Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (00388.HK) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that Hong Kong Exchanges achieved record high quarterly profits supported by trading volume, with a 33% year-on-year increase in revenue to HKD 14.076 billion and a 39% increase in net profit to HKD 8.519 billion for the first half of 2025 [1][2] - The trading fee income from the stock market saw a significant increase of 112% to HKD 2.556 billion, driven by a 122% year-on-year growth in average daily trading volume [2] - The report anticipates continued growth in net profit for 2025-2027, projecting HKD 17 billion, HKD 18 billion, and HKD 19.6 billion respectively, with corresponding EPS of HKD 13.48, HKD 14.22, and HKD 15.43 [3] Summary by Sections Performance Overview - In 1H25, the revenue breakdown by business lines showed significant growth rates: cash market at 62%, derivatives at 15%, commodities at 8%, data and connectivity at 5%, and company projects at 28% [1] - The trading and transaction system usage fees increased by 49%, while listing fees rose by 30% due to a recovery in the IPO market [2] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The report forecasts revenue growth rates of 26% for 2025, followed by 6% and 7% in subsequent years, with net profit growth rates of 31%, 6%, and 9% respectively [3][7] - The projected P/E ratios for the next three years are 33, 31, and 29 times [3]

Core Insights - The article discusses the recovery of the IPO market in July 2025, highlighting significant increases in both the number of IPOs and the amount of capital raised compared to the previous year [5][7][19]. IPO Market Performance - In July 2025, 28 Chinese companies successfully went public, raising a total of 389 billion RMB, which represents a 4.26 times increase year-on-year and a 15.09% increase month-on-month [7][10]. - The number of IPOs in July increased by 55.56% year-on-year and 7.69% month-on-month [7]. - The average daily IPO rate in 2025 has reached one company per working day, with a total of 159 companies listed in the first seven months [17][19]. VC/PE Exit Performance - The total exit amount for VC/PE in July reached 623 billion RMB, marking a year-on-year increase of 4.19 times and a month-on-month increase of 78.51% [10][22]. - The average return on investment for VC/PE firms was 2.07 times [10]. Notable IPO Cases - "Yitang Co., Ltd." achieved a record exit amount of 176 billion RMB based on its IPO price, with a potential increase to 484.98 billion RMB based on the closing price on the first trading day [12][15]. - "Huadian New Energy" led the A-share market with a fundraising amount of 158 billion RMB, accounting for 75% of the total A-share fundraising in July [10][12]. Market Trends - The overall IPO market in 2025 has shown a significant recovery from the previous year's low, with a total of 1,692 billion RMB raised in the first seven months, representing increases of approximately 38% in quantity and 204% in amount compared to the previous year [17][20]. - The Hong Kong market has seen a remarkable performance, with 49 new stocks listed and a total fundraising of 1,034 billion RMB, reflecting a 639% year-on-year increase [20]. Investor Sentiment - A survey conducted by the company revealed that 64% of investors are more optimistic about the IPO market in 2025 compared to 2024, indicating a potential increase in investment activity [22].

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong office market, particularly in the Central business district, is showing signs of recovery driven by a resurgence in the capital market and IPO activities, despite challenges such as high vacancy rates and new supply [1][2][3]. Group 1: Market Trends - The Hong Kong Exchange's acquisition of a commercial building for HKD 6.3 billion signifies a major transaction in the office market, reflecting confidence in the sector [1]. - Reports indicate that while the office market faces pressure from new supply and high vacancy rates, there are emerging signs of recovery, especially in Central [2][3]. - As of June 2025, Grade A office rents in Central are expected to have dropped nearly 45% from their peak in 2019, making it an attractive option for financial institutions [2]. Group 2: Demand Drivers - The demand for premium office space in Central is primarily driven by financial institutions, particularly as more mainland companies list in Hong Kong, which is expected to boost leasing activity [2][4]. - The first half of the year saw a notable demand from mainland financial, insurance, real estate, and professional services firms for quality office spaces in core business districts [3]. - Smaller tech companies and startups are also entering the market, seeking affordable office spaces ranging from 200 to 500 square feet [3]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The recovery of the Hong Kong capital market is attracting more Western financial institutions to the office market, with several large leasing contracts signed recently [4]. - The IPO market's activity is anticipated to positively influence the demand for office spaces, particularly in Central, with expectations of rental stabilization in the second half of the year [4]. - A differentiated market trend is expected, with core areas stabilizing while non-core areas may continue to face pressure, dependent on global economic conditions and the absorption of new supply [4].

