Group 1: Report Overview - The report is about a research on Jianmin Group in the traditional Chinese medicine industry, with a research date of July 1, 2025 [1][2] Group 2: Research Basic Information - The research object is Jianmin Group, belonging to the traditional Chinese medicine industry, and the reception time was on July 1, 2025. The company's reception personnel included the company's director and president Wang Jun, board secretary Zhou Jie, securities affairs representative Cao Hong, and securities affairs assistant Wang Miao [17] Group 3: Detailed Research Institutions - The research institution is Liuhe Investment, a fund management company [20] Group 4: Main Content Product Sales - In 2025, the company optimized its marketing assessment system, advancing from "net sales assessment" to "net sales + profit". It overcame factors like consumption decline and reduced pharmacy foot - traffic in Q1 and achieved growth in pharmaceutical industry sales revenue. Longmu Zhuanggu Granules saw increased sales revenue and improved sales structure, while Biantong Capsules and Jianpi Shengxue Granules maintained good momentum. Hospital - line product sales were stable, and new product sales grew [22] Emerging Business - The company's traditional Chinese medicine diagnosis and treatment and big - health business are emerging. The traditional Chinese medicine diagnosis and treatment business developed healthily, with one new clinic opened in H1 and a total of four clinics in operation in Hanyang, Hankou, Wuchang, and Optics Valley. The big - health business focused on children's healthy growth, increasing core variety cultivation and differentiated product development [23] Innovative Traditional Chinese Medicine Sales - Since 2021, the company has successively obtained approvals for three innovative drugs. In 2025, it accelerated the commercialization of new products like Xiao'er Zibei Xuanfei Syrup and Qirui Weishu Capsules, with smooth market development. Xiao'er Niuhuang Tuire Plaster was newly approved, and its listing preparations are on schedule and will participate in this year's medical insurance negotiation. The company also increased R & D investment, advanced new drug projects, and optimized its product pipeline [24][25] Future Development Plan - The company will continue to focus on the core business of traditional Chinese patent medicine manufacturing, accelerate the incubation of emerging businesses, and achieve the "1 + N" strategic goal. Specific strategic measures are detailed in the company's "2024 Annual Report" and "June 2025 Investor Relations Activity Record" [26] Advertising and Marketing - As an OTC brand pharmaceutical company, it will strengthen brand power, create "Longmu" children's medicine brand and "Jianmin" chronic disease/family - essential medicine brand. It uses multiple advertising channels such as long - form videos, short - form videos, variety shows, CCTV, and elevator media, with advertising volume similar to last year [27] Marketing System Reform - In 2024, the company carried out a comprehensive marketing system reform. In 2025, it added profit contribution assessment on the basis of net sales assessment. It optimized the organizational structure, promoted digital construction, and reduced terminal inventory. As of the end of 2024, the channel inventory of Longmu Zhuanggu Granules on the OTC line and major products on the prescription line had basically returned to a reasonable level [28] Impact of Chinese Herbal Medicine Price - The overall decline in Chinese herbal medicine prices is beneficial for the company's cost reduction and profit improvement. The company's manufacturing center uses multiple procurement models and strengthens cooperation with upstream suppliers to ensure stable raw material supply [29][30]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [1][50]. Core Insights - Eli Lilly's first oral small molecule GLP-1 drug, Orforglipron, has successfully completed Phase 3 clinical trials, which is expected to change the landscape of weight loss medications [3][4]. - The ACHIEVE-1 trial showed that Orforglipron significantly reduced HbA1c levels by 1.3% to 1.6% from a baseline of 8.0% after 40 weeks, with over 65% of patients achieving HbA1c levels ≤6.5% [3][4]. - Patients receiving the highest dose of Orforglipron lost an average of 7.3 kg, indicating potential for further weight loss [4]. - Eli Lilly plans to submit a global application for Orforglipron for weight management by the end of this year and for type 2 diabetes treatment in 2026 [4][5]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The successful Phase 3 trial of Orforglipron positions it as a potential second oral GLP-1 drug in the U.S., following Novo Nordisk's Rybelsus [5]. Investment Strategy - Focus on "innovation," "overseas expansion," "equipment upgrades," and "consumer recovery" as key investment themes [7]. - Recommended companies include innovative drug developers and those with strong overseas market potential [7]. Key Companies to Watch - **Nocera Health**: Expected to achieve over 1 billion yuan in revenue from its core product, with a projected 49% year-on-year growth [8]. - **Sihuan Pharmaceutical**: Strong fundamentals with a stable growth outlook, particularly in the ADC market [11]. - **China Biopharmaceutical**: Rapid revenue growth with a focus on innovative products [13]. - **Aier Eye Hospital**: Benefiting from increasing demand in ophthalmology and ongoing overseas expansion [22]. Market Performance - The pharmaceutical sector saw a decline of 0.36% last week, while the broader market index rose by 0.59% [25][36].

