长江商报消息 ●长江商报记者 徐阳 又一家A股上市公司拟赴港上市，冲刺A+H。 华明装备在近期的投资者关系活动中表示，截至2025年三季度，公司海外收入占比超30%，其中直接与 间接出口比例接近1:1，直接出口略高；间接出口增速远快于直接出口，直接出口毛利率仍高于间接出 口，但直接出口与间接出口的毛利率正逐渐接近。 二级市场方面，赴港上市公告发布次日，即2月13日，华明装备股价下跌3.26%，报收33.83元/股。总体 来看，华明装备股价仍处于高位，仅从2025年年初至2026年2月13日期间累计涨幅就超过100%。 股价上涨背后是，华明装备回购、分红不断。公司2026年2月4日披露关于回购公司股份进展的公告，公 司于2025年年初启动了股份回购计划，截至2026年1月31日已累计回购股份金额达2.21亿元（不含交易 费用）。 根据华明装备2023—2025年股东回报规划，公司承诺每年现金分红比例不低于可分配利润的60%。2023 年、2024年均已超额兑现承诺。公司2025年前三季度累计已派发现金红利3.58亿元，稳步兑现年度承 诺。 日前，变压器分接开关龙头企业华明装备（002270.SZ）公告称，拟筹划 ...

本文首发于公众号"私募排排网"。 （点击↑↑ 上图查看详情 ） 2026年1月，A股走势延续2025年的强势行情，主要指数均录得正收益，其中上证指数、深证成指、创业板指分别累涨3.76%、5.03%、4.47%， 其中有2个交易日的单日成交额突破3万亿元。 月初， A股在宽松流动性与积极预期驱动下持续走高，以商业航天、AI应用为代表的科技方向引 领市场上涨；随着月中政策预期收敛，市场进入震荡，但整体维持平稳格局，有色金属板块加速攀升。 外资作为市场中重要的机构投资者，本月也聚焦多只A股。 Choice数据显示，2026年1月参与A股调研的外资机构共有212家，相比2025年12月 的118家大增79.66%。从被调研的个股来看，共有153家A股公司被外资机构调研，调研次数合计498次。 接下来，笔者将为大家盘点被外资调研次数居前的A股公司，并且为大家介绍调研较为"勤奋"的知名外资机构以及他们关注的A股公司。 （ 点此 查看名单 ） 0 1 22家公司被至少10家外资机构关注！华明装备领衔 从调研的外资机构家数来看，至少被10家机构调研的A股公司共有22家，其中半导体、自动化设备板块的公司数量较多，各有3家。从 ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call on China Power Equipment Industry Overview - The conference call focused on the China power equipment sector, particularly the outlook for grid capital expenditure (capex) during the 15th Five-Year Plan (FYP) [2][4][5]. Core Companies Discussed 1. **Nari Technology** - Top pick for 1H26 due to a valuation gap of ~30% compared to peers and improving earnings momentum [2][4]. - Expected earnings growth to accelerate from <10% (2023-2025) to mid-teens % (2026-2028) [4]. - Current valuation at 21x 2026E P/E, which is attractive compared to peers [4]. - Elevated expenses are a concern, but disciplined cost control and potential share incentive schemes may enhance earnings [4]. 2. **Sieyuan Electric** - Strong earnings growth forecasted at ~40% for the current year, driven by capacity expansion and new orders [2][4]. - Expected earnings CAGR of ~30% from 2026E-2028E at a <30x 2027E P/E [4]. - New capacity in high-voltage transformers and ESS orders are key growth drivers [4]. 3. **Huaming Equipment** - Less immediate upside compared to Nari and Sieyuan, with a >30x 2026E P/E and <20% earnings CAGR during the 15th FYP [5]. - Approximately one-third of revenue is tied to China's industrial demand, which is currently weak [5]. 4. **Xuji Electric** - Positive outlook due to expected benefits from UHV deployment and distribution grid development [41][46]. - Price target raised to Rmb33 from Rmb31.50, reflecting higher grid capex assumptions [36][42]. Key Insights from the Expert Call - Investment focus areas include UHV, secondary equipment, and distribution capex [4][5]. - UHV capex is projected to increase from Rmb380 billion during the 14th FYP to over Rmb500 billion during the 15th FYP [4]. - Strong demand for relay protection, power dispatch automation, and related systems is anticipated [5]. - Transmission and distribution fees are expected to remain stable to support State Grid's capital growth [5]. Financial Projections and Valuations - **Nari Technology**: Price target raised to Rmb30 from Rmb28.50, reflecting a 1% earnings trim for 2026E but a 2-6% increase for 2027E-2028E [16]. - **Sieyuan Electric**: Price target increased to Rmb215 from Rmb180, with earnings lifted by 10-13% for 2026E-2027E [15]. - **Huaming Equipment**: Price target remains at Rmb33, with earnings tweaked by -3% to +1% for 2025E-2028E [22][30]. - **Xuji Electric**: Price target raised to Rmb33, reflecting a ~19x 2027E P/E [42][46]. Performance Metrics - The average share price increase for covered power equipment companies is ~20% YTD, compared to SHCOMP's ~5% [2]. - Sieyuan Electric's earnings growth is expected to be robust, driven by new capacity and project wins in the US market [4]. Risks and Considerations - Potential risks include slower-than-expected domestic revenue growth, lower overseas demand, and fluctuations in exchange rates and freight costs [32][48]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed during the conference call, providing insights into the current state and future outlook of the China power equipment industry.

