Group 1: Trade and Tariffs - President Trump indicated that Japan is facing a serious rice shortage while not accepting U.S. rice, and plans to send a letter regarding tariffs to Japan [2] - U.S. Agriculture Secretary mentioned that Trump may exempt tariffs on agricultural products that are difficult to grow in the U.S. [2] - Media reports suggest U.S. officials are seeking to narrow the scope of trade agreements, aiming to reach a deal by July 9 [2] Group 2: Commodity Market Updates - Brent crude oil prices are expected to fall to around $60 per barrel by early next year according to Morgan Stanley [2] - Gold has achieved its largest half-year increase since 2007 [2] - Chile's copper production in May increased by 9.4% year-on-year to 486,574 tons according to Chile's National Statistics Institute [2] Group 3: Supply Chain and Production Insights - The combination of Trump's tariffs and low water levels has led to severe supply chain congestion in European ports, the worst since the pandemic began [2] - Kazakhstan's oil production is projected to exceed expectations by 2% this year, reaching 2 million barrels per day due to anticipated increases in output from large oil fields [2] - The European Commission's Vice President announced that the EU has reached a preliminary agreement on the export of Ukrainian agricultural products [2] Group 4: Market Forecasts - Citi forecasts that the supply gap in the gold market is expected to peak in Q3 2025, followed by a gradual decline due to decreasing investment demand [2] - Indonesia has raised its July reference price for crude palm oil to $877.89 per ton [2]

（原标题：欧盟关税，新动向！乌克兰农产品，取消免税！俄白化肥及农产品，加税！） 据报道，该法案将于7月实施。欧洲议会表示，此举旨在推动欧盟化肥生产多元化，并减少对俄罗斯低 价进口商品的依赖。不过外界普遍担心，该法案生效后，欧洲国家的化肥价格将大幅上涨，损害农民利 益。 关税最新动向。 欧盟委员会发言人当地时间22日表示，欧盟将不会延长自2022年开始实施、对乌克兰农产品免关税的战 时"自主贸易措施"。欧盟发言人表示，当前针对乌克兰的免关税政策将于6月5日到期，从6月6日起，欧 盟与乌克兰之间的农产品贸易将重新按照双方于2017年签订的贸易协定框架执行。 在2022年俄乌冲突爆发后，欧盟暂时取消了对乌克兰农产品的进口关税和配额。而波兰、法国等一些欧 盟国家的农民一直抱怨该政策导致乌克兰农产品大量涌入，损害了他们的利益。 此前欧盟委员会曾承诺，将与乌克兰就新的贸易协定展开谈判，但截至今年5月，欧盟与乌克兰并未启 动任何正式谈判。 当地时间22日，欧洲议会投票通过对俄罗斯和白俄罗斯的化肥及部分农产品征收新关税法案。具体措施 包括对从俄罗斯和白俄罗斯进口的化肥征收6.5%的基本关税，并在2025至2026年期间每吨加 ...

Group 1 - The EU will not extend the tariff exemption policy for Ukrainian agricultural products, which will expire on June 5, 2023, and trade will revert to the 2017 agreement from June 6, 2023 [2] - The temporary removal of tariffs was implemented after the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022, but farmers in countries like Poland and France have complained about the influx of Ukrainian products harming their interests [2] - The EU had previously promised to negotiate a new trade agreement with Ukraine, but no formal negotiations have started as of May 2023 [2] Group 2 - The European Parliament has approved a new tariff law on fertilizers and certain agricultural products from Russia and Belarus, imposing a basic tariff of 6.5% on fertilizers and an additional fee of €40 to €45 per ton from 2025 to 2026 [4] - A 50% tariff will be applied to Russian and Belarusian agricultural products that have not yet been subject to additional tariffs [4] - The aim of this legislation is to diversify the EU's fertilizer production and reduce dependence on low-priced imports from Russia, although there are concerns about significant price increases for fertilizers affecting farmers [4]

智通财经5月16日电，英国《金融时报》日前援引多位欧盟外交人士消息报道称，欧盟将在未来几周对 进口自乌克兰的农产品征收更高关税。这意味着，原本享受免关税待遇的乌克兰农产品进口配额将被大 幅削减。 (CCTV国际时讯) 英媒曝欧盟欲大幅提高乌农产品关税 ...