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中兴通讯(000063):单季利润较大下滑,算力布局初见成效,“芯片”“连接”“终端”多领域发力空间大
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-11-07 02:47
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price not specified [6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1,005.2 billion yuan for Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.6%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 32.69% to 53.2 billion yuan [1]. - The operator business faced pressure, leading to a significant decline in profits, with a Q3 net profit of 2.64 billion yuan, down 87.84% year-on-year [2]. - The company is expanding its server business, achieving a 180% year-on-year growth in computing revenue, with server and storage revenue increasing by 250% [3]. - The company has developed core switching chip capabilities, achieving a key chip forwarding capacity of 12.8T, with plans to upgrade to 51.2T [4]. - The company is integrating AI into its operations, enhancing its "connection + computing" strategy, and expanding in both computing and terminal sectors [5]. - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 73 billion, 83 billion, and 92 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 28, 25, and 22 [6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved an operating income of 289.67 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.11%, but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 24.93% [2]. - The gross profit margin for Q3 was 25.85%, down 14.5 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to a decrease in the high-margin operator business [2]. - The company’s inventory increased to 461 billion yuan by the end of Q3, up from 420.6 billion yuan at mid-year [2]. Business Expansion - The computing revenue accounted for 25% of total revenue, with significant contributions from major internet and financial companies [3]. - The company is actively promoting AI applications in consumer and family scenarios, launching innovative AI-enabled products [5]. Investment Outlook - The report suggests that the company's strategy of deepening "connection + computing" is expected to create a second growth curve, despite current pressures on the operator business [6].
中兴通讯(000063):全面投入AI,业务结构调整带动上半年收入稳定增长
Great Wall Securities· 2025-09-04 06:17
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target of outperforming the industry index by over 15% in the next six months [5][18]. Core Views - The company is fully committed to AI, which has driven stable revenue growth in the first half of 2025. The revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 71.553 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.51%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.058 billion yuan, a decrease of 11.77% [2][4]. - The company is focusing on expanding its capabilities in the AI and computing infrastructure sectors, which has led to significant growth in its second curve revenue, particularly in server and storage products, which saw a year-on-year increase of over 200% [2][3]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2023A at 124.251 billion yuan, 2024A at 121.299 billion yuan, 2025E at 137.068 billion yuan, 2026E at 150.774 billion yuan, and 2027E at 165.098 billion yuan, with growth rates of 1.1%, -2.4%, 13.0%, 10.0%, and 9.5% respectively [1][10]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 9.326 billion yuan in 2023A, 8.425 billion yuan in 2024A, 8.561 billion yuan in 2025E, 9.208 billion yuan in 2026E, and 9.987 billion yuan in 2027E, with growth rates of 15.4%, -9.7%, 1.6%, 7.6%, and 8.5% respectively [1][10]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) is expected to decline slightly from 13.5% in 2023A to 10.7% in 2027E [1][10]. Business Strategy - The company is enhancing its product technology in the connectivity and computing fields, focusing on 5G core networks and AI-driven large-scale computing clusters. It has established over 450 project cases globally in data center products [3][4]. - The company has launched innovative AI terminal products in the first half of 2025, including the Nubia Z70S Ultra and Nubia Flip 2, maintaining a leading position in the mobile internet market [3].