期权隐波
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股票股指期权:隐波持续回落,可考虑备兑策略
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-12-01 13:32
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoint - With the continuous decline of implied volatility in stock index options, investors can consider the covered call strategy [1] Summary by Related Catalogs Market Data Statistics - **Underlying Market**: The closing prices of the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 Index, CSI 300 Index, and CSI 1000 Index were 2993.68, 4576.49, and 7386.68 respectively, with increases of 24.06, 49.82, and 52.47. The trading volumes were 46.52 billion, 200.38 billion, and 234.41 billion shares respectively, with changes of 9.25 billion, 57.48 billion, and 33.73 billion shares. The synthetic futures prices and basis for the current and next months are also provided [1] - **Option Market**: The trading volumes of Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 Index Options, CSI 300 Index Options, and CSI 1000 Index Options were 28345, 86757, and 169033 respectively, with changes of 9677, 12980, and -4500. The open interests were 65173, 172339, and 301690 respectively, with changes of 2743, 723, and 4331. The VL - PCR and OI - PCR values are also presented [1] Volatility Statistics - **Near - Month**: The ATM - IV of Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 Index Options was 10.97%, with a change of - 1.04%. The same - term HV was 12.03%, with a change of 0.54%. Similar data for other options are also provided [4] - **Next - Month**: The ATM - IV of Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 Index Options was 12.58%, with a change of - 0.66%. The same - term HV was 11.82%, with a change of 0.10%. Similar data for other options are also given [4] Option Types - **Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 Index Options**: Figures for full - contract PCR, main - contract skewness, volatility cone, and volatility term structure are presented [7][8] - **CSI 300 Index Options**: Similar figures for full - contract PCR, main - contract skewness, volatility cone, and volatility term structure are provided [11][12] - **CSI 1000 Index Options**: Figures for relevant indicators are also shown [15][16] - **Shanghai Stock Exchange 50ETF Options**: Figures for full - contract PCR, main - contract skewness, volatility cone, and volatility term structure are included [24][25] - **Huatai Berui 300ETF Options**: Similar figures for relevant indicators are presented [28][29] - **Southern China Securities 500ETF Options**: Figures for relevant indicators are provided [35][36] - **Huaxia Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF Options**: Figures for relevant indicators are shown [43][44] - **E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF Options**: Figures for relevant indicators are presented [51][52] - **Harvest 300ETF Options**: Figures for relevant indicators are provided [62][63] - **Harvest China Securities 500ETF Options**: Figures for relevant indicators are shown [68][69] - **Growth Enterprise Market ETF Options**: Figures for relevant indicators are presented [72][73] - **Shenzhen Stock Exchange 100ETF Options**: Figures for relevant indicators are provided [76][77]
50ETF价格、隐波近一年走势:50ETF价格、隐波近三年走势
Guo Tou Qi Huo· 2025-11-28 13:25
