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三一国际(00631.HK):一季度财务稳健 新产业盈利有望快速修复
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-06 02:41
Performance Review - Company reported 1Q25 financial data: revenue of 5.876 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.6%, gross profit of 1.428 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.8%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 635 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.2%, meeting expectations [1]. Development Trends Mining Equipment - Domestic demand remains resilient, with positive outlook for overseas expansion of mining trucks. Domestic coal prices are in a downward trend due to weak demand. Current demand for tunneling machines and wide-body trucks is strong, while hydraulic support prices are under intense competition. The company expects good growth for overseas wide-body trucks and large mining trucks, driven by product upgrades and reduced overall user costs, indicating significant long-term growth potential in large mining trucks and related aftermarket [1]. Logistics Equipment - Demand for port machinery is on the rise, with expansion of new products overseas. Starting in 2023, global demand for port equipment is recovering, with full orders for large port machinery and gradually strengthening order profitability. Exports of small port machinery products remain robust in Asia, Africa, and Latin America. Over the past three years, the company has aggressively expanded new products like telescopic forklifts in the European and American markets, currently producing in India to address tariff issues. The company is optimistic about the trend towards electrification of small port machinery and the continued expansion of new products overseas [1]. Oil and Gas Equipment - Demand and profitability are expected to recover. In 2024, revenue and profitability declined due to major clients' cost-cutting measures. The company anticipates marginal recovery in industry demand in 2025, with strengthened internal management to restore market share [2]. New Industries - Focus on cost reduction and efficiency improvement, expanding overseas application scenarios. In 2024, the company will enhance management reforms for new industries, readjusting businesses with intense competition and limited profitability. It is expected that operating losses in new industries will significantly narrow in 2025, optimizing the efficiency and return rate of existing assets [2]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains the 2025 EPS forecast at 0.70 yuan and introduces the 2026 EPS forecast at 0.81 yuan. The current stock price corresponds to 7.9x/6.7x P/E for 2025/2026. Considering the improvement prospects in new industry profitability, the target price is raised by 25% to 7.10 HKD, corresponding to 9.5x/8.1x P/E for 2025/2026, indicating a 21% upside potential, maintaining an outperform rating [2].
中金:维持三一国际(00631)跑赢行业评级 上调目标价至7.10港元
智通财经网· 2025-06-05 01:31
物流装备:港机需求上行,海外新产品拓展 2023年开始全球港口设备需求修复,公司大港机在手订单饱满,订单盈利能力逐渐强化,小港机产品在 亚非拉地区的出口保持景气。过去3年公司面向欧美市场大力拓展了伸缩臂叉车等新产品,当前以印度 生产来应对关税问题。该行看好小港机电动化发展趋势,以及公司新产品在海外的持续拓展。 智通财经APP获悉,中金发布研报称,维持三一国际(00631)2025年EPS预测0.70元,引入2026年EPS预 测0.81元。公司当前股价对应2025/2026年7.9/6.7x P/E,考虑新产业盈利改善前景,该行上调目标价25% 至7.10港币,对应2025/2026年9.5x/8.1x P/E,对应21%上行空间,维持跑赢行业评级。 中金主要观点如下: 1Q25业绩符合该行预期 公司公布1Q25财务数据:收入58.76亿元,同比增长14.6%,综合毛利14.28亿元,同比增长11.8%,归母 净利润6.35亿元,同比增长23.2%,业绩符合该行预期。 矿山装备:国内需求保持韧性,看好矿车海外拓展空间 受需求偏弱影响,国内煤价处于下行通道。当前国内掘进机、宽体车需求韧性较强,液压支架价格竞争 ...
山西证券:给予杭叉集团增持评级
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-05-21 04:44
Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the steady improvement in profitability of Hangcha Group, with a positive outlook on its overseas business growth potential, leading to an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 16.486 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.15% - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.022 billion yuan, up 17.86% year-on-year, while the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 1.989 billion yuan, also up 17.82% year-on-year [1] - For Q1 2025, the operating revenue reached 4.506 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.02%, with a net profit of 436 million yuan, up 15.18% year-on-year [1] Profitability Metrics - The company achieved a historical best sales net profit margin of 13.11% in 2024, an increase of 1.84 percentage points year-on-year - The gross profit margin was 23.55%, up 2.77 percentage points year-on-year, with domestic and international gross profit margins at 18.74% and 30.72%, respectively [1] Market Position - The forklift industry saw a total sales volume of 1.2855 million units in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 9.52% - Hangcha Group sold approximately 280,000 units, a growth of 14.06% year-on-year, capturing about 22% of the market share [1] R&D and Product Development - In 2024, the company invested 774 million yuan in R&D, representing 4.7% of its revenue, and plans to develop humanoid intelligent logistics robots - The company launched new energy products, including high-pressure lithium battery forklifts and hydrogen fuel cell forklifts, with over 63% of its sales coming from new energy products [2] International Expansion - The company achieved a record overseas sales volume of over 100,000 units in 2024, generating foreign revenue of 6.846 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.75%, contributing 41.53% to total revenue - New overseas companies were established in the US, Europe, Indonesia, and Japan, with a manufacturing base in Thailand [2] Strategic Development - The company formed three major business groups focusing on intelligent logistics, high machines, and lithium batteries, with a contract amount exceeding 1 billion yuan for the first time in 2024 - The company plans to distribute a total cash dividend of 655 million yuan, representing 32.39% of the net profit attributable to shareholders, with a corresponding dividend yield of approximately 2.5% [3] Investment Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the accelerating trends of high-end, digital, green, and international development in the forklift industry - EPS forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.74, 1.94, and 2.14 yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 11.1, 10.0, and 9.1 [4]