Core Viewpoint - ZTE Corporation (00763) has seen a significant stock price increase, reaching a historical high of 43.88 HKD, driven by positive market sentiment regarding its position in the DICT (Data, Information, Communication Technology) sector and anticipated benefits from AI development [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - ZTE's stock rose over 8% in early trading, peaking at 43.88 HKD, and is currently up 6.08% at 42.9 HKD with a trading volume of 28.55 billion HKD [1]. Group 2: Industry Position and Growth Potential - ZTE is recognized as a rare global provider of end-to-end DICT communication equipment solutions, with products spanning wireless, wired, cloud computing, terminal products, and professional communication services, serving over 160 countries and regions [1]. - The company aims to become a leader in network connectivity and intelligent computing power, positioning itself to benefit from the growth of AI [1]. - Major cloud service providers (CSPs) are expected to increase their capital expenditures (Capex) significantly, with a projected total exceeding 370 billion USD by 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of over 60% [1]. - In China, leading companies like ByteDance, Tencent, Alibaba, and Baidu are anticipated to exceed 360 billion CNY in Capex, while China Mobile plans to invest 37.3 billion CNY in computing power by 2025, with China Telecom and China Unicom also increasing their investments by 22% and 28% year-on-year, respectively [1]. Group 3: Technological Advancements - ZTE holds a 21% market share in the telecom operator market for servers, ranking first [2]. - The company has nearly 30 years of experience in self-developed chips and is one of the few domestic companies to mass-produce 7nm and introduce 5nm chips, offering a one-stop design service from chip design to mass production [2]. - ZTE has developed its own 5nm process CPU chips and is planning the next generation of switching chips, leveraging its accumulated networking technology to create competitive data center supernode solutions compatible with various GPU/ASIC chips [2].

AI 高景气度延续，从三季报角度看国产算力与光模块 20251008 摘要 AI 行业前景乐观，头部企业如中际旭创、新易盛和天孚通信受益于英伟 达 B 系列芯片拉动的 1.6T 需求增长。台企 ODM 服务器厂商出货表现良 好，表明 AI 行业景气度较高。 1.6T 光模块定价约为 1,100 美元，硅光模块价格在 900 至 1,000 美元 之间，已被纳入盈利模型测算。即使存在小幅年降，也不会对中际旭创 和新易盛等公司的整体盈利预测产生重大影响，预计净利率可达 30%左 右。 CPU 技术发展是重要趋势，博通已验证 100 万小时 400G 端口 CPU 运 行。中际旭创和华工科技等公司积极跟进和研究 CPU 技术，有望在未来 竞争中占据优势。 市场情绪易受短期消息影响，但通信板块长期基本面未变。具有业绩支 撑的龙头公司将持续受益。Oracle 股价修复案例表明长期基本面未发生 显著变化。 CPU 产业化加速不会对光模块厂商产生负面影响，反而可能带来利好。 旭创已布局 CPO 赛道，表明光模块行业仍有发展空间。 Q&A 近期通信板块的波动及市场传闻对投资策略有何影响？ 对于 AI 行业的发展前景及相关公司 ...

核心观点 国信证券近日发布通信行业2025年10月投资策略：北美CSP云厂（包括亚马逊、谷歌、Meta、微软、甲 骨文等）计划2025财年资本开支超过3700亿美金，同比增长40%。 国信证券近日发布通信行业2025年10月投资策略：北美CSP云厂（包括亚马逊、谷歌、Meta、微软、甲 骨文等）计划2025财年资本开支超过3700亿美金，同比增长40%。其中，甲骨文最新一季财报显示，其 FY26Q1末剩余履约义务（RPO）达4550亿美元，较上季度末增加3170亿美元，公司将继续加大AI投 入，预计2026财年资本开支达350亿美元。IDC数据显示，全球以太网交换机市场在2025年Q2营收145亿 美元（约1033亿人民币），同比增长42.1%。 以下为研究报告摘要： （2）三大运营商仍属红利配置重要资产，三大运营商经营稳健，并且分红比例持续提升，高股息价值 仍在，建议长期持续配置三大运营商。 2025年第9月重点推荐组合：中国移动、中际旭创、中兴通讯、广和通。 风险提示：宏观经济波动风险、数字经济投资建设不及预期、AI发展不及预期、中美贸易摩擦等外部 环境变化。（国信证券 袁文翀,张宇凡） 9月行情回顾：板 ...

