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债券ETF跟踪:债券ETF净值修复,资金流出
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2026-01-26 13:28
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The report does not mention the industry investment rating [1][2][3] 2. Core View of the Report - The net value of bond ETFs has recovered, but there has been a capital outflow. The net inflow and outflow of different types of bond ETFs vary, and the net value of various bond ETF products has generally increased [1][5][6] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Funds Flow - As of January 23, 2026, bond - type ETFs had a total net outflow of 13.381 billion yuan in the past week. Interest - rate, credit, and convertible - bond ETFs had net outflows of 5.763 billion yuan, 11.944 billion yuan, and a net inflow of 4.326 billion yuan respectively. Among credit - type ETFs, short - term financing, corporate bonds, and urban investment bonds had net inflows of 0.327 billion yuan, 0.048 billion yuan, and 0.048 billion yuan respectively, while market - making credit bonds and science - innovation bonds had net outflows of 5.011 billion yuan and 7.356 billion yuan respectively. Since 2025, interest - rate, credit, and convertible - bond ETFs have had cumulative net inflows of 54.852 billion yuan, 475.079 billion yuan, and 30.291 billion yuan respectively, totaling 560.222 billion yuan [5] 3.2 Net Value Performance - Throughout the week, the net values of various types of bond ETF products generally rose. As of January 23, 2026, the 30 - year Treasury Bond ETF Boshi performed well, rising 1.26% for the week, the Treasury Bond ETF Huaxia rose 0.45%, and the Ten - year Treasury Bond ETF rose 0.16%. The Convertible Bond ETF and the Shanghai Stock Exchange Convertible Bond ETF rose 2.88% and 2.40% respectively last week [6] 3.3 Performance of Credit Bond ETFs and Science - Innovation Bond ETFs - As of January 23, 2026, the median unit net values of credit bond ETFs and science - innovation bond ETFs were 1.0141 and 1.0020 respectively, rising 0.13% and 0.10% for the week. Among credit bond ETFs, the Credit Bond ETF Haifutong performed relatively well, rising 0.14% for the week. Among science - innovation bond ETFs, the Science - Innovation Bond ETF Huatai Bairui and the Science - Innovation Bond ETF Invesco performed relatively well. As of January 23, 2026, the median discount rate of credit bond ETFs was 25BP, and that of science - innovation bond ETFs was 24BP [7] 3.4 Credit - Type ETF Duration Tracking - As of January 23, 2026, the holding durations of short - term financing ETFs, corporate bond ETFs, and urban investment bond ETFs were 0.35 years, 1.93 years, and 2.10 years respectively. Among market - making credit bond ETFs, the median holding durations of products tracking the Shanghai Market - Making Corporate Bond and Shenzhen Market - Making Corporate Bond indexes were 3.61 years and 2.78 years respectively. Among science - innovation bond ETFs, the median holding durations of products tracking the AAA Science - Innovation Bond, Shanghai AAA Science - Innovation Bond, and Shenzhen AAA Science - Innovation Bond indexes were 3.32 years, 3.21 years, and 3.18 years respectively [10] 3.5 Report Summary - Last week, the ChinaBond New Composite Index rose 0.26% for the week; short - term pure - bond and medium - and long - term pure - bond funds rose 0.04% and 0.08% respectively; the CSI AAA Science - Innovation Bond Index and the Shanghai Stock Exchange Benchmark Market - Making Corporate Bond Index rose 0.16% and 0.17% respectively [9]
债券ETF周度跟踪(1.19-1.23):部分科创债ETF纳入长久期券-20260126
Southwest Securities· 2026-01-26 04:53
Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. Core Viewpoints - The net - outflow trend of bond ETF funds continues but the amplitude narrows, and the capital flow is expected to return to normal. The current continuous capital outflow is mainly due to the inertia of year - end impulse funds withdrawal. With the bond market warming up and the release of the "good start" allocation demand in the first quarter, the capital flow of bond ETFs is expected to be supported after short - term disturbances subside [2][5]. - The net - outflow pressure of credit - bond ETFs is gradually easing, while convertible - bond ETFs continue to receive net inflows, which may reflect the trend of some funds switching between major asset classes during the adjustment of the equity market [6]. - The share of convertible - bond ETFs has increased significantly, and the net value of major bond ETFs has generally risen, with convertible - bond ETFs leading the gains [16][21]. Summary by Directory 1.1 各类债券 ETF 资金净流入情况 - The net - outflow