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上市券商前三季度业绩高增 市场或平衡估值(附概念股)
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-07 07:31
截至 2025 年 11 月 4 日,中资券商板块 PB 为 1.53 倍,处于近 10 年来 41.48%分位点处; 25Q3 机构持仓为 0.90%,环比持平,但尚且低于标配 3.99%。 上市券商前三季度业绩高增。42家上市券商前三季度实现归母净利润1,690亿元,同比增长62%,扣非 净利润1,620亿元,同比增长68%。 其中Q3单季度扣非净利润677亿元,同比增长97%,环比增长31%。 分业务来看,经纪、投资是业绩增长的核心驱动力,前三季度净收入分别同比增长75%、增长44%。 中信建投(601066)认为,当前市场对券商股的关注点或过度聚焦于交易层面的短期压力:受同比与环 比高基数影响,四季度市场交投热度或难以为代买业务贡献超预期的盈利增量。但市场认知中仍存在明 显预期差,核心在于忽略了今年与去年底行业基本面的重要差异——证券行业的景气修复已不再局限于 经纪、自营等局部业务,而是在投行、资管等多个领域均实现不同程度的回暖。 招商证券(600999)发布研报称,综合考虑,慢牛行情持续,券商作为"牛市旗手"却整体滞涨的情况 下、值得更多的关注和仓位配置。 中资券商相关港股: 华泰证券(601688 ...
广发证券(000776):经纪、投资表现亮眼 公募利润快速增长
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-01 14:41
Core Viewpoint - Guangfa Securities reported its 1H25 results, which met expectations, showing significant growth in revenue and net profit driven by brokerage and investment businesses, while investment banking faced slight pressure [1] Financial Performance - In 1H25, Guangfa Securities achieved operating revenue of 15.4 billion, a year-on-year increase of 34.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 6.47 billion, up 48.3% year-on-year [1] - The weighted average ROE (unannualized) for 1H25 was 4.83%, an increase of 1.44 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The breakdown of main revenue sources in 1H25 included brokerage at 3.92 billion (up 42.0%), investment banking at 320 million (down 4.8%), asset management at 3.67 billion (up 8.4%), net interest income at 1.06 billion (up 18.5%), and net investment income at 5.24 billion (up 42.8%) [1] Investment Business - As of the end of 2Q25, total assets were 815.8 billion, a 7.5% increase from the beginning of the year, while net assets were 150.9 billion, up 2.3% [2] - The investment asset scale was 418.3 billion, a 12.0% increase year-to-date, with trading stocks at 43.8 billion (up 13.8%) and other equity investments at 35.1 billion (up 57.1%) [2] - The investment leverage ratio was 2.77x, with an investment return rate of 2.65%, an increase of 0.67 percentage points year-on-year [2] Public Fund Management - The public fund management sector showed growth, with Guangfa Fund (54.53% stake) achieving revenue of 3.9 billion (up 22.2%) and net profit of 1.18 billion (up 43.5%) in 1H25 [3] - E Fund (22.65% stake) reported revenue of 5.9 billion (up 9.7%) and net profit of 1.88 billion (up 23.8%) in 1H25 [3] - The combined profit contribution from public asset management was 1.07 billion, up 35.0%, accounting for 16.5% of total profits [3] Brokerage and Distribution Business - The agency buying business saw significant growth, with net income of 3.13 billion in 1H25, up 44.1%, and stock trading volume reaching 15.1 trillion, a 62.1% increase [4] - The agency selling business also grew, with a financial product holding scale exceeding 300 billion, up 14.1%, and revenue of 400 million, up 35.9% [4] - Margin financing and securities lending income was 2.67 billion, up 9.4%, with a financing balance of 103.6 billion, maintaining a market share of 5.6% [4] Future Outlook - Forecasts for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 are 13.03 billion, 14.00 billion, and 14.74 billion, representing year-on-year growth of 35.2%, 7.5%, and 5.2% respectively [4]
中国银河(601881)1H25业绩点评:经纪、投资业务助推利润高增 股权投行实力提升
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-29 00:34
Core Viewpoint - China Galaxy's 2025 interim report aligns with performance forecasts, showing significant growth in revenue and net profit for the first half of the year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In 1H25, China Galaxy achieved operating revenue of 137.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 37.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 64.9 billion, up 47.9% year-on-year [1] - The weighted average ROE (not annualized) for 1H25 was 5.16%, an increase of 1.53 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The company's main securities revenue for 1H25 was 136.0 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 38.2% [3] Group 2: Business Segments - Breakdown of main revenue in 1H25: brokerage (36.5 billion, +45.3%), investment banking (3.2 billion, +18.9%), asset management (2.7 billion, +17.5%), net interest (19.4 billion, +5.5%), and net investment income (74.0 billion, +49.0%) [3] - In Q2 2025, the company reported a quarterly revenue of 73.0 billion, a year-on-year increase of 25.7% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 16.1% [3] Group 3: Asset Management and Investment - As of the end of Q2 2025, total assets reached 781.7 billion, a 6.0% increase from the beginning of the year, while net assets were 144.1 billion, up 2.6% [4] - The investment asset scale at the end of Q2 2025 was 409.6 billion, reflecting a 5.9% increase from the beginning of the year, with an investment return rate of 3.72%, up 1.13 percentage points year-on-year [4] Group 4: Wealth Management and Market Position - The wealth management transformation is progressing steadily, with net income from the agency purchase business reaching 31.8 billion, a year-on-year increase of 47.8% [5] - The company’s financing and securities margin balance was 92.4 billion, with a market share of 5.0%, up 0.05 percentage points from the beginning of the year [5] Group 5: Underwriting and Market Share - In 1H25, the company completed one IPO project and four refinancing projects, with an IPO underwriting scale of 4.3 billion and a market share of 1.1% [6] - The bond underwriting scale was 3,339 billion, a year-on-year increase of 75.1%, with a market share of 4.5%, improving the industry ranking by one position [6] - Forecasted net profit for China Galaxy for 2025-2027 is 132.6 billion, 146.6 billion, and 147.2 billion, representing year-on-year growth of 32.2%, 10.6%, and 0.4% respectively [6]