Group 1: Industry Overview - The Chinese power equipment sector has shown strong performance since the beginning of 2026, with an average stock price increase of approximately 20%, significantly outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index's 5% rise during the same period [1] - The robust performance is supported by unexpected capital expenditure in the power grid and sustained strong export demand, indicating a new golden development cycle for the power equipment industry [1] Group 2: Investment Outlook - The "14th Five-Year Plan" outlines a clear investment blueprint for the power grid, with a significant increase in investment in ultra-high voltage (UHV) projects, expected to rise from 380 billion yuan to over 500 billion yuan during the "15th Five-Year Plan" [2] - The investment structure will focus on three core areas: UHV projects, secondary equipment, and distribution network construction, with a projected annual growth rate of 8%-10% in grid investment during the first two years of the "15th Five-Year Plan" [2] Group 3: Key Companies - Morgan Stanley has given an "overweight" rating to four leading power equipment companies, ranking them based on business layout, growth potential, and valuation advantages: NARI Technology/Siyuan Electric > Huaming Equipment > XJ Electric [3] Group 4: NARI Technology - NARI Technology, a core enterprise under the State Grid, is expected to benefit significantly from the acceleration of grid automation and digital transformation, with a projected average net profit growth rate rising from below 10% to mid-double digits from 2023-2025 to 2026-2028 [4] - The current valuation of NARI Technology is attractive, with a projected P/E ratio of 21 times for 2026, offering a 30% discount compared to peers [4] Group 5: Siyuan Electric - Siyuan Electric, a leading private power equipment company, is expected to maintain a high profit growth rate of 40% in 2026, driven by capacity expansion in high-voltage transformers and the launch of a new energy storage factory [5][6] - The company is expanding its overseas market presence, with plans for new factories in Saudi Arabia and potential expansions in Mexico and Hungary [6] Group 6: Huaming Equipment - Huaming Equipment is the absolute leader in the transformer tap changer market, with over 60% market share, and is expected to achieve a net profit compound growth rate of about 20% during the "15th Five-Year Plan" [7] - The company has a stable profit foundation due to high entry barriers in the industry, although its stock price may have less upward elasticity compared to NARI Technology and Siyuan Electric [7] Group 7: XJ Electric - XJ Electric, a key supplier in the power equipment sector, is expected to benefit from overall increases in China's grid investment and improvements in average selling price and gross margin from new generation electric meters [8] - The company's net profit growth rate is projected to reach 28% in 2026, with a P/E ratio of 19.7 times, indicating a relatively low valuation within the industry [8]

