金 融 衍 生 品 研 究 2025 年 10 月 10 日 股票股指期权：下行升波，部分品种偏度转向 负偏。 张雪慧 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0015363 zhangxuehui022447@gtjas.com 【正文】 表 1：期权市场数据统计 | 标的市场统计 | 收盘价 | 涨跌 | 成交量(亿 | 成交变化 | 当月 | 当月基差 | 次月 | 次月基差 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 手) | (亿手) | 合成期货 | | 合成期货 | | | 上证50指数 | 2974.85 | -45.74 | 67.28 | -9.09 | 2975.93 | 1.08 | 2977.87 | 3.01 | | 沪深300指数 | 4616.83 | -92.65 | 319.02 | -28.66 | 4615.13 | -1.70 | 4611.27 | -5.57 | | 中证1000指数 | 7533.82 | -114.23 | 290.43 | -13.06 | 7518.27 | -15.55 ...

JPMorgan & Chase Co (NYSE:JPM) will be one of the first big names to kick off earnings season next week, announcing its third-quarter earnings report on Tuesday, October 14. Analysts expect profits of $4.83 per share on revenue of $44.66 billion, an increase of 10.5% and 4.7%, respectively, from the same quarter last year. The blue-chip bank stock has finished higher after three of its last four quarterly reports, but shed 0.7% back in July despite an earnings beat. Over the past two years, the stock has av ...

金 融 衍 生 品 研 究 2025 年 9 月 23 日 股票股指期权：近月隐波下行，ETF 期权临近 到期。 张雪慧 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0015363 zhangxuehui022447@gtjas.com 【正文】 表 1：期权市场数据统计 | 标的市场统计 | 收盘价 | 涨跌 | 成交量(亿 | 成交变化 | 当月 | | 次月 | 次月基差 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 手) | (亿手) | 合成期货 | 当月基差 | 合成期货 | | | 上证50指数 | 2919.51 | -2.66 | 62.90 | 15.92 | 2922.20 | 2.69 | 2920.33 | 0.82 | | 沪深300指数 | 4519.78 | -2.83 | 252.83 | 56.37 | 4508.67 | -11.11 | 4495.47 | -24.31 | | 中证1000指数 | 7408.07 | -81.41 | 313.26 | 42.90 | 7309.53 | -98.54 | ...

张雪慧 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0015363 zhangxuehui022447@gtjas.com 【正文】 表 1：期权市场数据统计 2025 年 9 月 19 日 股票股指期权：市场震荡，ETF 期权临近到 期，期限波动率差扩大。 | 标的市场统计 | 收盘价 | 涨跌 | 成交量(亿 | 成交变化 | 当月 | 当月基差 | 次月 | 次月基差 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 手) | (亿手) | 合成期货 | | 合成期货 | | | 上证50指数 | 2909.74 | -3.08 | 57.24 | -17.62 | 2915.73 | 5.99 | 2924.47 | 14.72 | | 沪深300指数 | 4501.92 | 3.81 | 225.04 | -84.82 | 4491.27 | -10.65 | 4492.47 | -9.45 | | 中证1000指数 | 7438.19 | -38.21 | 295.90 | -102.70 | 7354.67 | -83.52 | 729 ...