situation of bond ETFs continues, but the amplitude narrows. Last week, the net inflows of interest - rate bond ETFs, credit - bond ETFs, and convertible - bond ETFs were - 63.01 billion yuan, - 116.48 billion yuan, and + 23.05 billion yuan respectively, with a total net inflow of - 156.44 billion yuan in the bond ETF market. As of January 23, 2026, the bond ETF fund scale was 734.575 billion yuan, down 1.79% from the previous week and 11.41% from the beginning of the year, but its proportion in the whole - market ETF scale increased by 40bp [5]. - The net - outflow pressure of credit - bond ETFs eases. The science - innovation bond ETF has had the largest net outflows for three consecutive weeks after a large inflow at the end of last year, with a net outflow of 6.86 billion yuan last week, and the outflow scale narrowed slightly compared with the previous week. Convertible - bond ETFs continued to receive net inflows of 2.305 billion yuan [6]. 1.2 各类债券 ETF 份额及代表产品净值走势 - The share of convertible - bond ETFs increased significantly. As of the close on January 23, 2026, the shares of various types of bond ETFs changed by - 5.5%, - 5.1%, - 1.1%, - 4.5%, - 2.5%, 0.0%, 0.5%, 0.0%, and 3.2% respectively compared with the previous week, with a total change of - 4.8% for bond - type ETFs [16]. - The net value of major bond ETFs generally rose, with convertible - bond ETFs leading the gains. As of the close on January 23, 2026, the net values of selected representative bond ETFs changed by 1.17%, 0.30%, 0.09%, 0.06%, 0.04%, 0.08%, and 2.88% respectively compared with the previous week [21]. 1.3 各基准做市信用债 ETF 份额及净值走势 - The share of Company Bond ETF Southern had the largest outflow. As of the close on January 23, 2026, the shares of 8 existing credit - bond ETFs changed by no change, - 5.35%, - 3.42%, - 2.03%, - 7.67%, - 6.82%, - 3.27%, and - 2.18% respectively compared with the previous week [25]. - The net value rose slightly, with Credit Bond ETF leading the gains. As of the close on January 23, 2026, the net values of 8 credit - bond ETFs changed by 0.14%, 0.11%, 0.12%, 0.12%, 0.14%, 0.12%, 0.15%, and 0.13% respectively compared with the previous week [27]. 1.4 各科创债 ETF 份额及净值走势 - The shares of Science - Innovation Bond ETF Bank of China and Science - Innovation Bond ETF Invesco increased slightly. The net share inflow of 24 existing science - innovation bond ETFs last week was - 68.49 million shares, a decrease of 2.27% compared with the previous week [30][31]. - The net value continued to rise. As of the close on January 23, 2026, the average net values of the first - and second - batch science - innovation bond ETFs increased by 0.11% and 0.11% respectively compared with the previous week. The median net values of products tracking relevant indexes also had certain increases [33]. 1.5 上周单只债券 ETF 市场表现情况 - Benefiting from the strengthening of the bond market, the net values of bond ETF products generally rose. Convertible - bond ETF, Shanghai - Stock - Exchange Convertible - Bond ETF, and 30 - Year Treasury Bond ETF Bosera led the gains, with increases of 2.88%, 2.40%, and 1.26% respectively [36]. - In terms of the premium - discount rate, Shanghai - Stock - Exchange Convertible - Bond ETF, Convertible - Bond ETF, and Treasury Bond ETF had leading premium rates, while the discount of benchmark - market - making credit - bond and science - innovation bond ETFs intensified. In terms of scale changes, most bond ETF products' scales decreased, but Convertible - Bond ETF (+ 2.456 billion yuan), Short - Term Financing ETF (+ 0.309 billion yuan), and Science - Innovation Bond ETF Bank of China (+ 0.2 billion yuan) had positive net inflows and ranked among the top three [36]. 1.6 基准做市信用债和科创债 ETF 的 PCF 清单边际变化 - The estimated change of the modified duration of benchmark - market - making credit - bond ETFs last week was small. For products tracking relevant indexes, the average modified duration of newly added bonds in the PCF list of some ETFs was significantly longer than their own modified duration [38]. - The estimated change of the modified duration of Science - Innovation Bond ETF Huatai - PineBridge, Science - Innovation Bond ETF Harvest, and Science - Innovation Bond ETF Fullgoal was relatively large. For products tracking different indexes, the average modified duration of newly added bonds in the PCF list of some ETFs was significantly longer than that of similar bonds [39]. - Bonds such as 25 Jiangtong K1, Jingzi K15, and 24 Tiegong K4 were repeatedly included in the PCF list of science - innovation bond ETFs, while 23 Jili K1, 25 Jingdong SK, 25 Shudao K3, and Jiancai K13 were removed by multiple science - innovation bond ETFs [42].
