Investment Rating - The report recommends focusing on solid-state battery equipment suppliers such as **XianDao Intelligent**, **LianYing Laser**, and **HangKe Technology**. It also suggests paying attention to companies involved in dry/wet electrode equipment and dry electrode & module PACK [2][8]. Core Insights - The front-end manufacturing process is crucial in lithium battery production, directly impacting battery performance and production line stability. The process includes the formation of positive and negative electrode sheets and solid electrolyte membranes, which are essential for energy density, rate performance, and cycle life [2][5][7]. - Solid-state batteries require the preparation of solid electrolyte membranes in addition to traditional electrode sheets, increasing the complexity and criticality of the manufacturing process [7][15]. - The solid-state battery front-end manufacturing process can be divided into dry and wet methods, with dry methods gradually becoming the mainstream due to their cost, process, and material compatibility advantages [2][12][15]. - Various dry film formation technologies exist, including fiberization, dry spray deposition, gas phase deposition, thermal extrusion, direct pressing, and 3D printing, each suitable for different applications [2][40]. Summary by Sections 1. Key Manufacturing Processes - The preparation of electrode sheets and electrolyte membranes is critical, directly influencing battery performance and mass production outcomes [5][11]. - The film formation process can be categorized into dry and wet methods, with dry methods being the future of high-performance solid-state batteries [11][12]. - Dry film formation paths are diverse, with fiberization seen as a promising route for future mass production [11][18]. 2. Market Potential - The market for front-end solid-state battery equipment is expected to reach **8 billion yuan** by 2029, driven by the anticipated increase in global solid-state battery capacity from **17 GWh** in 2024 to **200 GWh** in 2029 [8][9]. 3. Dry vs. Wet Process Advantages - Dry processes eliminate solvent use and drying steps, leading to lower energy consumption and manufacturing costs, while enhancing material utilization and environmental friendliness [15][18]. - Dry processes exhibit superior structural stability, allowing for higher packing densities and energy densities compared to wet processes [18][34]. 4. Solid Electrolyte Materials - Solid electrolyte materials are categorized into oxides, sulfides, polymers, and halides, with sulfides currently being the mainstream technology due to their high conductivity and processing performance [21][22]. 5. Future Developments - The evolution of solid-state batteries will involve the introduction of high-performance anodes and cathodes, with dry processes increasingly demonstrating compatibility advantages [26][30].

Core Viewpoint - The company is closely monitoring the development of solid-state battery technologies and market opportunities, actively engaging in the research and development of new packaging equipment and laser technology for solid-state battery manufacturing [1] Group 1 - The company is focusing on emerging technologies such as solid-state batteries [1] - The company is developing new packaging equipment specifically for solid-state batteries [1] - The company plans to collaborate with partners across the industry chain to facilitate the commercialization of solid-state batteries [1]

Summary of the Equity Research Report on China Battery Equipment Equities Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **China Battery Equipment** industry, particularly the companies **Lead Intelligent** and **Yinghe Technology** [1][11]. Key Points and Arguments Company Ratings and Price Targets - **Lead Intelligent**: Downgraded from Buy to Hold with a new target price of **RMB 54.00** (previously RMB 33.00) [2][4]. - **Yinghe Technology**: Downgraded from Buy to Hold with a new target price of **RMB 31.60** (previously RMB 28.50) [2][4]. - Both companies have seen significant share price increases of **70-157%** since May 15, 2025, outperforming the benchmark index (CSI 300) by **54-142 percentage points** [2][17]. Market Expectations and Technology Maturity - High market expectations exist for the demand outlook of **solid-state batteries**, but the technology is expected to take a long time to mature [2][17]. - The first generation of solid-state batteries has energy densities of **280-350 Wh/kg**, which is only slightly better than liquid-state batteries at **250-280 Wh/kg** [2][17]. - The equipment cost for solid-state batteries is estimated to be **3-5 times** that of liquid-state batteries, leading to no clear competitive advantage at launch [2][17]. Export Controls Impact - On **October 9, 2025**, China announced export controls on lithium-ion batteries, artificial graphite anode materials, and battery equipment, effective from **November 8, 2025** [3][21]. - Overseas business accounted for **17-46%** of revenue for key Chinese battery equipment makers in the first half of 2025, and these controls may prolong the order-to-delivery cycle for overseas orders [3][21]. Earnings Estimates - For **Lead**, 2026-27 earnings estimates were increased by **3%** due to a stronger order outlook for 3C equipment [4][20]. - For **Yinghe**, earnings forecasts for 2025-27 were maintained [4][20]. Industry Utilization and New Orders - The report anticipates a **41% surge** in new orders for battery equipment in 2025, driven by capacity expansion among key domestic lithium-ion battery manufacturers [17][20]. - The utilization rate for lithium-ion battery (LIB) equipment is projected to approach **2022 levels** [12]. Competitive Landscape - Chinese companies are among the top **5 LIB equipment manufacturers globally**, with a concentration ratio of approximately **40%** [21]. - The report highlights the need for new types of equipment due to the different production processes required for solid-state batteries compared to liquid-state batteries [35]. Additional Important Insights - The report emphasizes the long-term equipment replacement demand driven by the development of solid-state batteries, with mass production expected around **2027** [31]. - The addressable market for solid-state batteries is projected to reach approximately **5,200 GWh** by **2030** [34]. This comprehensive analysis provides insights into the current state and future outlook of the China Battery Equipment industry, highlighting both opportunities and challenges faced by key players.