二 〇 二 五 年 度 2025 年 9 月 19 日 国 泰 君 安 期 货 研 究 金融期权：近远月波动率走势分化，可考虑逢 低构建下月买看跌保护布局。 张雪慧 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0015363 Zhangxuehui022447@gtjas.com 报告导读： 近远月波动率走势分化，可考虑逢低构建下月买看跌保护布局。 （正文） 1. 期权市场交易概况回顾 表 1：期权市场交易概况回顾（日均） | 期权名称 | C A L L成交 | P U T成交 | 总成交量 | C A L L持仓 | P U T持仓 | 总持仓量 | C A L L成交额 (万 | P U T成交额 (万 | 总成交额 (万 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 量 (万手 ) | 量 (万手 ) | (万手 ) | 量 (万手 ) | 量 (万手 ) | (万手 ) | 元 ) | 元 ) | 元 ) | | 上证50股指期权 | 4.17 | 2.34 | 6.51 | 5.71 | 3.54 | 9.25 | 16127.5 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information about the report industry investment rating in the provided content. 2. Report's Core View There is no clear statement of the report's core view in the given text. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 General Information - The report provides data on various ETFs and indices, including 50ETF, Shanghai 300ETF, Shenzhen 300ETF, Shanghai CSI 500ETF, Shenzhen CSI 500ETF, ChiNext ETF, Shenzhen 100ETF, Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF, Science and Technology Innovation Board 50ETF, 300 Index, 1000 Index, and Shanghai Composite 50 Index [1][3][7][14][21][25][35][43][50][57][63][69] 3.2 Price and Volatility Data - For each ETF and index, the report shows the price, price change, implied volatility (IV) for the current and next months over a 5 - day period from September 15 - 17, 2025 [1][3][7][14][21][25][35][43][50][57][63][69] - It also presents the IV quantiles for the current and next months over the past 1 and 2 years [1][3][7][14][21][25][35][43][50][57][63][69] 3.3 Volatility Structure and Trends - ATM IV term structures for different months (M1, M2, Q1, Q2, etc.) are provided, comparing the current day with the previous day [1][3][7][14][21][25][35][43][50][57][60][65][70] - Intraday trends of different - month at - the - money (ATM) IV are shown [1][3][7][14][21][25][35][43][50][60][65][70] 3.4 Skew Index and Smile Curve - The skew index for the main contract month is calculated as the ratio of the implied volatility of a call option with a delta of 0.75 to that of a call option with a delta of 0.25, and its values for the past five days are given [2][5][13][17][24][30][39][46][53][62][68][73] - The smile curves for the main contract months of each ETF and index option are presented [2][5][13][16][24][29][38][45][52][62][68][73] 3.5 Other Related Data - The relationship between price, open interest PCR, IV, and trading volume is shown through historical trend charts for each ETF and index [2][5][13][19][24][31][41][48][55][62][68][73] - Intraday synthetic - futures spreads and historical synthetic - futures spreads for some indices are provided [62][68][73]

2025 年 9 月 17 日 股票股指期权：上行升波，隐波升高至中高分 位，可考虑逢低建仓买权保护。 张雪慧 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0015363 zhangxuehui022447@gtjas.com 资料来源：Wind、国泰君安期货研究 国 泰 君 安 期 货 研 究 所 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 金融衍生品研究 金 融 衍 生 品 研 究 【正文】 表 1：期权市场数据统计 | 标的市场统计 | 收盘价 | 涨跌 | 成交量(亿 | 成交变化 | 当月 | | 次月 | 次月基差 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 手) | (亿手) | 合成期货 | 当月基差 | 合成期货 | | | 上证50指数 | 2952.78 | 4.96 | 56.67 | -0.97 | 2957.07 | 4.29 | 2958.00 | 5.22 | | 沪深300指数 | 4551.02 | 27.69 | 235.72 | -13.55 | 4553.33 | 2.31 | 4545.67 | -5.36 ...