Core Viewpoint - The company Huaming Equipment (002270) reported its 2025 performance, showing a revenue of 2.425 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.43%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 708 million yuan, up 15.29% [4] Financial Performance - The company achieved a basic earnings per share of 0.7828 yuan and a weighted average return on equity of 22.08%, which is an increase of 3.34 percentage points compared to the previous year [12] - The current price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) is approximately 40.4 times, the price-to-book ratio (LF) is about 9.55 times, and the price-to-sales ratio (TTM) is around 11.73 times [4] Business Segments - The core business of the company is in power equipment, primarily focusing on the research, production, sales, and lifecycle maintenance of transformer tap changers [9] - The power equipment segment generated revenue of 2.1 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of approximately 16%, with overseas user revenue increasing by about 47% [9] - The CNC equipment business reported revenue of 244 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of approximately 40%, with export revenue soaring by about 233% [9] - The power engineering segment's revenue was 29 million yuan, showing a significant decline of approximately 90% year-on-year [9]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage on Huaming Equipment with a "Buy" rating, assigning a target price of 29.5 RMB based on a 30.4x PE for 2026 [3][8][15]. Core Views - Huaming Equipment ranks first in the domestic transformer tap changer industry and second globally, with a robust growth outlook driven by overseas expansion, maintenance services, and ultra-high voltage (UHV) business [3][15]. - The global power grid investment is entering an upward cycle, which is expected to boost the company's performance significantly, with a projected CAGR of 18.7% for net profit from 2025 to 2027 [3][15]. - The company is transitioning from a "device manufacturer" to a "full lifecycle service provider," leveraging its high installed base for maintenance services, which presents substantial growth potential [5][18]. Summary by Sections Investment Outlook - The report highlights that global power grid investments are on the rise, with significant constraints on overseas power equipment supply. The company’s export scale is expected to grow, with direct and indirect exports projected at 3.4 billion, 4.9 billion, and 3.1 billion RMB for 2023, 2024, and the first half of 2025, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 61.9%, 42.6%, and 45.3% [4][16]. - The company is actively exploring opportunities in Europe, Southeast Asia, and North America, with a focus on localized layouts and customized solutions [4][16]. Ultra-High Voltage and Maintenance Services - The domestic ultra-high voltage market is anticipated to grow significantly, with the company expected to capture a 60% market share, translating to an additional revenue of 2.2 billion RMB during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [5][17]. - The maintenance business is projected to reach a potential revenue scale of 7 billion RMB, with a significant increase in orders expected in the coming years [18]. Competitive Advantages - The company maintains a high gross margin, consistently above 55% since 2019, attributed to its strong market position and R&D capabilities, which create substantial barriers to entry for competitors [6][19]. - Huaming Equipment's comprehensive manufacturing capabilities, with 80% of components produced in-house, enhance its cost control and supply chain stability, particularly advantageous during periods of overseas market tightness [6][19]. Financial Projections - The report forecasts net profits of 7.30 billion, 8.66 billion, and 10.28 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.81, 0.97, and 1.15 RMB [7][12]. - The company’s overall revenue is expected to grow from 2.32 billion RMB in 2024 to 3.29 billion RMB in 2027, reflecting a steady growth trajectory [12][13].

Group 1: Real Estate Industry - The core viewpoint is that the official launch of commercial real estate REITs marks a significant step towards a new development model in the real estate sector, with policies expected to accelerate the growth of C-REITs [2] - The introduction of 30 REITs-related policies by the CSRC and stock exchanges is seen as a catalyst for expanding asset classes and enhancing efficiency, which could lead to a revaluation of related assets and companies [2] - Companies deeply involved in commercial real estate and management services are expected to benefit significantly from this development [2] Group 2: Financial Services Industry - The recent guidelines from the central bank and financial regulatory authority aim to reduce the pricing cap for small loan companies, which may lead to a rapid industry cleanup [3] - The guidelines require small loan companies to stop issuing loans with comprehensive financing costs exceeding 24% immediately and to gradually lower pricing to within four times the one-year LPR by the end of 2027 [3] - The impact of these guidelines on the broader financial technology sector will depend on whether banks and consumer finance companies follow suit [3] Group 3: Transportation Industry - The outlook for January indicates a seasonal decline in passenger and cargo volumes, but there are positive signs for airline profitability and oil transportation demand [5] - The airline sector is expected to see improved revenue levels due to steady demand growth and favorable oil prices, while oil transportation rates may rise due to geopolitical tensions [5] - Recommendations include focusing on specific stocks in the airline and oil transportation sectors, as well as logistics and express delivery companies [5] Group 4: ETF Market - By the end of 2025, the total scale of ETFs in China surpassed 6 trillion yuan, with a significant increase driven by stock ETFs, which saw a 42% growth [5] - There is a notable divergence in the performance of broad-based ETFs and thematic industry ETFs, with the latter experiencing continued inflows [5] Group 5: Key Companies - Century Huatong is covered for the first time with a "buy" rating and a target price of 24.52 yuan, driven by its leadership in SLG games and strong performance in overseas markets [6] - New and emerging companies like Xinhecheng and Huaming Equipment are also highlighted for their growth potential and strategic initiatives, with target prices set at 38.24 yuan and 29.5 yuan respectively [10][12] - The report emphasizes the importance of product innovation and market expansion for companies like Sanqi Interactive Entertainment and China Jushi, which are expected to benefit from new game launches and incentive plans [8][9]

