loss of 4,000 jobs, marking the first negative value since January 2024 [1][3] Group 2 - The September employment report presents conflicting signals, with strong job growth reported but an increase in the unemployment rate from 4.3% in August to 4.4% in September [5] - The U-6 unemployment rate, which includes part-time workers seeking full-time employment, slightly decreased to 8% [5] - Average hourly earnings increased by 0.2% month-over-month, below the expected 0.3%, and year-over-year growth was at 3.8%, slightly above the expected 3.7% [5] Group 3 - The healthcare sector added 43,000 jobs in September, continuing a stable growth trend over the past year [7] - The restaurant and drinking places sector saw an increase of 37,000 jobs, while social assistance added 14,000 jobs [7] - Conversely, the transportation and warehousing sector lost 25,000 jobs, and federal government employment decreased by 3,000, totaling a loss of 97,000 jobs since January [7] Group 4 - There is increasing division within the Federal Reserve regarding the decision to lower interest rates in December, with some officials suggesting a rate cut may be appropriate if economic conditions align with expectations [9] - Following the release of the meeting minutes, market expectations for a rate cut in December significantly decreased, with the probability of maintaining rates rising to 67.2% [9] Group 5 - The Federal Reserve will face challenges due to the lack of key economic data, as the employment reports for October and November will be combined and released after the December meeting [11] - The absence of October unemployment data due to the government shutdown adds to the uncertainty surrounding the Fed's decision-making process [11]

Group 1: Employment Data Overview - The U.S. non-farm payrolls for September showed an increase of 119,000 jobs, significantly exceeding the market expectation of 50,000, marking the largest monthly gain since April [1] - The unemployment rate rose to 4.4%, slightly above the previous value of 4.3% and higher than the market expectation of 4.3%, indicating a structural change as more potential workers entered the job market [3] - Average hourly wage growth year-on-year was recorded at 3.8%, surpassing the expected 3.7%, while the month-on-month growth was only 0.2%, below the expected 0.3% [3] Group 2: Sector-Specific Employment Trends - The healthcare sector was a key driver of job growth, adding 43,000 jobs in September, with outpatient care contributing 23,000 and hospitals adding 16,000 [3] - Conversely, several sectors experienced job losses, including a reduction of 3,000 jobs in federal government employment, continuing a trend of workforce downsizing since January [4] - The transportation and warehousing sector saw a decrease of 25,000 jobs, linked to the slowdown in e-commerce growth and supply chain adjustments, while manufacturing lost 6,000 jobs amid ongoing economic recovery challenges [4] Group 3: Market Reactions - Following the data release, spot gold prices initially dropped nearly $20 but later rebounded as the market reacted to dovish signals from wage growth and rising unemployment [4] - Non-U.S. currencies strengthened, with the euro rising 30 points against the dollar and the pound increasing nearly 35 points, while the dollar index faced downward pressure [4] - Traders increased bets on a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, although the likelihood of a cut in December remains low [4]