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金融期权:市场震荡偏弱,隐波上行,可考虑择时买入看跌期权保护
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-10-17 12:28
二 〇 二 五 年 度 2025 年 10 月 17 日 张雪慧 投资咨询从业资格号:Z0015363 Zhangxuehui022447@gtjas.com 报告导读: 市场震荡偏弱,隐波上行,可考虑择时买入看跌期权保护。 (正文) 1. 期权市场交易概况回顾 表 1:期权市场交易概况回顾(日均) | 期权名称 | C A L L成交 | P U T成交 | 总成交量 | C A L L持仓 | P U T持仓 | 总持仓量 | C A L L成交额 (万 | P U T成交额 (万 | 总成交额 (万 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 量 (万手 ) | 量 (万手 ) | (万手 ) | 量 (万手 ) | 量 (万手 ) | (万手 ) | 元 ) | 元 ) | 元 ) | | 上证50股指期权 | 4.13 | 2.59 | 6.71 | 4.12 | 3.10 | 7.22 | 19960.93 | 9110.97 | 29071.90 | | 中证1000股指期权 | 21.71 | 21.6 ...
股票股指期权:股指期权临近到期,看跌期权成交比例下降
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-10-16 12:47
2025 年 10 月 16 日 股票股指期权:股指期权临近到期,看跌期权 成交比例下降。 张雪慧 投资咨询从业资格号:Z0015363 zhangxuehui022447@gtjas.com 【正文】 表 1:期权市场数据统计 | 标的市场统计 | 收盘价 | 涨 跌 | 成交量(亿 | 成交变化 | 当 月 | 当月基差 | 次 月 | 次月基差 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 手 ) | (亿手) | 合成期货 | | 合成期货 | | | 上证50指数 | 3019.20 | 17.85 | 63.41 | 0.03 | 3020.40 | 1.20 | 3021.33 | 2.14 | | 沪深300指数 | 4618.42 | 12.13 | 248.24 | -36.54 | 4616.07 | -2.36 | 4604.13 | -14.29 | | 中证1000指数 | 7401.84 | -81.61 | 234.64 | -10.21 | 7400.73 | -1.10 | 7295.07 ...
股票股指期权:上行降波,看跌情绪下降,可考虑备兑策略
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-10-15 12:24
金 融 衍 生 品 研 究 2025 年 10 月 15 日 股票股指期权:上行降波,看跌情绪下降,可 考虑备兑策略。 张雪慧 投资咨询从业资格号:Z0015363 zhangxuehui022447@gtjas.com 【正文】 表 1:期权市场数据统计 | 标的市场统计 | 收盘价 | 涨 跌 | 成交量(亿 | 成交变化 | 当 月 | | 次 月 | 次月基差 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 手 ) | (亿手) | 合成期货 | 当月基差 | 合成期货 | | | 上证50指数 | 3001.35 | 40.25 | 63.38 | -22.81 | 3001.00 | -0.35 | 3001.27 | -0.08 | | 沪深300指数 | 4606.29 | 67.22 | 284.77 | -88.18 | 4606.67 | 0.38 | 4596.40 | -9.89 | | 中证1000指数 | 7483.45 | 110.30 | 244.85 | -59.56 | 7467.00 | ...
股票股指期权:下行升波,部分品种偏度转向负偏
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-10-10 15:08
金 融 衍 生 品 研 究 2025 年 10 月 10 日 股票股指期权:下行升波,部分品种偏度转向 负偏。 张雪慧 投资咨询从业资格号:Z0015363 zhangxuehui022447@gtjas.com 【正文】 表 1:期权市场数据统计 | 标的市场统计 | 收盘价 | 涨跌 | 成交量(亿 | 成交变化 | 当月 | 当月基差 | 次月 | 次月基差 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 手) | (亿手) | 合成期货 | | 合成期货 | | | 上证50指数 | 2974.85 | -45.74 | 67.28 | -9.09 | 2975.93 | 1.08 | 2977.87 | 3.01 | | 沪深300指数 | 4616.83 | -92.65 | 319.02 | -28.66 | 4615.13 | -1.70 | 4611.27 | -5.57 | | 中证1000指数 | 7533.82 | -114.23 | 290.43 | -13.06 | 7518.27 | -15.55 ...
金融期权:隐波与标的走势呈现负相关性,市场看涨情绪下降
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-10-10 13:39
(正文) 二 〇 二 五 年 度 2025 年 10 月 10 日 金融期权:隐波与标的走势呈现负相关性,市 场看涨情绪下降。 张雪慧 投资咨询从业资格号:Z0015363 Zhangxuehui022447@gtjas.com 报告导读: 隐波与标的走势呈现负相关性,市场看涨情绪下降。 1. 期权市场交易概况回顾 表 1:期权市场交易概况回顾(日均) | 期权名称 | C A L L成交 | P U T成交 | 总成交量 | C A L L持仓 | P U T持仓 | 总持仓量 | C A L L成交额 (万 | P U T成交额 (万 | 总成交额 (万 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 量 (万手 ) | 量 (万手 ) | (万手 ) | 量 (万手 ) | 量 (万手 ) | (万手 ) | 元 ) | 元 ) | 元 ) | | 上证50股指期权 | 3.92 | 1.92 | 5.84 | 4.20 | 3.09 | 7.28 | 22979.47 | 6583.29 | 29562.76 | ...