其次是，2024年中国芯片出口量达到2981.1亿块，出口金额突破1万亿元人民币大关，达到1594.991亿美 元(约合人民币1.156万亿元)，同比增长18.7%。这不仅标志着中国芯片出口迈上新台阶，更使其超越服 装、纺织品和手机等传统强项，成为中国出口额最高的单一商品。 最后是，在关税制裁的和国家大基金扶持的大背景之下，倒闭国产替代加速，像国家大基金三期首次出 手晶圆制造、光刻机等卡脖子环节。 彻底瞒不住了。 芯片半导体有望接替人形机器人、深海经济成为主力炒作的下一个超级风口。 尤其是这家业绩暴增5310%，300家机构重仓、且在硅光芯片、服务器、数据中心掌握了核心技术的公 司，值得大家重点关注。 因为它接下来很有可能成为下一个十倍妖王。 不开玩笑，而是有事实依据在支撑。 首先是，芯片半导体经过两年的下行周期，现在已经在逐步复苏，尤其是在AI、人形机器人等前沿产 业快速发展的大背景之下，芯片半导体已经成为国民经济发展不可或缺的一部分。 可以预见的是，国产芯片在技术和需求的共振下，正在逐步构建起自主可控的半导体生态。 但大家必须要明白的是，在技术公关阶段，哪些蹭概念的只会成为过去式，只有业绩保持稳定、技术走 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company has experienced significant growth in its second curve revenue, particularly in computing power and terminal products, which have nearly doubled year-on-year and now account for over 35% of total revenue [3]. Group 1: Revenue Growth - The company's server and storage revenue has increased by over 200% year-on-year [3]. - AI server revenue constitutes 55% of the total server revenue [3]. Group 2: Market Position and Orders - The company has recently secured the top share in a collective procurement for AI general computing devices (inference type) [3]. - The company is actively expanding its order acquisition efforts [3]. Group 3: Technological Advancements - The company has developed self-research capabilities for switching chips, achieving a key chip forwarding capacity of 12.8T [3]. - The company aims to upgrade its key chip forwarding capacity from 12.8T to 51.2T [3]. Group 4: Industry Outlook - The evolution of AI technology and its applications is expected to drive the construction of intelligent computing centers and increase business volume on the consumer side [3]. - This growth is anticipated to boost network construction and become a primary engine for ICT industry investment growth over the next 3-5 years [3]. - Cloud vendors are continuously investing in computing power, and the company's intelligent computing and terminal layout is expected to empower future growth [3].

Group 1 - ZTE Corporation's stock increased by over 5%, reaching HKD 35.62 with a trading volume of HKD 1.318 billion [1] - Tianfeng Securities reported that in the first half of this year, ZTE's revenue from computing power and terminal products grew nearly 100% year-on-year, accounting for over 35% of total revenue [1] - The company's server and storage revenue increased by over 200% year-on-year, with AI server revenue making up 55% of this segment [1] Group 2 - ZTE has recently won a bid for AI general computing devices from China Mobile, securing the largest share of the total procurement [1] - The company has self-research capabilities for switching chips and has achieved a key chip forwarding capacity of 12.8T, with ongoing technological advancements aimed at upgrading this capacity to 51.2T [1] - The evolution of AI technology and its applications is expected to drive the construction of intelligent computing centers and increase business volume on the consumer side, which may become a major engine for ICT industry investment growth over the next 3-5 years [1] Group 3 - Cloud vendors are continuously investing in computing power, and ZTE's strategy of integrating intelligent computing with terminal products is anticipated to empower future growth [1]

Core Viewpoint - ZTE Corporation (000063)(00763) saw a stock increase of over 5%, currently at 35.62 HKD with a trading volume of 1.318 billion HKD, driven by strong revenue growth in its second curve business, particularly in AI and computing products [1] Group 1: Company Performance - In the first half of the year, ZTE's revenue from its second curve, represented by computing power and terminal products, grew nearly 100% year-on-year, accounting for over 35% of total revenue [1] - Revenue from servers and storage increased by over 200% year-on-year, with AI server revenue making up 55% of this segment [1] Group 2: Market Position and Orders - ZTE has recently secured the largest share in the centralized procurement of AI general computing devices (inference type) for China Mobile (600941) [1] - The company has self-research capabilities for switching chips and has achieved a key chip forwarding capacity of 12.8T, with ongoing technological advancements aimed at upgrading this capacity to 51.2T [1] Group 3: Industry Outlook - The evolution of AI technology and its deeper application is expected to promote the construction of intelligent computing centers and increase business volume on the consumer side, driving growth in network construction [1] - The investment in computing power by cloud vendors and ZTE's strategic layout in intelligent computing and terminals are anticipated to empower future growth in the ICT industry over the next 3-5 years [1]

