Group 1 - CICC maintains an "outperform" rating for BeiGene, forecasting $3.9 billion in sales for Zebrutinib in 2025, a 49% year-on-year increase, and $740 million for Tislelizumab, a 19% increase [1] - Multiple significant catalysts are expected in 2026, including U.S. approval for Sotigalimab in R/R MCL, potential accelerated approval for BTK CDAC, and the initiation of Phase III clinical trials for CDK4 [1] Group 2 - CITIC Securities maintains a "buy" rating for Dongfang Zhenxuan, reporting a 5.7% year-on-year revenue increase for FY26H1 and a return to profitability with a net profit of 239 million yuan [2][6] - The self-operated product GMV share increased to 52.8%, with 801 SKUs and the app contributing 18.5% of total GMV [2] Group 3 - CITIC Securities maintains a "buy" rating for Trip.com, reporting a 20.8% year-on-year revenue increase for Q4 2025, slightly exceeding expectations [3] - The international OTA platform saw a 60% increase in bookings for the year, serving 20 million inbound tourists and connecting over 150,000 hotels [3] Group 4 - CITIC Securities maintains a "buy" rating for Samsonite, planning a dual primary listing in the U.S. in the first half of 2026, with IATA predicting a 4.9% increase in global air passenger traffic in 2026 [4] - Current Hong Kong stock valuation is at 11x PE, significantly lower than the comparable U.S. companies at 17x and its historical average of 21x, with the dual listing expected to improve liquidity and catalyze valuation recovery [4] Group 5 - CITIC Securities maintains a "buy" rating for Insilico Medicine, highlighting partnerships with Exelixis and Menarini for high-value pipeline collaborations [5] - The core pipeline ISM001-055 shows excellent clinical potential, with the AI pharmaceutical industry expected to reach critical validation points in 2026 [5] Group 6 - Guosheng Securities maintains a "buy" rating for H&H International Holdings, forecasting strong double-digit growth in market share for ANC in mainland China and robust double-digit growth for BNC infant formula [7] - Interest expense optimization is expected to enhance profits, with BNC share gains and accelerated growth in ANC/PNC expected to resonate positively with performance and valuation [7] Group 7 - Guohai Securities maintains a "buy" rating for Geely Automobile, reporting cumulative sales of 476,000 units from January to February 2026, a 1.0% year-on-year increase [8] - New vehicle launches, including Galaxy M7 and Zeekr 8X, are expected to drive growth, with clear strategies for electrification, intelligence, premiumization, and globalization [8] Group 8 - Industrial Securities maintains a "buy" rating for Jiangnan Buyi, reporting a 7.0% year-on-year revenue increase and a 12.5% increase in net profit for FY26H1 [10] - Online revenue grew by 25.1%, with a 16.3% increase in LESS women's wear, and active membership reached 596,000, with high-value members contributing 60% of offline retail sales [10] Group 9 - Shenwan Hongyuan maintains a "buy" rating for Nine Dragons Paper, reporting a 225.1% increase in net profit for FY26H1 and a net profit of 119 yuan per ton [11] - The company produced 2.3 million tons of wood pulp, a 77% year-on-year increase, benefiting from the release of integrated pulp and paper advantages [11]

2026 年 03 月 05 日 晨会纪要 研究所： 证券分析师： 余春生 S0350513090001 yucs@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 晨会纪要 ——2026 年第 33 期 观点精粹: 最新报告摘要 晨会纪要--晨会报告 拟收购豫北转向，线控底盘业务稳步推进--伯特利/汽车零部件(603596/212802) 公司动态研究 1-2 月累计销量同比微增，出口表现亮眼--吉利汽车/乘用车(00175/212805) 点评报告（港股美股） 1-2 月累计销量同比向上，新平台加速高端化--长城汽车/乘用车(601633/212805) 公司点评 2 月交付同比稳健增长，A10 上市在即--零跑汽车/乘用车(09863/212805) 点评报告（港股美股） 生猪养殖行业亏损加剧，去产能有望重启--行业周报 收入符合业绩指引，2026 年催化剂丰富--百济神州/化学制药(688235/213701) 科创板公司普通报告 证券研究报告 1、最新报告摘要 1.1、拟收购豫北转向，线控底盘业务稳步推进--伯特利/汽车零部件 (603596/212802) 公司动态研究 分析师：戴畅 S0350 ...

