Group 1: Industry Overview - The sales of various excavators reached 18,804 units in June 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 13.3%, with domestic sales of 8,136 units (up 6.2%) and exports of 10,668 units (up 19.3%) [1] - In the first half of 2025, a total of 120,520 excavators were sold, marking a year-on-year growth of 16.8%, with domestic sales of 65,637 units (up 22.9%) and exports of 54,883 units (up 10.2%) [1] - The domestic excavator sales in June showed a year-on-year growth of 6.2%, rebounding by 7.7 percentage points compared to previous values, driven by accelerated second-hand exports and a low base from the previous year [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The construction machinery industry is expected to maintain stable growth in excavator sales, with domestic earth-moving equipment projected to achieve double-digit growth for the year [2] - The demand for excavators is shifting towards recovery, particularly in the mining sector and major water conservancy projects, while the demand for small excavators is slowing down [2] - The government plans to issue long-term special bonds and increase local government special bonds to stimulate infrastructure investment, which is expected to boost downstream equipment demand [5][6] Group 3: Company Performance - Zoomlion (000157) anticipates that domestic sales will enter a growth trajectory, expanding its business from domestic markets to global markets across engineering, agricultural, and mining machinery [3] - Sany International (00631) reported a revenue of 5.876 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 14.6%, with net profit rising by 23.2% [7] - The company is focusing on expanding its overseas business, particularly in emerging regions, while also enhancing its product offerings in earth-moving, agricultural, and mining machinery [7]

Performance Review - Company reported 1Q25 financial data: revenue of 5.876 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.6%, gross profit of 1.428 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.8%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 635 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.2%, meeting expectations [1]. Development Trends Mining Equipment - Domestic demand remains resilient, with positive outlook for overseas expansion of mining trucks. Domestic coal prices are in a downward trend due to weak demand. Current demand for tunneling machines and wide-body trucks is strong, while hydraulic support prices are under intense competition. The company expects good growth for overseas wide-body trucks and large mining trucks, driven by product upgrades and reduced overall user costs, indicating significant long-term growth potential in large mining trucks and related aftermarket [1]. Logistics Equipment - Demand for port machinery is on the rise, with expansion of new products overseas. Starting in 2023, global demand for port equipment is recovering, with full orders for large port machinery and gradually strengthening order profitability. Exports of small port machinery products remain robust in Asia, Africa, and Latin America. Over the past three years, the company has aggressively expanded new products like telescopic forklifts in the European and American markets, currently producing in India to address tariff issues. The company is optimistic about the trend towards electrification of small port machinery and the continued expansion of new products overseas [1]. Oil and Gas Equipment - Demand and profitability are expected to recover. In 2024, revenue and profitability declined due to major clients' cost-cutting measures. The company anticipates marginal recovery in industry demand in 2025, with strengthened internal management to restore market share [2]. New Industries - Focus on cost reduction and efficiency improvement, expanding overseas application scenarios. In 2024, the company will enhance management reforms for new industries, readjusting businesses with intense competition and limited profitability. It is expected that operating losses in new industries will significantly narrow in 2025, optimizing the efficiency and return rate of existing assets [2]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains the 2025 EPS forecast at 0.70 yuan and introduces the 2026 EPS forecast at 0.81 yuan. The current stock price corresponds to 7.9x/6.7x P/E for 2025/2026. Considering the improvement prospects in new industry profitability, the target price is raised by 25% to 7.10 HKD, corresponding to 9.5x/8.1x P/E for 2025/2026, indicating a 21% upside potential, maintaining an outperform rating [2].

Core Viewpoint - CICC maintains the EPS forecast for SANY International (00631) at 0.70 HKD for 2025 and introduces a new EPS forecast of 0.81 HKD for 2026, raising the target price by 25% to 7.10 HKD, indicating a 21% upside potential based on improved profitability in new industries [1] Financial Performance - The company reported Q1 2025 financial data with revenue of 5.876 billion HKD, a year-on-year increase of 14.6%, gross profit of 1.428 billion HKD, up 11.8%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 635 million HKD, reflecting a 23.2% year-on-year growth, aligning with CICC's expectations [2] Mining Equipment - Domestic demand remains resilient, with strong demand for tunneling machines and wide-body trucks, despite weak coal prices. The company is expected to see good growth in overseas wide-body trucks and large mining trucks, supported by product upgrades and reduced overall user costs, indicating significant long-term growth potential [3] Logistics Equipment - Global demand for port equipment is recovering, with a full order book for large port machines and improving order profitability. The company has successfully expanded its small port machine exports in Asia, Africa, and Latin America, and has introduced new products like telescopic forklifts in the European and American markets, produced in India to mitigate tariff issues. The trend towards electrification of small port machines is viewed positively [4] Oil and Gas Equipment - In 2024, revenue and profitability are expected to decline due to cost-cutting measures from major clients. However, a marginal recovery in industry demand is anticipated in 2025, with the company focusing on internal management improvements to regain market share [5] New Industries - In 2024, the company is enhancing management reforms in new industries to improve efficiency and reduce costs. A significant narrowing of operational losses in new industries is expected in 2025, along with better utilization and return rates of existing assets [6]

Governance and Management - The new board structure is stable, maintaining the company's governance mechanisms without changes, emphasizing standardized management and market-oriented decision-making [2][3] - The annual performance targets remain unchanged, with strategic goals for 2027 being progressively advanced [2][3] - The new management team is a blend of experienced and energetic members, fostering a collaborative and cohesive environment [3] Strategic Development - The company is committed to a strategy of "comprehensive internationalization, comprehensive intelligence, and comprehensive solutions," aiming for business growth and quality improvement [4] - The "15-5" strategic plan is being developed to enhance growth across various sectors, including engineering machinery and emerging markets [4] - The company plans to leverage measures such as performance growth, share buybacks, and high cash dividends to enhance investor returns [3] Market Performance and Trends - The domestic excavator sales have outpaced industry growth, with an expected double-digit growth rate for the year [7] - The demand for loaders has surged due to increased investment in agricultural water conservancy projects and major infrastructure [8] - Despite a slowdown in the real estate market, demand is anticipated to stabilize due to government initiatives in urban renewal and infrastructure projects [7] International Business Outlook - The overseas business has shown steady growth, particularly in emerging markets, despite a general decline in global demand [10] - The company aims to enhance its position in emerging regions while expanding its operations in Europe and North America [10] Mining Equipment Development - The company offers a comprehensive range of mining products and plans to focus on large and super-large tonnage equipment, as well as smart and green mining solutions [12] - Future strategies include global development and targeted customer engagement in both domestic and international markets [12]