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债券ETF周度跟踪(11.3-11.7):市场净流入增幅边际收窄-20251110
Southwest Securities· 2025-11-10 07:15
Report Information - The report is a weekly fixed - income regular report on bond ETFs from November 3rd to November 7th, 2025, titled "Bond ETF Weekly Tracking (11.3 - 11.7): Market Net Inflow Growth Marginal Narrowing" [1] Core Viewpoint - The overall net inflow growth of the bond ETF market has narrowed marginally, with the increment mainly coming from interest - rate bond ETFs. The net inflow of convertible bond ETFs is negative [4][7] Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating information is provided in the report Summary by Directory 1.1 各类债券 ETF 资金净流入情况 - The overall net inflow growth of bond ETFs has narrowed marginally, and the increment mainly comes from interest - rate bond ETFs. Last week, the net inflow funds of interest - rate bond ETFs, credit bond ETFs, and convertible bond ETFs were 4.914 billion yuan, 1.394 billion yuan, and - 1.574 billion yuan respectively, with a total net inflow of 4.734 billion yuan in the bond ETF market. As of November 7, 2025, the bond ETF fund scale was 70.6121 billion yuan, up 0.87% from the previous week's close and 292.79% from the beginning of the year, accounting for 12.28% of the total market ETF scale, up 1bp from the previous weekend [4][7] - Treasury bond ETFs led the net inflow, and the growth of short - term financing and local bond ETFs continued. Last week, treasury bond ETFs (+ 2.698 billion yuan), short - term financing ETFs (+ 2.553 billion yuan), and local bond ETFs (+ 2.223 billion yuan) ranked top three in net inflow amount. Convertible bond ETFs, science and technology innovation bond ETFs, and benchmark market - making credit bond ETFs had negative net inflows, with - 1.574 billion yuan, - 1.390 billion yuan, and - 0.515 billion yuan respectively [7] 1.2 各类债券 ETF 份额走势 - The share inflows of interest - rate bond and credit bond ETFs improved marginally, and the local bond ETFs had a steep growth. As of the close on November 7, 2025, the shares of treasury bond, policy - financial bond, local bond, credit bond, and convertible bond ETFs were 683.88 million shares, 442.47 million shares, 127.08 million shares, 7185.08 million shares, and 4954.95 million shares respectively, with a total of 13393.45 million shares for bond - type ETFs. Compared with the close on October 31, 2025, they changed by 22.53 million shares, - 0.08 million shares, 19.41 million shares, 35.81 million shares, and - 116.90 million shares respectively, with a total change of - 39.22 million shares [21] 1.3 主要债券 ETF 份额及净值走势 - Convertible bond ETFs had a large - scale share outflow. As of the close on November 7, 2025, the shares of 30 - year treasury bond ETF, policy - financial bond ETF, 5 - year local bond ETF, urban investment bond ETF, and convertible bond ETF were 279.89 million shares, 379.37 million shares, 31.73 million shares, 2635.48 million shares, and 4241.99 million shares respectively. Compared with the close on October 31, 2025, they changed by 11.78 million shares, - 0.06 million shares, no change, 27.80 million shares, and - 99.70 million shares respectively [24] - The net value performance was differentiated, and some interest - rate bond ETFs turned down. As of the close on November 7, 2025, the net values of 30 - year treasury bond ETF, policy - financial bond ETF, 5 - year local bond ETF, urban investment bond ETF, and convertible bond ETF were 1.2549, 1.1502, 1.2577, 1.4377, and 1.3610 respectively, changing by - 0.37%, - 0.10%, 0.06%, 0.06%, and 0.85% respectively compared with the close on October 31, 2025 [27] 1.4 基准做市信用债 ETF 份额及净值走势 - The share change was not obvious, and some products had a small - scale outflow. As of the close on November 7, 2025, among the 8 existing benchmark market - making credit bond ETFs, the shares of some products changed by no change, no change, no change, no change, - 2.11 million shares, - 1.00 million shares, no change, - 2.00 million shares respectively compared with the close on October 31, 2025 [30] - The upward momentum of the net value weakened. As of the close on November 7, 2025, the net values of the 8 credit bond ETFs changed by 0.06%, 0.05%, 0.06%, 0.03%, 0.05%, 0.04%, 0.04%, 0.05% respectively compared with the close on October 31, 2025. Looking at each single day, the net value showed a turning trend at the end of last week, and the growth momentum showed signs of weakening after continuous upward movement for many weeks [33] 1.5 科创债 ETF 份额及净值走势 - Last week, the shares of science and technology innovation bond ETFs decreased more than they increased. The net inflow of shares of the 24 existing science and technology innovation bond ETFs was - 10.56 million shares, a decrease of 0.42% compared with the previous week. The top three products in terms of share net inflow were Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF China Merchants (+ 2.00 million shares), Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Penghua (+ 1.39 million shares), and Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Huaxia (+ 1.25 million shares). The top three products in terms of share net outflow were Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Boshi (- 7.00 million shares), Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Fuguo (- 3.85 million shares), and Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Southern (- 2.12 million shares) [36] - The net value was higher than the previous week's closing price, but showed an "inverted U" trend during the week. As of the close on November 7, 2025, the average net values of the first - batch and second - batch science and technology innovation bond ETFs increased by 0.05% and 0.03% respectively compared with the previous week's close, but the net value of each science and technology innovation bond ETF showed a decline at the weekend [37] 1.6 单只债券 ETF 市场表现情况 - The 0 - 4 local bond ETF led the net inflow for two consecutive weeks, and the convertible bond - type ETF led the net value increase. Last week, the net values of 30 - year treasury bond ETF Boshi and 30 - year treasury bond ETF turned down after leading the increase for several consecutive weeks, with - 0.41% and - 0.39% respectively. Convertible bond ETF and Shanghai - Stock - Exchange Convertible Bond ETF benefited from the excellent performance of the equity market, with their net value increases ranking among the top, at + 0.85% and + 0.83% respectively [40] - In terms of the premium - discount rate, 30 - year treasury bond ETF, 30 - year treasury bond ETF Boshi, and benchmark treasury bond ETF led with 0.08%, 0.07%, and 0.02% respectively, reflecting the market capital preference. In terms of scale change, short - term financing ETF (+ 2.553 billion yuan), 0 - 4 local bond ETF (+ 2.100 billion yuan), and 30 - year treasury bond ETF (+ 1.413 billion yuan) ranked top three in net inflow amount, while the convertible bond ETF had a significantly higher net outflow amount than other products, at - 1.353 billion yuan [40]