Core Insights - A new global "power shortage cycle" is emerging, driven by aging power grids in Western countries and a surge in electricity consumption due to AI, leading to a widening supply-demand gap in power equipment [1] - China is positioned as a key solution provider in this cycle, leveraging its advantages in supply, manufacturing, and cost [2] Group 1: Global Power Shortage Cycle - The rapid development of AI in the U.S. exacerbates the "power shortage" phenomenon, resulting in significant electricity price increases and shifting market focus towards the broader "power-related AI" sector [1] - Historical trends indicate that global power shortage phases are typically accompanied by increased investment in power and grid infrastructure, as well as an expansion in the export share of manufacturing powerhouses [1] - The aging of power grids in Europe and the U.S. is critical, with over 50% of transmission lines in service for more than 20 years, and a projected additional power demand of 89GW from data centers in the U.S. between 2025 and 2028 [1] Group 2: China's Role and Advantages - China has a significant surplus in electricity supply relative to economic growth, providing ample opportunity for energy export through related commodity trade [2] - The transition from "selling equipment" to "selling systems" highlights China's manufacturing advantages, as the global power shortage reflects a systemic deficiency rather than just a lack of power plants [2] - China controls 55% of global refined copper and 60% of electrolytic aluminum capacity, with lower production costs compared to overseas, creating a closed loop of "power shortage-price increase-profit return to China" [2] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Domestic power equipment companies that actively expand into overseas markets, particularly in Europe and the U.S., are poised for significant growth opportunities, with recommendations for companies involved in transformers and smart grid solutions [3] - The rise in physical consumption due to power system construction suggests a focus on upstream resources like copper and aluminum [4] - Related materials in high demand due to increased downstream renewable energy needs include separators, lithium iron phosphate anodes and cathodes, and lithium hexafluorophosphate [4]

Group 1: Company Overview and Market Position - Huaming Power Equipment Co., Ltd. is primarily engaged in the transformer sector, focusing on products applicable to 35kV and above transformers [3][39]. - The company has a high market share in domestic sales volume, but its sales revenue share is lower due to a significant presence of imported products in high-end markets [38]. - The company has seen an increase in overseas revenue, primarily due to a low base in previous years, but this growth is not expected to be sustainable in the long term [3][4]. Group 2: Overseas Market Dynamics - The company has limited channels and understanding of overseas markets, but recent growth has led to increased confidence in international expansion [4]. - Key regions contributing to overseas growth include Europe, Southeast Asia, and South America, with multiple countries contributing to overall revenue growth [5][6]. - The U.S. market is a significant focus due to high demand for power equipment driven by energy transition and infrastructure upgrades, but rapid progress is challenging [11]. Group 3: Product and Revenue Insights - The company’s product demand is closely tied to large infrastructure projects, making it sensitive to macroeconomic factors [40]. - The average price of products has increased due to a shift in product structure and a higher proportion of overseas revenue [18]. - The company has been focusing on improving production efficiency and reducing fluctuations in financial performance by exiting engineering business [29][34]. Group 4: Challenges and Strategic Considerations - Key challenges include ensuring product reliability across different international standards, talent acquisition in manufacturing, and brand building in new markets [44]. - The company aims to maintain a cash dividend of no less than 60% of distributable profits as part of its shareholder return plan [45]. - Future growth targets are ambitious, considering the long growth cycle experienced in recent years [46].

Core Insights - The company primarily focuses on transformer tap changers, which are typically used in transformers rated at 35kV and above [2] - The demand for the company's products in the wind power sector is limited, as they are only required in the booster stations of wind power generation projects [2] Company Overview - The main business of the company is transformer tap changers [2] - The application of the company's products is primarily in high-voltage transformers [2] Industry Context - The annual demand for the company's products in the wind power sector is relatively small [2]