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汇丰策略师Kettner更加看好股市 降低对高收益信用债的超配立场
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-10 08:39
汇丰多资产策略师团队表示,鉴于强劲的经济活动数据与疲软的美国就业数据形成反差,他们正进一步 增持股票。Max Kettner等策略师在报告中指出,尽管上周五就业数据令人失望,但全球制造业和美国 消费的高频数据近几周持续回升。这种格局将同时支撑股票盈利与估值:疲软的劳动力市场将触发美联 储降息,而其他领域的经济强劲将扩大股市涨势范围。策略师们表示,正在降低对高收益信用债的超配 立场,称市场已将美联储明年12月前近六次降息计入预期,即使信用利差或短端收益率小幅上升,也足 以导致回报趋平或转负。他们结束了对日本股票的低配策略,认为银行股具有吸引力,因近期美日贸易 协议降低了增长风险。该团队对股票、高收益信用债和新兴市场利率持超配立场,而对投资级信用债和 发达市场主权债券持低配立场。 来源:滚动播报 ...
凯投宏观:美债期限溢价或下行 发达市场主权债券收益率料随势微跌
news flash· 2025-05-29 11:43
Core Viewpoint - The analysis suggests that the U.S. term premium is expected to decline, leading to a slight decrease in sovereign bond yields across most developed markets [1] Group 1: U.S. Treasury Market - The anticipated decline in the U.S. term premium is linked to easing trade tensions, which may reduce the compensation investors require for holding long-term bonds [1] - The report indicates that if the predicted decline in the 10-year U.S. Treasury term premium occurs, it would not be surprising to see a moderate decrease in the term premiums of other high-rated 10-year government bonds [1]