同时，Booking公布的第一季度总预订量指引好于预期，表明旅游业持续强劲。Priceline母公司在一份声 明中表示，预计总预订量将增长15%(取中间值)，高于分析师此前预测的13%增幅。该指标反映的是客 户预订的旅行服务总价值(扣除取消订单后)，是公司收入的关键驱动因素。其收入指引也超出预期(取中 间值)。 这家总部位于康涅狄格州诺沃克的公司宣布将大幅增加由其储蓄计划资助的再投资。该公司计划在2026 年比往常支出水平增加约7亿美元，高于2025年的约1.7亿美元再投资额。首席财务官在财报电话会议上 表示，这些投资将用于拓展人工智能、地域扩张和广告业务。该公司预计这些举措今年将带来约4亿美 元的额外收入。 Booking还指出，第四季度平均每日房价略有下降(这是衡量价格和旅客每晚支出的一个关键指标)，而 且与去年同期相比，入住时间也缩短了。Steenbergen表示，这些趋势"可能表明，一些消费群体仍在谨 慎对待他们的可自由支配支出"。 美国股市中估值最高的股票之一即将大幅降价。Booking Holdings(BKNG.US)的股票周三收于每股 4,269.99美元，该公司表示，其董事会已批准按1:25 ...

Core Viewpoint - In 2025, China's service trade is expected to grow steadily, with a total import and export value of 80,823.1 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7.4% [1]. Group 1: Service Trade Overview - The export value of services is projected to reach 36,267.9 billion yuan, growing by 14.2%, while imports are expected to be 44,555.1 billion yuan, with a growth of 2.5% [1]. - The service trade deficit is anticipated to be 8,287.2 billion yuan, a decrease of 3,439.5 billion yuan compared to the previous year [1]. Group 2: Knowledge-Intensive Services - Knowledge-intensive service trade is expected to maintain growth, with a total import and export value of 30,879.5 billion yuan, an increase of 6.6% [1]. - Key segments such as other business services and telecommunications, computer, and information services are projected to have import and export values of 13,332.9 billion yuan and 11,038.1 billion yuan, with growth rates of 5.5% and 10.4% respectively [1]. - The export of knowledge-intensive services is forecasted to be 18,321.2 billion yuan, growing by 10.5%, while imports are expected to be 12,558.3 billion yuan, with a growth of 1.3% [1]. - The surplus in knowledge-intensive services is projected to expand to 5,762.9 billion yuan, an increase of 1,581.7 billion yuan from the previous year [1]. Group 3: Travel Services - Travel services are expected to see significant growth, with total import and export values reaching 22,067 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 7.6% [1]. - The export of travel services is projected to grow by 49.5%, while imports are expected to increase by 1.4% [1]. Group 4: Trade with APEC Economies - In 2025, the total import and export value between China and other APEC economies is expected to reach 26.29 trillion yuan, accounting for 57.82% of the total foreign trade value [7]. - High-tech product exports are projected to be 4.63 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 8.1%, while imports in key sectors such as energy, agricultural products, semiconductor equipment, and precision instruments are also expected to grow rapidly [7]. - New business models and cross-border e-commerce are anticipated to flourish, with digital trade and green trade becoming new highlights of foreign trade growth [7].