公司在2026 年将有多个重磅催化剂。公司预计：1）索托克拉R/R MCL 适应症有望于1H26 在美国获 批；2）基于II 期临床，BTK CDAC 或将于2H26 递交R/R CLL 适应症的潜在加速批准 ；3）CDK4 用于 1L 乳腺癌的III 期临床将于1H26 启动，并于1H26 披露I 期数据；4）B7-H4 ADC 将在12 个月内启动III 期，并于1H26 公布I 期数据；5）GPC3/4-1BB 双抗将于2H26启动关键II 期，并于1H26 公布I 期数据。 盈利预测与估值 2025 年业绩基本符合我们预期 公司公布2025 年业绩：收入53.43 亿美元，同比增长40%，其中产品收入52.82 亿美元，同比增长40%， GAAP 净利润2.87亿美元，销售收入符合我们预期，净利润略低于我们预期，主因4Q25 一次性股权投 资减值和非经常性税务所致，若剔除该部分负面影响，我们预计公司全年净利润符合我们预期。 发展趋势 泽布替尼拉动产品收入稳步增长。2025 年泽布替尼销售39 亿美元，同比增长49%，分季度看，1-4Q25 销售额分别为7.9/9.5/10.4/11.5 亿美元，环比变 ...

国金证券发布研报称，维持百济神州(06160)"买入"评级。公司核心产品高速放量，研发管线有望迎来 密集催化。考虑到公司加大研发投入，调整2026/2027年净利润预测为6.85/10.80亿美元，新增2028年净 利润预测18.97亿美元。考虑到公司国内Biopharma龙头地位稳固，全球化布局成效显著，商业化与研发 均迎来关键拐点。 国金证券主要观点如下： 业绩简评 2026年2月26日公司发布2025年业绩快报，全年实现总收入53亿美元(同比+40%)，实现GAAP净利润 2.87亿美元(同比扭亏为盈);其中25Q4实现总收入15亿美元(同比+33%)，实现GAAP净利润6650万美元 (同比扭亏为盈）。 泽布替尼延续高速放量态势，维持全球BTKi市场领导地位 25Q4泽布替尼实现销售额11.5亿美元，同比+39%、环比+10%，呈高速增长趋势，维持全球BTKi市场 领导地位;其中，美国市场为主要收入来源，销售额8.4亿美元，同比+37%、环比+14%;欧洲市场份额持 续提升，销售额1.67亿美元，同比+47%、环比+2%。此外，25Q4替雷利珠单抗实现销售额1.82亿美 元，同比+18%，放量持续攀升 ...

国金证券发布研报称，维持百济神州(06160)"买入"评级。公司核心产品高速放量，研发管线有望迎来 密集催化。考虑到公司加大研发投入，调整2026/2027年净利润预测为6.85/10.80亿美元，新增2028年净 利润预测18.97亿美元。考虑到公司国内Biopharma龙头地位稳固，全球化布局成效显著，商业化与研发 均迎来关键拐点。 国金证券主要观点如下： 业绩简评 2026年2月26日公司发布2025年业绩快报，全年实现总收入53亿美元(同比+40%)，实现GAAP净利润 2.87亿美元(同比扭亏为盈);其中25Q4实现总收入15亿美元(同比+33%)，实现GAAP净利润6650万美元 (同比扭亏为盈)。 泽布替尼延续高速放量态势，维持全球BTKi市场领导地位 25Q4泽布替尼实现销售额11.5亿美元，同比+39%、环比+10%，呈高速增长趋势，维持全球BTKi市场 领导地位;其中，美国市场为主要收入来源，销售额8.4亿美元，同比+37%、环比+14%;欧洲市场份额持 续提升，销售额1.67亿美元，同比+47%、环比+2%。此外，25Q4替雷利珠单抗实现销售额1.82亿美 元，同比+18%，放量持续攀升 ...