债券ETF跟踪:债券ETF资金持续流出
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2026-01-19 09:27
Group 1: Report Summary - The ChinaBond New Composite Index rose 0.18% last week; short - term and medium - long - term pure bond funds rose 0.02% and 0.05% respectively; the CSI AAA Sci - tech Innovation Bond Index and the SSE Benchmark Market - making Corporate Bond Index rose 0.11% each [2] Group 2: Capital Flows - As of January 16, 2026, bond - type ETFs had a net outflow of 16.512 billion yuan in the past week. Interest - rate, credit, and convertible - bond ETFs had net outflows of 5.307 billion yuan, 14.018 billion yuan, and a net inflow of 2.814 billion yuan respectively [4] - Among credit - type ETFs, short - term financing, corporate bonds, and urban investment bonds had net inflows of 0.274 billion yuan, 0.113 billion yuan, and 0.05 billion yuan respectively. Market - making credit bonds had a net outflow of 5.776 billion yuan, and sci - tech innovation bonds had a net outflow of 8.679 billion yuan [4] - As of January 16, 2026, interest - rate, credit, and convertible - bond ETFs had cumulative net inflows of 60.615 billion yuan, 487.023 billion yuan, and 25.964 billion yuan respectively since 2025, totaling 573.603 billion yuan [4] Group 3: Net Value Performance - Overall, the net values of various types of bond ETF products generally rose last week. As of January 16, 2026, Boshi 30 - year Treasury Bond ETF performed well, rising 0.37% for the week. Huaxia Treasury Bond ETF rose 0.31%, and the 10 - year Treasury Bond ETF rose 0.36%. Convertible Bond ETF and SSE Convertible Bond ETF rose 1.05% and 0.68% respectively last week [5] Group 4: Credit Bond ETF and Sci - tech Innovation Bond ETF Performance - As of January 16, 2026, the median unit net values of credit bond ETFs and sci - tech innovation bond ETFs were 1.0128 and 1.0010 respectively, rising 0.09% and 0.07% for the week. Among credit bond ETFs, Dacheng Credit Bond ETF performed relatively well, rising 0.10% for the week. Among sci - tech innovation bond ETFs, Invesco and Wanjia Sci - tech Innovation Bond ETFs performed relatively well [6] - As of January 16, 2026, the median discount rate of credit bond ETFs was 21BP, and that of sci - tech innovation bond ETFs was 24BP [6] Group 5: Credit - type ETF Duration Tracking - As of January 16, 2026, the holding durations of short - term financing ETFs, corporate bond ETFs, and urban investment bond ETFs were 0.34 years, 1.56 years, and 2.13 years respectively. Among market - making credit bond ETFs, the median holding durations of products tracking the Shanghai Market - making Corporate Bond and Shenzhen Market - making Corporate Bond indexes were 3.58 years and 2.80 years respectively [7] - Among sci - tech innovation bond ETFs, the median holding durations of products tracking the AAA Sci - tech Innovation Bond, Shanghai AAA Sci - tech Innovation Bond, and Shenzhen AAA Sci - tech Innovation Bond indexes were 3.31 years, 3.24 years, and 3.16 years respectively [7]
债券ETF跟踪:信用型ETF资金流出,久期下降
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES· 2026-01-12 12:20
Group 1: Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is not provided in the report. Group 2: Core Viewpoints - The report tracks the bond ETFs, focusing on the capital outflow and duration decline of credit - type ETFs. It analyzes the capital flow, net value performance, and duration of different types of bond ETFs [1][5][6]. Group 3: Summary by Directory Capital Flow - As of January 9, 2026, bond - type ETFs had a total net outflow of 64.352 billion yuan in the past week. Interest - rate, credit - type, and convertible - bond - type ETFs had a net outflow of 10.454 billion yuan, 59.224 billion yuan, and a net inflow of 5.325 billion yuan respectively. Among credit - type ETFs, short - term financing bonds, corporate bonds, and urban investment bonds had a net outflow of 8.394 billion yuan, a net inflow of 0.242 billion yuan, and a net outflow of 0.006 billion yuan respectively. Market - making credit bonds and science and technology innovation bonds had a net outflow of 7.071 billion yuan and 43.995 billion yuan respectively. Since 2025, interest - rate, credit - type, and convertible - bond ETFs had cumulative net inflows of 65.923 billion yuan, 501.041 billion yuan, and 23.151 billion yuan respectively, with a total of 590.115 billion yuan [5]. Net Value Performance - Throughout the week, the net value trends of different