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Viewpoints - No clear core viewpoints presented in the given content 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 50ETF - From November 26 - 28, 2025, the 50ETF price changed from 3.114 to 3.113, with corresponding daily changes of 0.13%, -0.06%, and 0.03%. The current month IV decreased from 12.36% to 11.87% [1]. - The near - 1 - year and near - 2 - year current month IV quantiles on November 28 were 19.50% and 19.00% respectively [1]. 3.2 Shanghai 300ETF - From November 26 - 28, 2025, the Shanghai 300ETF price changed from 4.626 to 4.635, with daily changes of 0.63%, -0.09%, and 0.28%. The current month IV decreased from 14.02% to 13.63% [4]. - The near - 1 - year and near - 2 - year current month IV quantiles on November 28 were 25.30% and 31.60% respectively [4]. 3.3 Shenzhen 300ETF - From November 26 - 28, 2025, the Shenzhen 300ETF price changed from 4.778 to 4.783, with daily changes of 0.80%, -0.21%, and 0.31%. The current month IV decreased from 14.09% to 13.77% [7]. - The near - 1 - year and near - 2 - year current month IV quantiles on November 28 were 28.50% and 32.90% respectively [7]. 3.4 Shanghai CSI 500ETF - From November 26 - 28, 2025, the Shanghai CSI 500ETF price changed from 7.065 to 7.135, with daily changes of 1.36%, -0.06%, and 0.99%. The current month IV decreased from 17.97% to 17.29% [16]. - The near - 1 - year and near - 2 - year current month IV quantiles on November 28 were 29.70% and 29.40% respectively [16]. 3.5 Shenzhen CSI 500ETF - From November 26 - 28, 2025, the Shenzhen CSI 500ETF price changed from 2.825 to 2.846, with daily changes of 0.18%, -0.28%, and 1.03%. The current month IV decreased from 18.98% to 18.19% [27]. - The near - 1 - year and near - 2 - year current month IV quantiles on November 28 were 39.50% and 41.50% respectively [27]. 3.6 ChiNext ETF - From November 26 - 28, 2025, the ChiNext ETF price changed from 3.027 to 3.035, with daily changes of 2.23%, -0.50%, and 0.76%. The current month IV decreased from 26.05% to 25.49% [34]. - The near - 1 - year and near - 2 - year current month IV quantiles on November 28 were 50.60% and 60.30% respectively [34]. 3.7 Shenzhen 100ETF - From November 26 - 28, 2025, the Shenzhen 100ETF price changed from 3.370 to 3.370, with daily changes of 1.72%, -0.36%, and 0.36%. The current month IV decreased from 18.41% to 17.75% [43]. - The near - 1 - year and near - 2 - year current month IV quantiles on November 28 were 33.80% and 42.90% respectively [43]. 3.8 Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF - From November 26 - 28, 2025, the Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF price changed from 1.382 to 1.393, with daily changes of 0.95%, -0.22%, and 1.02%. The current month IV decreased from 26.80% to 26.29% [51]. - The near - 1 - year and near - 2 - year current month IV quantiles on November 28 were 35.10% and 35.50% respectively [51]. 3.9 Star 50ETF - From November 26 - 28, 2025, the Star 50ETF price changed from 1.340 to 1.350, with daily changes of 1.13%, -0.30%, and 1.05%. The current month IV decreased from 27.18% to 27.09% [56]. - The near - 1 - year and near - 2 - year current month IV quantiles on November 28 were 35.90% and 38.30% respectively [56]. 3.10 300 Index - From November 26 - 28, 2025, the 300 Index price changed from 4517.626 to 4526.662, with daily changes of 0.61%, -0.05%, and 0.25%. The current month IV decreased from 13.89% to 13.83% [65]. - The near - 1 - year and near - 2 - year current month IV quantiles on November 28 were 33.40% and 31.20% respectively [65]. 3.11 1000 Index - From November 26 - 28, 2025, the 1000 Index price changed from 7248.449 to 7334.210, with daily changes of -0.02%, 0.12%, and 1.06%. The current month IV decreased from 18.68% to 17.07% [70]. - The near - 1 - year and near - 2 - year current month IV quantiles on November 28 were 14.70% and 23.60% respectively [70]. 3.12 Shanghai 50 Index - From November 26 - November 28, 2025, the Shanghai 50 Index price changed from 2971.799 to 2969.617, with daily changes of 0.12%, 0.02%, and -0.09%. The current month IV decreased from 12.13% to 11.89% [75]. - The near - 1 - year and near - 2 - year current month IV quantiles on November 28 were 8.10% and 8.50% respectively [75].
