Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company is expected to experience rapid growth in industrial revenue in the first half of 2025, with new pediatric drugs anticipated to gain market traction [5] - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 was 1.805 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 10.20%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 221 million yuan, down 7.83% [7] - The pharmaceutical industrial segment showed strong performance with a revenue increase of 23.07%, while the pharmaceutical commercial segment saw a decline of 37.82% due to restructuring efforts [7] - The company is focusing on a dual-brand strategy with "Longmu" for pediatric drugs and "Jianmin" for chronic disease and family medicine, which is expected to drive growth in the OTC product line [7] - The company is accelerating the commercialization of innovative traditional Chinese medicine, with significant new product launches and increased R&D investment [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For 2023, the projected revenue is 4.213 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 15.72%. However, a decline is expected in 2024 and 2025, with revenues of 3.505 billion yuan and 3.205 billion yuan respectively [6] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 521 million yuan in 2023, with a significant drop in 2024 to 362 million yuan, followed by a recovery to 448 million yuan in 2025 [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 3.40 yuan in 2023, decreasing to 2.36 yuan in 2024, and then recovering to 2.92 yuan in 2025 [6] Business Strategy - The company is implementing a brand strategy that focuses on enhancing the market share and influence of its pediatric drug line and OTC products [7] - The innovative traditional Chinese medicine products are expected to gain traction, with new approvals and increased market coverage [7] Future Outlook - The company anticipates net profits of 448 million yuan in 2025, 514 million yuan in 2026, and 586 million yuan in 2027, with respective growth rates of 24%, 15%, and 14% [7] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 14X for 2025, indicating a favorable valuation for potential investors [7]

Group 1: Report Overview - The report is about a research on Jianmin Group in the traditional Chinese medicine industry, with a research date of July 1, 2025 [1][2] Group 2: Research Basic Information - The research object is Jianmin Group, belonging to the traditional Chinese medicine industry, and the reception time was on July 1, 2025. The company's reception personnel included the company's director and president Wang Jun, board secretary Zhou Jie, securities affairs representative Cao Hong, and securities affairs assistant Wang Miao [17] Group 3: Detailed Research Institutions - The research institution is Liuhe Investment, a fund management company [20] Group 4: Main Content Product Sales - In 2025, the company optimized its marketing assessment system, advancing from "net sales assessment" to "net sales + profit". It overcame factors like consumption decline and reduced pharmacy foot - traffic in Q1 and achieved growth in pharmaceutical industry sales revenue. Longmu Zhuanggu Granules saw increased sales revenue and improved sales structure, while Biantong Capsules and Jianpi Shengxue Granules maintained good momentum. Hospital - line product sales were stable, and new product sales grew [22] Emerging Business - The company's traditional Chinese medicine diagnosis and treatment and big - health business are emerging. The traditional Chinese medicine diagnosis and treatment business developed healthily, with one new clinic opened in H1 and a total of four clinics in operation in Hanyang, Hankou, Wuchang, and Optics Valley. The big - health business focused on children's healthy growth, increasing core variety cultivation and differentiated product development [23] Innovative Traditional Chinese Medicine Sales - Since 2021, the company has successively obtained approvals for three innovative drugs. In 2025, it accelerated the commercialization of new products like Xiao'er Zibei Xuanfei Syrup and Qirui Weishu Capsules, with smooth market development. Xiao'er Niuhuang Tuire Plaster was newly approved, and its listing preparations are on schedule and will participate in this year's medical insurance negotiation. The company also increased R & D investment, advanced new drug projects, and optimized its product pipeline [24][25] Future Development Plan - The company will continue to focus on the core business of traditional Chinese patent medicine manufacturing, accelerate the incubation of emerging businesses, and achieve the "1 + N" strategic goal. Specific strategic measures are detailed in the company's "2024 Annual Report" and "June 2025 Investor Relations Activity Record" [26] Advertising and Marketing - As an OTC brand pharmaceutical company, it will strengthen brand power, create "Longmu" children's medicine brand and "Jianmin" chronic disease/family - essential medicine brand. It uses multiple advertising channels such as long - form videos, short - form videos, variety shows, CCTV, and elevator media, with advertising volume similar to last year [27] Marketing System Reform - In 2024, the company carried out a comprehensive marketing system reform. In 2025, it added profit contribution assessment on the basis of net sales assessment. It optimized the organizational structure, promoted digital construction, and reduced terminal inventory. As of the end of 2024, the channel inventory of Longmu Zhuanggu Granules on the OTC line and major products on the prescription line had basically returned to a reasonable level [28] Impact of Chinese Herbal Medicine Price - The overall decline in Chinese herbal medicine prices is beneficial for the company's cost reduction and profit improvement. The company's manufacturing center uses multiple procurement models and strengthens cooperation with upstream suppliers to ensure stable raw material supply [29][30]

