文 | 赵晋平 提要： 2025 年以来，我国服务贸易在上年实现较快增长基础上继续保持稳定增长态势，发展质量稳步提升。商务部公布的服务贸易统计显示， 2025 年 1-5 月， 服务进出口额达到 3.2 万亿元，同比增长 7.7% ，其中，服务出口为 1.4 万亿元，增长 15.1% 。另据中国服务贸易协会课题组编制的季度指数测算， 2025 年 1- 2 季度中国服务出口发展综合指数达到 107.9% ，服务贸易发展质量和水平继续保持上升趋势。但是，受年初以来美国滥施关税政策、地缘冲突加剧以及国 内服务消费需求不足等因素影响，服务贸易较快增长和结构升级的不确定性明显增加，稳外贸、促增长作用亟待进一步加强。本报告基于中国服务贸易季 度指数测算结果，对今年上半年服务出口、进口和收支平衡的主要特点进行分析，对 3-4 季度发展形势作出展望，并在此基础上，从短期政策、中长期政 策、促进机制建设等三个维度，提出十项政策建议。 一、服务贸易发展主要特点 根据商务部服务贸易统计的测算结果显示，2025 年1-2 季度，中国服务进出口发展综合指数达到102.2%，服务贸易总体发展水平呈现继续稳步提升态势。 从十大成分指数来 ...

Core Insights - In June 2025, China's international balance of payments for goods and services trade reached 42,214 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 6% [1] - The goods trade surplus was 6,073 billion yuan, with exports at 21,185 billion yuan and imports at 15,112 billion yuan [1][3] - The services trade recorded a deficit of 1,043 billion yuan, with exports at 2,437 billion yuan and imports at 3,480 billion yuan [1][3] Goods Trade - Goods trade exports totaled 21,185 billion yuan (3,292 billion USD), while imports were 15,112 billion yuan (2,591 billion USD) [1][2] - The goods trade surplus was 6,073 billion yuan (846 billion USD) [3][2] Services Trade - Services trade exports amounted to 2,437 billion yuan (340 billion USD), with imports at 3,480 billion yuan (485 billion USD) [1][2] - The services trade deficit was 1,043 billion yuan (145 billion USD) [3][2] Major Components of Services Trade - Transportation services had an import-export scale of 1,639 billion yuan, while travel services reached 1,603 billion yuan [1] - Other commercial services totaled 967 billion yuan, and telecommunications, computer, and information services accounted for 659 billion yuan [1]