（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，1月30日，中证转债指数午盘下跌1.47%，报521.94点。其中，金25转债、新致转债、福立 转债、信服转债、航宇转债跌幅居前，分别跌12.56%、9.87%、7.50%、6.60%和6.42%。耐普转02、联 瑞转债、富淼转债、百川转2、广联转债涨幅居前，分别涨30.00%、17.39%、7.22%、6.25%和4.73%。 ...

证券日报网讯 1月28日，深信服发布公告称，自2026年1月12日至1月28日，公司股票已有10个交易日收 盘价不低于"信服转债"当期转股价110.93元/股的130%即144.21元/股，若未来连续30个交易日内再有5个 交易日满足该条件，将触发"信服转债"有条件赎回条款，公司可按债券面值加当期应计利息赎回全部或 部分未转股债券。 （文章来源：证券日报） ...

Core Viewpoint - The China Convertible Bond Index opened higher by 0.2% on January 16, reaching 517.94 points, indicating a positive market sentiment in the convertible bond sector [1][2]. Summary by Categories Market Performance - The top gainers in the convertible bond market included Aohong Convertible Bond, Huachen Convertible Bond, Jiazhe Convertible Bond, Yongxi Convertible Bond, and Jingda Convertible Bond, with respective increases of 30.00%, 7.31%, 3.81%, 3.33%, and 3.16% [1][2]. - Conversely, the largest decliners were Xinfeng Convertible Bond, Jiamei Convertible Bond, Shanhe Convertible Bond, Fumiao Convertible Bond, and Saili Convertible Bond, which saw decreases of 3.99%, 2.53%, 2.36%, 2.26%, and 1.59% respectively [1][2].

Core Viewpoint - The China Convertible Bond Index rose by 0.57% on January 16, reaching 519.83 points, indicating a positive market sentiment in the convertible bond sector [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The index's increase was driven by significant gains in several convertible bonds, with Hengshuai Convertible Bond rising by 10.64%, Libai Convertible Bond by 10.34%, and Huayi Convertible Bond by 9.37% [1]. - Conversely, some convertible bonds experienced declines, with Fumiao Convertible Bond dropping by 7.69%, Jiamei Convertible Bond by 6.73%, and Xinfeng Convertible Bond by 5.07% [1].

Group 1: Macro Overview - The main theme for the 2026 overseas market is "weak recovery + rebalancing," driven by factors such as "balance sheet repair + loose monetary policy + fiscal stimulus + AI investment wave," with a gradual economic recovery expected, albeit with weak momentum due to high interest rates and tariff impacts [2] - Different countries and industries are expected to transition from divergence to convergence, with economic, policy, and asset prices influenced by multiple factors reaching a balance point [2] Group 2: Fixed Income Strategy - The report emphasizes that the industrial wave of AI computing power and robotics is gradually being realized, supporting a high level of performance in equity markets, which underpins the high valuation of convertible bonds [3] - The supply-demand dynamics for convertible bonds are tightening, with continuous inflows into fixed income, further supporting their valuation; "pan-technology" is identified as a strategic allocation focus for equities and convertible bonds [3] - Recommended convertible bond targets include Guowei Convertible Bond, Xinfeng Convertible Bond, Weier Convertible Bond, Lianang Convertible Bond, Yiwai Convertible Bond, and Jianfan Convertible Bond [3] Group 3: Real Estate Sector - From January to November, the cumulative sales amount of new homes decreased by 11.1% year-on-year, with a total sales amount of 751.3 billion yuan, and the sales area decreased by 7.8% [6] - The report indicates that the new housing market is expected to remain under pressure in 2026, with a low performance due to the lack of significant policy changes [7] - The report suggests maintaining an "overweight" rating on real estate-related stocks, highlighting the importance of policy-driven dynamics and the potential benefits for quality real estate companies in a changing competitive landscape [7] Group 4: Steel Industry Insights - The quality of steel production statistics has declined since May, affecting the assessment of steel demand due to discrepancies between reported and actual production data [10] - The report notes that the weak reality continues to unfold against strong expectations in the steel sector, indicating challenges in demand and production regulation [10] Group 5: Company-Specific Analysis - Sutonju Chuang reported a Q3 2025 shipment of 186,000 laser radars, a year-on-year increase of 34%, with significant growth in the robotics sector [11] - The company's revenue for Q3 2025 reached 410 million yuan, a slight decrease of 0.2% year-on-year, with a gross margin of approximately 23.9% [11] - The report maintains a "buy" rating for Sutonju Chuang, projecting total revenues of 2.3 billion, 3.5 billion, and 4.4 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with a target market value of approximately 21.14 billion yuan [14]

Group 1 - The core idea of the report is to construct a strategy for convertible bonds based on the premium rate, focusing on identifying bonds with a premium rate that is "easy to rise and hard to fall" [1][9] - The report suggests that convertible bonds with a premium rate below 2% are more likely to experience a rebound to above 10%, indicating potential investment opportunities [1][9] - Factors influencing the rise in premium rates include the probability of strong redemption announcements and the overall market sentiment towards equities, which can affect individual bond premium levels [1][10] Group 2 - The report highlights specific sectors and companies to focus on, including technology and high-end manufacturing, driven by increasing overseas computing power demand and domestic AI industrialization [2][17] - Recommendations for convertible bonds include those from companies like Ruike, Huanyu, and Xinfeng in the technology sector, and Tianneng, Yake, and Daimai in the high-end manufacturing sector [2][17] - The report notes that the overall market sentiment remains optimistic, which supports the valuation of convertible bonds and suggests a potential "spring rally" in early 2026 [17]