Investment Rating - The report suggests maintaining attention on the company, indicating a neutral investment rating for the next six months [7]. Core Insights - The company experienced a significant decline in revenue and net profit in 2024, with revenue at 35.0 billion yuan, down 16.8% year-on-year, and net profit at 3.6 billion yuan, down 30.5% year-on-year. This decline is attributed to the pain of reform and a decrease in core product sales [7]. - Despite the challenges, the company is focusing on marketing reforms and innovation in drug development, with 31 projects under research and development [7]. - The company’s investment income remained stable, with a notable contribution from its subsidiary, which achieved a net profit of 6.9 billion yuan, up 22.1% [7]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 37.78 billion yuan, 41.34 billion yuan, and 45.35 billion yuan, respectively, with expected growth rates of 7.8%, 9.4%, and 9.7% [2]. - The net profit forecast for the same period is 5.27 billion yuan, 6.59 billion yuan, and 8.16 billion yuan, with growth rates of 45.5%, 25.0%, and 23.9% [2]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are projected to increase from 3.44 yuan in 2025 to 5.32 yuan in 2027 [2]. Business Segments - The pediatric segment, particularly the product Longmu Zhuanggu Granules, is expected to recover with a projected sales growth rate of 10% from 2025 to 2027 [8]. - The gynecology segment, including products like Xiaojin Capsules and Jianpi Shengxue Granules, is anticipated to see significant growth, with sales growth rates of 5% and 20%, respectively [8]. - The specialty Chinese medicine segment is projected to grow at 25% annually, driven by products like Jianmin Throat Tablets and Bian Tong Capsules [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a strong investment rating for the biopharmaceutical industry, particularly for the traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) sector, which is expected to benefit from multiple factors in 2025 [2]. Core Insights - The TCM sector is anticipated to experience a gradual reduction in performance pressure in 2025, driven by factors such as improved earnings, favorable policies, decreasing costs, rising demand, and consolidation within the industry [4][6]. - The report identifies five main investment opportunities within the TCM sector, including high-end OTC products, state-owned enterprise reforms, hospital-based TCM, dividend-paying assets, and turnaround situations for struggling companies [4][7]. Summary by Sections 1. Performance Outlook - The TCM sector faced overall revenue decline in 2024, with a total revenue of 270.61 billion yuan, down 3.28% year-on-year, and a net profit of 29.88 billion yuan, down 8.55% year-on-year [10]. - The number of companies forecasting negative net profit growth in 2024 is 22 out of 34, while only 12 companies expect positive growth [16]. 2. Policy Developments - The third batch of national TCM procurement results showed an average price reduction of 63%, but the impact on listed companies is limited due to the small number of affected products [20]. - A new essential drug list is expected to be released in 2025, which may include more TCM products, enhancing their market presence [24]. 3. Cost Factors - The TCM material price index has been declining since July 2024, which is expected to alleviate cost pressures for TCM companies and improve their gross margins starting in 2025 [28]. 4. Demand Dynamics - The recent increase in flu cases has driven demand for related treatment products, leading to a quicker clearance of inventory for cold and cough medications [34]. 5. Competitive Landscape - The TCM industry is experiencing frequent mergers and acquisitions, which are likely to enhance industry concentration and provide performance flexibility for related listed companies [39]. 6. Investment Opportunities - The report highlights five key investment themes: 1. High-end OTC TCM products, particularly those using natural bezoar as a key ingredient, are expected to see improved margins as supply stabilizes [45][54]. 2. State-owned enterprise reforms are anticipated to yield positive changes in management and strategic planning [7]. 3. Hospital-based TCM products are expected to gain market share due to regulatory support [7]. 4. Companies with strong cash flow and high dividend potential are viewed favorably [7]. 5. Companies currently facing challenges are expected to improve as inventory pressures ease [7]. 7. Recommended Stocks - The report suggests monitoring companies such as Kunming Pharmaceutical, Tongrentang, Darentang, Jiangzhong Pharmaceutical, Dong'e Ejiao, China Resources Sanjiu, Yunnan Baiyao, Tianshili, Fangsheng Pharmaceutical, and others for potential investment opportunities [4].