张雪慧 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0015363 zhangxuehui022447@gtjas.com 【正文】 表 1：期权市场数据统计 | 标的市场统计 | 收盘价 | 涨跌 | 成交量(亿 | 成交变化 | 当月 | 当月基差 | 次月 | 次月基差 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 手) | (亿手) | 合成期货 | | 合成期货 | | | 上证50指数 | 2968.54 | -14.54 | 61.71 | -6.62 | 2968.27 | -0.27 | 2970.27 | 1.73 | | 沪深300指数 | 4522.00 | -26.04 | 266.44 | 13.18 | 4523.93 | 1.94 | 4520.20 | -1.80 | | 中证1000指数 | 7422.88 | 23.00 | 315.84 | 21.86 | 7389.47 | -33.42 | 7326.73 | -96.15 | | 上证50ETF | 3.104 | -0.018 | 6.95 | -6 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints No explicit core viewpoints are presented in the given content. The data mainly focuses on the price, volatility, and related indicators of various financial products such as ETFs and indices. 3. Summary by Product 50ETF - **Price and Volatility**: From September 9 - 11, 2025, the price increased from 3.059 to 3.122, with a maximum daily increase of 1.63%. The current month IV ranged from 15.16% - 16.24%, and the next month IV from 17.60% - 18.58% [1]. - **IV Quantiles**: The current month IV quantiles in the past 1 - 2 years were 48.90% - 67.40%, and the next month IV quantiles were 58.60% - 80.50% [1]. Shanghai 300ETF - **Price and Volatility**: From September 9 - 11, 2025, the price increased from 4.528 to 4.660, with a maximum daily increase of 2.69%. The current month IV ranged from 14.58% - 17.98%, and the next month IV from 18.37% - 20.32% [4]. - **IV Quantiles**: The current month IV quantiles in the past 1 - 2 years were 31.80% - 73.80%, and the next month IV quantiles were 59.90% - 84.70% [4]. Shenzhen 300ETF - **Price and Volatility**: From September 9 - 11, 2025, the price increased from 4.671 to 4.800, with a maximum daily increase of 2.56%. The current month IV ranged from 15.27% - 18.07%, and the next month IV from 18.76% - 20.31% [8]. - **IV Quantiles**: The current month IV quantiles in the past 1 - 2 years were 39.50% - 76.20%, and the next month IV quantiles were 60.50% - 84.00% [8]. Shanghai CSI 500ETF - **Price and Volatility**: From September 9 - 11, 2025, the price increased from 7.006 to 7.224, with a maximum daily increase of 3.11%. The current month IV ranged from 19.27% - 21.34%, and the next month IV from 22.92% - 24.33% [16]. - **IV Quantiles**: The current month IV quantiles in the past 1 - 2 years were 38.70% - 67.20%, and the next month IV quantiles were 59.90% - 81.60% [16]. Shenzhen CSI 500ETF - **Price and Volatility**: From September 9 - 11, 2025, the price increased from 2.800 to 2.891, with a maximum daily increase of 3.14%. The current month IV ranged from 19.63% - 21.80%, and the next month IV from 23.46% - 24.69% [22]. - **IV Quantiles**: The current month IV quantiles in the past 1 - 2 years were 42.00% - 70.30%, and the next month IV quantiles were 61.60% - 81.30% [22]. ChiNext ETF - **Price and Volatility**: From September 9 - 11, 2025, the price increased from 2.845 to 3.025, with a maximum daily increase of 5.22%. The current month IV on September 9 - 10 was 32.85% - 33.59%, and the next month IV was 35.81% - 35.99% [26]. - **IV Quantiles**: The current month IV quantiles in the past 1 - 2 years were 72.60% - 86.00%, and the next month IV quantiles were 82.20% - 91.10% [26]. Shenzhen 100ETF - **Price and Volatility**: From September 9 - 11, 2025, the price increased from 3.314 to 3.451, with a maximum daily increase of 3.82%. The current month IV ranged from 20.52% - 25.02%, and the next month IV from 24.00% - 26.67% [36]. - **IV Quantiles**: The current month IV quantiles in the past 1 - 2 years were 55.90% - 83.40%, and the next month IV quantiles were 66.20% - 88.30% [36]. Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF - **Price and Volatility**: From September 9 - 11, 2025, the price increased from 1.307 to 1.393, with a maximum daily increase of 5.45%. The current month IV ranged from 35.02% - 43.96%, and the next month IV from 39.70% - 45.48% [44]. - **IV Quantiles**: The current month IV quantiles in the past 1 - 2 years were 65.30% - 93.20%, and the next month IV quantiles were 77.60% - 90.30% [44]. Science and Technology Innovation Board 50ETF - **Price and Volatility**: From September 9 - 11, 2025, the price increased from 1.277 to 1.361, with a maximum daily increase of 5.50%. The current month IV ranged from 38.59% - 48.40%, and the next month IV from 40.15% - 47.41% [51]. - **IV Quantiles**: The current month IV quantiles in the past 1 - 2 years were 75.10% - 93.60%, and the next month IV quantiles were 73.40% - 91.30% [51]. 300 Index - **Price and Volatility**: From September 9 - 11, 2025, the price increased from 4436.258 to 4548.035. The current month IV ranged from 13.77% - 16.79%, and the next month IV from 18.80% - 20.23% [59]. - **IV Quantiles**: The current month IV quantiles in the past 1 - 2 years were 29.30% - 67.00%, and the next month IV quantiles were 59.10% - 80.30% [59]. 1000 Index - **Price and Volatility**: From September 9 - 11, 2025, the price increased from 7226.028 to 7399.885. The current month IV ranged from 20.56% - 22.39%, and the next month IV from 24.87% - 25.65% [61]. - **IV Quantiles**: The current month IV quantiles in the past 1 - 2 years were 31.00% - 50.50%, and the next month IV quantiles were 55.10% - 72.10% [61]. Shanghai Composite 50 Index - **Price and Volatility**: From September 9 - 11, 2025, the price increased from 2928.632 to 2983.083. The current month IV ranged from 14.52% - 16.95%, and the next month IV from 65.29% - 71.83% [75]. - **IV Quantiles**: The current month IV quantiles in the past 1 - 2 years were 30.60% - 66.60%, and the next month IV quantiles were 97.10% - 99.70% [75].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoint - The stock index options show an upward trend with declining volatility, indicating a decrease in the market's concern about a downward trend [1] Summary by Related Catalogs Market Data Statistics - **Underlying Market Statistics**: The closing prices of major indices and ETFs all increased, with the CSI 1000 Index rising 204.51 points to 7245.67. Trading volumes generally decreased, such as the Shanghai - Shenzhen 300 Index with a volume change of - 58.31 billion hands [1] - **Option Market Statistics**: Trading volumes and open interests of various options decreased. For example, the trading volume of SSE 50 Index Options decreased by 37,944 to 56,278, and the open interest decreased by 2,790 to 97,398. The VL - PCR and OI - PCR values varied among different options [1] Option Volatility Statistics - **Near - month Options**: The ATM - IV of most options decreased, like the SSE 50 Index Options with a - 2.22% change. The HV also showed different trends, with some increasing and some decreasing [4] - **Next - month Options**: Similar to near - month options, the ATM - IV of most next - month options decreased, while the HV generally increased [4] Option Types Analysis - **SSE 50 Index Options**: Presented data on PCR, skew, volatility cone, and volatility term structure through multiple charts [7][8] - **CSI 300 Index Options**: Similar to SSE 50 Index Options, with relevant data presented in corresponding charts [11][12] - **CSI 1000 Index Options**: Showed data on PCR, skew, volatility cone, and volatility term structure in charts [14][15] - **SSE 50 ETF Options**: Analyzed through charts including PCR, skew, volatility cone, and volatility term structure [18][19] - **Huatai - Berry 300ETF Options**: Similar analysis methods with corresponding chart data [22][23] - **Southern CSI 500ETF Options**: Presented data through various charts for analysis [28][32] - **Huaxia Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF Options**: Analyzed using multiple charts [34][36] - **E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF Options**: Similar to the above, with data presented in charts [39][44] - **Harvest 300ETF Options**: Analyzed through relevant charts [45][46] - **Harvest CSI 500ETF Options**: Presented data in charts for analysis [49][50] - **ChiNext ETF Options**: Analyzed using multiple charts [54][57] - **Shenzhen 100ETF Options**: Similar analysis with chart - based data [59][60]