人形机器人超柔性线缆

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鑫宏业(301310):特种线缆龙头 机器人、核聚变、液冷超充线缆技术领先
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-05-01 10:44
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant increase in revenue for 2024, but a decline in net profit, indicating potential challenges in profitability despite growth in certain segments [1]. Financial Performance - The company's 2024 revenue reached 2.648 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.33% - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 116 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 29.61% - The net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 101 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 27.78% - In Q1 2025, revenue was 755 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 55.35% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 17.19% - The net profit for Q1 2025 was 34 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.43% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 66.29% [1]. Segment Performance - Revenue from new energy vehicle cables in 2024 was 1.486 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 37.71%, with a gross margin of 13.33%, down 2.38 percentage points from the previous year - Revenue from photovoltaic cables was 731 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.88%, with a gross margin of 4.4%, down 3.01 percentage points - Revenue from industrial cables was 314 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 52.88%, with a gross margin of 10.39%, down 5.94 percentage points [1]. Strategic Developments - The company is involved in the ITER project, contributing to the development of nuclear fusion equipment, which may enhance future performance - The company has developed flexible cables for humanoid robots, entering the supply chain of leading robotics companies - The company is focusing on high-end autonomous driving models and megawatt-level ultra-fast charging, becoming a core supplier for companies like BYD and Li Auto [2]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to see growth in specialized cable sectors, but increased competition may lead to a decline in profitability - The net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been adjusted to 162 million yuan, 221 million yuan, and 289 million yuan respectively, reflecting a 45% and 37% downward adjustment for 2025 and 2026 - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 29, 21, and 16 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a short-term rating adjustment to "overweight" due to increased competition [3].
鑫宏业(301310):2024年年报及2025年一季报点评:特种线缆龙头,机器人、核聚变、液冷超充线缆技术领先
EBSCN· 2025-05-01 09:18
Investment Rating - The report downgrades the investment rating to "Accumulate" due to increased competition impacting profitability [4]. Core Views - The company, Xinhongye (301310.SZ), is a leader in specialty cables, with advanced technologies in robotics, nuclear fusion, and liquid-cooled ultra-fast charging cables [1]. - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 2.648 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.33%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 29.61% to 116 million yuan [1]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 755 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 55.35%, driven primarily by growth in automotive and energy storage businesses [1]. Revenue and Profitability - The revenue from new energy vehicle cables in 2024 was 1.486 billion yuan, up 37.71%, with a gross margin of 13.33%, down 2.38 percentage points from the previous year [2]. - The company’s photovoltaic cable revenue reached 731 million yuan, a 16.88% increase, with a gross margin of 4.4%, down 3.01 percentage points [2]. - Industrial cable revenue grew by 52.88% to 314 million yuan, with a gross margin of 10.39%, down 5.94 percentage points [2]. Technological Advancements - The company is involved in the ITER project, contributing to the development of cables for nuclear fusion equipment, which is expected to enhance performance and contribute to revenue growth [2]. - Xinhongye has developed ultra-flexible cables for humanoid robots, significantly surpassing the dynamic bending life limits of standard industrial robot cables [3]. - The company is focusing on high-end autonomous driving models and megawatt-level ultra-fast charging, becoming a core supplier for companies like BYD and Li Auto [3]. Financial Forecasts - The report predicts a decline in profitability due to intensified competition, with net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 set at 162 million, 221 million, and 289 million yuan respectively [4]. - The projected revenue growth rates for the next few years are 23.09% for 2025, 21.34% for 2026, and 18.25% for 2027 [5]. - The company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 29, 21, and 16 respectively [5].