Group 1 - The report indicates that the current convertible bond valuation remains relatively high, with some newly issued bonds having higher premium rates compared to other bonds at parity. This is attributed to strong demand for convertible bonds and high industry prosperity, leading to excess returns on corresponding stocks and increased volatility, which supports the high valuation levels of these new bonds [1][10]. - The report anticipates that the high premium of newly issued bonds will persist, as high-prosperity industries will continue to issue convertible bonds, maintaining a balance structure close to the levels seen in 2025. This is expected to support the valuation levels of newly issued bonds and the overall market [1][10]. - The report tracks the valuation levels across various industries, identifying the top ten industries with the highest valuations, including Media, Computer, Defense, Machinery, Electronics, Automotive, Beauty, Communication, Food & Beverage, and Electric Equipment. The proportion of high-valuation industry bonds has increased in 2025 compared to 2023 and 2024, indicating a rise in the overall market valuation center [2][11]. Group 2 - The weekly strategy indicates that most stock indices experienced adjustments, with the China Convertible Bond Index showing a slight increase of 0.52%. The report highlights that the median price of bonds in the parity range has risen, indicating that convertible bond valuations remain at historically high levels [3][17]. - The report notes that market liquidity remains ample, and as investor risk appetite gradually recovers, a mid-term upward trend in stock indices is expected. Key areas of focus include the acceleration of AI industrialization, the "anti-involution" trend benefiting sectors like photovoltaics and steel, and future industry-related convertible bonds such as hydrogen energy and nuclear fusion [3][17][18]. - Recent increases in convertible bond valuations may be due to inflows of new capital into the market, driven by a better alignment of the convertible bond market structure with current market styles. Specific sectors such as photovoltaics, lithium batteries, coal, and steel are highlighted as key areas for institutional investment [4][17].

Core Points - The China Convertible Bond Index rose by 0.74% to 486.21 points with a trading volume of 69.5 billion yuan on November 5 [1] - Notable gainers included Zhongneng Convertible Bond, which increased by 20%, and Electric Chemical Convertible Bond, which rose by 6.30% [1] - Decliners included Zhongqi Convertible Bond, which fell by 2.81%, and Xinfeng Convertible Bond, which decreased by 1.74% [1] Summary by Category Performance Overview - The China Convertible Bond Index closed at 486.21 points, reflecting a 0.74% increase [1] - Total trading volume reached 69.5 billion yuan [1] Top Gainers - Zhongneng Convertible Bond: increased by 20% to 184.80 yuan with a trading volume of 366,000 units and a market cap of 6.15 billion yuan [2] - Electric Chemical Convertible Bond: rose by 6.30% to 183.52 yuan with a trading volume of 102,000 units and a market cap of 1.85 billion yuan [2] - Tian23 Convertible Bond: up by 5.65% to 141.05 yuan with a trading volume of 371,000 units and a market cap of 5.16 billion yuan [2] - Dazhong Convertible Bond: also increased by 5.65% to 187.00 yuan with a trading volume of 152,000 units and a market cap of 2.72 billion yuan [2] Notable Decliners - Zhongqi Convertible Bond: decreased by 2.81% to 325.55 yuan with a trading volume of 101,400 units and a market cap of 3.32 billion yuan [2] - Xinfeng Convertible Bond: fell by 1.74% to 151.12 yuan with a trading volume of 22,310 units and a market cap of 333 million yuan [2] - Xinzhi Convertible Bond: down by 1.38% to 241.75 yuan with a trading volume of 90,100 units and a market cap of 217 million yuan [2]

Group 1 - Renowned private equity firm Ruijun Asset announced that starting from June 8, 2025, it will suspend new client subscription applications for products managed by Dong Chengfei, prioritizing performance and controlling scale [1] - Dong Chengfei, a prominent fund manager, transitioned from public to private equity in 2022, joining Ruijun Asset and investing at least 40 million yuan of personal funds into the firm's products, achieving a first fundraising scale of 4.5 billion yuan [2][6] - Under Dong Chengfei's management, products like "Ruijun Chengfei" series have shown significant performance, with cumulative returns around 32% since their inception [6] Group 2 - Dong Chengfei's historical performance includes annualized returns of 19.87%, 10.97%, and 19.13% for various funds during his tenure at Xingzheng Global Fund [6] - The "Ruijun Youfu" series products have substantial holdings in technology stocks, with a cumulative market value of 5.93 billion yuan as of the latest reports [7] - The firm has increased its holdings in key technology stocks, including significant positions in companies like Yuanli Co., Lexion Technology, and Chipong Micro, with total holdings reaching 15.42 billion yuan [8][9] Group 3 - Dong Chengfei's investment strategy has shifted towards materials and design sectors, indicating a cautious approach to semiconductor investments due to high valuations [9][10] - Ruijun Asset has conducted extensive research, with 70 investigations into 65 stocks in Q2, focusing on sectors like electronics, pharmaceuticals, and basic chemicals, which constitute over 55% of their research activities [10]