2024年上半年，AI行业的投资还集中在以"AI六小龙"为代表的基座大模型赛道，直到今年初，AI大模 型赛道降温，AI硬件逐渐升温，市场开始寻找"新落点"——从底层算力转向中台服务、从软件应用走向 端侧硬件。AI玩具，这个既能结合硬件形态、又具备陪伴属性的细分方向，逐渐获得了关注。 黄缨宁曾是阿里巴巴P10高管、前第四范式AIOS（AI操作系统）总经理，拥有北京大学人工智能专业和 儿童心理学双学位。2024年，在一次例行遛娃的时候，黄缨宁推着快一岁的女儿散步，身边是三三两两 带娃的老人。旁边有个小男孩指着树问："这个树叶为什么黄了？前几天还是绿的。"他的奶奶敷衍地塞 了盒酸奶过去，让小男孩别问些有的没的。她想起日常生活中类似的一幕幕，人工智能和儿童心理的复 合学习经历让她反思，AI能给孩子做点什么？ 当时，作为AI硬件的分支，AI玩具进入市场视野，但这个被许多从业者视为"下一个风口"的赛道里，落 地的产品却陷入了同一个难题：堆砌技术名词，产品同质化严重，缺乏用户连接。市面上大量AI玩具 看起来"智能"，实际上只是换了壳的智能音箱，功能雷同、体验生硬，对话无法持续，很难真正建立起 人类所需要的"陪伴感"。 黄缨 ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry or Company Involved - The discussion primarily revolves around the A-share market in China, focusing on traditional core assets, consumer sectors, and macroeconomic conditions affecting investment strategies. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Market Recovery and Core Assets** The market is expected to return to traditional core assets by June 2025 due to improving domestic economic expectations, despite high-frequency data indicating that recovery is still pending. The sentiment around small-cap stocks has reached historical highs, which may trigger a style switch or correction [2][3][4] 2. **Focus on Consumer Sectors** The consumer sector is highlighted, particularly in new consumption areas such as elderly care, medical consumption, and maternal and infant products. Specific recommendations include retail, infant formula, baby care products, and AI toys [1][10] 3. **Performance of Traditional Core Assets** Financial sectors, particularly insurance and commercial banks, are recommended as core assets. Companies that have seen significant price declines since their 2021 highs but have shown continuous performance improvement are also emphasized [4][12][13] 4. **Macroeconomic Factors** Key macroeconomic events include potential peaks and declines in U.S. Treasury yields, domestic political disputes affecting tax reforms, and ongoing tariff issues that may disrupt markets. These factors could lead to short-term adjustments in both U.S. and A-share markets [5][6] 5. **Market Sentiment and Small-Cap Stocks** The sentiment around small-cap stocks is at a 90th percentile high, indicating a potential for profit-taking and market adjustments, which may shift focus from small-cap to large-cap stocks [8] 6. **Investment Recommendations in Consumer Areas** Specific recommendations in the consumer sector include emotional resource providers (e.g., pet companionship, beauty products) and anxiety relief products (e.g., jewelry, new-style tea drinks) [9] 7. **Long-term Focus on Core Assets** Long-term investment strategies should focus on companies that have shown consistent performance improvement over the last three years, particularly in the consumer and pharmaceutical sectors [12][14] 8. **Technological Growth and Mergers** The technology sector is advised to be monitored for potential mergers and acquisitions, especially in hard tech areas. Recent regulatory changes facilitate mergers among state-owned enterprises, which could lead to significant developments in AI, military, and heavy machinery sectors [15] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content 1. **Recent Index Adjustments** The recent adjustments to major indices like CSI 300 and CSI 1000 are expected to have significant impacts on ETF holdings, particularly benefiting newly added stocks in the banking sector and electronics [16][17] 2. **Consumer Product Trends** Improvements in production and pricing trends in the liquor and dairy sectors are noted, indicating a recovery in these areas despite overall low urgency in consumer spending [11]