50ETF价格、隐波近三年走势
Guo Tou Qi Huo· 2025-11-18 12:09
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Report's Core View No clear core view is presented in the given content. It mainly provides historical data on various financial products, including ETFs and indices, such as price, daily change, implied volatility (IV), and IV quantiles. 3. Summary by Product 3.1 50ETF - From November 14 - 18, 2025, the price decreased from 3.183 to 3.150, with corresponding daily changes of -1.18%, -0.75%, and -0.28% [1]. - The current month's IV increased from 13.10% to 14.82%, and the next month's IV changed from 14.83% to 15.39% [1]. - The skew index on November 18, 2025, was 100.02 [2]. 3.2 Shanghai 300ETF - From November 14 - 18, 2025, the price decreased from 4.741 to 4.683, with daily changes of -1.48%, -0.65%, and -0.57% [3]. - The current month's IV changed from 15.40% to 16.15%, and the next month's IV changed from 16.58% to 16.86% [3]. - The skew index on November 18, 2025, was 108.77 [5]. 3.3 Shenzhen 300ETF - From November 14 - 18, 2025, the price decreased from 4.887 to 4.832, with daily changes of -1.55%, -0.63%, and -0.49% [6]. - The current month's IV increased from 15.26% to 17.03%, and the next month's IV increased from 16.63% to 17.39% [6]. - The skew index on November 18, 2025, was 110.08 [12]. 3.4 Shanghai CSI 500ETF - From November 14 - 18, 2025, the price decreased from 7.338 to 7.262, with daily changes of -0.24%, -1.73%, and -1.04% [15]. - The current month's IV changed from 19.01% to 19.60%, and the next month's IV changed from 20.04% to 19.82% [15]. - The skew index on November 18, 2025, was 104.88 [21]. 3.5 Shenzhen CSI 500ETF - From November 14 - 18, 2025, the price decreased from 2.930 to 2.899, with daily changes of -1.74%, -0.10%, and -0.96% [25]. - The current month's IV increased from 19.73% to 20.53%, and the next month's IV changed from 20.56% to 20.07% [25]. - The skew index on November 18, 2025, was 109.14 [29]. 3.6 ChiNext ETF - From November 14 - 18, 2025, the price decreased from 3.093 to 3.051, with daily changes of -2.80%, -0.29%, and -1.07% [30]. - The current month's IV changed from 29.76% to 29.37%, and the next month's IV changed from 29.60% to 28.92% [30]. - The skew index on November 18, 2025, was 101.69 [37]. 3.7 Shenzhen 100ETF - From November 14 - 18, 2025, the price decreased from 3.423 to 3.380, with daily changes of -2.04%, -0.68%, and -0.59% [42]. - The current month's IV changed from 23.07% to 21.33%, and the next month's IV changed from 22.13% to 21.03% [42]. - The skew index on November 18, 2025, was 103.33 [45]. 3.8 Science and Technology Innovation 50 ETF - From November 14 - 18, 2025, the price first decreased and then increased, from 1.431 to 1.427, with daily changes of -2.59%, -0.63%, and 0.35% [51]. - The current month's IV changed from 33.04% to 32.45%, and the next month's IV changed from 32.14% to 32.07% [51]. - The skew index on November 18, 2025, was 98.81 [53]. 3.9 STAR 50 ETF - From November 14 - 18, 2025, the price first decreased and then increased, from 1.387 to 1.383, with daily changes of -2.53%, -0.65%, and 0.36% [56]. - The current month's IV changed from 32.74% to 32.19%, and the next month's IV changed from 32.78% to 31.74% [56]. - The skew index on November 18, 2025, was 101.84 [62]. 3.10 300 Index - From November 14 - 18, 2025, the price decreased from 4628.140 to 4568.193, with daily changes of -1.57%, -0.65%, and -0.65% [68]. - The current month's IV changed from 14.19% to 15.67%, and the next month's IV changed from 16.75% to 17.18% [68]. - The skew index on November 18, 2025, was 111.43 [72]. 3.11 1000 Index - From November 14 - 18, 2025, the price first increased and then decreased, from 7502.757 to 7448.101, with daily changes of -1.16%, 0.27%, and -1.00% [73]. - The current month's IV increased from 17.46% to 19.75%, and the next month's IV changed from 19.71% to 19.61% [73]. - The skew index on November 18, 2025, was 114.04 [77]. 3.12 SSE 50 Index - From November 14 - 18, 2025, the price decreased from 3038.426 to 3003.018, with daily changes of -1.15%, -0.87%, and -0.30% [81]. - The current month's IV changed from 13.94% to 14.63%, and the next month's IV changed from 65.79% to 62.90% [81]. - The skew index on November 18, 2025, was 104.65 [84].