Summary of Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment (300450.SZ) - **Market Cap**: Rmb92,748 million (approximately US$13,011 million) [2] Industry Context - **Regulatory Change**: On October 9, 2025, China's Ministry of Commerce announced a proposal to control the export of battery, cathode, anode, and manufacturing equipment, requiring exporters to apply for approvals before shipping goods overseas [1] Key Points Impact of Export Control - **Limited Impact on Wuxi Lead**: - Wuxi Lead does not export equipment to sensitive countries or regions, such as the US [1][1] - The majority of Wuxi Lead's overseas projects are for Chinese EV battery makers like CATL and BYD, which are expected to receive government approvals under the new regulation [1][1] - The largest customer in the first four months of 2025 was based in India, representing approximately 19% of total revenue for that period, which should also remain unaffected by the export control [1][1] Financial Outlook - **Target Price**: The 12-month target price for Wuxi Lead is set at Rmb46.0, based on a forward P/E ratio of approximately 39x, reflecting a higher multiple due to an anticipated business cycle turnaround [6][6] - **Expected Share Price Return**: A projected decline of 22.3% from the current price of Rmb59.220 [2][2] - **Expected Total Return**: Estimated at -21.8%, including a dividend yield of 0.5% [2][2] Risks - **Key Risks Identified**: - Worse-than-expected gross profit margin (GPM) [7][7] - Slower overseas project wins [7][7] - Delays in project acceptance, which could weaken operating cash flow [7][7] Additional Insights - **Market Reaction**: Following the announcement of the export control, Wuxi Lead's share price fell by approximately 10% on October 10, 2025 [1][1] - **Management Communication**: Discussions with management indicate confidence in the company's ability to navigate the new regulatory landscape without significant disruption [1][1] This summary encapsulates the critical aspects of the conference call regarding Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment, focusing on the implications of regulatory changes, financial projections, and associated risks.

Core Insights - Lead Intelligent Equipment Co., Ltd. (LEAD) has won the Second Prize in the AI category of the BRICS Industrial Innovation Contest 2025 for its LEADACE Predictive Maintenance (PHM) System [1][3][4] - The contest featured 1,396 global entries across five tracks, highlighting the competitive nature of the event [3] - The LEADACE PHM System addresses challenges in the lithium-ion battery industry by providing predictive maintenance capabilities, which are essential for TWh-scale manufacturing [5][6] Group 1: Award and Recognition - The LEADACE PHM System is recognized for its technological innovation, real-world impact, and industrial scalability, making LEAD the only Chinese lithium-ion battery cell equipment enterprise to win in the AI track [4] - The award is seen as a new starting point for LEAD to accelerate innovation and global expansion, contributing to a sustainable industrial future in BRICS countries [3] Group 2: Technological Advancements - The LEADACE PHM System integrates physics and AI for reliable fault diagnosis, utilizing electric motor thermodynamics and bearing dynamics [6] - It employs digital twin modeling to create high-precision, standardized digital twins of power components, which reduces costs and deployment time [6] - The system features closed-loop automation that predicts failures 7–15 days in advance, improving accuracy by over 25% compared to traditional methods [6] Group 3: Operational Impact - The implementation of the LEADACE PHM System has resulted in a 35% reduction in failure frequency and a 30% cut in total downtime [6] - Continuous monitoring of over 2,000 key components has led to annual savings exceeding RMB 10 million [6]

