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稳投资促消费政策全面加力,经济“收官战”积蓄增长动能
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2025-11-27 15:45
Economic Overview - The macroeconomic environment faces increased pressure and challenges due to slowing external demand and weakening domestic momentum, but positive factors are accumulating, supporting the completion of annual economic growth targets [2] - From January to October, profits of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 1.9% year-on-year, with a continuous growth rate maintained for three consecutive months since August [3][4] Industrial Performance - The high-tech and equipment manufacturing sectors are the main driving forces behind profit growth, with profits in the equipment manufacturing sector rising by 7.8% and high-tech manufacturing profits increasing by 8.0% year-on-year [4] - Traditional industries are also showing improvement, with significant profit growth in specific sectors such as chemical and building materials, where profits increased by 77.7% and 73.4% respectively [4] Physical Indicators - Key physical indicators are showing positive trends, with total electricity consumption in October reaching 857.2 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 10.4%, marking the highest monthly growth rate this year [5] - Railway freight volume reached a historical high, with 3.378 billion tons of goods transported from January to October, a 3% increase year-on-year [5] - The express delivery sector also saw robust growth, with a total volume of 162.68 billion packages delivered in the first ten months, up 16.1% year-on-year [5] Construction and Investment Policies - The government is intensifying growth stabilization policies, including the accelerated issuance of 200 billion yuan in special bonds to support investment construction [7][11] - The "Two Major" construction initiative is a key focus for expanding effective investment and fostering new productive forces, with significant funding allocated for major strategic projects [8][9] Infrastructure and Financial Tools - The National Development and Reform Commission is promoting the expansion of infrastructure REITs to include more sectors, enhancing investment in urban renewal and other areas [10] - New policy financial tools have been fully deployed, supporting over 2,300 projects with a total investment of approximately 7 trillion yuan, focusing on digital economy and urban infrastructure [11]
稳投资促消费政策全面加力,经济“收官战”积蓄增长动能
第一财经· 2025-11-27 15:36
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the challenges and pressures faced by the macro economy in the fourth quarter due to external demand slowdown and weakened domestic demand, while also highlighting positive indicators that suggest the potential to meet annual economic growth targets [3]. Economic Performance - From January to October, profits of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 1.9% year-on-year, with a continuous growth trend observed since August [4][5]. - In October, profits of industrial enterprises fell by 5.5% year-on-year, influenced by high base effects and rising financial costs [4]. - The revenue of industrial enterprises above designated size grew by 1.8% year-on-year, supporting profit recovery [4]. Sector Analysis - High-tech and equipment manufacturing sectors were the main drivers of profit growth, with profits in the equipment manufacturing sector rising by 7.8% and high-tech manufacturing profits increasing by 8.0% year-on-year [4][5]. - Traditional industries are also showing signs of improvement, with profits in certain sectors significantly exceeding the industry average [4]. Physical Indicators - Social electricity consumption reached 857.2 billion kWh in October, marking a 10.4% year-on-year increase, the highest monthly growth rate this year [7]. - Railway freight volume reached a historical high, with 3.378 billion tons of goods transported from January to October, a 3% increase year-on-year [7]. - The express delivery business volume grew by 16.1% year-on-year, reaching 162.68 billion pieces in the first ten months [8]. - Excavator sales increased by 17% year-on-year, indicating a recovery in the construction machinery sector [8]. Policy Measures - The government is intensifying growth stabilization policies, including the implementation of "two重" construction to support effective investment and cultivate new productive forces [9][10]. - New policy financial tools and an increase in special bond issuance are expected to bolster infrastructure investment [14]. - The National Development and Reform Commission is promoting the expansion of infrastructure REITs to support investment in various sectors [12][13].