证券之星消息，2月4日工程机械板块较上一交易日上涨1.95%，恒立液压领涨。当日上证指数报收于 4102.2，上涨0.85%。深证成指报收于14156.27，上涨0.21%。工程机械板块个股涨跌见下表： 从资金流向上来看，当日工程机械板块主力资金净流出3.84亿元，游资资金净流入1.99亿元，散户资金净 流入1.85亿元。工程机械板块个股资金流向见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 主力净流入(元) | 主力净占比 游资净流入 (元) | | 游资净占比 散户净流入 (元) | | 散户净占比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002685 | 华东重机 | -3239.08万 | 9.98% | 27.21万 | 0.08% | -3266.29万 | -10.07% | | ə səs oluna qalında qalında qalında qalında qalında qalında qalan və bir və qalında və bi | 同力股份 | 2220.44万 | 14.28% | 4.64万 | 0.03% ...

从资金流向上来看，当日工程机械板块主力资金净流出2.61亿元，游资资金净流入3.29亿元，散户资金净 流出6844.18万元。工程机械板块个股资金流向见下表： 证券之星消息，2月2日工程机械板块较上一交易日下跌2.26%，志高机械领跌。当日上证指数报收于 4015.75，下跌2.48%。深证成指报收于13824.35，下跌2.69%。工程机械板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600984 | 建设机械 | 4.12 | 3.52% | 66.01万 | | 2.75亿 | | 603273 | 天元智能 | 66'81 | 0.42% | 2.96万 | | 5671.59万 | | 301279 | 金道科技 | 31.66 | -0.41% | ● 1.68万 | | 5359.39万 | | 001226 | 拓山重工 | 51.53 | -0.58% | 2.54万 | | 1.34亿 | | 601100 | 恒立液压 | 107.4 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Market Perform" rating for the unmanned forklift industry, indicating a high growth potential with low penetration at this stage [5][80]. Core Insights - The unmanned forklift industry is supported by policies and technological advancements, driving growth through increased demand in logistics and labor shortages [5][80]. - The market for unmanned forklifts is expanding, with a significant decrease in product prices from approximately 600,000 yuan per unit in 2018 to about 204,100 yuan per unit by 2024, driven by scale production and increased competition [5][38]. - The report highlights a dual-driven demand for unmanned forklifts, stemming from the expansion of the logistics industry and structural changes in demand, alongside a shortage of labor [5][66]. Summary by Sections 1. Policy Support and Technological Advancements - Unmanned forklifts integrate forklift and AGV/AMR technologies, enabling automated material handling across various production scenarios [5][13]. - National and local policies are fostering the development of unmanned forklifts, emphasizing their inclusion in key research and development areas [5][26]. 2. Market Share and Global Positioning - The market share of unmanned forklifts is increasing, with a notable focus on both domestic and international markets, highlighting their core position in the AGV/AMR sector [5][43]. - The report notes that unmanned forklifts accounted for 30.95% of new product releases in the AGV/AMR category in 2025, underscoring their significance [5][43]. 3. Demand Drivers - The logistics industry's growth and evolving operational models are significantly increasing the demand for unmanned forklifts, which are seen as essential for enhancing efficiency and reducing labor costs [5][57]. - Labor shortages, driven by demographic changes and rising labor costs, are accelerating the adoption of unmanned forklifts [5][66]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as Hangcha Group (603298), Anhui Heli (600761), Zhongli Group (603194), and Noli Forklift (603611) as potential investment opportunities in the unmanned forklift sector [5][80].

杭叉集团：叉车龙头走向全球，无人叉车、人形机器人开启新成长纪元【长江机械-赵智勇团队】 此前我们发布深度报告《杭叉集团：叉车龙头走向全球，无人叉车、人形机器人开启新成长纪元》，看好公司多 维增长点： 当前降息背景下，海外欧美资本品需求有望修复，新兴市场有望受益产能转移，公司叉车主业有望充分受益。 公司持续完善全球网络布局，25年以来海外多个子公司相继开张运营，助力公司海外份额持续提升。< 公司持续完善全球网络布局，25年以来海外多个子公司相继开张运营，助力公司海外份额持续提升。 近年来叉车行业持续向新能化转型，如我国电动叉车销量占比从2010年23%持续提升至2024年的74%。 公司纵深布局锂电、氢能源产品，研发投入力度持续加大，有望凭借新能源产品优势持续提升全球市场地位。 公司在智能板块具备深厚的技术积累和深度的市场布局，通过内生外延不断强化智能化业务综合竞争力。 25年7月收购国自机器人强化技术优势，25年10月全球首次发布杭叉X1系列物流人形机器人，标志着公司完成了从 传统工业车辆制造商向全场景智能物流解决方案提供商的战略升级，未来无人叉车、人形机器人有望助力智能板 块实现跨越式增长。 杭叉集团：叉车 ...

