回顾香港的历史，于洋认为，公共住宅体系建立的根源是回应人口增长带来的社会压力。 香港大埔火灾事故的发生地宏福苑，是一座1983年落成的高层住宅小区，属于香港"居者有其屋"（简称"居屋"） 计划的楼盘，属经济性产权住房，是香港公共住宅体系中的一个类别。 从宏福苑的情况可以透视香港住房的基本状况：这座高密度城市经过一百多年的发展，正面临居民老龄化、年轻 人住房压力大等挑战。而回顾香港住房发展的历史，平衡居民生活需求和城市房地产发展的需要，是香港居住政 策的核心议题。 香港住房主要分类 宏福苑含8栋31层的住宅，共1984户住房，每户实用面积为44~44.9平方米，当年的首发价在11.6万~15.91万港元之 间。宏福苑位于香港新界大埔，属新城开发整体建设的一部分，也是一个典型的"居屋"社区。据2021年人口普查 数据，宏福苑常住人口4643人，其中65岁以上的占到36.6%。 中国人民大学公共管理学院城市规划与管理系副系主任于洋教授告诉第一财经，从宏福苑的情况，可以观察香港 住房体系的整体情况。于洋曾全面研究香港房地产发展与政策的关系，访谈过多位业内重要人士。他认为，从城 市规划、土地制度到住房，香港是中国内地城 ...

Core Insights - The average waiting time for public housing in Hong Kong remains at 5.1 years as of September 2023, marking the lowest level since Q1 2018, and a reduction of 1 year compared to the previous administration's peak of 6.1 years [1][2] Group 1: Current Waiting Times and Arrangements - Approximately 7,900 general applicants were successfully arranged for public housing in Q3 2023, including around 1,600 new traditional public housing units, 4,000 recovered traditional public housing units, and 2,300 simplified public housing units [1] - Over 85% of general applicants who were arranged to move into traditional public housing units are located in urban or extended urban areas, where the waiting time is about 2 years longer than in the New Territories [1] - The average waiting time for general applicants moving into simplified public housing is significantly shorter at 3.1 years since the first project began allocation in Q1 2023 [1] Group 2: Future Housing Development Plans - The government plans to continue building public housing and actively promote remaining simplified public housing projects, with an estimated 9,500 units expected to be completed this year [2] - The overall public housing construction volume, including simplified public housing, is projected to reach 189,000 units over the next five years starting from 2026/27, representing an approximately 80% increase compared to the current administration's initial figures [2] - The target for the comprehensive waiting time for public housing is to reduce it to 4.5 years by the 2026/27 fiscal year [2]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Housing Authority and the Housing Bureau are actively addressing the public housing shortage by implementing measures to accelerate the construction of various types of housing, including transitional and simplified public housing [1] Group 1: Public Housing Applications and Supply - Currently, there are 110,000 applications on the public housing waiting list, which has decreased by 25% compared to five years ago, but many individuals are still waiting [1] - The government aims to expedite housing construction and has introduced transitional housing projects with a target of building 21,000 units, of which approximately 18,400 units are already available for application [1] Group 2: Transitional and Simplified Housing Projects - The transitional housing initiative is designed to improve living conditions for the elderly and grassroots families, with various social services provided alongside [1] - There are currently 13 simplified public housing projects aimed at providing 30,000 units, with the first project taking about 1.5 years from construction to the first family moving in [1] Group 3: Future Housing Supply - Over the next 10 years, there will be sufficient housing supply to address the housing issue, with approximately 60,000 housing units expected to be completed in the Northern Metropolis area within the next five years [1] - In total, around 144,000 units are projected to be completed within the next decade [1]

Core Insights - The Hong Kong Housing Authority has achieved 168,000 public housing units completed since the 2022/23 fiscal year, reaching 54% of the 308,000 units target set for the next decade under the Long-Term Housing Strategy, significantly exceeding the initial estimate of 105,000 units [1] - The government plans to adjust the ratio of public housing to subsidized sale housing from 7:3 to 6:4, with over 20,000 simplified public housing units expected to be completed in the next two years [1] - The introduction of advanced technologies in construction, such as the "Smart Easy Lock" and circular wall connection technology, aims to reduce construction time and costs, with future developments focusing on lighter and better soundproof concrete [1] Design and Cost Efficiency - The Housing Authority intends to simplify public housing designs based on principles of practicality, affordability, and environmental sustainability, including features like omitting unnecessary facilities in new housing units [2] - The shift in public preferences towards more open and flexible living spaces is acknowledged, leading to considerations for future housing designs that may include open kitchens instead of traditional enclosed ones [2] - Feedback from residents will be actively sought to optimize housing designs for the next 10 to 20 years, reflecting changing lifestyles and needs [2]

Core Insights - The Hong Kong Housing Authority is actively combating the abuse of public housing, having recovered approximately 8,700 units since the current government took office, saving around HKD 8.7 billion in construction costs [1] - The Housing Authority plans to launch a "Report Abuse of Public Housing Reward" program in January 2025 to gather intelligence for more precise enforcement [1] - There is a significant decrease in public housing applications, with general applications down 26% and non-elderly single applications down 40% compared to their peak [2] Group 1: Public Housing Supply and Management - The Housing Authority expects about 23,000 units to be completed in the 2024/25 fiscal year, including approximately 9,000 public housing units and 14,000 subsidized sale units, with a projected increase to 28,000 units in 2025/26, a 20% rise [1] - The Housing Authority has established a verification mechanism with the Land Registry to identify tenants owning residential properties in Hong Kong, having completed checks on 250,000 households [2] - The government is also constructing "Simple Public Housing," with around 30,000 units expected to be completed by 2027 to address short-term supply shortages [3] Group 2: Housing Policy Adjustments - The Housing Authority is adjusting the quota ratio for subsidized sale units from 40:60 to 50:50 to encourage upward mobility among public housing tenants [4] - Starting October 1, 2023, public housing tenants paying extra rent can retain their "Green Form" status for four years after voluntarily vacating their units, allowing them to apply for subsidized sale units [4] - The Housing Authority is considering tightening resale restrictions on subsidized sale units to prevent short-term speculation and ensure these units are used for self-occupation [4] Group 3: Youth Initiatives - To enhance opportunities for youth to purchase subsidized sale units, the Housing Authority will allocate an additional lottery number for applicants under 40 years old starting from the next sale [5] - The "White Form" youth program has seen a significant uptake, with over 80% of applicants choosing to participate, reflecting strong demand among young people [5] - The Housing Authority is launching the "Co-Build Entrepreneur" program to provide rent-free shops for youth to test their entrepreneurial ideas, expanding the initiative significantly [6] Group 4: Innovative Construction Techniques - The Housing Authority is adopting innovative construction technologies, including the second generation of Modular Integrated Construction (MiC 2.0), to accelerate housing development [7] - By 2028/29 to 2032/33, over half of new projects will utilize MiC technology, which simplifies installation and reduces construction time [7] - The Authority is also expanding the use of Building Information Modeling (BIM) to enhance efficiency in planning, design, and construction processes [8] Group 5: Safety and Management Improvements - The Housing Authority has developed a comprehensive project information management platform to enhance data analysis capabilities and improve construction site safety [8] - At least 50% of units completed between 2028/29 and 2032/33 will be built using the "Design and Build" procurement model to streamline processes [8] - The Authority is exploring direct procurement options for construction materials to reduce costs and improve efficiency [8]