业绩简评 2026 年 2 月 26 日公司发布 2025 年业绩快报，全年实现总收入 53 亿美元（同比+40%），实现 GAAP 净利润 2.87 亿美元（同比扭亏 为盈）；其中 25Q4 实现总收入 15 亿美元（同比+33%），实现 GAAP 净利润 6650 万美元（同比扭亏为盈）。 经营分析 泽布替尼延续高速放量态势，维持全球 BTKi 市场领导地位。25Q4 泽布替尼实现销售额 11.5 亿美元，同比+39%、环比+10%，呈高速 增长趋势，维持全球 BTKi 市场领导地位；其中，美国市场为主要 收入来源，销售额 8.4 亿美元，同比+37%、环比+14%；欧洲市场 份额持续提升，销售额 1.67 亿美元，同比+47%、环比+2%。此外， 25Q4 替雷利珠单抗实现销售额 1.82 亿美元，同比+18%，放量持 续攀升。 发布 2026 全年指引，盈利能力加速改善。公司给出的 2026 全年 指引包括：全年收入 62-64 亿美元，GAAP 经营费用 47-49 亿美 元，毛利率位于 80%区间的高位，GAAP 经营利润 7-8 亿美元，非 GAAP 经营利润 14-15 亿美元。 研发管线高效 ...

机构：海通国际 泽布替尼放量符合预期，美国市场增长强劲 1. 泽布替尼：全年实现收入39.3 亿美元（同比+49%）。其中，美国销售28 亿美元（同比+45%），欧 洲销售6.0 亿美元（同比+66%），中国销售3.4 亿美元（同比+33%）。4Q25 泽布替尼实现收入11.5 亿 美元（环比+10%，同比+38%）。 2. 替雷利珠单抗：全年实现收入7.4 亿美元（同比+19%），4Q25实现收入1.8 亿美元（环比-5%，同比 +18%）。 3. 合作产品中国销售：全年实现收入6.2 亿美元（同比+20%），主要得益于地舒单抗和贝林妥欧单抗的 增长。 2026 催化剂丰富 1H26 百济神州重点催化剂包括： 研究员：孟科含/聂照亿 事件 2025 年百济神州实现收入53.4 亿美元（同比+40%），其中产品收入52.8 亿美元，符合我们预测（52.7 亿美元），略超此前管理层指引的50-53 亿美元。归母净利润2.9 亿美元（同期亏损6.4 亿美元），实现 年度经常性业务扭亏。管理层预计2026 年公司将实现收入62-64 亿美元，实现GAAP 经营利润7-8 亿美 元。 点评 4. BTK CDAC 用 ...

Company and Industry Summary Company: 百济神州 (BeiGene) Key Financial Performance - Total revenue for 2025 reached $5.34 billion, representing a 40.2% increase year-over-year [1] - Product revenue for 2025 was $5.28 billion, up 39.8% compared to the previous year [1] - Net profit for 2025 was $290 million, a significant recovery from a net loss of $640 million in the same period last year [1] - Q4 2025 revenue was $1.5 billion, reflecting a 32.8% year-over-year increase and a 6.1% quarter-over-quarter increase [1] - Q4 2025 product revenue was $1.48 billion, up 32.1% year-over-year and 5.8% quarter-over-quarter [1] - Q4 2025 net profit was $66 million, compared to a net loss of $150 million in the same quarter last year [1] Product Performance - Revenue from the drug Tislelizumab for 2025 was $740 million, an 18.8% increase year-over-year [1] - Q4 2025 revenue for Tislelizumab was $180 million, an 18.3% increase year-over-year but a 4.5% decrease quarter-over-quarter [1] Company: 其他药品 (Other Drugs) Key Financial Performance - Revenue from the drug Zebrutinib for 2025 was $3.93 billion, a 48.6% increase year-over-year [2] - Breakdown of Zebrutinib revenue: - United States: $2.83 billion (+45.1%) - Europe: $600 million (+66.2%) - China: $340 million (+33.3%) - Rest of the World (ROW): $160 million (+105.8%) [2] - Q4 2025 revenue for Zebrutinib was $1.15 billion, a 38.4% increase year-over-year and a 10.1% increase quarter-over-quarter [2] - Q4 2025 revenue breakdown for Zebrutinib: - United States: $840 million (+37.1%, +14.4% QoQ) - Europe: $170 million (+47.2%, +2.2% QoQ) - China: $90 million (+26.0%, -5.5% QoQ) - ROW: $160 million (+61.0%, +1.8% QoQ) [2] Other Drug Revenues - XGEVA revenue for 2025 was $310 million (+36.4%), with Q4 revenue of $70 million (+12%, -16.9% QoQ) [2] - BLINCYTO revenue for 2025 was $100 million (+40.2%), with Q4 revenue of $24 million (+17.6%, -20.4% QoQ) [2] Cost and Profitability Metrics - Product gross margin for 2025 was 87.3%, an increase of 3 percentage points [2] - Selling and administrative expense ratio was 39.0%, a decrease of 9.1 percentage points [2] - R&D expense ratio was 40.2%, a decrease of 11.1 percentage points [2] - Q4 2025 product gross margin improved to 90.4% (+4.5 percentage points QoQ) [2] - Q4 2025 selling and administrative expense ratio was 37.1% (-0.5 percentage points QoQ) [2] - Q4 2025 R&D expense ratio was 41.1% (+4 percentage points QoQ) [2] Future Outlook - For 2026, total revenue is projected to be between $6.2 billion and $6.4 billion, with a gross margin above 80% [3] - GAAP operating profit is expected to be between $700 million and $800 million, while non-GAAP operating profit is projected to be between $1.4 billion and $1.5 billion [3]

