Core Viewpoint - HSBC's multi-asset strategist team is increasing equity holdings due to strong economic activity data contrasting with weak U.S. employment data [1] Economic Activity - Recent high-frequency data indicates a rebound in global manufacturing and U.S. consumer activity, supporting both stock earnings and valuations [1] Federal Reserve Policy - A weak labor market is expected to trigger interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which will broaden the scope of stock market gains [1] Credit Market Strategy - The team is reducing its overweight position in high-yield credit bonds, as the market has priced in nearly six rate cuts by the Federal Reserve before December next year [1] - Even slight increases in credit spreads or short-term yields could lead to flat or negative returns [1] Equity Market Positioning - The team has ended its underweight stance on Japanese stocks, finding bank stocks attractive due to reduced growth risks from recent U.S.-Japan trade agreements [1] - The team holds an overweight position in equities, high-yield credit bonds, and emerging market rates, while maintaining an underweight stance in investment-grade credit bonds and developed market sovereign bonds [1]

Core Viewpoint - The analysis suggests that the U.S. term premium is expected to decline, leading to a slight decrease in sovereign bond yields across most developed markets [1] Group 1: U.S. Treasury Market - The anticipated decline in the U.S. term premium is linked to easing trade tensions, which may reduce the compensation investors require for holding long-term bonds [1] - The report indicates that if the predicted decline in the 10-year U.S. Treasury term premium occurs, it would not be surprising to see a moderate decrease in the term premiums of other high-rated 10-year government bonds [1]