Core Viewpoint - CoreWeave's stock surged by 300%, significantly increasing CEO Michael Intrator's wealth to $10.3 billion, placing him at 311th on the global billionaire list [2][7]. Group 1: Stock Performance - CoreWeave's stock price skyrocketed nearly 300% within three months of its IPO, making it one of the top 30 best-performing stocks on the Nasdaq since its listing [7]. - Intrator's wealth increased by over $5 billion in just 12 days, marking the second-fastest wealth increase in history [6][8]. - The company had a lackluster IPO performance initially, with a valuation of $23 billion, down from an expected $35 billion [30]. Group 2: Financials and Business Model - CoreWeave reported a revenue of $985 million in the first quarter, but incurred a net loss of $315 million, indicating financial struggles [20]. - The company has a total debt of $8.8 billion, with some financing rates as high as 15% [20]. - CoreWeave's business heavily relies on NVIDIA GPUs, with at least 250,000 units reported [18]. Group 3: Investor Insights - Early investors, including Leslie Wexner and Jack Cogen, have seen substantial returns, with Wexner's trust fund holding shares worth $2.9 billion [10][12]. - The stock's recent surge has resulted in significant losses for short sellers, amounting to $2.1 billion [21]. Group 4: Market Context - The strong performance of CoreWeave reflects a broader recovery in the U.S. IPO market, with total IPO financing reaching $29.1 billion this year, significantly higher than the previous year's $20.1 billion [29]. - The stock has gained attention among retail investors, being labeled as a "meme stock" due to its explosive price movements [34]. Group 5: Company Background - CoreWeave was founded by former hedge fund managers who initially pivoted from cryptocurrency mining to AI training services [24]. - The company is reportedly considering acquiring competitor Core Scientific, indicating potential growth strategies [25].

Group 1 - The A-share IPO market has shown signs of recovery this year, with both the number of issuances and the amount raised increasing compared to the same period last year [1] - The Hong Kong IPO market has performed exceptionally well, with fundraising scale increasing by over 700% year-on-year in the first five months [1] - Chinese securities firms have significantly outperformed foreign investment banks in terms of the number of underwriting deals in the Hong Kong IPO market [1]

Group 1: IPO Market Recovery - The global IPO market is experiencing a resurgence as companies seek to complete transactions before summer and geopolitical tensions escalate again [1][5] - In April, the IPO financing amount reached its lowest level since the pandemic began in 2020 due to a series of suspended IPO projects following tariff announcements by former President Trump [1][5] - As tensions eased, the IPO market began to recover, with $43.6 billion raised in 2025 so far, slightly below the same period last year [1] Group 2: Notable IPOs and Companies - Chime Financial, valued at $25 billion in 2021, is expected to complete the largest IPO in the U.S. this year before the summer lull [2] - EToro Group, an Israeli trading and investment platform, successfully priced its IPO above the guidance range, with its stock soaring 29% on the first trading day [1][6] - Other companies like MNTN and Hinge Health have also initiated their IPO projects, indicating a broader recovery in the market [2][6] Group 3: Market Sentiment and Investor Behavior - Market sentiment has improved, with investors willing to participate in IPOs as long as companies can demonstrate resilience against tariffs and economic downturns [6][10] - The volatility index (VIX) dropped below 20 after the U.S. and China announced a 90-day pause on mutual tariffs, which is seen as a threshold for investment banks to proceed with IPOs [6] Group 4: Future Outlook and Trends - The upcoming summer holidays will compress the operational window for companies looking to go public, with many expected to push their IPOs to the fall [9] - The technology sector is anticipated to see increased IPO activity in the fall, with estimates of around 10 tech IPOs expected in the U.S. this year [9] - Despite some companies returning to the IPO queue, many remain cautious due to supply chain issues and inflation risks [10] Group 5: International IPO Activity - Chinese companies have successfully listed despite tariff uncertainties, with notable IPOs like the tea brand Bawang Chaji raising $473 million [10][11] - The Middle East continues to show strong IPO enthusiasm, with Flynas's $1.1 billion IPO fully subscribed shortly after launch [11] - The Indian market is also showing signs of recovery, with expectations for large stock issuances in the second half of the year [12]