Workflow
光模块DSP
icon
Search documents
迈威尔科技(MRVL):进一步上修FY27光互连产品增速
HTSC· 2026-03-09 10:15
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the company with a target price of $113.70 [6]. Core Insights - The company reported FY2026 revenue of $8.195 billion, a year-over-year increase of 42%, and a non-GAAP net profit of $2.466 billion, up 79% year-over-year. The fourth quarter of FY2026 saw revenues of $2.219 billion, a 22% increase year-over-year and a 7% increase quarter-over-quarter, slightly exceeding Bloomberg consensus estimates [1]. - The company has raised its revenue guidance for FY2027 and FY2028, expecting revenues of approximately $11 billion and $15 billion, respectively, driven primarily by the data center business and strong demand for optical interconnect products [2]. - The company has completed acquisitions of Celestial AI and XConn, which are expected to enhance its competitive position in the Scale-up sector, with significant revenue contributions anticipated starting in FY2027 and FY2028 [3]. - The company is projected to achieve revenues of $10.928 billion, $14.842 billion, and $18.772 billion for FY2027, FY2028, and FY2029, respectively, with adjusted net profits of $3.300 billion, $4.653 billion, and $6.392 billion [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - FY2026 revenue was $8.195 billion, with a 42% year-over-year growth. Non-GAAP net profit reached $2.466 billion, reflecting a 79% increase [1]. - The fourth quarter of FY2026 generated $2.219 billion in revenue, a 22% increase year-over-year and a 7% increase quarter-over-quarter [1]. Business Segments - The data center business generated $1.65 billion in revenue for 4QFY26, a 21% year-over-year increase, with strong growth in optical interconnect and custom chip products [2]. - The company expects optical interconnect product revenue to grow over 50% in FY27, driven by robust demand for 800G Ethernet optical modules [2]. Acquisitions and Growth Strategy - The company has completed acquisitions of XConn and Celestial AI, which are expected to significantly contribute to revenue growth in the Scale-up sector, with XConn projected to contribute $50 million in annualized revenue by 4QFY27 and $100 million by FY28 [3]. - The company anticipates doubling its revenue from AEC and retimer products in FY27 [3]. Valuation and Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenues of $10.928 billion, $14.842 billion, and $18.772 billion for FY27, FY28, and FY29, respectively, with adjusted net profits of $3.300 billion, $4.653 billion, and $6.392 billion [4]. - The adjusted PE ratio is set at 30x for FY27, reflecting a premium due to the successful progress in custom chip business and potential growth from acquisitions [4].
CREDO TECHNOLOGY(CRDO):产品快速放量,指引FY26收入同增120%
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-09-04 08:43
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [9]. Core Insights - The company is projected to achieve significant revenue growth, with FY26 revenue expected to reach $985 million, representing a 125.5% year-over-year increase. For FY27 and FY28, revenues are forecasted at $1.362 billion and $1.710 billion, respectively, with growth rates of 38.3% and 25.6% [5][9]. - The company has diversified its customer base, with three customers contributing over 10% of revenue in FY26Q1, and anticipates additional large cloud vendor clients entering the market [8]. - The AEC (Application-Specific Integrated Circuit) solutions are expected to benefit from the growing demand in AI and cloud services, leading to increased sales and market share [9]. Financial Summary - For FY24, the company is expected to generate revenue of $193 million, with a projected EBITDA of -$8.97 million. By FY26, revenue is expected to reach $985 million with a positive EBITDA of $286.78 million [5][12]. - The company is expected to turn profitable by FY26, with a projected net profit of $250 million, increasing to $458 million by FY28 [5][12]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for FY26 is $1.45, increasing to $2.65 by FY28 [5]. Performance Analysis - In FY26Q1, the company reported revenue of $223 million, a 274% increase year-over-year, and a GAAP net profit of $63.4 million, indicating a turnaround from previous losses [7]. - The company expects continued revenue growth in FY26Q2, with guidance of $230 to $240 million [7]. Market Position - The company is positioned as a leader in the AEC market, with expectations of benefiting from the increasing demand for high-speed data solutions driven by AI and cloud computing [9]. - The growth in GPU and ASIC shipments is anticipated to further enhance the demand for the company's AEC products [9].