国投期货期权日报-20251110
Guo Tou Qi Huo· 2025-11-10 12:24
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints No clear core viewpoints are presented in the given content. The report mainly provides detailed data on various financial products such as ETFs and indices, including price, volatility, and skew index information. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 50ETF - From November 6 - 10, 2025, the price fluctuated, with a 1.27% increase on the 6th, a 0.13% decrease on the 7th, and a 0.47% increase on the 10th. The current month IV ranged from 12.51% - 12.80%, and the next - month IV from 14.78% - 14.89% [1]. - The near - 1 - year current month IV quantile was 21.60% - 22.00%, and the near - 2 - year quantile was 20.00% - 22.00%. The near - 1 - year next - month IV quantile was 35.40% - 40.00%, and the near - 2 - year quantile was 45.40% - 48.60% [1]. - The skew index today was 92.65, compared to 102.82 yesterday [2]. 3.2 Shanghai 300ETF - From November 6 - 10, 2025, the price fluctuated, with a 1.48% increase on the 6th, a 0.21% decrease on the 7th, and a 0.25% increase on the 10th. The current month IV ranged from 14.37% - 14.53%, and the next - month IV from 15.94% - 16.28% [3]. - The near - 1 - year current month IV quantile was 28.90% - 30.20%, and the near - 2 - year quantile was 37.80% - 39.60%. The near - 1 - year next - month IV quantile was 46.80%, and the near - 2 - year quantile was 53.90% - 57.70% [3]. - The skew index today was 102.05, compared to 104.72 yesterday [5]. 3.3 Shenzhen 300ETF - From November 6 - 10, 2025, the price fluctuated, with a 1.54% increase on the 6th, a 0.30% decrease on the 7th, and a 0.38% increase on the 10th. The current month IV ranged from 14.58% - 14.95%, and the next - month IV from 16.41% - 16.74% [6]. - The near - 1 - year current month IV quantile was 31.40% - 34.20%, and the near - 2 - year quantile was 40.80% - 46.00%. The near - 1 - year next - month IV quantile was 47.40% - 50.40%, and the near - 2 - year quantile was 59.40% - 61.90% [6]. - The skew index today was 99.49, compared to 104.41 yesterday [12]. 3.4 Shanghai CSI 500ETF - From November 6 - 10, 2025, the price fluctuated, with a 1.89% increase on the 6th, a 1.50% increase on the 7th, and a 0.04% decrease on the 10th. The current month IV ranged from 18.55% - 18.71%, and the next - month IV from 19.92% - 20.13% [16]. - The near - 1 - year current month IV quantile was 34.20% - 35.50%, and the near - 2 - year quantile was 38.40% - 40.20%. The near - 1 - year next - month IV quantile was 46.80% - 57.00%, and the near - 2 - year quantile was 48.10% - 56.20% [16]. - The skew index today was 102.88, compared to 106.34 yesterday [21]. 3.5 Shenzhen CSI 500ETF - From November 6 - 10, 2025, the price fluctuated, with a 1.67% increase on the 6th, a 0.37% decrease on the 7th, and a 0.17% increase on the 10th. The current month IV ranged from 18.65% - 18.98%, and the next - month IV from 20.12% - 20.31% [26]. - The near - 1 - year current month IV quantile was 34.20%, and the near - 2 - year quantile was 39.80% - 40.40%. The near - 1 - year next - month IV quantile was 45.10% - 56.60%, and the near - 2 - year quantile was 54.30% - 56.40% [26]. - The skew index today was 102.13, compared to 106.11 yesterday [31]. 3.6 ChiNext ETF - From November 6 - 10, 2025, the price decreased, with a 1.88% increase on the 6th, a 0.50% decrease on the 7th, and a 0.85% decrease on the 10th. The current month IV ranged from 28.49% - 29.04%, and the next - month IV from 30.04% - 30.61% [32]. - The near - 1 - year current month IV quantile was 57.10% - 58.30%, and the near - 2 - year quantile was 69.30% - 71.50%. The near - 1 - year next - month IV quantile was 59.90% - 73.70%, and the near - 2 - year quantile was 73.70% - 75.60% [32]. - The skew index today was 98.35, compared to 102.10 yesterday [37]. 