Core Viewpoint - In 2025, China's service trade is expected to continue its steady and positive development, with total import and export volume reaching 80,823.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.4%, reflecting the resilience and potential of China's service industry and foreign trade structure amidst global economic uncertainties [1] Group 1: Service Trade Performance - The export growth rate of service trade in 2025 is significantly higher than that of imports, contributing to the narrowing of the trade deficit [3] - Travel services are particularly noteworthy, with import and export volume reaching 22,067 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.6%, driven by the recovery of inbound and outbound tourism [3] - The growth of travel services not only boosts the scale of service trade but also positively supports domestic consumption and employment [3] Group 2: Demand Side Dynamics - The upgrading of resident consumption structure is a key internal driver for the continuous expansion of service trade, as rising income levels and changing consumption concepts increase demand for high-quality and diverse services [4] - The significant narrowing of the service trade deficit in 2025 is a highlight, attributed to the enhanced international competitiveness of domestic service enterprises and the continuous optimization of export structure [4] - The narrowing of the deficit results from a combination of export expansion, import structure adjustment, and improvements in service industry efficiency [4] Group 3: External Environment - The global service trade is undergoing a new round of structural adjustments, with trends towards digitalization, online services, and platformization providing new opportunities for Chinese service enterprises [5] - Ongoing regional economic cooperation is creating favorable conditions for expanding service trade market space [5] - Progress in aligning service trade rules and standards will further reduce the institutional costs for enterprises going global [5] Group 4: Policy Support and Future Outlook - The steady growth of service trade is supported by a series of policy measures aimed at expanding service industry openness and promoting digital trade innovation [6] - Service trade is becoming an important support for stabilizing foreign trade and growth, with a focus on enhancing the professional and international capabilities of service supply rather than merely pursuing scale expansion [6] - Looking ahead, there is significant growth potential in service trade, particularly in travel services and emerging fields such as digital and professional services [6] - Overall, the positive progress in scale growth, structural optimization, and narrowing of the deficit in 2025 will provide important support for foreign trade stability and inject new momentum into high-quality economic development [6]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government is implementing a new plan to accelerate the cultivation of new growth points in service consumption, aiming to enhance the quality of service consumption and promote economic development [1][9]. Group 1: Policy Framework - The plan establishes a "1+N" policy system to optimize and expand service supply, focusing on enhancing service consumption as a key driver of high-quality economic growth [1][9]. - It highlights a shift in consumer spending from goods to services, with an expected annual growth rate of 8.5% in per capita service consumption expenditure from 2020 to 2025, reaching 46.1% of total per capita consumption by 2025 [1][9]. Group 2: Key Areas of Focus - The plan targets key sectors such as transportation services, domestic services, online audio-visual services, travel services, automotive aftermarket services, and inbound consumption, along with potential sectors like performance services and sports events [2][10]. - Specific measures include relaxing market access, removing unreasonable restrictions, fostering quality brands, and optimizing the consumption environment [2][10]. Group 3: Employment and Economic Circulation - The initiative aims to leverage new growth areas to enhance employment opportunities, thereby promoting a virtuous cycle of employment, income, and consumption [3][11]. Group 4: Inbound Consumption and Travel Services - The government plans to introduce measures to boost travel service exports and expand inbound consumption, with projections of 82.035 million inbound travelers by 2025, a 26.4% increase year-on-year [4][12]. - The number of tax refund stores is expected to reach nearly 13,000 by the end of 2025, with a projected 95.9% increase in sales of tax refund goods [4][12]. Group 5: Transportation and Sports Consumption - The night cruise economy and yacht consumption are identified as new growth points in the transportation sector, with measures being developed to promote high-quality development in these areas [6][13]. - The sports sector is also highlighted, with significant consumer spending driven by events, with 1,947 monitored events generating 43.128 billion yuan in consumption in 2025 [6][14].

2月6日，国新办举行国务院政策例行吹风会，介绍《加快培育服务消费新增长点工作方案》（以下简称 《方案》 ）有关情况。会上，商务部副部长鄢东、交通运输部综合规划司负责人刘东、商务部服务贸易和 商贸服务业司司长孔德军、广电总局网络视听节目管理司司长王小亮、体育总局体育经济司负责人艾郁对 《方案》落实及后续政策部署等热点问题作出回应。 搭建培育服务消费新增长点"1+N"政策体系 近年来，随着居民生活水平提升，中国居民消费结构从商品消费为主向商品消费和服务消费并重转变，服务消 费日益成为经济高质量发展的重要引擎。 数据显示，2020—2025年中国居民人均服务性消费支出年均增长8.5%，人均服务性消费支出占居民人均消费 支出的比重上升了3.5个百分点，2025年这一比重达到了46.1%。 已于日前印发的《方案》进一步优化和扩大服务供给、培育服务消费新增长点，促进服务消费提质惠民作出系 统部署。 《方案》围绕激发重点领域发展活力、培育潜力领域发展动能、加强支持保障等三个方面，提出了相关支持举 措。聚焦交通服务、家政服务、网络视听服务、旅居服务、汽车后市场服务、入境消费等重点领域，以及演出 服务、体育赛事服务、情绪式体验 ...

新华社图 郭晨凯 制图 加快培育服务消费新增长点 多部委将推出利好政策 ◎记者 白丽斐 国新办2月6日举行国务院政策例行吹风会，商务部、交通运输部、广电总局、体育总局相关负责人出席 介绍《加快培育服务消费新增长点工作方案》（下称《工作方案》）相关情况，"剧透"将制定推出的多 项利好政策。 商务部副部长鄢东表示，商务部将会同相关部门搭建培育服务消费新增长点的"1+N"政策体系，以《工 作方案》这个"1"为统领，按照"一业一策"的思路，制定出台家政、汽车后市场、演艺、铁旅融合、入 境消费等10多项具体领域支持政策，推动清理制约服务消费的不合理限制性措施，优化细化制度供给， 为培育服务消费新增长点营造稳定透明可预期的政策环境。 将制定促进旅行服务出口、扩大入境消费相关政策措施 入境消费在提振消费方面发挥着重要的作用。数据显示，2025年，全国各口岸出入境外国人8203.5万人 次，同比增长26.4%。截至2025年底，全国离境退税商店近1.3万家；2025年离境退税商品销售额同比增 长95.9%。 鄢东介绍，下一步，商务部将牵头抓好《工作方案》落实落地，加强政策设计，优化平台建设，持续打 造"购在中国"品牌，不断吸 ...