Core Viewpoint - Jianmin Group's 2024 annual report reveals a significant decline in both revenue and net profit, marking the first annual performance drop in six years, despite the strong sales of its flagship product, Longmu Zhuanggu Granules [2][4][6]. Financial Performance - The company achieved operating revenue of 3.505 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 16.81% from 4.213 billion yuan in 2023 [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 362 million yuan, down 30.54% from 521 million yuan in the previous year [3][4]. - The cash flow from operating activities was 234 million yuan, a decrease of 12.71% compared to 268 million yuan in 2023 [3][11]. Product Performance - Longmu Zhuanggu Granules, the company's core product, has sold 300 billion bags since its launch over 30 years ago, but its sales volume decreased significantly in 2024 due to inventory reduction efforts [5][6]. - Pediatric product sales volumes fell by 41.67% and 32.44% year-on-year, while gynecological and specialty traditional Chinese medicine products also saw declines [6]. Market Position and Competition - Jianmin Group's revenue of 3.505 billion yuan in 2024 is significantly lower compared to leading industry players such as Baiyunshan (749.93 billion yuan) and Huaren Sanjiu (276.17 billion yuan) [9]. - The company faces increasing competition from other brands offering similar pediatric products, despite having a unique formula and production process for Longmu Zhuanggu Granules [7]. Strategic Initiatives - The company plans to utilize up to 1.4 billion yuan of idle funds for cash management through low-risk financial products, aiming to enhance returns without affecting daily operations [4]. - Jianmin Group is undergoing a marketing system reform and enhancing digital capabilities to address declining sales and improve inventory management [6][12]. R&D and Future Outlook - The company invested 97.16 million yuan in R&D in 2024, accounting for 2.77% of revenue, which is relatively low compared to industry peers [11]. - Despite the challenges, Jianmin Group emphasizes R&D innovation as a core driver for future growth, focusing on developing new pediatric generic and modified drugs [11][12].

Core Views - The report maintains a positive outlook on the biopharmaceutical industry, expecting it to outperform the market due to minimal impact from recent U.S. tariff policies on drug sectors [4][5] - The report emphasizes continued optimism for innovative drugs and sectors related to consumer recovery, highlighting the resilience of the pharmaceutical sector amidst tariff changes [4][5] Industry Insights - The recent U.S. tariff policy has a limited effect on the pharmaceutical sector, with most drugs, including various chemical drugs, vaccines, and biological products, exempt from tariffs. Raw materials like vitamins and amino acids are also on the exemption list [4][27] - The report suggests that the innovative drug sector has shown significant growth, providing a selection of quality stocks based on criteria such as strong fundamentals, potential in research pipelines, and favorable cash positions [4][5] Investment Strategy - The report recommends focusing on four main themes: "Innovation," "Going Global," "Equipment Upgrades," and "Consumer Recovery" [5] - **Innovation**: Invest in globally competitive innovative drugs and promising categories, with specific companies highlighted such as BeiGene and East China Pharmaceutical [5] - **Going Global**: Identify opportunities in overseas markets, with companies like Mindray Medical and Sinocare suggested for investment [5] - **Equipment Upgrades**: Expect support for medical equipment updates from government policies, with companies like Mindray Medical and United Imaging Healthcare recommended [5] - **Consumer Recovery**: Anticipate a rebound in sectors like ophthalmology and aesthetic medicine, with companies like Prue Eye Hospital and Tongce Medical highlighted [5] Key Companies to Watch - **Nocare Biopharma**: Expected to achieve revenue of 1.009 billion in 2024, with a 49% year-on-year growth in sales of its core product, Oubatinib [6] - **Sihuan Pharmaceutical**: Strong fundamentals with a stable performance, and a promising pipeline with multiple products expected to be approved between 2025 and 2027 [9] - **East China Pharmaceutical**: Anticipated growth driven by the commercialization of domestic nuclear medicine products and a robust R&D pipeline [10] - **China Biopharmaceutical**: Rapid revenue growth with an increasing proportion of innovative products, indicating potential for accelerated profit growth [11] - **Aier Eye Hospital**: Benefiting from growing demand in ophthalmology and favorable policies for private specialty hospitals, with significant expansion plans [21]

Investment Rating - The report suggests maintaining attention on the company, indicating a neutral investment rating for the next six months [7]. Core Insights - The company experienced a significant decline in revenue and net profit in 2024, with revenue at 35.0 billion yuan, down 16.8% year-on-year, and net profit at 3.6 billion yuan, down 30.5% year-on-year. This decline is attributed to the pain of reform and a decrease in core product sales [7]. - Despite the challenges, the company is focusing on marketing reforms and innovation in drug development, with 31 projects under research and development [7]. - The company’s investment income remained stable, with a notable contribution from its subsidiary, which achieved a net profit of 6.9 billion yuan, up 22.1% [7]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 37.78 billion yuan, 41.34 billion yuan, and 45.35 billion yuan, respectively, with expected growth rates of 7.8%, 9.4%, and 9.7% [2]. - The net profit forecast for the same period is 5.27 billion yuan, 6.59 billion yuan, and 8.16 billion yuan, with growth rates of 45.5%, 25.0%, and 23.9% [2]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are projected to increase from 3.44 yuan in 2025 to 5.32 yuan in 2027 [2]. Business Segments - The pediatric segment, particularly the product Longmu Zhuanggu Granules, is expected to recover with a projected sales growth rate of 10% from 2025 to 2027 [8]. - The gynecology segment, including products like Xiaojin Capsules and Jianpi Shengxue Granules, is anticipated to see significant growth, with sales growth rates of 5% and 20%, respectively [8]. - The specialty Chinese medicine segment is projected to grow at 25% annually, driven by products like Jianmin Throat Tablets and Bian Tong Capsules [9].