3.7 Shenzhen 100ETF - From November 6 - 10, 2025, the price fluctuated, with a 1.82% increase on the 6th, a 0.64% decrease on the 7th, and a 0.22% increase on the 10th. The current month IV ranged from 19.96% - 20.37%, and the next - month IV from 21.33% - 22.33% [41]. - The near - 1 - year current month IV quantile was 49.70% - 51.80%, and the near - 2 - year quantile was 60.90% - 62.50%. The near - 1 - year next - month IV quantile was 52.30% - 56.50%, and the near - 2 - year quantile was 66.30% - 69.70% [41]. - The skew index today was 101.73, compared to 104.78 yesterday [44]. 3.8 Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF - From November 6 - 10, 2025, the price decreased, with a 3.36% increase on the 6th, a 1.46% decrease on the 7th, and a 0.61% decrease on the 10th. The current month IV ranged from 31.64% - 32.60%, and the next - month IV from 33.27% - 34.03% [50]. - The near - 1 - year current month IV quantile was 50.20% - 67.40%, and the near - 2 - year quantile was 59.00% - 73.90%. The near - 1 - year next - month IV quantile was 52.20% - 73.90%, and the near - 2 - year quantile was 59.90% - 74.80% [50]. - The skew index today was 93.39, compared to 96.47 yesterday [52]. 3.9 Star 50ETF - From November 6 - 10, 2025, the price decreased, with a 3.39% increase on the 6th, a 1.37% decrease on the 7th, and a 0.69% decrease on the 10th. The current month IV ranged from 31.37% - 32.95%, and the next - month IV from 32.71% - 34.12% [55]. - The near - 1 - year current month IV quantile was 53.80% - 70.10%, and the near - 2 - year quantile was 56.50% - 75.40%. The near - 1 - year next - month IV quantile was 50.60% - 73.30%, and the near - 2 - year quantile was 56.50% - 72.00% [55]. - The skew index today was 93.79, compared to 97.75 yesterday [58]. 3.10 300 Index - From November 6 - 10, 2025, the price fluctuated, with a 1.43% increase on the 6th, a 0.31% decrease on the 7th, and a 0.35% increase on the 10th. The current month IV ranged from 13.35% - 13.87%, and the next - month IV from 16.42% - 16.54% [63]. - The near - 1 - year current month IV quantile was 21.20% - 30.60%, and the near - 2 - year quantile was 21.40% - 31.00%. The near - 1 - year next - month IV quantile was 42.80% - 57.40%, and the near - 2 - year quantile was 54.80% - 57.40% [63]. - The skew index today was 104.41, compared to 105.33 yesterday [66]. 3.11 1000 Index - From November 6 - 10, 2025, the price fluctuated, with a 1.17% increase on the 6th, a 0.13% decrease on the 7th, and a 0.28% increase on the 10th. The current month IV ranged from 17.52% - 17.98%, and the next - month IV from 19.98% - 20.18% [67]. - The near - 1 - year current month IV quantile was 14.20% - 22.00%, and the near - 2 - year quantile was 16.30% - 19.40%. The near - 1 - year next - month IV quantile was 23.20% - 25.70%, and the near - 2 - year quantile was 19.20% - 25.70% [67]. - The skew index today was 113.60, compared to 117.24 yesterday [70]. 3.12 Shanghai 50 Index - From November 6 - 10, 2025, the price fluctuated, with a 1.22% increase on the 6th, a 0.21% decrease on the 7th, and a 0.51% increase on the 10th. The current month IV ranged from 12.91% - 13.21%, and the next - month IV from 49.93% - 62.00% [71]. - The near - 1 - year current month IV quantile was 15.10% - 20.20%, and the near - 2 - year quantile was 15.90% - 20.20%. The near - 1 - year next - month IV quantile was 91.00% - 91.40%, and the near - 2 - year quantile was 95.50% - 95.70% [71]. - The skew index today was 101.83, compared to 101.00 yesterday [76].
