Core Insights - Shenzhen's second-hand housing market recorded a weekly transaction volume of 1,696 units in the 42nd week of 2025, marking a 39.1% increase compared to the previous week, reaching a six-month high [1][3] - New housing transactions also saw significant growth, with 883 units sold, representing a 100.7% week-on-week increase [1][3] Group 1: Market Activity - The overall trading activity in Shenzhen's real estate market is at a high level for the second half of the year, with demand being released after the National Day holiday [4] - The Longgang district experienced a notable surge in second-hand housing transactions, leading other areas, particularly the Shuanglong sub-district, which recorded 222 units sold, the highest in the region [3][4] Group 2: Future Supply - In the fourth quarter of 2025, Shenzhen plans to launch 39 new residential projects, with an expected supply of 1,601,853.70 square meters, equivalent to 12,334 units [5][6] - Compared to the third quarter, the number of new projects and the area of housing supply have significantly increased, indicating a positive outlook for the market [5][6] Group 3: Market Trends - The traditional peak sales season of "Golden September and Silver October" is contributing to the rising heat in Shenzhen's real estate market, supported by favorable new policies [6] - In September, the city recorded 5,808 second-hand housing transactions, a 10.3% increase month-on-month and a 52.4% increase year-on-year, while new housing pre-sales reached 1,832 units, up 35.5% from the previous month [6]

Group 1 - Shenzhen plans to release 39 new residential projects in Q4 2025, with a total supply area of approximately 1,601,853.70 square meters and 12,334 units [1] - The residential supply includes 1,307,480.51 square meters and 10,112 units, while commercial apartments, commercial spaces, and office spaces account for 205,780.79 square meters (1,215 units), 31,779.77 square meters (391 units), and 56,812.63 square meters (616 units) respectively [1] - Nanshan District has the highest number of planned projects at 9, while Longhua District sees a significant reduction in supply with only 2 projects [1] Group 2 - Following the new housing policy introduced on September 5, 2023, the market activity in Shenzhen has increased, with a 43.5% month-on-month rise in the total number of new residential units signed [1] - The new policy coincided with a peak period for new project launches, leading to increased transaction volumes due to both policy incentives and high-quality housing supply [1] - The focus of buyers has shifted towards practical new developments and quickly available existing properties, while commercial and apartment properties in core areas maintain high transaction volumes [1] Group 3 - A "discount war" has emerged in Shenzhen's new housing market, with many projects offering significant promotions to attract buyers [2] - The real estate market is entering a phase of intense competition, with price reductions being a key strategy for customer acquisition [2] - The National Bureau of Statistics reported that only 5 out of 70 major cities saw new home prices increase month-on-month, indicating ongoing downward pressure on prices [2] Group 4 - The overall adjustment in real estate prices is deepening, with a notable decline in sales prices across various cities, although some signs of stabilization are emerging [2] - The market is currently in a "weak recovery" phase, with lingering inventory pressure and a need for time to restore market confidence [2] - The industry faces the challenge of converting short-term sales increases into long-term confidence restoration [2]

Core Viewpoint - The "Han Nine" policy introduced by Wuhan's housing and urban renewal bureau aims to stimulate demand and activate the real estate market through increased financial support, subsidies, and innovative policies to revitalize existing inventory [1][2][3] Group 1: Policy Features - The "Han Nine" policy increases the maximum personal housing provident fund loan limit for second homes to match that of first homes, reducing costs for families looking to upgrade [1] - Special financial products targeting young people are introduced, including lower interest rates and flexible repayment options, enhancing Wuhan's appeal to talent such as university students [1] - The policy expands subsidies for families with multiple children from specific districts to the entire city, increasing the coverage and benefiting more families [1] Group 2: Market Activation Measures - The policy encourages the sale of old homes to purchase new ones by continuing to provide tax subsidies and promoting cross-district exchanges of second-hand homes [2] - Innovative measures include allowing the transfer of previously self-held commercial properties and reducing transaction costs for underground parking spaces, facilitating quicker sales and improving cash flow for developers [2] - The overall approach of the new policy reflects a strategy of controlling new supply while revitalizing existing inventory, targeting various demographics to release housing demand potential [2] Group 3: Market Impact - The previous "Han Ten" policies have played a crucial role in stabilizing the market, with a reported 5.5% year-on-year increase in Wuhan's commodity housing sales area in the first quarter [3] - The introduction of the "Han Nine" policy before the May Day holiday is expected to further stimulate demand and market activity, with positive expectations for the month of May [3]