Core Viewpoint - The development of AI is driving the construction of large data centers, leading to a sustained and stable growth in demand for optical device products [1] Group 1: Communication Industry Performance - In August 2025, the communication industry index outperformed the CSI 300 index, rising by 33.78% compared to the Shanghai Composite Index (+7.97%) and the CSI 300 Index (+10.33%) [2] - From January to July 2025, China's telecom business revenue reached 1,043.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.7% [2] - As of July 2025, 5G mobile phone users accounted for 62.7% of total mobile phone users, with a monthly data usage (DOU) of 20.91GB per user, up 12.9% year-on-year [2] Group 2: Optical Module Market - In July 2025, China's optical module exports totaled 22.06 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 13.0% [4] - The global data center optical device market is expected to grow by over 60% in 2025, driven by the continued rollout of 400G/800G products [4] - Major cloud providers in North America had a combined capital expenditure of 95.06 billion dollars in Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 66.6% [4] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The communication industry maintains a "stronger than market" investment rating, with a current PE (TTM) of 23.51, positioned at the 71.48% percentile over the past five years [5] - Key sectors to focus on include optical communication, AI smartphones, and telecom operators, with specific companies recommended for investment [5] - The ongoing development of domestic computing power is expected to bring new growth to switching chips and integrated training and inference machines [1][5]

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The focus is on the domestic computing power sector in China, particularly in the context of AI demand and technological advancements. The market is expected to outperform previous cycles due to strong demand and supply dynamics [1][2]. Key Companies and Investment Recommendations - **Recommended Stocks**: Dongwu Securities recommends four key stocks: Yuanwang, Xiyuan Co., Shengke Communication, and Zhaoyi Innovation. Additionally, from a GPU perspective, Cambricon is favored, while Haiguang Information is selected based on valuation and expected growth [1][3]. - **Cambricon's Projections**: Expected revenue of 50 billion RMB and profit of 20 billion RMB by 2026, with a potential market cap of 1 trillion RMB if a 50x PE ratio is applied [1][5]. - **Haiguang Information's Performance**: The stock has risen 20% recently, driven by positive market sentiment and strategic partnerships with major clients like Alibaba and Honor [1][6]. Market Trends and Catalysts - **AI Demand**: ByteDance anticipates a daily issuance of 500 trillion tokens by 2026, indicating robust demand for AI technologies [1][2]. - **Technological Developments**: The launch of new products such as Kunlun's 32-card and Shuguang's 96-card supercomputers signifies a shift towards high-performance domestic computing power chips [1][7]. - **Supernode Market Potential**: The domestic supernode cabinet market is projected to reach a scale of approximately 4.3 billion USD by 2027, with Shengke Communication potentially capturing 50% market share, leading to significant revenue and profit growth [3][12]. Strategic Insights - **Domestic Supernode Importance**: The development of domestic supernodes is crucial for the industry, with significant advancements expected in 2026 [1][7]. - **Shift in Chip Supply**: The trend towards domestic supply chains is reinforced by geopolitical factors, including restrictions on advanced chip exports from the US [10]. - **Investment in AI and 5G**: Besides AI, the company also recommends investments in 5G and advanced manufacturing sectors, highlighting the strategic importance of companies like SMIC [15][16]. Future Outlook - **Growth Projections**: The domestic supernode cabinet shipments are expected to reach 30,000 units by 2027, indicating a strong growth trajectory for the sector [12]. - **Continued Monitoring**: Investors are encouraged to stay updated on the latest developments in the domestic computing power sector, as significant opportunities are anticipated in the near future [18].

Group 1 - The A-share market experienced fluctuations on August 28, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.08% during the day, while sectors such as telecommunications, electronics, and banking showed strong performance, and pharmaceuticals and textiles faced declines [1] - The Chip ETF (159995.SZ) surged by 4.43%, with significant gains in constituent stocks such as SMIC, which rose by 15.28%, and other companies like Rockchip, Cambricon, and Langchao Technology also showing notable increases [1] - According to CINNO Research, the total investment in China's semiconductor industry is projected to reach 455 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 9.8%, while investment in semiconductor equipment is expected to grow by 53.4%, indicating a strategic focus on supply chain autonomy [1] Group 2 - Guotai Junan Securities forecasts that due to increased overall AI spending and the trend of scaling up technology, the total market size for switching chips in China is expected to reach 25.7 billion yuan, 35.6 billion yuan, and 47.5 billion yuan in 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 61%, 39%, and 33% [1] - The current domestic production rate of switching chips is relatively low, particularly in the high-end chip market, where companies like Broadcom, Marvell, and NVIDIA dominate, indicating significant potential for domestic manufacturers to capture market share as they continue to make breakthroughs in high-speed rates [1]