逢低构建牛市价差策略
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2025-08-29 01:43
Group 1 - The market experienced a V-shaped reversal with the Sci-Tech 50 index rising by 7.23%, while other indices like the Shanghai 50, CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 saw increases ranging from 1% to 2.5% [1][2] - The CSI 1000 index rose by 1.51%, with daily trading volume and open interest for its options at 405,700 contracts and 317,400 contracts respectively, showing a slight decrease in PCR values [1] - The CSI 300 index increased by 1.77%, with daily trading volume of 203,300 contracts and open interest of 214,100 contracts, indicating a cautious sentiment among put option sellers [1] Group 2 - The Sci-Tech 50 ETF options recorded a trading volume of 2,647,700 contracts and open interest of 1,774,000 contracts, reflecting a high level of activity since its inception [2] - The implied volatility for the September contracts reached 62%, indicating a potential overheating in the short term for the underlying index [2] - Overall market sentiment is optimistic, with a recommendation for investors to adopt a bullish spread strategy in IO options during market dips [2]
国内股市:沪指破3700,期权IV上升策略调整
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-18 14:11
Core Insights - The domestic stock market is experiencing a rapid increase, with the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing 3700 points [1] - Growth stocks and mid-cap indices have shown significant gains, particularly the ChiNext Index, which rose by 8.5% during the week [1] - Market trading activity is robust, with transaction volumes nearing 2.8 trillion yuan on Monday [1] Market Environment - External factors include positive developments in US-Russia negotiations and rising US PPI data, which introduces uncertainty regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts in July [1] - Overall risk appetite is high, but attention is needed on future policy directions [1] Valuation and Policy Impact - Some broad market indices still exhibit low valuations, and stimulus policies are showing effectiveness [1] - The approaching Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and a strong RMB exchange rate contribute to an improved internal and external environment [1] Market Sentiment and Volatility - The market is currently driven by sentiment, and after a rapid increase, volatility may be amplified [1] - In the options market, implied volatility (IV) has risen significantly due to the stock market's acceleration, particularly for the ChiNext Index [1] Strategy Outlook - With the index rising quickly, options IV has notably increased; strategies include selling shallow out-of-the-money call options to reduce risk while holding ETFs [1] - For low-volatility assets, buying near-term shallow out-of-the-money put options for hedging is recommended if there are substantial long positions or existing call options [1] - The long-term outlook remains optimistic, suggesting holding long-dated call options on the CSI 300 or ChiNext Index, or selling near-term put options on the SSE 50 ETF to lower costs [1] - The narrowing of the discount on the CSI 1000 long-dated index futures still leaves room for strategies involving selling at-the-money or out-of-the-money call options [1]
矿价偏强运行,期权隐波中性
Zheng Xin Qi Huo· 2025-03-12 06:01
Investment Rating - The report indicates a strong performance in iron ore prices, suggesting a positive investment outlook for the sector [1]. Core Insights - Iron ore spot prices closed at 835 CNY/ton, a 4% increase month-on-month, while the DCE iron ore index closed at 831 CNY/ton, up 3.5% [9]. - Daily average trading volume for iron ore options was 347,985 contracts, showing a month-on-month increase, while total open interest was 360,031 contracts, reflecting a decrease [10]. - The report highlights a slight decline in iron water production, but a significant recovery in profit per ton of steel [18]. Summary by Sections 1.1 Market Review - Iron ore spot prices increased by 4% month-on-month, with the DCE iron ore index rising by 3.5% [9]. 1.2 Options Market Review - Daily average trading volume for I2505 series options rose to 102,964 contracts, with total open interest increasing to 315,120 contracts [13]. - The implied volatility for the main contract series options remained stable at 28% [14]. - The short-term historical volatility for iron ore was recorded at 24%, which is below the average level [16]. 1.3 Options Strategy Recommendation - The report recommends a strategy of buying put spreads, as the iron ore price is expected to maintain a strong performance despite slight declines in production and inventory levels [18].