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中国移动:重点布局5.5G、推理算力、AI投资,新业务领域开辟新业态-20250414
Shanxi Securities· 2025-04-14 10:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for China Mobile (600941.SH) [1] Core Views - The company is focusing on new business areas such as 5.5G, inference computing, and AI investments to open up new market opportunities [1] - In 2024, China Mobile achieved a revenue of 1,040.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.1%, with a net profit of 138.4 billion yuan, up 5.0% year-on-year [1][9] Summary by Sections C+H Segment - In the personal market, the total number of mobile customers reached 1.004 billion, with a net increase of 13 million in 2024. The number of 5G network customers reached 552 million, with a net increase of 8.8 million, achieving a penetration rate of 55.0% [2] - The personal mobile cloud revenue was 8.9 billion yuan, up 12.6% year-on-year, while the mobile ARPU was 48.5 yuan, down 0.8 yuan [2] B+N Segment - In the enterprise market, revenue reached 209.1 billion yuan, an increase of 8.8% year-on-year, with a total of 32.59 million enterprise customers [3] - The mobile cloud revenue exceeded 100 billion yuan, growing by 20.4% year-on-year, and the company secured over 700 large-scale 5G DICT projects [3][6] Capital Expenditure - Capital expenditure in 2024 was 164 billion yuan, down 9.0% year-on-year, with a focus on new areas such as 5.5G and AI [7] - The planned capital expenditure for 2025 is 151.2 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.8% year-on-year [7] Dividend Policy - The company plans to increase its dividend, with a total dividend of 5.09 HKD per share for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.4% [8] - The payout ratio for 2024 is set at 73%, with plans to increase it to over 75% in the next three years [8] Financial Forecast and Valuation - The forecasted net profit for 2025-2027 is 147.8 billion yuan, 156.2 billion yuan, and 164.5 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 6.85, 7.24, and 7.62 yuan [9][11] - The report indicates that the company will continue to maintain steady growth, and the valuation still has room for improvement compared to international peers [9]
中国移动(600941):重点布局5.5G、推理算力、AI投资,新业务领域开辟新业态
Shanxi Securities· 2025-04-14 09:36
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for China Mobile (600941.SH) [1] Core Views - In 2024, China Mobile achieved revenue of 1,040.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.1%, with a net profit of 138.4 billion yuan, up 5.0% year-on-year [2][3] - The company is focusing on new business areas such as 5.5G, AI, and reasoning computing, which are expected to drive future growth [10] - The report anticipates steady growth in the company's overall business, with a projected net profit of 147.8 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 6.8% [12] Summary by Sections Personal Market - As of December 31, 2024, the total number of mobile customers reached 1.004 billion, with 5G network customers increasing to 552 million, a penetration rate of 55.0% [3] - The personal mobile cloud revenue grew by 12.6% year-on-year to 8.9 billion yuan, while the mobile ARPU decreased slightly by 0.8 yuan to 48.5 yuan [3][4] Family Market - The number of broadband customers reached 315 million, with gigabit broadband customers increasing by 25.0% to 99 million [4] - The family customer ARPU increased by 0.7 yuan to 43.8 yuan, indicating a positive trend in the family market [4] Business and New Markets - The enterprise market revenue reached 209.1 billion yuan, up 8.8% year-on-year, with a significant increase in mobile cloud revenue, which surpassed 100 billion yuan, growing by 20.4% [6][9] - Emerging markets, including international business and digital content, saw revenue growth of 8.7% year-on-year, with international business revenue at 22.8 billion yuan [9] Capital Expenditure - Capital expenditure for 2024 was 164 billion yuan, a decrease of 9.0% year-on-year, with a focus on new areas such as 5.5G and AI [10] - The company plans to invest 98 billion yuan in 5G-A in 2025, reflecting a significant increase of 227% [10] Dividend Policy - The company plans to increase its dividend payout, with a total dividend of 5.09 HKD per share for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.4% [11] Financial Forecasts - The report forecasts net profits of 147.8 billion yuan, 156.2 billion yuan, and 164.5 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 6.85, 7.24, and 7.62 yuan [12][14]
中国移动:业绩稳健增长,数字化转型发展成效显著-20250403
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-04-03 08:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [6]. Core Views - The company has demonstrated steady revenue growth, with total revenue reaching 1,040.8 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 3.1%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 138.4 billion yuan, up 5.0% year-on-year, and free cash flow increased by 22.9% to 151.7 billion yuan [1][6]. - The digital transformation efforts have shown significant results, with digital transformation revenue reaching 278.8 billion yuan, a growth of 9.9% year-on-year, accounting for 31.3% of the main business revenue [2][6]. - The company is focusing on enhancing shareholder returns, with a dividend payout ratio of 73% and plans to increase cash distributions to over 75% of net profit in the next three years [5][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's main business revenue was 889.5 billion yuan, a 3.0% increase year-on-year. The total revenue was 1,040.8 billion yuan, with a net profit of 138.4 billion yuan, reflecting a 5.0% growth [1][6]. - The company achieved a free cash flow of 151.7 billion yuan, marking a 22.9% increase [1]. Market Segments - **Personal Market**: Revenue reached 483.7 billion yuan, with mobile customers exceeding 1 billion, and 5G network customers at 552 million, a penetration rate of 55.0% [2]. - **Family Market**: Revenue was 143.1 billion yuan, an 8.5% increase, with broadband customers reaching 278 million [3]. - **Government and Enterprise Market**: Revenue grew by 8.8% to 209.1 billion yuan, with significant growth in mobile cloud services [3]. - **Emerging Markets**: Revenue was 53.6 billion yuan, with international business revenue at 22.8 billion yuan, a 10.2% increase [3]. Digital Transformation - The company has made substantial progress in digital transformation, with digital revenue accounting for 31.3% of main business revenue, up 1.9 percentage points from the previous year [2]. - The CHBN (Consumer, Home, Business, New) strategy has been effectively implemented, with HBN contributing 45.6% to main business revenue [2]. Capital Expenditure and Infrastructure - In 2024, capital expenditure was 164 billion yuan, with a focus on 5G networks and computing power [4]. - The company has established over 2.4 million 5G base stations and is leading in the development of AI and computing infrastructure [4]. Future Outlook - The company aims for steady revenue growth and profit increase in 2025, with specific targets for each market segment [5]. - The projected net profit for 2025 is 145.3 billion yuan, with continued focus on digital transformation and market expansion [6].