转自：前瞻产业研究院 行业主要上市公司：安徽合力(600761);杭叉集团(603298);厦工股份(600815);诺力股份(603611);柳工 (000528)等 本文核心数据：无人叉车销量;无人叉车行业市场规模;无人叉车发展潜力 无人叉车优劣势明显 无人叉车是一种新型的搬运装备，和传统叉车不同，无人叉车装有自主导航装置，能够在无人操作的状 态下完成物料搬运等工作。无人叉车稳定性高、灵活度大，同时适用于高危环境，降低了人工成本。另 外，联通了数据系统的无人叉车能够对货物搬运工作进行实施监督，提升了工作效率。 但无人叉车相较于传统叉车价格更高，且无法在复杂环境内应用，维护保养成本也更高，因此无人叉车 的大规模应用仍需时日。 | 指标 | 具体分析 | | --- | --- | | 产品优点 | 高效、灵活、节省人力成本、可以实时监控 | | 产品缺点 | 价格高、适用范围有限、维护成本高 | 中国无人叉车布局企业较多 目前，布局无人叉车的企业数量较多，根据移动机器人产业联盟数据，无人叉车领域企业数量已经超过 100家，代表性企业包括杭叉集团、安徽合力、中力股份传统叉车企业，也包括未来机器人、海康机器 人 ...

Group 1: Company Overview - The report highlights that Jinchuang Group (603680) expects a significant increase in net profit for 2025, projecting a range of 540 million to 620 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 78.77% to 105.25% [5] - The company anticipates a non-recurring net profit of 560 million to 640 million yuan for 2025, indicating a growth of 72.72% to 97.39% year-on-year [5] - The demand for rail transit vehicles is expected to rise due to large-scale tenders for the Fuxing high-speed trains, with the company benefiting from increased delivery volumes and improved product structure leading to higher overall gross margins [5][6] Group 2: Industry Insights - The mechanical equipment industry is projected to see growth in both domestic and international forklift sales, with total sales for 2025 expected to reach 1.4518 million units, a year-on-year increase of 12.9% [9] - Domestic forklift sales are expected to grow by 12.6% in 2025, driven by a recovery in demand linked to the manufacturing and logistics sectors [10] - The report notes that the overall forklift market is showing stable growth, with expectations for this trend to continue into 2026 [10] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The report maintains a positive outlook for Jinchuang Group, projecting net profits of 551 million, 587 million, and 665 million yuan for 2025 to 2027, with corresponding EPS of 0.70, 0.75, and 0.85 yuan, and PE ratios of 23X, 21X, and 19X respectively, recommending a "buy" rating [8] - The report emphasizes the importance of technological barriers and a comprehensive product range for the company to strengthen its position in the rail transit vehicle supply market [8]

