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亚翔集成(603929):重大项目有序衔接,后续增长动能明确
Guoxin Securities· 2025-07-25 07:25
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform the Market" rating for the company [5][3][23] Core Views - The company is experiencing short-term pressure on performance due to the timing of major project confirmations, but there is clear growth momentum ahead [8][3] - The company has completed revenue recognition for the UMC Singapore project, and the VSMC project is transitioning smoothly [10][3] - The semiconductor industry is shifting supply chains to Southeast Asia due to geopolitical factors, with Singapore emerging as a preferred location for semiconductor companies [3][23] Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.68 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 41%, and a net profit of 161 million yuan, down 32% [8][2] - The company's gross margin improved to 16.9%, up 5.9 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin increased to 9.56%, up 1.2 percentage points [2][12] - Operating cash flow for H1 2025 was a net inflow of 880 million yuan, with a cash collection ratio of 145% [18][22] Future Earnings Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 477 million yuan, 816 million yuan, and 713 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding earnings per share of 2.24 yuan, 3.83 yuan, and 3.34 yuan [3][4][23] - The revenue forecast for 2025 is 4.57 billion yuan, reflecting a decrease of 15.1% compared to 2024 [4][3] Dividend Policy - The company plans to distribute a mid-term dividend totaling 213 million yuan, with a payout ratio of 133%, reflecting a strong commitment to shareholder returns [22][3]