股票股指期权:市场震荡,ETF期权临近到期,期限波动率差扩大
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-09-19 12:47
Report Overview - The report focuses on the stock index options market on September 19, 2025, indicating that the market was volatile, ETF options were approaching expiration, and the term volatility spread widened [1]. Market Data Statistics Underlying Market Statistics - The Shanghai Composite 50 Index closed at 2909.74, down 3.08, with a trading volume of 5.724 billion shares, a decrease of 1.762 billion shares. The synthetic futures for the current month and next month were 2915.73 and 2924.47 respectively, with basis points of 5.99 and 14.72 [1]. - The CSI 300 Index closed at 4501.92, up 3.81, with a trading volume of 22.504 billion shares, a decrease of 8.482 billion shares. The synthetic futures for the current month and next month were 4491.27 and 4492.47 respectively, with basis points of -10.65 and -9.45 [1]. - The CSI 1000 Index closed at 7438.19, down 38.21, with a trading volume of 29.59 billion shares, a decrease of 10.27 billion shares. The synthetic futures for the current month and next month were 7354.67 and 7298.73 respectively, with basis points of -83.52 and -139.46 [1]. - Various ETFs also showed different closing prices, trading volumes, and changes, such as the Shanghai Composite 50 ETF closing at 3.045, down 0.003, with a trading volume of 656 million shares, a decrease of 649 million shares [1]. Options Market Statistics - For the Shanghai Composite 50 Index options, the trading volume was 62,129, a decrease of 56,460, and the open interest was 55,579, a decrease of 48,318. The VL - PCR was 67.73%, and the OI - PCR was 60.10%. The maximum call and put open interests in the near - month were at strike prices of 3000 and 2850 respectively [1]. - Similar data were provided for other index options and ETF options, including the CSI 300 Index options, CSI 1000 Index options, and various ETF options [1]. Options Volatility Statistics - In the near - month, for the Shanghai Composite 50 Index options, the ATM - IV was 21.01%, a decrease of 2.19%, the same - term HV was 13.63%, a decrease of 0.07%, the Skew was 11.81%, an increase of 1.10%, and the VIX was 19.38, a decrease of 2.509 [4]. - Similar volatility data were presented for other index options and ETF options, both in the near - month and next - month [4]. Index and ETF Option Charts - The report includes various charts for different index and ETF options, such as the full - contract PCR chart, the main - contract skewness chart, the volatility cone chart, and the volatility term - structure chart for the Shanghai Composite 50 Index options, CSI 300 Index options, CSI 1000 Index options, and multiple ETF options [8][12][15].
金融期权:近远月波动率走势分化,可考虑逢低构建下月买看跌保护布局
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-09-19 12:04
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report 2. Core View of the Report - The volatility trends of near - and far - month options are diverging. It is advisable to consider building a protective put position for the next month when prices are low [1] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Option Market Trading Overview - The daily average trading volume, open interest, and turnover of various financial options are presented. For example, the total daily average trading volume of all options is 1242.50 million lots, with a total open interest of 1169.28 million lots and a total turnover of 13.2349519 billion yuan [1] 3.2 Option Volatility Statistics - The implied volatility (IV), historical volatility (HV), skew, and VIX of various options on the last trading day of the week are provided. For instance, the ATM - IV of SSE 50 Index Options is 21.01% with a - 2.19% change [3] 3.3 Option Liquidity - Multiple charts show the changes in total trading volume, open interest, turnover, trading value, and the proportion of trading volume and open interest of each option variety [4][6][10] 3.4 Option Volatility Level - Comparing the at - the - money implied volatility (ATM - IV) and historical volatility (HV) of various options, there were signs of convergence last week. The current ATM - IVs of different options range from 18.21% to 46.36%. The relationship between the underlying asset and ATM - IV varies, with correlation coefficients ranging from - 44.74% to 95.63% [11][13][15] 3.5 Option Market Bull - Bear Sentiment - The Put - Call - Ratio (PCR) indicator of various options is used to reflect market bull - bear sentiment, and the PCR trends and daily环比increment percentages of different options are presented through charts [39][40] 3.6 Market Support and Resistance Levels - The key support and resistance levels of various option underlying assets are given. For example, the key support level of the SSE 50 Index is 2850, and the resistance level is 3000 [53]
股票股指期权:下行降波,情绪回调,股指期权临近到期
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-09-18 13:30
| 标的市场统计 | 收盘价 | 涨跌 | 成交量(亿 | 成交变化 | 当月 | | 次月 | 次月基差 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 手) | (亿手) | 合成期货 | 当月基差 | 合成期货 | | | 上证50指数 | 2912.83 | -39.95 | 74.86 | 18.19 | 2908.93 | -3.89 | 2912.20 | -0.63 | | 沪深300指数 | 4498.11 | -52.91 | 309.86 | 74.14 | 4484.13 | -13.98 | 4473.80 | -24.31 | | 中证1000指数 | 7476.40 | -78.41 | 398.60 | 96.89 | 7449.93 | -26.47 | 7366.20 | -110.20 | | 上证50ETF | 3.048 | -0.040 | 13.05 | 7.25 | 3.043 | -0.005 | 3.045 | -0.003 | | 华泰柏瑞3 0 0 E T F | 4.5 ...
