公司报告 | 半年报点评 柏诚股份（601133） 证券研究报告 收入、业绩小幅承压，海外收入增速亮眼 收入、业绩小幅承压，拟派发中期分红回馈投资者 25H1 公司实现收入 24.2 亿，同比-3.14%，归母、扣非净利润为 0.83、0.79 亿，同比-16.1%、-17.7%；Q2 实现收入 13.87 亿，同比+2.15%，归母、扣 非净利润为 0.39、0.37 亿，同比-10.4%、-13.3%。25 年上半年公司拟进行 现金分红 0.26 亿，分红比例 31.6%，重视股东回报。考虑到上半年业绩有 所承压，我们预计 25-27 年公司归母净利润为 2.3、2.6、3 亿（前值为 2.54、 3、3.46 亿），对应 PE 为 31、27、23 倍，维持"买入"评级。 新型显示领域保持较高景气度，海外收入实现大幅增长 分下游来看，25H1 半导体及泛半导体、新型显示、生命科学及食品药品大 健康分别实现营收 14.9、4.2、2.5 亿，同比-23.2%、+47.2%、+8.7%；25H1 公司在手订单17.5亿，同比下滑22%，以上三个领域25H1 在手订单为12.3、 2.9、1.6 亿，同比-3 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][5] Core Views - The company has shown significant achievements in overseas expansion and improved gross margin year-on-year [1][2] - The company is optimistic about the long-term development potential of the high-tech industry and is actively pursuing major project tenders in the second half of 2025 [4][1] - The company’s revenue for the first half of 2025 was 2.424 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 3.14%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 83.5 million RMB, down 16.10% year-on-year [1][3] Revenue and Profitability - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.424 billion RMB, with a gross margin increase of 0.7 percentage points year-on-year to 10.1% [2][3] - The revenue breakdown by sector shows semiconductor and related industries generated 1.49 billion RMB, with a year-on-year decrease of 23%, while the life sciences sector saw a 235% increase [2][3] - The company’s overall expense ratio increased to 3.88%, with sales expenses rising by 28.8% due to increased employee compensation and incentive stock payment [3][4] Order and Contract Status - The company had a backlog of orders amounting to 1.75 billion RMB at the end of the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 22.4% [4][1] - New contracts signed in the first half of 2025 totaled 1.28 billion RMB, down 32.2% year-on-year, indicating a focus on future growth opportunities [4][1] Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company’s projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 236.21 million RMB, 265.09 million RMB, and 282.02 million RMB respectively [5][10] - The target price has been adjusted to 17.92 RMB, based on a price-to-earnings ratio of 40x for 2025 [5][6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of RMB 12.54 [6][7]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of RMB 5.2 billion for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 31.8%, but the net profit attributable to the parent company was RMB 212 million, a decrease of 0.8% year-on-year, which was below expectations due to intensified industry competition and unexpected declines in gross margin [1][4]. - The company signed new contracts worth RMB 5.4 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 9.5%, with a backlog of orders amounting to RMB 2.9 billion, indicating potential for future growth [1][2]. - The semiconductor and related sectors showed significant revenue growth, with the semiconductor segment achieving a 29% year-on-year increase, driven by domestic substitution trends [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024 and Q1 2025, the company achieved revenues of RMB 1.41 billion and RMB 1.04 billion, respectively, with year-on-year declines of 2.8% and 9.4% [1][2]. - The overall gross margin for 2024 decreased by 1.4 percentage points to 10.0%, but showed improvement in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025, with gross margins of 9.7% and 10.3%, respectively [2][3]. Expense Management - Management expenses increased significantly by 53% year-on-year in 2024, primarily due to business expansion and increased personnel costs [3]. - The company maintained a net cash flow from operating activities of RMB 220 million in 2024, which was stable compared to the previous year [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been adjusted to RMB 236 million, RMB 265 million, and RMB 282 million, respectively, reflecting a downward revision due to anticipated delays in capital expenditures in the downstream electronics industry [4][5]. - The company is assigned a PE ratio of 28x for 2025, with a target price adjustment to RMB 12.54, down from RMB 13.52 [4][6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7][4] Core Views - The company experienced a slight decline in revenue and profit in Q1 2025, with revenue at 1.037 billion, down 9.4% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to the parent company at 44 million, down 20.6% year-on-year [1] - The company has a strong order intake, with new orders in 2024 reaching 5.418 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9.45%, indicating sustained demand in downstream sectors [3] - The report highlights the company's comprehensive capabilities in cleanroom system integration, positioning it as a leading player in the industry with a favorable outlook due to increasing capital expenditures in the domestic panel and semiconductor sectors [4] Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, the company's gross margin slightly increased by 0.65 percentage points to 10.3%, while the net profit margin decreased by 0.6 percentage points to 4.26% [2] - The company’s cash flow from operations was negative 678 million, indicating a cash outflow increase of 141 million year-on-year [2] - The financial forecast estimates revenue growth from 3.98 billion in 2023 to 8.82 billion by 2027, with corresponding net profits projected to rise from 214 million to 346 million during the same period [6][4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][18]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 5.244 billion, a year-on-year increase of 31.78%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 212 million, a slight decrease of 0.8% [1][5]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 116 million, with a payout ratio of 54.65% [1]. - The semiconductor industry is experiencing high demand, with significant revenue growth in various sectors, including a 29% increase in semiconductor and related fields [2][3]. - The company signed new orders worth 5.418 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9.45%, with a strong focus on the semiconductor sector [3]. - The overall cash flow remains strong, with a net operating cash inflow of 215 million, reflecting a stable financial position [4]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from 3.98 billion in 2023 to 8.82 billion by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.33% [5][12]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 213 million in 2023 to 346 million by 2027, with a CAGR of 15.57% [5][12]. - The company's EBITDA is forecasted to rise from 384 million in 2023 to 568 million by 2027 [5][12]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 26.61 in 2023 to 16.46 by 2027, indicating potential valuation improvement [5][12].