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百济神州(688235):盈利稳步提升,全年收入指引下限上调
China Post Securities· 2025-11-21 06:15
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 20% relative to the benchmark index within the next six months [2][13]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant revenue increase of 44.2% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2025, with total revenue reaching 276.0 billion yuan. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 11.4 billion yuan, a turnaround from a loss of 36.9 billion yuan in the same period last year [5][6]. - The global revenue for the drug Zebutinib surpassed 1 billion USD, with a notable growth of 53.2% in the first three quarters of 2025. The revenue breakdown shows strong performance in various regions, particularly in China, where it grew by 359% [6][9]. - The company has adjusted its full-year revenue guidance from 50-53 billion USD to 51-53 billion USD, while maintaining its guidance for positive GAAP operating profit [5][6]. Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 100.8 billion yuan, representing a 41.1% increase year-on-year. The gross margin for Q3 was reported at 85.9%, an increase of 3.1 percentage points compared to previous quarters [6][7]. - The projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 371.0 billion yuan, 471.5 billion yuan, and 581.8 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 36.3%, 27.1%, and 23.4% [9][11]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 8.2 billion yuan in 2025, with a staggering growth of 116.5% compared to the previous year [9][11].
百济神州(688235):泽布替尼环比稳定增长,Q2维持GAAP转正势头
China Post Securities· 2025-09-30 05:33
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [2][9]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with total revenue reaching 17.52 billion yuan, a 46% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 450 million yuan compared to a loss of 2.88 billion yuan in the same period last year [5][6]. - The company has raised its full-year revenue guidance from 4.9-5.3 billion USD to 5-5.3 billion USD, while maintaining its guidance for positive GAAP operating profit for the year [5][6]. Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 9.47 billion yuan, a 42.7% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 540 million yuan, compared to a loss of 970 million yuan in the same quarter last year [5][6]. - The global revenue for the drug Zebutinib reached 1.74 billion USD in the first half of 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 54.7%, driven by strong performance in the US and Europe [6][7]. Product Development - The company is advancing its product pipeline, with several key trials underway, including a Phase III trial for a combination therapy involving Zebutinib [7][8]. - The company anticipates significant data releases in the second half of 2025 for various products, including a KRAS inhibitor and ADCs [8]. Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 37.1 billion yuan, 47.15 billion yuan, and 58.18 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 820 million yuan, 4.07 billion yuan, and 8.07 billion yuan [9][11].