股票股指期权:上行升波,隐波升高至中高分位,可考虑逢低建仓买权保护
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-09-17 12:20
Report Date - The report is dated September 17, 2025 [1] Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoint - Stock index options are experiencing an upward volatility trend, with implied volatility rising to a medium-high level. It is advisable to consider building long option positions on dips for protection [1] Key Data Summaries 1. Underlying Market Statistics - **Indices**: The closing prices of the Shanghai 50 Index, CSI 300 Index, and CSI 1000 Index were 2952.78, 4551.02, and 7554.81 respectively, with increases of 4.96, 27.69, and 71.18. Their trading volumes were 56.67 billion, 235.72 billion, and 301.71 billion shares respectively, showing decreases of 0.97 billion, 13.55 billion, and 7.30 billion shares [2] - **ETFs**: The closing prices of various ETFs such as SSE 50 ETF, Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300 ETF, and Southern CSI 500 ETF showed different degrees of increase, and their trading volumes also had corresponding changes [2] 2. Option Market Statistics - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: The trading volumes and open interests of various stock index options and ETF options showed different degrees of increase or decrease. For example, the trading volume of SSE 50 Index Options increased by 11,756 to 57,826, and the open interest increased by 4,820 to 105,477 [2] - **PCR Indicators**: The VL-PCR and OI-PCR of different options also varied. For instance, the VL-PCR of SSE 50 Index Options was 48.38%, and the OI-PCR was 63.55% [2] 3. Option Volatility Statistics - **ATM-IV and HV**: The at-the-money implied volatility (ATM-IV) and historical volatility (HV) of different options showed different trends. For example, the ATM-IV of SSE 50 Index Options (near - month) was 21.94%, with an increase of 2.39%, and the HV was 7.38%, with an increase of 4.06% [5] - **Skew and VIX**: The skew and VIX of different options also had corresponding changes. For example, the skew of SSE 50 Index Options (near - month) was 14.02%, with an increase of 9.46%, and the VIX was 22.08, with an increase of 0.874 [5] Option - Specific Charts - For each type of option (SSE 50 Index Options, CSI 300 Index Options, etc.), there are charts showing full - contract PCR,主力 contract volatility,主力 contract skew, volatility cone, and volatility term structure [9][13][16]
股票股指期权:上行降波,市场下行担忧情绪下降
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-09-05 13:33
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoint - The stock index options show an upward trend with declining volatility, indicating a decrease in the market's concern about a downward trend [1] Summary by Related Catalogs Market Data Statistics - **Underlying Market Statistics**: The closing prices of major indices and ETFs all increased, with the CSI 1000 Index rising 204.51 points to 7245.67. Trading volumes generally decreased, such as the Shanghai - Shenzhen 300 Index with a volume change of - 58.31 billion hands [1] - **Option Market Statistics**: Trading volumes and open interests of various options decreased. For example, the trading volume of SSE 50 Index Options decreased by 37,944 to 56,278, and the open interest decreased by 2,790 to 97,398. The VL - PCR and OI - PCR values varied among different options [1] Option Volatility Statistics - **Near - month Options**: The ATM - IV of most options decreased, like the SSE 50 Index Options with a - 2.22% change. The HV also showed different trends, with some increasing and some decreasing [4] - **Next - month Options**: Similar to near - month options, the ATM - IV of most next - month options decreased, while the HV generally increased [4] Option Types Analysis - **SSE 50 Index Options**: Presented data on PCR, skew, volatility cone, and volatility term structure through multiple charts [7][8] - **CSI 300 Index Options**: Similar to SSE 50 Index Options, with relevant data presented in corresponding charts [11][12] - **CSI 1000 Index Options**: Showed data on PCR, skew, volatility cone, and volatility term structure in charts [14][15] - **SSE 50 ETF Options**: Analyzed through charts including PCR, skew, volatility cone, and volatility term structure [18][19] - **Huatai - Berry 300ETF Options**: Similar analysis methods with corresponding chart data [22][23] - **Southern CSI 500ETF Options**: Presented data through various charts for analysis [28][32] - **Huaxia Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF Options**: Analyzed using multiple charts [34][36] - **E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF Options**: Similar to the above, with data presented in charts [39][44] - **Harvest 300ETF Options**: Analyzed through relevant charts [45][46] - **Harvest CSI 500ETF Options**: Presented data in charts for analysis [49][50] - **ChiNext ETF Options**: Analyzed using multiple charts [54][57] - **Shenzhen 100ETF Options**: Similar analysis with chart - based data [59][60]