Summary of Conference Call Notes on China Industrial Tech: Battery Equipment Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the battery equipment industry in China, particularly focusing on companies Lead Intelligent and Hangke, which have seen significant share price increases of +121% and +68% respectively over the past 19 trading days, outperforming the CSI300 index which increased by +2% [1][2]. Key Points and Arguments Market Trends - A strong recovery in domestic battery equipment orders has been observed year-to-date, following a three-year downcycle in battery capital expenditures (capex) from 2022 to 2024 [1]. - Despite the recent surge in orders, the sustainability of this improvement is questioned due to anticipated deceleration in China’s New Energy Vehicle (NEV) sales starting from 2026E [1][6]. Company Performance - Lead Intelligent reported better-than-expected progress in solid-state battery (SSB) research and development, with initial SSB-related equipment orders amounting to Rmb400-500 million, which is a significant increase from Rmb100 million in FY24, although it still represents only 4% of total orders [1][2]. - Hangke's asset impairment loss to net income ratio improved to 22% in 1H25 from 37% in the previous downcycle, leading to a revision of target price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for both companies [2][39]. Financial Projections - Target prices for Lead Intelligent and Hangke have been revised to Rmb42.2 and Rmb22.9 respectively, reflecting a potential upside of +100% and +34% from previous estimates [2]. - Earnings forecasts for both companies remain unchanged, but Hangke has been downgraded from Neutral to Sell due to lower Tier-1 customer exposure and weaker order sustainability [2][39]. Capacity and Utilization - Battery manufacturing capacity expansion is expected to improve in 2025, but a sustained capex upcycle is not anticipated beyond that year [6]. - The overall battery industry utilization level is projected to be 72%-74% in 2025E-2026E, which is deemed insufficient to drive further capacity expansion [6]. Solid-State Battery (SSB) Insights - SSB technology is still in early stages, with significant challenges in scaling up production. Current orders for SSB equipment are primarily driven by R&D and testing rather than mass production [26][27]. - Lead Intelligent's SSB orders account for 4% of total orders, while Hangke's contribution is only 2% [34][35]. Competitive Landscape - Lead Intelligent has a higher Tier-1 customer exposure (78%) compared to Hangke (29%), which is expected to provide better market share in the solid-state battery equipment market [10][22]. - Hangke's focus on back-end equipment limits its exposure to the growing solid-state battery market, which may hinder its competitive position [45][60]. Additional Important Insights - The NEV industry in China is expected to experience growth moderation, which could impact battery demand forecasts [11][58]. - Upside risks for Hangke include potential increases in Tier-1 customer exposure and better-than-expected SSB R&D progress [58][62]. - The current share prices of both companies reflect optimistic market share expectations in the global battery equipment replacement market, with Lead Intelligent priced for a 50% market share by 2030E [33][37]. Conclusion - The battery equipment industry in China is experiencing a temporary recovery, but long-term sustainability is uncertain due to anticipated market changes and competitive dynamics. Lead Intelligent is positioned more favorably than Hangke, which faces challenges in maintaining order sustainability and market competitiveness.

Group 1 - The company, Xingyun Co., Ltd. (300648.SZ), has stated on its investor interaction platform that its battery testing equipment supports the demand for mainstream technology routes including oxides, polymers, and sulfides [1]