Group 1: Service Consumption Growth Initiatives - The Ministry of Commerce will lead the formulation of policies to promote travel service exports and expand inbound consumption [1][2] - The Ministry of Commerce is accelerating the development of a service consumption quality improvement action plan, which includes over 60 specific measures [1][2] - The Ministry of Transport is working on measures to expand yacht consumption and promote high-quality development of night cruise services [1][4][5] Group 2: Automotive and Transportation Services - The Ministry of Commerce will develop policies to promote high-quality development in the car rental sector, optimizing service networks and fostering collaboration with tourism [3] - The Ministry of Transport plans to enhance self-driving travel services and improve the rental service network for small and micro vehicles [4][5] Group 3: Cultural and Entertainment Services - The National Radio and Television Administration will implement the "Micro Short Drama Development Management Measures" to promote micro short dramas as a means to boost service consumption [6] - The State Sports General Administration is focusing on developing the sports event economy and will create a document to facilitate high-quality development in this area [7] Group 4: International Consumption Environment - The Ministry of Commerce is supporting pilot cities to enhance high-quality consumption offerings and create international consumption clusters [2] - Efforts will be made to improve tax refund services for outbound tourists, increasing the number of tax refund stores to attract foreign visitors [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the steady growth of China's service trade, with a total import and export value projected to reach 80,823 billion yuan by 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.4% [1][2] Group 2 - The import value of services reached 36,267.9 billion yuan, while the export value was 44,555.1 billion yuan, indicating a growth of 14.2% for imports and 2.5% for exports [2] - The service trade deficit decreased by 3,439.5 billion yuan compared to the previous year, with a surplus expanding by 1,581.7 billion yuan [2][3] Group 3 - Knowledge-intensive service trade maintained growth, with a total import and export value of 30,879.5 billion yuan, marking a 6.6% increase [2] - The import of knowledge-intensive services was 18,321.2 billion yuan, showing a growth of 10.5%, while exports grew by 1.3% [2] Group 4 - Travel service exports experienced rapid growth, with a total import and export value of 22,067 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 7.6% [3] - Travel service exports surged by 49.5%, while imports saw a modest increase of 1.4% [3]

本报记者 刘萌 展望未来，陈建伟认为，随着我国数字贸易创新力度的加大，预计知识密集型服务贸易的占比将进一步提升，成为抵御全 球经济波动的稳定器。服务消费新增长点的培育，将促使我国服务贸易从被动承接国际分工，转向主动输出中国标准与文化品 牌的新格局。 2月5日，商务部发布数据显示，2025年，我国服务贸易稳步增长，服务进出口总额80823.1亿元（人民币，下同），同比增 长7.4%。其中，出口36267.9亿元，增长14.2%；进口44555.1亿元，增长2.5%；服务贸易逆差8287.2亿元，比上年减少3439.5亿 元。 具体来看，知识密集型服务贸易保持增长。2025年，知识密集型服务进出口30879.5亿元，增长6.6%。其中，其他商业服 务、电信计算机和信息服务进出口13332.9亿元、11038.1亿元，增速分别为5.5%、10.4%。知识密集型服务出口18321.2亿元， 增长10.5%；知识密集型服务进口12558.3亿元，增长1.3%；顺差5762.9亿元，比上年扩大1581.7亿元。 苏商银行特约研究员付一夫对《证券日报》记者表示，2025年旅行服务出口高速增长，主要得益于强效的政策推动和持续 ...

知识密集型服务贸易保持增长。2025年，知识密集型服务进出口30879.5亿元，增长6.6%。其中，其他 商业服务、电信计算机和信息服务进出口13332.9亿元、11038.1亿元，增速分别为5.5%、10.4%。知识 密集型服务出口18321.2亿元，增长10.5%；知识密集型服务进口12558.3亿元，增长1.3%；顺差5762.9亿 元，比上年扩大1581.7亿元。 旅行服务出口高速增长。2025年，旅行服务增长较快，进出口达22067亿元，增长7.6%。其中，出口增 长49.5%，进口增长1.4%。 2025年，我国服务贸易稳步增长，服务进出口总额80823.1亿元(人民币，下同)，同比增长7.4%。其中， 出口36267.9亿元，增长14.2%；进口44555.1亿元，增长2.5%；服务贸易逆差8287.2亿元，比上年减少 3439.5亿元。主要呈现以下特点： 中新网2月5日电 据商务部网站消息，商务部服贸司负责人介绍2025年服务贸易发展情况。 ...