除了创新药研发进展不断，生命园内的创新药企还在加速成长壮大，实现从"研发投入"到"盈利产出"的 关键跨越。2月26日晚间，诞生于生命园的国内头部创新药企百济神州发布2025年度业绩快报公告，正 式宣布实现成立以来的首次年度盈利。盈利背后，是该企业核心创新药产品持续放量，其中，泽布替尼 已成为全球最畅销的中国原研抗癌药，2025年全球销售额达280.67亿元，同比增长49%，已在全球75个 国家和地区获批上市。另一创新药替雷利珠单抗目前已在全球50多个市场获批，覆盖肺癌、肝癌、胃癌 等多种常见实体瘤，2025年实现全球销售收入52.97亿元。 近期，生命园亮出了2025年创新成绩单，共有22款创新药挺进临床试验，涵盖罕见病、mRNA疫苗、细 胞治疗等前沿领域，其中多项成果实现在中国、美国双双获批临床试验，展现创新含金量。今年，这些 处于临床阶段的创新药"种子"将持续发力，力求跑出创新加速度。 其中，拓领博泰罕见病1类新药TollB-001片先后在中、美批准开展临床，主要针对系统性硬化症，有望 为罕见病患者带来全新治疗方案；炎明生物小分子先天免疫激动剂PTT-936、神济昌华SNUG01同样实 现中美双批临床，两 ...

Core Viewpoint - Haitong International maintains an "outperform" rating for BeiGene (06160), with revenue forecasts for FY26 and FY27 at $6.4 billion and $7.1 billion respectively, and slightly adjusts net profit forecasts to $610 million and $1.04 billion for the same periods [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2025, BeiGene achieved revenue of $5.34 billion, a year-on-year increase of 40%, with product revenue of $5.28 billion, slightly exceeding previous management guidance [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 was $290 million, marking a turnaround in annual recurring business [1] - Management anticipates revenue of $6.2 billion to $6.4 billion for 2026, with GAAP operating profit projected at $700 million to $800 million [1] Group 2: Product Performance - Zepzelca generated revenue of $3.93 billion for the year, a 49% increase year-on-year, with U.S. sales at $2.8 billion (up 45%), European sales at $600 million (up 66%), and Chinese sales at $340 million (up 33%) [2] - The quarterly revenue for Zepzelca in Q4 2025 was $1.15 billion, reflecting a 10% increase quarter-on-quarter and a 38% increase year-on-year [2] - Tislelizumab achieved annual revenue of $740 million, a 19% increase year-on-year, with Q4 2025 revenue of $180 million, up 18% year-on-year [2] - Collaborative product sales in China totaled $620 million for the year, a 20% increase, driven by growth in Duzallo and Belantamab Mafodotin [2] Group 3: Upcoming Catalysts - Key catalysts for 1H26 include the approval of Sotigalimab for R/RMCL in the U.S., interim analysis of Zepzelca in 1L-MCL Phase III, initiation of CDK4 in 1L-HR+ HER2- BC Phase III, and data readout for BTKCDAC in moderate to severe chronic spontaneous urticaria Phase Ib [3] - In 2H26, key catalysts include submission of BTKCDAC for accelerated approval based on Phase II clinical data for R/R-CLL, initiation of Sotigalimab in a triplet regimen for 2L+ multiple myeloma Phase III, and expected initiation of BGB-B2033 (GPC3x41BB) for gastrointestinal cancer in a potential registrational Phase II study [3]