Group 1: Industry Overview - In December 2025, the overall forklift sales reached 111,400 units, a slight increase of 0.03% year-on-year [1] - Domestic sales accounted for 63,800 units, showing a decline of 5.17%, while overseas sales were 47,600 units, reflecting a growth of 7.97% [1] - Cumulative forklift sales for 2025 totaled 1,451,800 units, marking a year-on-year increase of 12.9% [1] Group 2: Domestic Market Insights - Domestic forklift sales increased by 12.6% in 2025, driven by a recovery in demand linked to the manufacturing and logistics sectors [2] - The manufacturing PMI new orders index reached 50.8 in December 2025, indicating a strong growth of 1.6 percentage points month-on-month [2] - The total social logistics volume in November 2025 grew by 5.0% year-on-year, reflecting steady growth in logistics demand [2] Group 3: Export Market Insights - Forklift exports grew by 13.4% year-on-year in 2025, indicating a positive trend in overseas demand [2] - The manufacturing PMI new export orders index was at 49.0 in December 2025, with a month-on-month increase of 1.4 percentage points [2] - The engineering machinery export trade value reached $6.417 billion in December 2025, a year-on-year increase of 27.2% [2] Group 4: Company Performance - Hangcha Group expects a net profit of between 2.113 billion and 2.315 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.00% to 15.00% [3] - The growth is attributed to the company's ability to capture market demand, with a focus on electric forklifts and high-value products [3] - The company is expanding its presence in emerging markets such as Southeast Asia, Brazil, and the Middle East, enhancing its global sales revenue [3] Group 5: Strategic Developments - Hangcha Group established a Southeast Asia service center to enhance local operations and service capabilities [4] - The service center aims to improve service coverage and response efficiency in the region [4] - A manufacturing base in Thailand is expected to commence operations in 2026, marking an important expansion of the company's global manufacturing system [4]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Zhongyou Securities highlights that Hangcha Group has demonstrated stable performance and is awaiting the ramp-up of its embodied intelligence products [1] Financial Performance - The company has effectively seized market demand growth opportunities, resulting in a favorable increase in operating revenue alongside continuous profit growth due to its core products' strong technological foundation and advantages in large-scale production [1] Product Structure - The sales proportion of electric forklifts continues to rise, leading to further optimization of the product structure, with high-value-added products such as new energy forklifts and large-tonnage forklifts becoming the main drivers of growth [1] Market Expansion - In addition to consolidating its traditional markets in Europe and the United States, the company is accelerating its expansion into emerging markets such as Southeast Asia, Brazil, and the Middle East, showcasing the effectiveness of its globalization strategy [1] Intelligent Development - The company is gradually improving its layout in the field of intelligence, with data-driven development of embodied intelligence [1] Valuation - The projected PE valuations for the company from 2025 to 2027 are 15.88, 14.46, and 13.37 respectively, maintaining a "buy" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - The forklift industry is experiencing stable growth driven by the recovery of manufacturing and logistics demand, with domestic and overseas sales both increasing in 2025 [1][2] Group 1: Industry Overview - Forklift sales in 2025 are projected to reach 145.18 million units, a year-on-year increase of 12.9%, with domestic sales at 90.68 million units (up 12.6%) and export sales at 54.50 million units (up 13.4%) [1] - The domestic forklift market is closely linked to the manufacturing and logistics sectors, with a positive correlation to the manufacturing PMI and social logistics growth [2] - The overall forklift sales in December 2025 are expected to be 11.14 million units, with domestic sales at 6.38 million units (down 5.17%) and overseas sales at 4.76 million units (up 7.97%) [1] Group 2: Company Performance - Hangcha Group anticipates a net profit of 21.13 billion to 23.15 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 5% to 15% due to strong market demand and improved product structure [3] - The company is focusing on electric forklifts and high-value products, which are becoming the main drivers of growth [3] - Hangcha Group is expanding its global presence, particularly in Southeast Asia, Brazil, and the Middle East, with an increasing share of overseas sales [3][4] Group 3: Strategic Developments - Hangcha Group established a Southeast Asia service center to enhance local operations and service capabilities, marking a significant milestone in its regional development strategy [4] - The service center aims to provide comprehensive support, including spare parts, technical assistance, and after-sales service, improving efficiency and reliability [4] - The company's manufacturing base in Thailand is expected to commence operations in 2026, further expanding its global manufacturing capabilities [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the machinery industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment returns over the next 6-12 months [1]. Core Insights - The domestic sales of excavators continued to grow in December 2025, with a significant recovery in non-excavator categories. The total excavator sales (including exports) reached 23,095 units, a year-on-year increase of 19.2%, with domestic sales at 10,331 units, up 10.9% [3][4]. - The report highlights a robust recovery in the demand for construction machinery driven by ongoing infrastructure investments and the replacement cycle of machinery, projecting a compound growth rate of around 30% for replacement demand in the coming years [4][5]. - The export of excavators also showed strong growth, with December 2025 exports reaching 12,764 units, a 26.9% increase year-on-year, and total export value for the year at $64.2 billion, up 27.2% [6][10]. Summary by Sections Domestic Sales Performance - In December 2025, excavator sales reached 23,095 units, with domestic sales at 10,331 units, reflecting a 19.2% and 10.9% year-on-year growth respectively. For the entire year, total excavator sales were 235,257 units, up 17.0%, and domestic sales were 118,518 units, up 17.9% [3][14]. - Non-excavator machinery categories also saw significant growth, with loader sales increasing by 30.0% and motor grader sales by 14.0% in December 2025 [14]. Export Performance - The report notes that excavator exports in December 2025 reached 12,764 units, marking a 26.9% increase year-on-year, with total annual exports at 116,739 units, up 16.1% [6][14]. - The total export value of construction machinery for December 2025 was $64.2 billion, a 27.2% increase, with the annual total at $601.7 billion, up 13.8% [6]. Future Demand Drivers - The report emphasizes that active fiscal policies are expected to stimulate infrastructure investment, ensuring sustained demand for construction machinery in the medium term [5]. - The commencement of the Yaxia Hydropower Project, with an estimated investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, is projected to significantly boost machinery demand, with equipment needs potentially reaching 120 to 180 billion yuan [9][10]. Electric and Intelligent Machinery Trends - Electric loader sales surged by 218.7% in December 2025, with an electricization rate of 22.2%, indicating a strong trend towards electrification in the machinery sector [7]. - The report also highlights the growth potential in the forklift market, driven by advancements in robotics and artificial intelligence, with a projected 39.3% increase in sales of unmanned forklifts in 2025 [8]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several leading manufacturers, including SANY Heavy Industry, XCMG, and Zoomlion, as well as component suppliers like Hengli Hydraulic, indicating a favorable long-term outlook for these companies [10].