公司报告 | 半年报点评 柏诚股份（601133） 证券研究报告 收入、业绩小幅承压，海外收入增速亮眼 收入、业绩小幅承压，拟派发中期分红回馈投资者 25H1 公司实现收入 24.2 亿，同比-3.14%，归母、扣非净利润为 0.83、0.79 亿，同比-16.1%、-17.7%；Q2 实现收入 13.87 亿，同比+2.15%，归母、扣 非净利润为 0.39、0.37 亿，同比-10.4%、-13.3%。25 年上半年公司拟进行 现金分红 0.26 亿，分红比例 31.6%，重视股东回报。考虑到上半年业绩有 所承压，我们预计 25-27 年公司归母净利润为 2.3、2.6、3 亿（前值为 2.54、 3、3.46 亿），对应 PE 为 31、27、23 倍，维持"买入"评级。 新型显示领域保持较高景气度，海外收入实现大幅增长 分下游来看，25H1 半导体及泛半导体、新型显示、生命科学及食品药品大 健康分别实现营收 14.9、4.2、2.5 亿，同比-23.2%、+47.2%、+8.7%；25H1 公司在手订单17.5亿，同比下滑22%，以上三个领域25H1 在手订单为12.3、 2.9、1.6 亿，同比-3 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][5] Core Views - The company has shown significant achievements in overseas expansion and improved gross margin year-on-year [1][2] - The company is optimistic about the long-term development potential of the high-tech industry and is actively pursuing major project tenders in the second half of 2025 [4][1] - The company’s revenue for the first half of 2025 was 2.424 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 3.14%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 83.5 million RMB, down 16.10% year-on-year [1][3] Revenue and Profitability - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.424 billion RMB, with a gross margin increase of 0.7 percentage points year-on-year to 10.1% [2][3] - The revenue breakdown by sector shows semiconductor and related industries generated 1.49 billion RMB, with a year-on-year decrease of 23%, while the life sciences sector saw a 235% increase [2][3] - The company’s overall expense ratio increased to 3.88%, with sales expenses rising by 28.8% due to increased employee compensation and incentive stock payment [3][4] Order and Contract Status - The company had a backlog of orders amounting to 1.75 billion RMB at the end of the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 22.4% [4][1] - New contracts signed in the first half of 2025 totaled 1.28 billion RMB, down 32.2% year-on-year, indicating a focus on future growth opportunities [4][1] Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company’s projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 236.21 million RMB, 265.09 million RMB, and 282.02 million RMB respectively [5][10] - The target price has been adjusted to 17.92 RMB, based on a price-to-earnings ratio of 40x for 2025 [5][6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of RMB 12.54 [6][7]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of RMB 5.2 billion for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 31.8%, but the net profit attributable to the parent company was RMB 212 million, a decrease of 0.8% year-on-year, which was below expectations due to intensified industry competition and unexpected declines in gross margin [1][4]. - The company signed new contracts worth RMB 5.4 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 9.5%, with a backlog of orders amounting to RMB 2.9 billion, indicating potential for future growth [1][2]. - The semiconductor and related sectors showed significant revenue growth, with the semiconductor segment achieving a 29% year-on-year increase, driven by domestic substitution trends [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024 and Q1 2025, the company achieved revenues of RMB 1.41 billion and RMB 1.04 billion, respectively, with year-on-year declines of 2.8% and 9.4% [1][2]. - The overall gross margin for 2024 decreased by 1.4 percentage points to 10.0%, but showed improvement in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025, with gross margins of 9.7% and 10.3%, respectively [2][3]. Expense Management - Management expenses increased significantly by 53% year-on-year in 2024, primarily due to business expansion and increased personnel costs [3]. - The company maintained a net cash flow from operating activities of RMB 220 million in 2024, which was stable compared to the previous year [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been adjusted to RMB 236 million, RMB 265 million, and RMB 282 million, respectively, reflecting a downward revision due to anticipated delays in capital expenditures in the downstream electronics industry [4][5]. - The company is assigned a PE ratio of 28x for 2025, with a target price adjustment to RMB 12.54, down from RMB 13.52 [4][6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][18]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 5.244 billion, a year-on-year increase of 31.78%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 212 million, a slight decrease of 0.8% [1][5]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 116 million, with a payout ratio of 54.65% [1]. - The semiconductor industry is experiencing high demand, with significant revenue growth in various sectors, including a 29% increase in semiconductor and related fields [2][3]. - The company signed new orders worth 5.418 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9.45%, with a strong focus on the semiconductor sector [3]. - The overall cash flow remains strong, with a net operating cash inflow of 215 million, reflecting a stable financial position [4]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from 3.98 billion in 2023 to 8.82 billion by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.33% [5][12]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 213 million in 2023 to 346 million by 2027, with a CAGR of 15.57% [5][12]. - The company's EBITDA is forecasted to rise from 384 million in 2023 to 568 million by 2027 [5][12]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 26.61 in 2023 to 16.46 by 2027, indicating potential valuation improvement [5][12].