债券ETF周度跟踪(10.27-10.31):市场回暖,债券ETF量价齐升-20251102
Southwest Securities· 2025-11-02 13:44
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the given text. 2. Core View of the Report The bond ETF market is experiencing a recovery, with both trading volume and prices rising. The net inflow of funds into bond - type ETFs has accelerated, and the capital situation of local bond ETFs has significantly improved. The share inflows of interest - rate bond and credit - bond ETFs have marginally improved, while the share of local bond ETFs has shown a steep increase. The net values of major representative bond ETFs have continued to grow [2]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 1.1 各类债券 ETF 资金净流入情况 - The net inflow of funds into bond - type ETFs has accelerated. Last week, the net inflows of interest - rate bond ETFs, credit - bond ETFs, and convertible - bond ETFs were 4.489 billion yuan, 9.919 billion yuan, and - 1.692 billion yuan respectively, with a total net inflow of 12.717 billion yuan in the bond ETF market. The capital situation of local bond ETFs has significantly improved, with the net inflow scale increasing substantially last week. Specifically, the top three in terms of net inflow amount were Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF (+6.323 billion yuan), local bond - type ETFs (+3.087 billion yuan), and Short - term Financing Bond ETF (+2.003 billion yuan), and only the convertible - bond ETF had a negative net inflow of funds [2][5]. 3.2 1.2 各类债券 ETF 份额走势 - The share inflows of interest - rate bond and credit - bond ETFs have marginally improved, and the share of local bond ETFs has shown a steep increase. As of the close on October 31, 2025, the shares of treasury - bond, policy - financial - bond, local - bond, credit - bond, and convertible - bond ETFs changed by 8.38 million shares, 3.31 million shares, 26.99 million shares, 207.60 million shares, and - 124.20 million shares respectively compared to the previous week's close, with a total change of 122.08 million shares in bond - type ETFs [2][16]. 3.3 1.3 主要债券 ETF 份额及净值走势 - The share inflow of the Urban Investment Bond ETF has increased significantly. As of the close on October 31, 2025, the shares of the 30 - year Treasury Bond ETF, Policy Financial Bond ETF, 5 - year Local Bond ETF, Urban Investment Bond ETF, and Convertible Bond ETF changed by 6.24 million shares, 1.49 million shares, no change, 123.50 million shares, and - 146.80 million shares respectively compared to the previous week's close. - The net values of all representative targets have continued to grow. As of the close on October 31, 2025, the net values of the 30 - year Treasury Bond ETF, Policy Financial Bond ETF, 5 - year Local Bond ETF, Urban Investment Bond ETF, and Convertible Bond ETF changed by 1.21%, 0.46%, 0.22%, 0.19%, and 0.74% respectively compared to the previous week's close [2][21][24]. 3.4 1.4 基准做市信用债 ETF 份额及净值走势 - There was no significant change in the share, with only a small inflow. As of the close on October 31, 2025, the shares of the existing 8 credit - bond ETFs changed by no change, no change, 0.20 million shares, no change, no change, 0.20 million shares, 0.25 million shares, and 0.20 million shares respectively compared to the close on October 24, 2025. - The net values continued the upward trend. As of the close on October 31, 2025, the net values of the 8 credit - bond ETFs changed by 0.26%, 0.27%, 0.28%, 0.24%, 0.33%, 0.34%, 0.35%, and 0.34% respectively compared to the close on October 24, 2025 [2][28]. 3.5 1.5 科创债 ETF 份额及净值走势 - The shares of Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Tianhong and Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Taikang led the increase significantly. Among the existing 24 Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETFs, the top three products in terms of net share inflow last week were Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Tianhong, Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Taikang, and Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Invesco, with changes of 43.62 million shares, 22.14 million shares, and 1.70 million shares respectively compared to the close on October 24, 2025. - The net values have increased for multiple consecutive weeks. The top three Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETFs in terms of net - value increase last week were Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Tianhong, Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Boshi, and Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Fuguo, with increases of 0.33%, 0.32%, and 0.32% respectively [2][32][35]. 3.6 1.6 单只债券 ETF 市场表现情况 - The net - value increase of ultra - long - term Treasury Bond ETF led again, and the scales of 0 - 4 Local Bond ETF and Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Tianhong led the growth significantly. Last week, the net - value increases of 30 - year Treasury Bond ETF Boshi and 30 - year Treasury Bond ETF continued to lead, at 1.38% and 1.27% respectively. - In terms of premium/discount rates, 30 - year Treasury Bond ETF, 30 - year Treasury Bond ETF Boshi, and Urban Investment Bond ETF led in terms of premium rates. In terms of scale change, the top three in terms of net inflow amount were Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Tianhong (+4.463 billion yuan), 0 - 4 Local Bond ETF (+3.029 billion yuan), and Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Taikang (+2.199 billion yuan). The convertible - bond ETF had a significantly higher net outflow amount than other products last week, at - 1.979 billion yuan, indicating that funds were still withdrawing [2][37].