丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg1] 港股研究丨公司点评丨香港交易所（00388.HK） [Table_Title] 香港交易所 2025 年报点评：港股交投维持高位 叠加赴港上市步伐加快，整体业绩创历史新高 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 中长期来看，伴随一系列互联互通政策的加持，预计港股市场流动性将持续抬升，市场整体活 跃度及估值有望随之提升。预计公司 2026-2028 年实现收入及其他收益 326.14/344.03/363.26 亿港元，归母净利润为 203.53/214.24/225.93 亿港元，对应 PE 估值分别为 25.88/24.58/23.31 倍，给予买入评级。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 吴一凡 程泽宇 SAC：S0490519080007 SAC：S0490524090001 SFC：BUV596 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_scodeMsg2] 香港交易所（00388.HK） cjzqdt11111 [Table_T 香港交易所itle2]2025 年报 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (388 HK) with a target price of HKD 542 [7]. Core Insights - The report anticipates a decline in average daily trading (ADT) leading to a 24% quarter-on-quarter drop in net profit for 4Q25, with total revenue expected to be HKD 6.456 billion, reflecting a 17% decrease from the previous quarter [1][5]. - Despite the expected short-term challenges, the report suggests that factors such as the appreciation of the Renminbi, potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, and a strong IPO market will support liquidity in the Hong Kong stock market, benefiting the exchange's performance and valuation [1][2]. Summary by Sections Trading - The report estimates trading revenue for 4Q25 at HKD 42.1 billion, a 16% decrease quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to a 20% decline in ADT to HKD 2.298 billion [2]. - Southbound trading activity has also decreased, with a 31% drop in southbound ADT to HKD 529 billion, accounting for 23% of total ADT [2]. IPO Market - The IPO market remains robust, with 50 IPOs expected in 4Q25, raising HKD 980 billion, compared to 25 IPOs and HKD 790 billion in the previous quarter [3]. - The report highlights a strong pipeline of high-quality IPOs, with 395 companies currently awaiting approval [3]. Investment Income - Net investment income is projected to decline by 32% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 6.97 billion due to changes in margin rebate calculations and a high overnight HIBOR environment [4]. - The report notes that the reduction in margin requirements may also lead to a contraction in the investment income base [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report adjusts the net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to HKD 171 billion, HKD 185 billion, and HKD 188 billion respectively, with a target price based on DCF methodology set at HKD 542 [5][14].

Core Insights - Coupang, Inc. reported revenue of $9.27 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 17.8% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter was $0.05, a decrease from $0.06 in the same quarter last year [1] - The reported revenue exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $9.06 billion, resulting in a positive surprise of +2.31% [1] - Coupang delivered an EPS surprise of +25%, with the consensus EPS estimate being $0.04 [1] Key Metrics - Product Commerce Active Customers reached 24.7 million, surpassing the estimated 24.25 million [4] - Net Revenue from Developing Offerings was $1.29 billion, slightly above the average estimate of $1.27 billion [4] - Net Revenue from Product Commerce amounted to $7.98 billion, exceeding the average estimate of $7.79 billion [4] - Adjusted EBITDA for Developing Offerings was reported at -$292 million, compared to the average estimate of -$247.1 million [4] - Adjusted EBITDA for Product Commerce was $705 million, higher than the average estimate of $668.38 million [4] Stock Performance - Coupang's shares have returned -1.4% over the past month, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite increased by +2.1% [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (00388.HK) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that Hong Kong Exchanges achieved record high quarterly profits supported by trading volume, with a 33% year-on-year increase in revenue to HKD 14.076 billion and a 39% increase in net profit to HKD 8.519 billion for the first half of 2025 [1][2] - The trading fee income from the stock market saw a significant increase of 112% to HKD 2.556 billion, driven by a 122% year-on-year growth in average daily trading volume [2] - The report anticipates continued growth in net profit for 2025-2027, projecting HKD 17 billion, HKD 18 billion, and HKD 19.6 billion respectively, with corresponding EPS of HKD 13.48, HKD 14.22, and HKD 15.43 [3] Summary by Sections Performance Overview - In 1H25, the revenue breakdown by business lines showed significant growth rates: cash market at 62%, derivatives at 15%, commodities at 8%, data and connectivity at 5%, and company projects at 28% [1] - The trading and transaction system usage fees increased by 49%, while listing fees rose by 30% due to a recovery in the IPO market [2] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The report forecasts revenue growth rates of 26% for 2025, followed by 6% and 7% in subsequent years, with net profit growth rates of 31%, 6%, and 9% respectively [3][7] - The projected P/E ratios for the next three years are 33, 31, and 29 times [3]