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天顺风能(002531):2025年半年报点评:持续推进“由陆转海”战略转型,积极拓展海工业务布局
EBSCN· 2025-08-28 03:57
Investment Rating - The report has downgraded the investment rating to "Accumulate" due to the company's active contraction of its land wind equipment business and the time required for the release of offshore engineering capacity [3]. Core Views - The company is actively pursuing a strategic transformation from land to offshore operations, focusing on expanding its offshore engineering business while controlling the scale of its land wind equipment segment [2]. - The company reported a revenue of 2.189 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a decrease of 3.08% year-on-year, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of 54 million yuan, down 75.08% year-on-year [1]. - The offshore engineering products saw a significant revenue increase of 124.40% year-on-year, reaching 207 million yuan, although the gross margin declined [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.189 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.08% year-on-year, and a net profit of 54 million yuan, down 75.08% year-on-year [1]. - The second quarter of 2025 showed a revenue of 1.263 billion yuan, an increase of 4.82% year-on-year and a 36.40% increase quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The revenue from wind towers and related products increased by 33.10% to 810 million yuan, while the gross margin decreased by 4.32 percentage points to 3.89% [1]. Business Strategy - The company is focusing on the development of offshore engineering business, with its Guangdong Yangjiang base entering the production sprint phase and the expansion of the Sheyang Phase II officially launched [2]. - The company aims to establish a full industry chain layout for zero-carbon industrial business, having obtained 1,180 MW of wind power project indicators across three provinces [2]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted downwards, with expected net profits of 409 million yuan, 709 million yuan, and 924 million yuan respectively, reflecting a reduction of 44%, 35%, and 32% [3]. - The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 30, 17, and 13 for the years 2025-2027 [3].
天顺风能(002531):经营低点已现,Q2有望迎来修复拐点
Changjiang Securities· 2025-05-20 10:45
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and profit for 2024, with total revenue of 4.86 billion yuan, down 37.1% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 200 million yuan, down 74.3% year-on-year [2][4]. - The fourth quarter of 2024 showed a slight revenue decrease of 1.5% year-on-year, with a net loss of 90 million yuan, marking a 215.8% decline [4]. - For the first quarter of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 930 million yuan, down 12.1% year-on-year, and a net profit of 40 million yuan, down 76.0% year-on-year [4]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company’s revenue breakdown by business segment showed a 49% decline in offshore wind output, leading to a revenue of 430 million yuan, down 72% [10]. - Onshore tower output decreased by 39%, resulting in revenue of 1.67 billion yuan, down 48% [10]. - Blade product revenue fell by 21% to 1.25 billion yuan, with a 19% decrease in blade output [10]. - The power generation segment saw a slight increase in revenue of 2%, totaling 1.27 billion yuan [10]. - The overall gross margin for 2024 was approximately 19.5%, a decrease of 3 percentage points year-on-year [10]. - The company’s capital expenditures for 2024 and Q1 2025 were approximately 880 million yuan and 440 million yuan, respectively, indicating ongoing investment in offshore wind capacity [10]. Future Outlook - The report suggests that Q1 2025 represents the operational low point for the company, with expectations for recovery in Q2 as offshore wind operations ramp up [10]. - The company is also expanding its overseas operations, particularly with the establishment of a base in Germany, which is expected to benefit from increased European demand [10]. - The forecast for 2025 indicates a net profit of approximately 800 million yuan, corresponding to a price-to-earnings ratio of about 15 times [10].
【天顺风能(002531.SZ)】24年业绩承压,海工业务蓄势待发——2024年年报及2025年一季报点评(殷中枢)
光大证券研究· 2025-04-28 09:07
点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明: 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写,仅面向光大证券专业投资者客 户,用作新媒体形势下研究信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户,请勿 订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号难以设置访问权限,若给您造成不便, 敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相关人员为光大 证券的客户。 报告摘要 根据公司公告中援引的每日风电数据,2024年国内海风中标容量为13.7GW;由于海风项目从招标到装机 需2年左右,该中标量为未来两年装机增长奠定了坚实基础。随着江苏、广东海风项目审批和航道问题逐 渐解决,标志性海风项目有望在2025年开工并迎来大规模开发建设。截至2024年底,公司在手项目青洲 六、华能临高等项目已陆续实现完工交付;国核院海洋牧场、青洲五/七导管架、华润苍南升压站项目相继 启动施工,计划于25年上半年陆续发运,这为公司业绩带来较强的改善动力。此外,公司积极布局欧洲, 建立德国基地,以加速出海进程,进一步打开成长空间。 积极推进零碳实业业务发展,加快新能源开发建设 公司集中投入资源进行重点区域资源开发,截至20 ...
天顺风能(002531):2024年年报及2025年一季报点评:走在转型路上
Minsheng Securities· 2025-04-27 09:41
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [3][5]. Core Views - The company has experienced a significant decline in revenue and net profit in 2024, with revenue at 4.86 billion yuan, down 37.1% year-on-year, and net profit at 204 million yuan, down 74.3% year-on-year [1][4]. - The company is undergoing a transformation, focusing on offshore wind power and marine engineering equipment manufacturing, while completing the orderly contraction and internal integration of its onshore equipment business [3]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 7.42 billion yuan, 8.61 billion yuan, and 9.81 billion yuan, with corresponding net profits of 760 million yuan, 1.06 billion yuan, and 1.30 billion yuan [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a gross margin of 19.53% and a net margin of 4.19%, both declining year-on-year [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a gross margin of 23.48% and a net margin of 7.51%, with revenue of 926 million yuan, down 12.1% year-on-year [1]. Business Segments - Wind Tower Segment: Revenue of 1.67 billion yuan in 2024, down 47.98%, with a gross margin of 7.15% [2]. - Marine Engineering: Revenue of 429 million yuan in 2024, down 71.59%, with a gross margin of 3.08% [2]. - Blade Segment: Revenue of 1.25 billion yuan in 2024, down 20.59%, with a negative gross margin of -0.72% [2]. Future Outlook - The company aims to leverage its manufacturing synergies from its coastal bases in China and Germany to enhance its global capacity layout [3]. - The establishment of a zero-carbon industrial division headquarters in Wuhan is part of the company's strategic upgrade [3].