types of bond ETF products were divergent. As of January 9, 2026, the 30 - year Treasury Bond ETF Boshi performed weakly, with a weekly decline of 1.05%. The 0 - 4 Local Bond ETF rose 0.04%, and the 5 - year Local Bond ETF rose 0.01%. The Convertible Bond ETF and the Shanghai Stock Exchange Convertible Bond ETF rose 4.30% and 3.39% respectively last week [6]. Performance of Credit Bond ETF and Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF - As of January 9, 2026, the median unit net values of credit bond ETF and science and technology innovation bond ETF were 1.0119 and 1.0003 respectively, with a weekly decline of 0.01% each. Among credit bond ETFs, the Haifutong Credit Bond ETF performed relatively well, with a weekly decline of 0.01%. Among science and technology innovation bond ETFs, the Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Yin Hua and the Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Wan Jia performed relatively well. The median discount rates of credit bond ETF and science and technology innovation bond ETF were 28BP and 22BP respectively [7]. Credit - type ETF Duration Tracking - As of January 9, 2026, the holding durations of short - term financing ETF, corporate bond ETF, and urban investment bond ETF were 0.36 years, 1.58 years, and 2.15 years respectively. Among market - making credit bond ETFs, the median holding durations of products tracking the Shanghai Market - making Corporate Bond Index and the Shenzhen Market - making Corporate Bond Index were 3.59 years and 2.81 years respectively. Among science and technology innovation bond ETFs, the median holding durations of products tracking the AAA Science and Technology Innovation Bond Index, the Shanghai AAA Science and Technology Innovation Bond Index, and the Shenzhen AAA Science and Technology Innovation Bond Index were 3.32 years, 3.26 years, and 3.17 years respectively [10].
债券ETF周度跟踪(11.3-11.7):市场净流入增幅边际收窄-20251110
Southwest Securities· 2025-11-10 07:15
Report Information - The report is a weekly fixed - income regular report on bond ETFs from November 3rd to November 7th, 2025, titled "Bond ETF Weekly Tracking (11.3 - 11.7): Market Net Inflow Growth Marginal Narrowing" [1] Core Viewpoint - The overall net inflow growth of the bond ETF market has narrowed marginally, with the increment mainly coming from interest - rate bond ETFs. The net inflow of convertible bond ETFs is negative [4][7] Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating information is provided in the report Summary by Directory 1.1 各类债券 ETF 资金净流入情况 - The overall net inflow growth of bond ETFs has narrowed marginally, and the increment mainly comes from interest - rate bond ETFs. Last week, the net inflow funds of interest - rate bond ETFs, credit bond ETFs, and convertible bond ETFs were 4.914 billion yuan, 1.394 billion yuan, and - 1.574 billion yuan respectively, with a total net inflow of 4.734 billion yuan in the bond ETF market. As of November 7, 2025, the bond ETF fund scale was 70.6121 billion yuan, up 0.87% from the previous week's close and 292.79% from the beginning of the year, accounting for 12.28% of the total market ETF scale, up 1bp from the previous weekend [4][7] - Treasury bond ETFs led the net inflow, and the growth of short - term financing and local bond ETFs continued. Last week, treasury bond ETFs (+ 2.698 billion yuan), short - term financing ETFs (+ 2.553 billion yuan), and local bond ETFs (+ 2.223 billion yuan) ranked top three in net inflow amount. Convertible bond ETFs, science and technology innovation bond ETFs, and benchmark market - making credit bond ETFs had negative net inflows, with - 1.574 billion yuan, - 1.390 billion yuan, and - 0.515 billion yuan respectively [7] 1.2 各类债券 ETF 份额走势 - The share inflows of interest - rate bond and credit bond ETFs improved marginally, and the local bond ETFs had a steep growth. As of the close on November 7, 2025, the shares of treasury bond, policy - financial bond, local bond, credit bond, and convertible bond ETFs were 683.88 million shares, 442.47 million shares, 127.08 million shares, 7185.08 million shares, and 4954.95 million shares respectively, with a total of 13393.45 million shares for bond - type ETFs. Compared with the close on October 31, 2025, they changed by 22.53 million shares, - 0.08 million shares, 19.41 million shares, 35.81 million shares, and - 116.90 million shares respectively, with a total change of - 39.22 million shares [21] 1.3 主要债券 ETF 份额及净值走势 - Convertible bond ETFs had a large - scale share outflow. As of the close on November 7, 2025, the shares of 30 - year treasury bond ETF, policy - financial bond ETF, 5 - year local bond ETF, urban investment bond ETF, and convertible bond ETF were 279.89 million shares, 379.37 million shares, 31.73 million shares, 2635.48 million shares, and 4241.99 million shares respectively. Compared with the close on October 31, 2025, they changed by 11.78 million shares, - 0.06 million shares, no change, 27.80 million shares, and - 99.70 million shares respectively [24] - The net value performance was differentiated, and some interest - rate bond ETFs turned down. As of the close on November 7, 2025, the net values of 30 - year treasury bond ETF, policy - financial bond ETF, 5 - year local bond ETF, urban investment bond ETF, and convertible bond ETF were 1.2549, 1.1502, 1.2577, 1.4377, and 1.3610 respectively, changing by - 0.37%, - 0.10%, 0.06%, 0.06%, and 0.85% respectively compared with the close on October 31, 2025 [27] 1.4 基准做市信用债 ETF 份额及净值走势 - The share change was not obvious, and some products had a small - scale outflow. As of the close on November 7, 2025, among the 8 existing benchmark market - making credit bond ETFs, the shares of some products changed by no change, no change, no change, no change, - 2.11 million shares, - 1.00 million shares, no change, - 2.00 million shares respectively compared with the close on October 31, 2025 [30] - The upward momentum of the net value weakened. As of the close on November 7, 2025, the net values of the 8 credit bond ETFs changed by 0.06%, 0.05%, 0.06%, 0.03%, 0.05%, 0.04%, 0.04%, 0.05% respectively compared with the close on October 31, 2025. Looking at each single day, the net value showed a turning trend at the end of last week, and the growth momentum showed signs of weakening after continuous upward movement for many weeks [33] 1.5 科创债 ETF 份额及净值走势 - Last week, the shares of science and technology innovation bond ETFs decreased more than they increased. The net inflow of shares of the 24 existing science and technology innovation bond ETFs was - 10.56 million shares, a decrease of 0.42% compared with the previous week. The top three products in terms of share net inflow were Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF China Merchants (+ 2.00 million shares), Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Penghua (+ 1.39 million shares), and Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Huaxia (+ 1.25 million shares). The top three products in terms of share net outflow were Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Boshi (- 7.00 million shares), Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Fuguo (- 3.85 million shares), and Science and Technology Innovation Bond ETF Southern (- 2.12 million shares) [36] - The net value was higher than the previous week's closing price, but showed an "inverted U" trend during the week. As of the close on November 7, 2025, the average net values of the first - batch and second - batch science and technology innovation bond ETFs increased by 0.05% and 0.03% respectively compared with the previous week's close, but the net value of each science and technology innovation bond ETF showed a decline at the weekend [37] 1.6 单只债券 ETF 市场表现情况 - The 0 - 4 local bond ETF led the net inflow for two consecutive weeks, and the convertible bond - type ETF led the net value increase. Last week, the net values of 30 - year treasury bond ETF Boshi and 30 - year treasury bond ETF turned down after leading the increase for several consecutive weeks, with - 0.41% and - 0.39% respectively. Convertible bond ETF and Shanghai - Stock - Exchange Convertible Bond ETF benefited from the excellent performance of the equity market, with their net value increases ranking among the top, at + 0.85% and + 0.83% respectively [40] - In terms of the premium - discount rate, 30 - year treasury bond ETF, 30 - year treasury bond ETF Boshi, and benchmark treasury bond ETF led with 0.08%, 0.07%, and 0.02% respectively, reflecting the market capital preference. In terms of scale change, short - term financing ETF (+ 2.553 billion yuan), 0 - 4 local bond ETF (+ 2.100 billion yuan), and 30 - year treasury bond ETF (+ 1.413 billion yuan) ranked top three in net inflow amount, while the convertible bond ETF had a significantly higher net outflow amount than other products, at - 1.353 billion yuan [40]