Core Viewpoint - The solid-state battery production equipment companies are experiencing a surge in orders, with total new and existing orders exceeding 30 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 70% to 80% [1] Group 1: Order Growth - Major equipment companies such as Xian Dao Intelligent, Hai Mu Xing, Ying He Technology, and Li Yuan Heng have reported significant order growth, with Xian Dao Intelligent's new orders reaching 12.4 billion yuan, a nearly 70% increase year-on-year [2] - Hai Mu Xing's new orders for the first half of 2025 amounted to approximately 4.42 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 117.5% [2] - Ying He Technology's contract liabilities reached a historical peak of 2.759 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 67% [2] Group 2: Technological Breakthroughs - The demand for solid-state battery production equipment is driven by technological advancements, including dry electrode processes and solid electrolyte composites [2] - Hai Mu Xing is the first in the industry to pursue dual technology routes of "silicon-carbon anode + sulfide electrolyte" [2] - Companies like Funeng Technology are making progress in solid-state battery testing, with plans to deliver 60Ah sulfide solid-state batteries to strategic partners by the end of the year [2] Group 3: Industry Chain Collaboration - The industrialization of solid-state batteries relies on collaboration across the supply chain, with companies like Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Industry Group enhancing their capabilities in key materials [3] - Minmetals New Energy Materials reported a revenue of 2.904 billion yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 15.85%, focusing on solid-state battery material technology [3] - CATL expects small-scale production of solid-state batteries by 2027, with plans for large-scale applications by 2030 [3] Group 4: Market Expansion - The expansion of downstream applications is opening new market opportunities, particularly in the electric vehicle sector, where NIO allocated a significant portion of its R&D budget to semi-solid battery production lines [4] - The low-altitude economy is also seeing advancements, with companies like EHang adopting high-energy-density cylindrical cells developed by Guoxuan High-Tech [4] - The solid-state battery industry is approaching a critical point for large-scale production, with ongoing technological breakthroughs and improved supply chain collaboration [4]

Core Insights - The report highlights the challenges and advancements in the design and manufacturing of isostatic pressing equipment, particularly for solid-state batteries, emphasizing the need for high structural, material, and precision standards [1][4]. Investment Highlights - Isostatic pressing technology has a wide range of applications across various industries, initially used in metals and ceramics, and now extending to aerospace, medical, automotive, and electronics sectors. The technology is categorized into cold, warm, and hot isostatic pressing, with warm isostatic pressing offering a balance between densification performance, production efficiency, and cost [2]. - Isostatic pressing can effectively address the solid-solid interface contact issues in solid-state batteries, enhancing densification and improving component contact. Warm isostatic pressing is identified as the optimal process due to its compatibility with the densification requirements of solid-state batteries, while minimizing adverse reactions at high temperatures [3]. - The market for isostatic pressing equipment in solid-state battery production is projected to reach approximately 2.9 billion yuan by 2029, with an estimated value contribution of around 13% to the production line [3]. Challenges - Current isostatic pressing equipment faces bottlenecks in safety and production capacity, with significant challenges in chamber design, temperature/pressure control systems, and overall safety assurance. These factors hinder the scalability of isostatic pressing for solid-state battery production [4]. - Enhancements in production efficiency can be achieved through process optimizations, increasing the pressure vessel volume, and adopting horizontal chamber structures to facilitate automation in solid-state battery production lines [5]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on solid-state battery equipment suppliers such as XianDiao Intelligent, while also suggesting attention to suppliers like LiYuanHeng, NaKonoEr, and others involved in isostatic pressing equipment [5].

Core Viewpoint - The solid-state battery scientific issues have been resolved and the current focus is on engineering challenges, aiming for commercialization by 2030 with small-scale production expected in 2027 [2][6] Group 1: Industry Progress - The solid-state battery product development is progressing well, with commercialization considerations focusing on cost [2][6] - The supply chain is expected to mature in 3-5 years, with a target for commercial viability by 2030 [2][6] Group 2: Equipment and Technology - Leading companies in the solid-state battery equipment sector include Xian Dao Intelligent (整线), Hong Gong Technology (混料&纤维化), and Na Ke Nuo Er (辊压), which are well-positioned to benefit from the rising demand for upstream equipment [3][4] - The PTFE fiberization method is anticipated to become the mainstream solution for dry film formation, requiring higher equipment performance in terms of pressure, precision, and uniformity [3][4] Group 3: Equipment Challenges - The isostatic pressing process presents significant technical challenges, requiring ultra-high pressures of 500-600 MPa, which raises safety concerns [4] - Companies like AVIC's subsidiary Chuanxi Machinery are leading in isostatic equipment, while Xian Dao Intelligent and Na Ke Nuo Er are accelerating their investments in this area [4] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - Key recommendations include Xian Dao Intelligent (整线), Lian Ying Laser (激光焊接), and Hang Ke Technology (化成分容) as solid-state battery equipment suppliers [6] - Other companies to watch include Hong Gong Technology (前道设备龙头), Ying He Technology (干/湿法电极), and Li Yuan Heng (整线供应商) among others [6]